Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Atlantic Beach town, NC

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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC

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FXUS62 KMHX 070800 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 300 AM EST Sat Dec 7 2019

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build in over the weekend. A stronger cold front will move through Tuesday night and early Wednesday. High pressure will build north of the area through late next week, with another system likely impacting the area next weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. As of 3 AM Sat . High pressure builds in from the north today with N to NE winds bringing cooler temps. There may be some lingering clouds through the morning but expect mainly sunny skies by the afternoon. Temps expted to dip a bit below climo with highs ranging in the low 50s N to mid/upr 50s SW.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 3 AM Sat . Continuing CAA tonight will set the stage for chilly overnight lows. Clear skies will continue, with breezes along the coast keeping temps from reaching freezing, with readings generally in the mid 30s to around 40. Interior zones winds should become calm to light, allowing for lows to drop below freezing.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 240 AM Sat . Unsettled weather is likely for Sunday night through Wednesday morning as deep moisture returns ahead of a strong cold front. High pressure will build north of the area mid to late next week, with another system likely impacting ENC next weekend.

Sunday through Wednesday . High pressure will move east of the area Sunday, as weak coastal trough tries to develop along the SE coast. Winds will veer to E/ESE with temperatures moderating to the upper 50s to lower 60s. Could see light showers move onshore during the late afternoon.

The combination of a deepening mid-level trough, mid-level shortwave energy and precipitable water values that will increase to 1.25 inches or better will lead to a more unsettled weather pattern with better chances of showers Sunday night into Mon morning and then off and on through midday Wednesday ahead of a strong cold front. Per trends in guidance, still looks like the best chances for widespread showers will be Sunday night into Monday then Tuesday night into early Wed. With increasing southerly flow, high temperatures will be above normal Monday and Tuesday. Highs Monday will be well into the 60s with lower to middle 70s possible Tuesday. The strong cold front will push through the area late Tue night into early Wednesday. Some guidance shows areas along Hwy 17 climbing into the low 80s Tue afternoon.

Wednesday night through Friday . Strong high pressure will build in north of the area. Much cooler and drier air behind this front. Thursday looks like the dry, cool day with highs in the 40s. Widespread lows near or below freezing both Thursday and Friday mornings. Models continue to show a stronger frontal system impacting the area next weekend. Still a week out with quite a bit uncertainty but the GFS and ECMWF are in pretty good agreement showing a warm front pushing through ENC Friday night, with sfc low lifting through the Carolinas Friday night and Saturday. Widespread moderate to heavy showers will be possible. Depending on how this evolves there will also be the potential for strong to severe storms.

AVIATION /07Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Short Term /through tonight/ . As of 2 AM Sat . SCT/BKN mid level clouds starting to thin, and a period of IFR/MVFR vsbys expected before cold front moves through this morning and winds pick up, ending FG threat by sunrise. Some gusts around 15 kt or so expected today, before winds become light late afternoon through evening.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 240 AM Sat . VFR conditions are expected to prevail into Sunday as strong high pressure moves north of the region. Unsettled weather is expected Sunday through Wednesday morning with scattered showers and periods of sub-VFR conditions likely.

MARINE. Short Term /Through tonight/ . As of 3 AM Sat . Strong CAA ramps up around daybreak behind frontal passage. Winds will increase to around 15-25 kt with higher gusts today, and linger through tonight for ctrl/srn waters and Pamlico Sound. Seas will build to 5-7 ft this afternoon through tonight.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 240 AM Sat . An active weather pattern through the middle of next week will result in hazardous boating conditions with strong winds at times and a prolonged period of elevated seas AOA 6 ft. Gusty NE winds continue early Sunday morning diminishing to 10-20 kt in the afternoon, with seas briefly subsiding below 6 ft late Sunday morning and early afternoon. Sunday night SE winds increase to 20-25 kt and continue into Monday while becoming S. S/SW winds 20-25 kt will continue Mon night and Tue ahead of a cold front. The front will cross the waters late Tue night and Wed morning with the flow shifting to NW 15-25 kt. Based on the current wave model forecasts the only period with seas below 6 ft will be late Sunday morning into early Sunday evening, otherwise elevated seas will prevail with seas peaking at 6-11 ft Mon into Tue evening.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM this morning to 4 AM EST Sunday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM this morning to 1 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ131-230-231. Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM this morning to 7 AM EST Sunday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM this morning to 10 AM EST Sunday for AMZ156-158. Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . TL SHORT TERM . TL LONG TERM . JME/CQD AVIATION . TL/CQD MARINE . TL/CQD

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC	3 mi	53 min	N 2.9 G 2.9
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC	12 mi	83 min	N 5.1 G 5.1	55°F			1022 hPa (-0.0)	51°F
41159	36 mi	53 min			64°F	2 ft
41064	37 mi	75 min	NNE 7.8 G 12	61°F	64°F		1020.9 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC	4 mi	85 min	N 0	9.00 mi	A Few Clouds	46°F	46°F	100%	1021.8 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC	13 mi	89 min	N 0	mi	Fog/Mist	46°F	43°F	89%	1021.7 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC	16 mi	86 min	N 0	7.00 mi	Overcast	48°F	48°F	100%	1022.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMRH

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Morehead City, North Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for Channel Marker Lt. #59, North Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (4,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC

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