Sunday, August25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pine Knoll Shores, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 7:45PM Sunday August 25, 2019 8:44 PM EDT (00:44 UTC) Moonrise 12:15AMMoonset 2:53PM Illumination 21% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 756 Pm Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Monday evening...
Tonight..NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 5 to 8 ft, except 3 to 5 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy late. Scattered showers early this evening, then isolated showers late this evening and overnight.
Mon..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft, except 3 to 5 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. Isolated showers.
Mon night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, diminishing to 3 to 5 ft late, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Isolated showers.
Tue..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
Tue night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. A slight chance of showers.
Wed..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers.
Fri..E winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pine Knoll Shores, NC
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location: 34.69, -76.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 260018
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
818 pm edt Sun aug 25 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will remain stalled offshore into Monday. Low
pressure will lift northeast well offshore of the southeast
coast early this week. Another cold front will move through
Wednesday night or Thursday.

Near term until 6 am Monday morning
As of 730 pm sun... No major changes with the early evening
update. Chance pops were confined a bit closer to the coast, as
moisture is too shallow limited to allow for anything beyond a
couple of sprinkles elsewhere based on the 00z kmhx sounding.

Previous discussion... High pressure to the north will continue
to wedge into the area with sfc front and low pres well
offshore. Drier air continues to filter in, with td's falling
into the 50s coastal plains locales. This will prohibit any more
showers for these areas. A few iso showers may continue to
graze the coastal counties overnight as cyclonic flow around
offshore low continues, though these won't amount to much in way
of accums. With the drier air filtering in, low temps will cool
down into the low 60s interior, though remain warm in the low
70s at the beaches where breezy NE breezes continue.

Short term 6 am Monday morning through 6 pm Monday
As of 345 pm sun... Another coolish day on Monday as NE flow
continues between high to the NW and low pres well offshore.

Temps should be a couple degrees warmer as thicknesses rise more
and perhaps some more breaks in the ovc skies expected. Only a
few iso sct showers possible across mainly ERN zones in closer
proximity to the low offshore, though very little if any
measurable amounts expected. Highs in the low mid 80s.

Long term Monday night through Sunday
As of 335 pm sun... Eastern nc will remain in a weakly zonal
flow between subtropical upper ridges over the SW CONUS and
bermuda through tue, while at the surface a possible tropical
cyclone tracks northeast and offshore with minimal affects
expected over land. Mid week, amplification of the flow into an
upper trough will allow a cold front to push into our region
late Wed then stall just south Thu where it will dissipate
through fri. Upper ridging from the atlantic is forecast to
extend back over the area next weekend with a weakening cold
front possibly penetrating the ridge late in the weekend.

Minimal shower chances expected through early wed, then better
coverage of showers and thunderstorms are expected late Wed into
thu with the frontal passage. Will keep 20-30% pops fri-sun for
mainly diurnal showers and storms aided by weak frontal
boundaries near the area.

Tuesday... Only minimal (20%) chance for showers as low level ne
flow associated with high pressure prevails across the area
with the potential tropical cyclone expected to remain offshore.

Any cyclone related impacts will be water related in the form
of rough surf and strong rip currents.

Highs will be in the low to mid 80s.

Wednesday through Sunday... The aforementioned front begins to
affect the area late Wed into Thu with better coverage of
showers and thunderstorms expected. Temps should warm a bit
into the mid to upper 80s wed-thu as southerly flow briefly
develops ahead of the front. The front is forecast to stall and
dissipate near along the coast Fri into Sat with another weak
front possibly moving in Sunday. Therefore will need to keep low
end chance pops fri-sun for mainly afternoon evening activity.

Highs will mostly in the low to mid 80s and lows in the mid upr
60s interior to low 70s coast.

Aviation 00z Monday through Friday
Short term through Mon ...

as of 730 pm sun...VFR conditions continue into the overnight
hours. Persistent northeast winds and falling dew points will
preclude any fog threat overnight, but increasing subsidence
aloft trap the lingering moisture in the boundary layer, and low
stratus is expected to develop across the area overnight. MVFR
ceilings are expected to prevail, but ifr cannot be ruled out
for locations closer to waterway (low level moisture sources).

Vfr conditions and gusty northeast winds ensue within a couple
of hours after sunrise Monday.

Long term Monday night through Friday ...

as of 335 pm sun... The best chance for showers and
thunderstorms will be late Wed into Thu as a cold front moves
through the area. Otherwise, the best chance for brief subVFR
conditions will early each morning in fog stratus and briefly in
scattered showers storms Tue and Fri afternoons and evenings.

Marine
Short term through Mon ...

as of 345 pm sun... Solid SCA conditions observed across the
marine domain as high pres ridges into the carolinas from the
north and low pres gathers well offshore producing the tightened
gradient. Seas have responded by building to 6-9 ft most areas.

The winds and seas should peak this evening, and remain in the
20-30 kt range before diminishing late, where SCA conditions
should expire for the sounds and rivers. The large seas will
continue through Mon as the gradient remains with NE winds
sustained 15-20 kt. Continued to fcst based on ec waves as wwiv
and hence nwps are too low with wave heights.

Long term Monday night through Friday ...

as of 335 pm sun... Ne flow around 15 kt is expected through tue
night. Residual 5-6 ft over the outer northern and central
waters are forecast to linger through Tue evening before
subsiding. Light SW flow around 10 kt is forecast to develop
late Wed and Wed night then shift to N NE Thu as a weak cold
front crosses the waters. NE E flow around 10 kt is forecast
fri. Seas 3-5 ft wed, then becoming 2-3 ft Thursday and fri.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 345 pm sun... Dangerous surf conditions expected to
continue through mon, with strong rip currents and dangerous
shore break. A high risk of rip currents continues north of cape
hatteras, with a moderate risk from CAPE hatteras to cape
lookout.

Minor water level rises will be possible for low lying areas
adjacent to the southern pamlico sound and neuse rivers
(including areas from downeast carteret, west towards cherry
point and oriental) through tonight, given the persistent
strong NE winds. Rises up to 1 ft above ground (1.5 ft above
normal).

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement through Monday evening for ncz203-205.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 2 am edt Monday for amz131-137-230-
231.

Small craft advisory until 11 am edt Monday for amz135.

Small craft advisory until 2 am edt Wednesday for amz150-152-
154.

Small craft advisory until 10 pm edt Monday for amz156-158.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Tl cb
short term... Tl
long term... Jme
aviation... Jme tl cb
marine... Jme tl
tides coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 7 mi75 min NNE 14 G 19 77°F 82°F1017 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 15 mi45 min NNE 23 G 27 77°F 1016.2 hPa (+0.7)67°F
41064 34 mi97 min NE 21 G 29 79°F 83°F1015.4 hPa
41159 34 mi45 min 83°F7 ft

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC8 mi1.8 hrsNNE 1110.00 miOvercast77°F68°F74%1016 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC12 mi51 minNNE 1610.00 miOvercast77°F64°F66%1016.6 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC13 mi48 minNNE 1010.00 miOvercast77°F64°F66%1017.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMRH

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSW12
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SW11W10W7NW11NW7NW10NW11N7N5N4N7N10N8NE7NE10N10NE6N9NE7N13N11NE9NE12
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2 days agoSW12SW14SW13SW15SW15SW11
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Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:15 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:17 AM EDT     1.18 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:38 AM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:52 PM EDT     1.50 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:43 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.40.60.91.11.21.210.80.60.40.30.30.40.611.21.41.51.41.210.70.5

Tide / Current Tables for Fort Macon, USCG Station, North Carolina
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Fort Macon
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:15 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:14 AM EDT     2.92 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:12 AM EDT     0.65 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:49 PM EDT     3.70 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:42 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:27 PM EDT     0.73 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.72.32.72.92.82.51.91.40.90.70.81.21.82.53.23.63.73.532.31.61.10.80.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.