Tuesday, February25, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Cedar Point, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:40AMSunset 6:00PM Tuesday February 25, 2020 3:04 AM EST (08:04 UTC) Moonrise 8:03AMMoonset 7:56PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 1010 Pm Est Mon Feb 24 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from 5 am est Tuesday through Thursday morning...
Overnight..S winds around 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft. NEar shore, seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of rain late this evening, then showers.
Tue..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft, except 4 to 6 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Tue night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft, except 4 to 5 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Wed night..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers, mainly in the evening.
Thu..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Thu night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cedar Point, NC
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location: 34.67, -77.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 250335 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1035 PM EST Mon Feb 24 2020

SYNOPSIS. A low pressure system will affect the area through midweek. A strong cold front will push through Wednesday night, and high pressure will build over the area late week into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/. As of 1030 PM Mon . A warm front sitting just off the coast and moving northwestward will be the main focus for weather overnight. Southeasterly winds and increasing temperatures along the southern portions of the outer banks will continue to overspread the forecast area from southeast to northwest overnight and into early Tuesday morning. This has led to a non diurnal temperature curve with temperatures increasing prior to sunrise and continuing the rise thereafter with overnight lows already or shortly achieved across southeastern portions of the forecast area. Looking at current radar, expect a lull in precipitation for the next couple of hours before another round of stead rainfall moves into the area from South Carolina.

SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. As of 230 PM Mon . Shower activity will continue through late Tuesday morning as the low continues to propagate NEwrd into the Ohio River Valley. POPs will begin tapering off after about 15Z as rain pushes offshore, though a few scattered light showers cannot be ruled out for the afternoon. With the cold front still lagging behind, SW winds will provide ample WAA to bring widespread highs in the upper 60s, nearing the 70 degree mark.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 3 AM Mon . A wet and mild pattern is expected through midweek as a strong low pressure moves from the Ohio Valley into the Great Lakes and a series of weak fronts cross the area. High pressure will bring cooler and drier air late week into the weekend.

Tuesday night through Wednesday Night . Shower chances increase again Tue night into Wed, though more scattered in nature. The front will push through the area Wed night into early Thursday. With the strong warm advection regime, above normal high temperatures are expected Wednesday with highs into the lower 70s over many areas Wednesday.

Thursday through Sunday . A broad upper level trough will persist across the eastern United States for the end of the week into the weekend as surface high pressure builds in from the north and west. This will lead to a period of below normal temperatures and mostly dry weather. Reinforcing cold fronts will push through this weekend. Very little moisture with the fronts and associated shortwave energy, but given the strong forcing it could be enough to generate very light precip and given the thermal profiles could support light rain and/or snow showers. High temperatures Thursday and Friday, in the upper 40s to low 50s, then Saturday and Sunday 45-50 deg. Overnight lows in the upper 20s to low 30s inland and low to mid 30s along the beaches.

AVIATION /04Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Short Term /through 00Z Wed/ . As of 745 PM Monday . IFR ceilings already moving into KOAJ this hour with some MVFR hints at ISO and PGV already as well. Expect conditions to continue to deteriorate with ceilings the primary driver of flight conditions tonight as a warm front approaches from the south. Sub-VFR visibilities are also a good possibility as mainly light rain continues to fall over the area. Expect sub-VFR conditions to continue through sunrise before gradually improving after 15z. Winds will pick up a little and turn to southwesterly, which will also help to alleviate any patches of fog/low ceilings that remain on Tuesday morning with VFR returning for the remainder of the TAF period.

Long Term /Tuesday night through Friday/ . As of 3 AM Mon . Unsettled weather will continue through Wednesday evening, with periods of sub-VFR conditions likely. Showers become more scattered Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday. Dry weather and VFR conditions are expected to return for Thursday and Friday.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tuesday Night/ . As of 1030 PM Mon . A warm front will push onshore tonight from the southeast and winds have already increased off the coast in response to that frontal passage with 10-15 kts being observed in some locations. Winds will begin veering toward the SW and ramp up through the day on Tuesday, increasing to 15 to 20 knots, with gusts up to 25 knots along the southern and central waters. Seas will build from 2 to 3 feet tonight to 4 to 6 feet Tuesday morning and up to 5 to 7 feet by Tuesday afternoon. SCA was issued beginning 10Z Tuesday and will continue into the long term period.

Long Term /Tuesday night through Friday/ . As of 3 AM Mon . Seas forecast to drop below 6 ft briefly Wed morning but building back to 6 ft+ Wed afternoon as winds pick back up, so will continue SCA into Thu. The cold front will push through the waters Wed night into early Thu, with winds becoming W 15-25 kt. Seas 4-8 ft Thu morning expected to subside below 6 ft by evening. Moderate W/WNW winds 10-20 kt will continue Thu night into Fri with seas 3-5 ft.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM Tuesday to 4 PM EST Thursday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM Tuesday to 11 AM EST Thursday for AMZ156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . RTE/ML SHORT TERM . RF/ML LONG TERM . CTC/CQD AVIATION . RTE/CQD MARINE . RTE/ML/CQD


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi52 min S 1.9 G 2.9 55°F 52°F1015 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 30 mi64 min SE 5.1 G 5.1 55°F 1015.3 hPa (-1.4)55°F
41159 32 mi34 min 63°F4 ft
41064 33 mi56 min SW 3.9 G 7.8 61°F 64°F1014.5 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi56 min E 3.9 G 5.8 61°F1012.6 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi56 min SSE 3.9 G 5.8 56°F 54°F1014 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 49 mi24 min 54°F3 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi46 min ENE 1.9 G 2.9 1013 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC3 mi67 minSSW 5 miLight Rain57°F55°F93%1015.5 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC17 mi2.2 hrsS 66.00 miRain Fog/Mist57°F54°F90%1015.8 hPa
MCAS New River, NC19 mi68 minSSE 31.00 miLight Rain55°F54°F96%1014.8 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC23 mi66 minS 56.00 miRain Fog/Mist57°F57°F100%1015.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNKT

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmS3CalmSE3CalmSW5NE7S5SE3SE3SE4SE6E4CalmCalmSE8SE8S9S6S5S6S7S5
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3S4CalmSE3S5S9S9S7S4S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoN7N6N3N7N6N7N6NE5654N33CalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
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Bogue Inlet
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:30 AM EST     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:43 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:02 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:43 AM EST     2.24 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:54 PM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:00 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:56 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 09:00 PM EST     2.14 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.2-0.1-0.10.20.71.31.82.22.221.610.50.1-00.10.51.11.622.121.6

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:32 AM EST     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:43 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:03 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:46 AM EST     3.02 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:56 PM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:01 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:57 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 09:03 PM EST     2.88 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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10.4-0-0.10.311.82.52.932.72.11.40.70.1-00.20.71.42.22.72.92.72.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.