Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Atlantic Beach town, NC

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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC

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FXUS62 KMHX 211101 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 601 AM EST Tue Jan 21 2020

SYNOPSIS. Cold high pressure will prevail across the region for most of the week. Low pressure and its associated cold front will impact the area late Friday into Saturday. High pressure returns Saturday night.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 600 AM Tuesday . Arctic high pressure will continue to build over the area from the west today, while an upper low pushes through the Carolinas aiding in sfc cyclogenesis well to the southeast off the coast of FL. Associated weak coastal trough will push west towards the NC coast, which could trigger some sprinkles/flurries along the coast, especially the Outer Banks but not expecting any impacts. Wind chill values will be in the teens for most locations this morning. The gradient will tighten between the high and low, with northerly winds increasing through the day, strongest along the coast. Will continue the Wind Advisory for the Outer Banks and have added Eastern Carteret county, for wind gusts to 45 mph which will develop late this afternoon and continue through tonight. Sky condition will range from mostly clear west to partly to mostly cloudy east. Low level thickness values and northerly flow support temps well below normal, with highs again in the upper 30s to low 40s. Gusty northerly winds combined with the cold temperatures, will keep wind chill values in the 20s to low 30s.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY/. As of 230 AM Tuesday . It will be cold throughout Eastern NC tonight and windy along the coast as the gradient remains tight between high pressure inland and developing low pressure northeast of the Bahamas. Wind Advisories will continue for Eastern Carteret and the Outer Banks. Precipitation with this system is expected to remain just offshore with only a stray sprinkle or flurry possible along the immediate coast. Lows will be in the mid to upper 20s inland and mid to upper 30s beaches. The combination of wind and cold temperatures will result in Wind Chill values in the teens across most inland locations early Wednesday.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 300 AM Tue . Moderating temps and dry weather through midweek, with the next storm system arriving Friday into Saturday. Settled and seasonable weather returns late weekend through early next week.

Wednesday and Thursday . Ridging builds aloft as stacked low pressure well off the Southeast coast continues to move further out to sea. Broad surface high pressure builds over the Mid- Atlantic and Northeast, with ridging stretching across central NC. Strong mid-level ridging will ensure a dry forecast. Northeast winds will moderate as the low slides toward the central North Atlantic, with the weakening CAA allowing temps to climb to within around 5 degrees of normal Wednesday and then near normal on Thursday.

Friday and Saturday . Stacked low pressure will slide across the Midwest and Northeast late in the week, dragging a cold front across the area on Saturday. While more recent model runs have backed off on the amount of deep pre-frontal moisture given the lack of strong high offshore, this will be compensated for by added lift from a wave of low pressure developing in the front and moving over or just north of the area Friday night. Thus, feel reasonably confident in most of the area receiving rainfall, and have increased POPs to likely Friday night into Saturday. Showers should be mostly light to moderate, and the threat for thunder has decreased given the lack of strong pre-frontal low level WAA. The cold front will push offshore by Saturday night, with much drier conditions ensuing as post- frontal WNW/downsloping flow develops.

Sunday through Monday . Deep layer subsidence will keep a dry forecast in place late in the weekend into early next week. High pressure building in from the southwest will generally be mild, and near normal temps are expected.

AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 600 AM Tuesday . VFR conditions expected will continue at all TAF sites through the period. High pressure will prevail with only high based cloud ceilings expected. Main aviation concern will be the continuation of gusty north winds today and tonight. Wind gusts to 20 knots or greater will be possible at times, especially this afternoon and evening. A dry and well mixed airmass will preclude any potential for fog through tonight.

Long Term /Wednesday through Saturday/ . As of 3 AM Tue . VFR conditions prevail into Friday, with the only significant cloud coverage being cirrus. Ceiling and visibility restrictions are possible later Friday through Saturday as a cold front and embedded low impact the area.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 600 AM Tuesday . Gale Warnings have been posted for the Sounds and coastal waters, with SCA's in effect for the inland rivers for strong northerly winds through tonight. Gusty north winds continue early this morning 20-30 kt with gusts to 35 kt over the outer waters. Winds will increase to Gale Force this afternoon and continue tonight with gusts to 45 kt expected. Seas currently are 5-8 ft near shore and 7-11 ft outer waters this morning and will continue to build to 8-12 all waters late today through tonight.

Long Term /Wednesday through Saturday/ . As of 3 AM Tue . North to northeast winds gradually diminish beginning Wednesday through Thursday as low pressure moves further off the Southeast coast and ridging persists inland. Winds become breezy from the SW Friday and Saturday ahead of an approaching cold front, which will cross the waters Saturday night.

Seas gradually subside from 6-12 ft Wednesday morning to around 4 to 7 ft Thursday, where they remain into Friday before increasing again in increasing S windswell, reaching 6-10 ft late Friday into Saturday.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 3 AM Tue . North to northeast gales persisting into Wednesday morning could cause minor water level rises across the southern Pamlico Sound from Ocracoke Island to the Lower Neuse River, with inundation of around 1 ft or less possible for very low lying areas mainly Downeast Carteret County. Additionally, low pressure moving from off the Southeast coast toward the central Atlantic could result in elevated tide levels on the ocean and near inlets mid- week into the weekend.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Wind Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Wednesday for NCZ196-203>205. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 11 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ136-137. Gale Warning until 10 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ135. Gale Warning from 10 AM this morning to 7 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ131-230-231. Gale Warning until noon EST Wednesday for AMZ152-154-156-158. Gale Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . JME SHORT TERM . JME LONG TERM . BM/CB AVIATION . JME/CB MARINE . JME/CB TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . MHX

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC	3 mi	63 min	N 16 G 21	34°F	50°F		1026.8 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC	12 mi	45 min	N 22 G 28	35°F			1026.5 hPa (+0.0)	29°F
41159	36 mi	45 min			61°F	7 ft
41064	37 mi	97 min	NE 23 G 33	40°F	61°F		1025.4 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC

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8 PM

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Last 24hr

N13 G19

N15 G22

N12 G17

N11 G17

N9 G13

N11 G17

N11 G17

N10 G18

N9

N9 G12

NE5

N8

N6 G10

NE5

N15

N15 G21

N14 G19

N13 G17

N15 G19

N13 G17

N16

N16 G20

N16 G21

N18

1 day ago

SW7 G13

SW10 G18

W5 G16

W5 G11

W5 G12

W10 G15

NW9 G14

N7 G10

NW5

N6 G9

N9 G13

N15 G22

N15 G23

N14 G19

N12 G22

N12

N16 G22

N15 G21

N13 G17

N14 G20

N14 G19

N14 G19

N15 G21

N16

2 days ago

NE7 G11

NE6 G9

NE6 G9

E6

E7

E7

SE3

S8

S17 G21

S13 G17

S15 G19

S15

S15

S14 G18

S15 G20

SW11 G17

SW12 G17

SW7 G13

SW10 G16

SW7 G16

SW8 G15

SW8 G17

SW9 G16

SW7 G11

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC	4 mi	1.8 hrs	N 14	10.00 mi	A Few Clouds	33°F	21°F	64%	1027 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC	13 mi	51 min	N 13 G 21	7.00 mi	Clear	35°F	17°F	48%	1027.7 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC	16 mi	3.8 hrs	N 11 G 23	10.00 mi	Overcast	31°F	16°F	54%	1027.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMRH

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)

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N13

N15

N10 G18

NW13 G18

N13 G17

N13 G18

N14

N10

N7

N6

NE3

N6

N6

N5

N10

N14 G19

N12

N10

N11

N9

N13

N13 G19

N14

N16 G23

1 day ago

SW15

SW12 G22

W11

SW10

W9

W14

NW12

NW11

N7

N10

N9

N11

N11 G19

N14

N10 G20

N8

N16 G24

N14 G20

N11

N11

N9 G16

N9

N9

N13

2 days ago

NE8

NE6

NE6

E6

E5

E7

SE4

S9

S16 G21

S12

S14

S15

S16

SW15

S17 G23

SW16 G23

SW18

SW11 G19

SW12

SW17

SW18 G26

SW16 G24

SW17 G26

SW17

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Tide / Current Tables for Morehead City, North Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for Channel Marker Lt. #59, North Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (9,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC

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