Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Atlantic Beach town, NC

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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC

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FXUS62 KMHX 111621 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1221 PM EDT Sat Jul 11 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak front will approach the region this afternoon then stall and gradually dissipate Sunday into Monday. Bermuda high pressure will then build into the area early next week, with an inland lee trough over the piedmont.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 1220 PM Saturday . Some fair-weather cumulus developing across inland areas as band of mid clouds exits the coast at early afternoon. High resolution guidance continues to indicate very little in the way of convective development through most of the afternoon, until late afternoon/early evening when the weak front in the eastern Piedmont starts to cross the area. PoPs were lowered earlier to 20-30 percent and no changes needed to that for this update. High temperatures will be in the low to mid 90s inland, and 85 to 90 coastal areas.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SUNDAY/. As of 240 AM Sat . Shra and storms that develop this aftn will grad diminish and shift twrd cst overnight with bulk of region dry after 06Z. SW flow will cont with muggy lows once again in the 70s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 3 AM Sat .

Sunday . Showers and storms primarily along the sea breeze, otherwise another hot day with highs getting into the mid 90s inland.

Monday . The last day that we will be under the influence of the trof and by late afternoon, a short wave will approach from the west. Increased rain chances here into the likely range to account for the better upper level support. Highs again well into the 90s.

Tuesday - Friday . Little day to day change with the trof mentioned above lifting out, and high pressure aloft building across the Carolinas. Typical daily convection will be possible especially along the sea breeze, and continued no higher than a 20 to 30% through the period. Temps will be summerlike or well into the 90s away from the beaches.

AVIATION /16Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 640 AM Sat . Pred VFR conditions expected through much of the TAF period. Expect sct shra/tsra to develop this aftn as weak short wave crosses and interacts with remnant boundaries and developing sea breeze. These showers and storms will again likely produce some brief sub VFR. The convection shld diminish by evening with PC skies overnight.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 300 AM Sat . Mainly VFR through the period. Potential for brief MVFR restrictions especially during the afternoon in periods of showers or thunderstorms. Early morning fog also possible in the footprint of afternoon/evening rainfall.

MARINE. Short Term /Through Tonight/ . As of 1220 PM Saturday . Winds currently SW 10-15 knots with seas ticking up to 3 to occasionally 4 feet at early afternoon. Seas should increase to 3-5 feet as the day wears on with winds increasing to 15-20 knots later this afternoon and evening. A few gusts 20 to 25 kt poss late today and early tonight but overall speeds shld remain below SCA lvls. Seas could flirt with 6 feet tonight outer central wtrs but will cap at 5 ft for now.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 300 AM Sat . Large swell will be the main boating concern during the long term period, especially Sunday night through early Tuesday.

Southwest winds mainly 10 to 20 kts Sunday through Tuesday. As winds peak Sunday night into Monday a few gusts to near 25 kts are possible. A building swell will push waves to 3 to 5 feet Sunday. While NWPS still suggest 6 foot wave Sunday, both the national blend and Wave Watch show 6 footers holding off until Sunday night, so we will continue to cap waves below 6 feet through Sunday afternoon. 5 to 8 foot wave possible Monday, before subsiding to 3 to 5 feet Tuesday. The boating pick of the week will be Wednesday with south winds less than 10 kts, and waves under 3 feet.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ196- 204-205. MARINE . None.



SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CTC SHORT TERM . RF LONG TERM . EH AVIATION . EH/RF MARINE . EH/RF/CTC

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC	3 mi	64 min	SSW 7 G 8.9	85°F	84°F		1010.9 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC	12 mi	58 min	SSW 8 G 11	82°F			1010.3 hPa (-0.6)
41159	36 mi	62 min			84°F	3 ft
41064	37 mi	110 min	W 7.8 G 9.7	82°F	84°F		1010.9 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC

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NE10 G16

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SE15

SE12 G15

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N10 G14

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC	4 mi	2 hrs	SW 10	10.00 mi	Fair	86°F	77°F	75%	1010.7 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC	13 mi	64 min	SW 7	10.00 mi		90°F	71°F	54%	1010.1 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC	16 mi	61 min	SW 10	10.00 mi	Fair	87°F	72°F	61%	1011 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMRH

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)

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NE13 G20

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Tide / Current Tables for Morehead City, North Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for Channel Marker Lt. #59, North Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (13,3,4,5)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC

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