Thursday, December12, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fence Lake, NM

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 5:03PM Thursday December 12, 2019 9:58 PM MST (04:58 UTC) Moonrise 5:47PMMoonset 7:36AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fence Lake, NM
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location: 34.73, -109.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Flagstaff, AZ
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FXUS65 KFGZ 130430 AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 930 PM MST Thu Dec 12 2019

SYNOPSIS. Dry and mild conditions will continue through Friday. A cold front will cross the region this weekend bring gusty southwest winds and a chance of snow and rain showers. Expect much colder daytime temperatures Sunday through Tuesday.

UPDATE. The weak ridge off the west coast is keeping northern Arizona in a zonal to northwesterly flow aloft that is advecting in upper level moisture in the form of thin clouds. Adjusted the forecast to account for the increased high clouds overnight and moderated the morning low temperatures accordingly. Otherwise, no changes are needed to the earlier forecast. Look for the next trough to pass to the north late Saturday through Sunday with a well organized cold front to slowly work its way north to south through the region beginning Saturday evening along the Utah border and not reaching the southern boundary until Sunday evening. This will bring a 20 to 25 degree drop in the daytime temperatures by Monday from Friday's highs.

PREV DISCUSSION /228 PM MST/. It's a warm mid-December afternoon across northern Arizona, with temperatures currently running around 5 to 15 degrees above normal. Similar weather is expected on Friday as a weak ridge of high pressure remains overhead.

We will see conditions change over the weekend as a cold front drops south toward the state. Ahead of the front, gusty winds will develop northeast of the Mogollon Rim overnight Friday into Saturday. These winds will become more widespread across the area on Saturday as the pressure gradient tightens. Wind gusts of 30-40 mph will be possible, with the strongest speeds along and north of the Mogollon Rim. Gusty winds will continue Saturday night into Sunday, especially across the eastern Rim and White Mountains where higher gusts up to 50 mph are not out of question. Winds will shift to a northerly direction later Sunday behind the front and remain breezy into early next week.

As for precipitation, expect showers to develop Saturday afternoon, mainly over the higher terrain. More widespread shower activity will occur overnight Saturday into Sunday as the cold front pushes south through the region. Snow levels will initially be around 6,000-7,000 feet before falling to as low as 4,000 feet on Sunday. Snow accumulations will be highest over far northern Arizona including the Kaibab Plateau, Black Mesa, and Chuska Mountains where generally 2-6 inches of snow is possible. Moisture will be more limited to the south with up to an inch in Flagstaff, and little if any accumulation south of Interstate 40. Showers will wind down from northwest to southeast Sunday night.

A cold and dry airmass will move into northern Arizona behind the front through early next week. Temperatures will struggle to get out of the low to mid 30s over the higher terrain Sunday and Monday. Breezy northerly winds will make it feel even colder. A gradual warming trend and dry conditions are expected through the remainder of the forecast period.

AVIATION. For the 06Z package . Light winds and VFR conditions under occasional high clouds will prevail for the next 24 hours. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

FIRE WEATHER. Dry and mild weather will continue Friday. An approaching cold front will bring gusty southwest winds and increasing chances for rain and snow showers on Saturday.

Sunday through Tuesday . The cold front will cross the region on Sunday, with continued chances for rain and snow showers mainly north of I-40. Behind the front, expect much colder temperatures and breezy northerly winds into early next week.

FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NONE.



PUBLIC . DB/TPS AVIATION . KD FIRE WEATHER . TPS

For Northern Arizona weather information visit weather.gov/flagstaff


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
St. Johns, St. Johns Industrial Airpark, AZ24 mi65 minN 010.00 miFair43°F30°F60%1023.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSJN

Wind History from SJN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmS7S7S4CalmS4CalmS6CalmCalmCalmSE3CalmE3CalmNE4NW7NW9NW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoS4S5S3W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--SE4SE5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4S4S3
2 days agoNW4NW4NW3NW5CalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmNW5NE3N3N4CalmCalmS3S3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Flagstaff, AZ (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albuquerque, NM
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.