Tuesday, December10, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Sneads Ferry, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 5:00PM Tuesday December 10, 2019 2:12 AM EST (07:12 UTC) Moonrise 4:06PMMoonset 5:19AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 936 Pm Est Mon Dec 9 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday evening...
Overnight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy after midnight. Patchy fog.
Tue..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely with a chance of tstms after midnight.
Wed..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Wed night..N winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, increasing to rough after midnight.
Thu..NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough.
Thu night..NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy after midnight.
Fri..E winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming se. Seas 4 to 6 ft, building to 5 to 8 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of rain, then rain likely.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy. Rain likely, then a chance of rain. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sneads Ferry, NC
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location: 34.54, -77.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 100537 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1237 AM EST Tue Dec 10 2019

SYNOPSIS. A strong cold front will move through Tuesday night and early Wednesday. High pressure will build north of the area through late next week, with another system likely impacting the area late week into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. As of 930 PM Monday . Fcst looks good with bulk of shra expected to remain off the coast tonight. Will cont to monitor threat for sea fog with areas near OBX having best potential.

Prev disc . Mainly dry and mild for tonight except for a continuing very low end shower threat along the OBX. The atmospheric column will remain very moist resulting in abundant mainly mid and high level cloud cover. Low level mixing will preclude widespread dense fog like last night, but sea fog could occur adjacent to the Pamlico Sound and Outer Banks. Good low level WAA and mixing, will produce temps well above normal tonight with lows occurring in the evening then temps will become steady or slightly rise late. Expecting lows only in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/. As of 320 PM Monday . Mostly dry weather and very warm temps are expected Tue. In fact could see some record highs if sufficient insolation can occur through the expected mostly cloudy skies. Will trend the forecast toward the warmer guidance with highs nearing the 80 degree mark, which makes sense given fcst low lvl thicknesses soaring to aoa 1380M. (see climate section below). Could see some showers creep in toward evening coastal plain and Outer Banks.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 230 PM Mon . Periods of unsettled weather expected through much of the long term period, with roller coaster temps as a progressive/amplified active weather pattern is expected.

Tuesday night through Wednesday . A strong cold front approaches the area, resulting in widespread shower activity through Wednesday morning. The best chances for rain will be along the coastal plains initially, then spread eastward through the overnight hours and Wednesday morning. There could be some thunder embedded in the showers along the immediate coast where some instability will reside, mainly Downeast Carteret through the OBX. The frontal boundary will push through the area by Wed morning, then conditions will dry during the afternoon hours from west to east. Temps will swing to the other side of climo, and only be in the upper 40s N to low/mid 50s S for highs.

Wednesday night through Thursday . Strong high pressure will build in from the north with much cooler and drier air Wed night and Thursday with highs Thu only in the 40s in most locations. Widespread lows near or below freezing Thursday morning.

Friday through Monday . Rain chances inc Fri through Sat as deep srly flow increases with digging long wave trough across the lower MS River Valley, which will spur several areas of low pressure along the eastern seaboard. Have maintained likely pops centered on Fri night into Sat as models converging on this period being wettest. Widespread moderate to heavy rain will be possible. Depending on exact track of said low pressure areas, there could be potential for strong to even severe storms if storm tracks are further inland. Drier conditions with near normal temps could arrive Sunday and Monday.

AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Short Term /through Tuesday/ . As of 1240 AM Tue . Moderate confidence in VFR conditions overnight. Very moist atmospheric profile with overcast (if not transparent) mid and high level clouds will linger for most of the period. Conditions remain well mixed tonight and will remain so into the morning with SW winds overnight holding at 5-10 kt, however any weakening could lead to rather rapid fog/stratus development given moist antecedent conditions. Confidence is too low to specify any period of sub-VFR conditions overnight.

Gusty SW winds veer NW as front pushes across the area overnight into Wednesday morning with precipitation and sub-VFR conditions increasing behind.

Long Term /Tue night through Sat/ . As of 4 AM Mon . Unsettled weather is expected Tue night through early Wednesday with gusty winds, scattered showers and periods of sub-VFR conditions likely. Dry weather returns second half of Wed through Thu. Increasing moisture Friday will lead to the development of rain with the potential for sub VFR ceilings and vsbys.

MARINE. Short Term /Tonight and Tuesday/ . As of 930 PM Monday . Winds have diminished to 10 to 20 kts coastal wtrs but seas remain elevated at 6 to 10 ft . no changes planned.

Prev disc . Continue the SCA's. Southerly flow 15-20 kt will continue through Tue, except for the outer central waters where the flow will be 20-25 kt with gusts to around 30 kt. Seas are very high late today, 8-12 ft, but will subside slightly overnight to 6 to 9 ft and to 5 to 8 ft Tue.

Long Term /Tuesday night through Saturday/ . As of 245 AM Mon . No changes to previous thinking with an active weather pattern expected through the end of the week which will result in hazardous boating conditions with strong winds and elevated seas AOA 6 ft through the period. Winds will shift N 15-25 kt with higher gusts behind cold front Wed into Thur with large dangerous seas continuing above 6 ft through at least Sat as yet another storm system moves through the waters Fri night and Sat.

CLIMATE. Record High temps for 12/10 Tuesday

LOCATION TEMP/YEAR New Bern 79/2007 (KEWN ASOS) Cape Hatteras 73/1986 (KHSE ASOS) Greenville 79/2007 (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS) Morehead City 73/2007 (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS) Kinston 78/2007 (COOP - Not KISO AWOS) Jacksonville 79/2007 (KNCA ASOS)

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Friday for AMZ150-152-154- 156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . RF/JME SHORT TERM . JME LONG TERM . TL/BM AVIATION . TL/MS MARINE . RF/JME/TL/BM CLIMATE . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41064 31 mi64 min SW 9.7 G 14 69°F 64°F1017.6 hPa
41159 31 mi42 min 64°F7 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 32 mi60 min SSW 11 G 12 62°F 56°F1016.7 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 34 mi64 min SW 7.8 G 12 60°F 57°F1017.3 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 34 mi32 min 57°F4 ft
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 38 mi64 min SW 9.7 G 14 66°F 65°F1017.6 hPa
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 38 mi60 min SSW 6 G 8.9 62°F 56°F1017.6 hPa
WLON7 39 mi60 min 65°F 53°F1017 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 44 mi72 min SSW 8.9 G 12 65°F 1017.8 hPa (-0.9)

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
MCAS New River, NC13 mi76 minSSW 610.00 miPartly Cloudy65°F61°F87%1017.2 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC19 mi75 minWSW 1010.00 miFair0°F0°F%1018.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNCA

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW6N4N3CalmCalmW3CalmCalmW6S3S5--S7S6S7S5S6S8SW7SW8SW7SW8S6S8
1 day agoN8N6N6N6N6N7N9NE9N8N6N10N8N8NW6NW4N7N11NE9N5N5CalmCalmNW3NW6
2 days agoCalmCalmNW3NW3N5N6NE10NE13NE15N12
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Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:19 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 05:58 AM EST     3.37 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:05 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:22 PM EST     0.13 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:05 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:59 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:15 PM EST     2.79 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.51.11.92.73.23.43.22.61.91.10.50.20.20.61.21.92.52.82.72.21.60.80.3

Tide / Current Tables for Ocean City Beach (fishing pier), North Carolina
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.