Thursday, December12, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Morehead City, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 4:58PM Thursday December 12, 2019 4:07 AM EST (09:07 UTC) Moonrise 5:33PMMoonset 7:21AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 300 Am Est Thu Dec 12 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday evening...
Today..NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft, except 3 to 5 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough. A slight chance of showers late.
Tonight..NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft, except 3 to 5 ft near shore. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy after midnight. A slight chance of showers.
Fri..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except around 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Sat..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Sat night..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft, building to 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Morehead City, NC
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location: 34.83, -76.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 120830 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 330 AM EST Thu Dec 12 2019

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will continue to ridge in from the north through Friday morning. Then, an area of low pressure will form and move up the East Coast late Friday, bringing a cold front through the area on Saturday. High pressure will build in briefly Sunday and Monday, followed by another cold front on Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. As of 230 AM Thurs . High pressure will continue to ridge down from New England today, with a trough developing over the coastal waters by this afternoon. Cold NE winds, as well as below average low level thicknesses will lead to fairly chilly high temps despite mostly sunny skies. Expect readings to only reach the mid to upper 40s across most of the area, with coastal areas from Hatteras Island south likely reaching the low 50s. As the coastal trough develops this afternoon, shower activity will increase east of the Outer Banks. Have slight chance/chance PoPs eventually pushing further west and on land late this afternoon, and continuing through this evening for the Outer Banks, as well as Mainland Hyde and Dare counties.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 230 AM Thurs . Precip chances will continue tonight for the Outer Banks and areas just to the west as the coastal trough moves closer to land. Showers will also increase from the west towards daybreak as an area of low pressure develops to the SW. Temperatures will likely bottom out early tonight, and then rise through the rest of the night as low level thicknesses and clouds increase. We'll see lows in the mid 30s inland, while areas along the coast only drop into the mid to upper 40s early tonight. By tomorrow morning, temps will have risen into the low 40s inland, and the low to mid 50s along the coast.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 330 AM Thu . Periods of unsettled weather expected through the long term period, with roller coaster temps as a progressive/amplified active weather pattern is expected to continue.

Friday through Saturday . Rain chances inc Fri as deep srly flow increases with digging long wave trough across the lower MS River Valley, which will spur low pressure development over the deep south. This low will ride up the coast rapidly, with rain becoming likely through the day Fri, peaking Fri evening when best UVV/Fgen/PWATS will converge. Maintained the categorical pops this period, as good model to model consistency as well as spaghetti ensembles converging on this solution. Widespread moderate to heavy rain will be possible Fri evening. Still some uncertainty on exact track of the low, there could be potential for strong to even severe storms if storm track is further inland such as advertised by the ECM/CMC. Latest 12/00Z ECM continues to indicate aoa 500 J/KG of sfc based capes advecting into the area with plentiful shear overnight Friday. Best chance of a stronger storm would be along the coast where best instability will reside. Upr trough will still be west of the region though deepest moisture will be offshore Sat morning. Could be quite a bit of showers around first half of Sat due to good forcing with upr trough and continued swrly flow sfc and aloft, and have a likely pop through around noon, with rapid drying later in the day. It will be mild both days with highs in the 60s.

Sunday through Monday . Drier conditions with near to above normal temps expected late weekend to early next week as quasi zonal flow develops and progressive high pressure dominates.

Tuesday . Next potent cold front and possible low pressure system quickly advance towards the region by Mon night and Tue, and introduced 50-70% pops this period, focused on Tue as converging model solns focus timing of the next strong cold front moving through by later Tue.

Wednesday . A return to dry albeit cooler weather pattern by Wed as long wave trough axis shifts to the eastern Seaboard with sfc high pres building into the region. Highs in the 50s with lows dropping back to the 30s.

AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Short Term /through Friday Morning/ . As of 230 AM Thurs . VFR conditions are expected for most of the TAF period. Skies will remain mostly clear this morning, and through this evening, with some occasionally strong northerly winds. As a storm system approaches the area late tonight, clouds will increase, and will likely drop to MVFR levels at some point early Friday morning.

Long Term /Fri through Monday/ . As of 330 AM Thu . Low pressure area will quickly advance in on Friday, with sub VFR expected into Sat morning with widespread rain showers and low clouds. Return to VFR later Sat through Monday as high pres builds back in.

MARINE. Short Term /Through Tonight/ . As of 240 AM Thurs . Small craft conditions continue across the coastal waters and sounds with winds N 15-20 kts gusting to 25 kts, and seas 5-7 ft. As the pressure gradient increases over the next few hours expect winds and seas to increase, becoming NNE 20-25 kts with gusts to 30 kts, and seas 6-9 ft. A coastal trough will form over the western Gulf Stream this afternoon, which will strong winds continuing just to the west of it, especially over the central and southern waters. Winds eventually subside to NE 15-20 tonight with seas 5-6 ft.

Long Term /Friday through Monday/ . As of 330 AM Thu . No changes to previous thinking with an active weather pattern expected through the weekend which will result in hazardous boating conditions with strong winds and elevated seas AOA 6 ft through the period. There will be a break in the gusty winds and high for much of Friday ahead of the next system, and seas may drop below 6 feet for all but the ctrl waters, but winds and seas come back up Friday night ahead of low pressure that will skirt up the coast bringing gusty swrly winds 15-25 kt through Sat. Winds and seas finally subside later Sunday as high pres begins to build into the area.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EST this morning for AMZ131- 230-231. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Sunday for AMZ152-154-156- 158. Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Friday for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . SGK SHORT TERM . SGK LONG TERM . TL AVIATION . TL/SGK MARINE . TL/SGK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 8 mi50 min N 8.9 G 11
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 17 mi68 min N 16 G 21 44°F 1034.2 hPa (+1.1)36°F
41064 45 mi60 min NE 19 G 27 49°F 66°F1033.1 hPa
41159 45 mi38 min 66°F5 ft

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC7 mi70 minN 810.00 miFair38°F28°F70%1034.1 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC10 mi74 minN 810.00 miFair40°F27°F60%1034.4 hPa
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC18 mi72 minN 1010.00 miFair43°F28°F58%1034.8 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC20 mi71 minN 410.00 miFair38°F28°F70%1034.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMRH

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSW6SW11SW10SW9SW10SW13SW14SW16
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2 days agoSE10S12
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:14 AM EST     Full Moon
Thu -- 02:22 AM EST     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:04 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:21 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 08:31 AM EST     2.49 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:18 PM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:56 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:32 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:52 PM EST     1.96 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.2-0.1-00.30.91.62.12.42.52.21.71.20.60.2-000.40.91.51.821.81.4

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:14 AM EST     Full Moon
Thu -- 03:44 AM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:04 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:20 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 09:30 AM EST     2.13 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:40 PM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:55 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:32 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 09:51 PM EST     1.67 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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10.60.2-0-0.10.20.71.31.82.12.11.91.51.10.60.30-00.20.71.21.61.71.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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