Sunrise 6:01 AM   Sunset 8:11 PM Moonrise 4:39 PM   Moonset 3:13 AM

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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 913 Am Edt Mon May 20 2024
Rest of today - NE winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 7 seconds and S 1 ft at 5 seconds. Tonight - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 7 seconds and S 1 ft at 6 seconds. Tue - NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 7 seconds and se 1 ft at 10 seconds. Tue night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 7 seconds and se 1 ft at 10 seconds. Wed - NE winds 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 8 seconds and se 1 ft at 10 seconds. Wed night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 9 seconds. Thu - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Thu night - SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fri - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fri night - SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ200 913 Am Edt Mon May 20 2024
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles - High pressure to the north will shift offshore mid week with a cold front approaching late week.

FXUS62 KILM 201728 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 128 PM EDT Mon May 20 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure maintains dry conditions through the first half of the work week. Temperatures warm through mid week with rain chances not returning until late Thursday into the weekend.

UPDATE
High pressure nosing southeastward across the inland Carolinas is resulting in northeast flow and slightly below normal temps for today. Have adjusted the sky forecast to account for a swath of stratus across northeast SC this morning, which is in the process of scattering out as it makes its way to the southwest.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Dry high pressure will maintain control as it ridges southward into the area. This will bring lower than normal temps into southeast NC and northeast SC with highs today close to 80 most locales and lows tonight mainly in the mid to upper 50s. Some low-level moisture advecting into the area and trapped beneath the nocturnal inversion this morning and again tonight will likely yield some low clouds/fog. Think the better chance of fog will be tonight though given lighter low-level winds.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Shortwave ridging aloft aligns itself across the east coast through the period with persistent surface high pressure. This will lead to dry conditions through the short term period with a warming trend.
Some sources of forecast uncertainty could be cloudiness and lows Tuesday night as the center of the high looks to nudge NE. This could allow flow around the high to bring in stratus overnight, which would inhibit radiational cooling despite calm winds. Still lowered temps in our colder spots slightly. Otherwise, light onshore flow becoming more SW by the end of the period. Highs warm from the lower 80s to near 90; Lows near 60 warming into the mid 60s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
High pressure moves offshore ahead of a shortwave Thurs night.
Forcing clips the northern part of the area with low rain chances. A cold front will then approach through the end of the week. The temperature forecast is a bit difficult as it will depend on how far south this front pushes. Current trends show that it will stick north of the area, so have risen temps slightly from previous forecast. Spotty forcing aloft paired with enhanced moisture will support increased shower/storm chances through the end of the period.

AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Surface high pressure oriented NW-SW across the NC Piedmont and upstate of SC will result in enhanced NE flow across the area the remainder of the day. The gradient will gradually weaken through the evening, and the high will shift eastward very slowly. Therefore winds will ease up overnight, however a NE or ENE trajectory will persist through the TAF period. Clouds will vary between broken and scattered through early evening before clearing out, but will remain VFR.

Extended Outlook...VFR will dominate but early morning vis/cig restrictions possible each day. Also, showers/storms also possible starting Thu night.

MARINE
Through Tonight...High pressure to the north will maintain gusty northeast winds into this evening before some improvement overnight.
Seas will also be elevated up to 5 ft, mainly due to wind waves but also some mixed swells, but overall conditions should stay below Small Craft Advisory levels.

Tuesday through Friday Night...Sub-SCA conditions under predominant high pressure with increasing rain chances Thurs night. Onshore flow AOB 10 kts becomes more SW 10-15 kts by Thurs. Seas 2-3 ft becoming more 2 ft by Wed. Swells SE at 9-10 sec with a decreasing NE swell 7- 9 sec.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ108.
SC...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for SCZ056.
MARINE...None.

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Bannermans Branch
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Mon -- 02:10 AM EDT     1.40 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:13 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:51 AM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:20 PM EDT     1.23 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:02 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bannermans Branch, Northeast River, North Carolina, Tide feet

New Topsail Inlet
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Mon -- 12:58 AM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:12 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:17 AM EDT     2.71 feet High Tide
Mon -- 12:50 PM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:37 PM EDT     3.30 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

New Topsail Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet

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