Thursday, February20, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Swansboro, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 5:58PM Thursday February 20, 2020 12:49 PM EST (17:49 UTC) Moonrise 5:06AMMoonset 3:14PM Illumination 9% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 1117 Am Est Thu Feb 20 2020
.gale warning in effect through Friday evening...
Rest of today..NE winds 25 to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft, except 3 to 5 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough. Rain.
Tonight..N winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 50 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft, except 4 to 6 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough. Rain.
Fri..N winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft, except 4 to 6 ft near shore. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough. A chance of rain or snow in the morning, then a slight chance of rain and snow in the afternoon.
Fri night..N winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft, subsiding to 5 to 8 ft after midnight. NEar shore, seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 11 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy after midnight.
Sat..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming s. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy. Showers likely.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Swansboro, NC
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location: 34.59, -77.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 201123 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 623 AM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure will develop to the southeast today then deepen and lift northeast well offshore tonight and Friday. Cold high pressure will rebuild over the area for the weekend, before another area of low pressure impacts the area early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 300 AM Thurs . Stalled front remains to the south early this morning with widespread clouds over the area. This front will strengthen as weak shortwave energy moves around a broad upper trough this morning, leading to an increase in shower activity, first off the southern NC coast, and then pushing northward over most of Eastern NC through the morning hours. Temps will remain in the low to mid 40s, and may reach the low 50s along the coast before precip moves in. However, dew points will remain in the 30s, which will allow for some evaporative cooling effects to take hold once moderate rain begins in the early afternoon, which will drop temps back into the upper 30s to low 40s.

At the same time, CAA will strengthen as the gradient increases between cold high pressure pinching down from the north, and a developing low pressure off the South Carolina coast. This will further decrease temperatures into the 30s by late this afternoon, with rain changing to snow as soon as 4 or 5 pm across the NW coastal plain. At first little to no accumulations are expected, as temps remain above freezing until early evening.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/. As of 320 AM Thurs . Winter Storm Warnings are now in effect for much of the area, with Winter Weather Advisories continuing for the rest of Eastern NC except for Hatteras and Ocracoke Islands, as confidence has increased on a more widespread moderate snow event with snow totals of 4-6 inches expected generally north of the Neuse River and then spreading east to the Alligator River. With some mesoscale banding expected to develop in this area, locally heavier snow amounts of 6-10 inches are possible. Further to the south and east, initially warm temps both aloft and at the surface will limit snow totals as the changeover to snow will be delayed until 10 pm or midnight (There could be a few hour period of sleet along and south of US 70 early tonight). Still amounts of 1-2 inches are expected with some locally higher amounts of 2-4 inches possible.

Snow will be heaviest from midnight to 6 am across the northern half of the area, and then heaviest from 6 to 9 am across the southern and eastern NC coasts. Precip looks to linger a bit longer as well, with chances for rain/snow through mid morning. Whiteout conditions will be possible along and near the coast as winds gust to 30-40 mph, and could be enough to cause isolated power outages with heavy, sticky, snow clinging to trees and power lines.

On a different note, rain will be moderate to heavy at times before the changeover along the coast, with 1 to 2 inches expected, which could lead to some minor flooding issues in poor drainage areas.

Behind this system Friday skies will clear from west to east, but strong winds will continue. Strong CAA and snow cover will limit surface heating, and temperatures will struggle to reach past the upper 30s, with wind chills in the 20s all day.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 245 AM Thu . High pres will build in Fri night thru the weekend with dry weather. With expected snow pack and clear skies Fri night expect very cold temps with cooler inland areas dropping to around 20. Beaches will be a bit milder with upr 20s to lower 30s. Temps remain cold Sat with highs in the 40s to around 50 with plentiful sunshine. Temps moderate on Sunday as the high builds overhead and hgts aloft increase. Highs shld reach upr 50s to lower 60s most spots.

Mon through Wednesday . Looks mild and unsettled this period as a cold front approaches Mon and slowly pushes thru Tue and Tue night before dissipating. Plenty of moisture will spread N in advance of the front with likely pops Mon/Mon night and chc Tue. May see bit of break in shra Wed but kept low chc pops in with dissipating front just off the coast. Highs Mon will be mainly in the lower 60s with mid/upr 60s Tue and Wed.

AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 615 AM Thu . VFR conditions will cont through most of the morn with cigs grad lowering to 3 to 4 thsd feet. Conditions go downhill this afternoon with rain developing and cigs lowering thru MVFR to IFR late. Rain will mix with and grad change to snow inland late today into the evening with cont IFR or worse with vsbys really dropping. Thru the night the rain/snow to all snow transition will push toward the coast with IFR expected and vsbys at times 1 mile or less. NNE winds will be gusty late morn thru the tonight as low pres develops off the cst.

Long Term /Fri Through Monday/ . As of 1215 AM Thu . Bulk of precip will be east of taf sites by 12Z Fri with ceilings grad improving to VFR. N winds will remain gusty Fri. VFR conditions expected to prevail through the weekend as high pres builds across. Shra threat increases Mon ahead of approaching cold front with sub VFR poss.

MARINE. Short Term /Today and tonight/ . As of 245 AM Thu . Dangerous boating expected as strong NNE winds develop today and cont tonight as low pres develops and deepens well to the SE. Cont Gale Warning for all but Pamlico River where have SCA. Winds will increase to 25 to 35 kt later today then increase further to 30 to 40 kts most wtrs tonight with some gusts close to 50 kts warmer outer wtrs. These winds will lead to seas reaching 6 to 9 feet late today and 9 to 14 ft tonight.

Long Term /Fri through Mon/ . As of 245 AM Thu . Strong winds cont first half of Fri with cont Gales . Winds will slowly begin to decrease later Fri as the low moves further offshore, however seas of 10 to 15 ft expected thru the day. Winds will cont to grad subside Fri night reaching 10 to 20 kts late with seas only slowly subsiding to 6 to 9 ft. Winds become light Sat as the high builds close with seas subsiding to 4 to 6 ft late. Light winds cont Sunday with the high overhead . seas finally drop below SCA lvls Sun at 3 to 5 ft. The high moves off the coast Mon with front approaching from the W. SSW winds will increase to 15 to 20 kts later Mon with seas building back to 4 to 6 ft.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 245 AM Thu . NNE gale force winds are expected late today into Friday, as an area of low pressure lifts east to northeastward well off the Carolina coast. These strong winds will lead to minor soundside water level rises for areas adjacent to the Southern Pamlico Sound, mainly Eastern Carteret and areas along the lower Neuse River, as well as Ocracoke and Hatteras Island south of Buxton. Minor inundation 1-2 ft (agl) are expected, and a Coastal Flood Advisory conts for these areas. A High Surf Advisory was issued for the OBX from Cape Hatteras North this evening thru late Fri night for 8 ft+ waves in surf zone.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Winter Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Friday for NCZ195-196-199-203. Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Friday for NCZ090-198. Winter Storm Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST Friday for NCZ029-044-045-079-080-091-193. Wind Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Friday for NCZ196-203>205. Coastal Flood Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Friday for NCZ194-196-204-205. Winter Storm Warning from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Friday for NCZ046-047-081-092-094-194. High Surf Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Saturday for NCZ203-205. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 5 PM EST Friday for AMZ136. Gale Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Friday for AMZ137. Gale Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 5 PM EST Friday for AMZ135. Gale Warning from midnight tonight to 5 PM EST Friday for AMZ131-230-231. Gale Warning from 7 PM this evening to 5 PM EST Friday for AMZ150. Gale Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Friday for AMZ152-154-156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . SGK SHORT TERM . SGK LONG TERM . RF/CB AVIATION . RF MARINE . RF TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41064 30 mi41 min ENE 29 G 41 49°F 59°F1023.3 hPa
41159 30 mi49 min 59°F8 ft
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 30 mi55 min N 16 G 18 43°F 54°F1025.8 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 37 mi49 min NNE 21 G 25 45°F 1025.4 hPa (-1.6)45°F
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 40 mi55 min NNE 23 G 27 42°F 54°F1024.5 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 41 mi41 min NNE 25 G 33 43°F 55°F1024.2 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 41 mi39 min 55°F6 ft
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 42 mi41 min NE 27 G 35 47°F 62°F1026.5 hPa
WLON7 46 mi55 min 42°F 53°F1025.2 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC12 mi52 minNNE 12 G 19 miRain43°F37°F82%1026.4 hPa
MCAS New River, NC14 mi53 minNNE 115.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist42°F37°F85%1026.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNJM

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
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1 day ago4N3N3CalmCalmS3W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3W4W7NW3NW7NW5NW6N8NE17
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2 days ago--N7NE8NE9NE7NE6NE3NE6NE4--NE5NE5NE6N3NE3N3N4N4--N4CalmCalmCalm4

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:06 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:31 AM EST     3.01 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:49 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:50 AM EST     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:14 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 05:46 PM EST     2.47 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:56 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 11:44 PM EST     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.61.322.6332.621.30.60.100.20.71.422.42.52.21.710.4-0

Tide / Current Tables for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
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Bogue Inlet
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:05 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:28 AM EST     2.23 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:48 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:48 AM EST     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:13 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 05:43 PM EST     1.83 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:55 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 11:42 PM EST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.511.522.22.21.91.50.90.40.100.20.611.51.81.81.61.20.70.2-0.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.