Sunrise 6:33 AM   Sunset 7:45 PM Moonrise 1:07 PM   Moonset 2:42 AM

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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 938 Pm Edt Wed Apr 17 2024
Overnight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Wave detail: sw 3 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 9 seconds.Thu - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 9 seconds. Thu night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 9 seconds. Fri - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 5 seconds and se 2 ft at 9 seconds. Fri night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 8 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms. Sat - SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 5 seconds and se 2 ft at 8 seconds. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Sat night - SE winds 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers. Sun - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon. Sun night - NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Showers likely. Mon - NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Showers likely, mainly in the morning. Mon night - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ200 938 Pm Edt Wed Apr 17 2024
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles - High pressure offshore in the atlantic waters over the next several days, will produce an extended period of generally southwesterly wind. Variable wind directions for start of the weekend before a cold front moves across by early Sunday.

FXUS62 KILM 180143 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 943 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

SYNOPSIS
Above normal temperatures will continue through Friday. A few light showers are possible overnight, but more substantial rain chances arrive on Friday as a cold front moves across the area.
The front stalls in the area for the weekend, maintaining elevated rain chances.

UPDATE
Overall, going forecast is in good shape tonight. The one adjustment made was to reduce the chance of rain to 10 percent overnight as the little shower activity that was present has weakened.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/
A steady stream of mid and high level moisture will continue across the area through Thursday morning. A bit of a consensus warrants some slight chance pops in and around 0600 UTC overnight otherwise it should be dry. Clouds may not be a prevalent or as thick Thursday when compared to today so high temperatures should reach the middle to perhaps even upper 80s.
Lows tonight should be in the lower to middle 60s.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
Brief post-frontal high pressure on Thursday night will slide offshore on Friday. A cold front approaches the area on Friday with increasing moisture.

Warm ahead of the front with highs in the upper 80s to near 90.
Marginal instability could produce showers and isolated thunderstorms, but dry air in the low levels should limit coverage. A storms could produce breezy outflow, but severe weather is not anticipated.

Diurnal convection comes to an end by Friday evening. The front will crawl eastward overnight keeping overnight lows mild: low to mid 60s expected.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Crawling front stalls near or just offshore on Saturday.
Showers near the coast on Saturday will develop near the frontal boundary and should remain light. Developing low on Sunday will see showers spread inland, becoming intense Sunday evening as a shortwave out of the SW bolsters the existing energy. The combination of rain and northerly flow from high pressure to our north will keep temperatures well below normal. A period of heavy rain is possible Sunday night into early Monday as the low intensifies.

A secondary shortwave will moves across the region late Monday into Tuesday. The surface boundary will still be in place and this impulse is expected to spark the development of a second low pressure system. This fast-moving low will bring a brief period of rain as dry air works into the deepening low.

Brief high pressure on Tuesday will precede another potential cold front on Wednesday. High temperatures just below climo on Tuesday will warm ahead of the approaching system for Wednesday.

AVIATION /02Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Despite mid and high clouds, VFR conditions are expected through the valid TAF period. Have removed MVFR BR from terminals as it seems unlikely given mid and high clouds present overnight at winds aoa 5 KT. Gusty S to SW winds will diminish overnight and become more westerly by daybreak. W to SW winds of 5 to 10 KT are expected after sunrise Thursday.

Extended Outlook... VFR is expected through the period.

MARINE
Through Thursday... A somewhat modest southwest flow basically ten knots or less will increase slightly overnight to at best 15 knots or so for a few hours. With essentially a summer like pattern in place (Bermuda High Pressure) speeds drop back once again to around ten knots later Thursday. Significant seas will be 2-3 feet with perhaps a few four footers.

Thursday Night through Monday... Light southerly flow continues through the remainder of the week before variable low pressure and a weak cold front bring variable winds on Saturday. As the cold front shifts offshore late Saturday into Sunday and low pressure develops along the front, winds increase to 15-20 knots. Deepening low Sunday night into Monday could see winds increase further with seas building to around 6 feet, mainly in the NC waters.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.

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Bannermans Branch
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Wed -- 03:42 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:43 AM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:37 AM EDT     1.28 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:38 PM EDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bannermans Branch, Northeast River, North Carolina, Tide feet

New Topsail Inlet
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Wed -- 03:41 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:52 AM EDT     2.76 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:50 AM EDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:16 PM EDT     2.58 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:01 PM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

New Topsail Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet

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