Sunrise 5:56 AM   Sunset 8:18 PM Moonrise 1:10 AM   Moonset 1:01 PM

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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 921 Pm Edt Fri May 31 2024
Overnight - E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop late. Sat - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 5 seconds and se 1 ft at 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Sat night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 3 seconds and E 2 ft at 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Sun - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 3 seconds and E 2 ft at 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Sun night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 4 seconds and E 1 ft at 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers after midnight. Mon - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 5 seconds and se 1 ft at 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Mon night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Tue - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, diminishing to flat in the afternoon. Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Wed - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Wed night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.

AMZ100 921 Pm Edt Fri May 31 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - High pressure shifts over area waters tonight, then offshore early next week with temps returning to above normal. No marine hazards are anticipated during the period.

FXUS62 KMHX 010118 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 918 PM EDT Fri May 31 2024

SYNOPSIS
Cooler and drier high pressure builds overhead through the weekend. High pressure then shifts offshore early next week with temps returning to around normal.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/
As of 915 PM Fri...No changes to previous thinking. Mid-level ridging over the eastern CONUS this evening is expected to build over the Carolinas overnight in the wake of a departing surface trough lifting further into the open Atlantic this evening. At the surface, high pressure over the Great Lakes will continue to expand over the Carolinas leading to a calm, cool and clear night. Set up is highly favorable for strong radiational cooling, and continued the trend of showing low temperatures below guidance, especially so for the Outer Banks. Given currently observed Tds in the 40s and 50s and no apparent low level moisture advection overnight, pushed forecast lows a couple degrees lower than the prior forecast with more widespread 40s inland. Only fly in the ointment is potential insulation from cirrus overhead, although right now the only areas this could potentially impact are south of Highway 70.

The forecast is close to record-breaking lows...see the CLIMATE section for details.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/
As of 425 PM Fri...Meteorological summer kicks off on a slightly warmer but equally dry note as ridge continues to build overhead and high pressure remains in place. Once again, suspect guidance is running too high on Tds and knocked these down a few degrees during the afternoon hours favoring comfortable values in the low to mid 40s. With increasing low-level heights, temperatures will warm into the low to mid 80s inland, upper 70s along the coast.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 330 AM Fri...Cool high pressure remains over the area through the weekend with below normal temperatures and low humidity expected. Then, the high will slide offshore early next week with a return to a summery pattern featuring daily scattered afternoon thunderstorms and highs near normal.

Saturday and Sunday...High pressure will shift offshore Sunday.
Another cool night expected Saturday night due to strong radiational cooling, and lows could reach the upper 50s to low 60s inland.

Monday through Thursday...High pressure will build offshore early next week allowing for a return of summer-like warmth and humidity. Increasing moisture will introduce a risk for isolated to scattered thunderstorms each afternoon with the best chances for rain (~30%) Wednesday and Thursday as weak upper level impulses move through a mostly zonal flow. Temps will return to near normal, with highs reaching the upper 80s to near 90 each day, and lows mostly in the 60s.

AVIATION /01Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Saturday/...
As of 610 PM Friday...VFR conditions with light winds are forecast to prevail across all terminals through Sat as high pressure, centered over the Ohio Valley, continues to build into the Carolinas from the northwest. Overnight, clear skies and calm winds prevail. Airmass is too dry to support widespread fog, but if some terminals decouple effectively enough could see some spotty, minimal-impact MIFG.

LONG TERM /Saturday aft through Wednesday/...
As of 330 AM Fri...Mostly VFR conditions are expected through the long term as high pressure remains in place across the region. However, strong overnight cooling this weekend could result in the formation of patchy fog...bringing the threat of sub-VFR visibilities to the terminals.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /Tonight and Saturday/...
As of 915 PM Fri...No changes to previous thinking. Benign boating conditions to develop over area waters as high pressure expands over the area from the northwest. Earlier surge in winds is beginning to diminish to 10-20 kt this evening with winds forecast to continue diminishing overnight to 10 kt or less.
Winds will become largely light and variable on Saturday as the high builds overhead. By the afternoon hours, sea breeze circulations will become the dominant driver of surface flow with south to southeasterly winds of 5-10 kt expected nearshore.

Currently observed seas of 2-3 feet will remain steady through tonight, dropping to around 2 feet for all offshore waters by Saturday (except 1-2 feet nearshore).

LONG TERM /Saturday PM through Wednesday/...
As of 330 AM Fri...Good boating conditions expected through the weekend and into early next week with high pressure overhead.

Return flow develops Sunday with winds becoming SSW at 10-15 kts. Winds then briefly strengthen to 15-20 kts Sunday night before returning to SW 10-15 kts Monday. Winds become southerly at 5-10 kts on Tuesday. Seas will be mostly 2-3 ft through the period.

CLIMATE
Record Low temps for June 1, Saturday.

LOCATION TEMP/YEAR New Bern 48/1966 (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras 50/1966 (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville 45/1930 (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City 48/1984 (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS)
Kinston 42/1984 (COOP - Not KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville 50/1966 (NCA ASOS)

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

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New River Inlet
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Fri -- 02:10 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:29 AM EDT     3.00 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:46 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:01 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:09 PM EDT     3.17 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:27 PM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

New River Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet

Bogue Inlet
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Fri -- 02:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:26 AM EDT     2.22 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:44 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:00 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:06 PM EDT     2.35 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:25 PM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bogue Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet

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