Thursday, July2, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Red Springs, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:07AMSunset 8:36PM Thursday July 2, 2020 6:38 PM EDT (22:38 UTC) Moonrise 5:17PMMoonset 2:47AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ254 Coastal Waters From Little River Inlet To Murrells Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 438 Pm Edt Thu Jul 2 2020
Through 7 pm..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Tonight..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Fri..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Sun..N winds 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Sun night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 438 Pm Edt Thu Jul 2 2020
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. A weak cold front will move south through south carolina this evening and will stall across georgia on Friday. High pressure will build south across the carolinas through the july 4th weekend. The front should return north early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Red Springs, NC
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location: 34.83, -79.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Raleigh, NC
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FXUS62 KRAH 022001 AFDRAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Raleigh NC 400 PM EDT Thu Jul 2 2020

SYNOPSIS. A surface trough and weak front will drift south into the Savannah Basin through early Fri, while weak high pressure over the upr MS Valley otherwise ridges southeast across the central Appalachians and middle Atlantic. An Appalachian-lee trough will redevelop over VA and the Carolinas Fri, then persist ahead of a backdoor front that will settle south across VA and nern NC Sat night.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 345 PM Thursday .

Modest, 20-30 meter 500 mb height rises will prevail across cntl NC through tonight, amidst nly mid-upr level flow behind a positive tilt trough now moving away from the middle Atlantic coast.

At the surface, a trough/weak front over SC this afternoon will settle south into the Savannah Basin, with following light to calm flow over cntl NC.

Aside from a lingering slight chance of a shower or storm near the SC line, dry conditions are expected across cntl NC. Diurnal cumulus will otherwise dissipate with loss of heating and result in a mainly clear night, with associated excellent radiational cooling and low temperatures mainly in the mid-upr 60s expected.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT/. As of 355 PM Thursday .

Nly flow and weak height rises aloft will generally persist through Fri night; and this will contribute to continued mid level warming and development of a subsidence inversion over cntl NC. That warming combined with a drier boundary layer/lower RH versus previous days will yield only minimal CAPE and no mentionable chance of convection. Slight, 1-2C warming of 850 mb temperatures favors high temperatures about a category higher than those of Thu. While hot, the lower humidity values will result in Heat Index values very similar to the dry bulb temperatures. The warmer air mass will also favor slightly milder lows, generally around 70 degrees.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 250 PM Thursday .

The extended forecast is a little bit more muddled than it was 24 hours ago. Originally Thursday and Friday appeared to be the driest days in the forecast, but Saturday appears that it may also be a relatively dry day as well. While Thursday and Friday will have warmer temperatures between 600-700 mb helping to serve as a cap for thunderstorms, on Saturday the warmer temperatures will sink a little to the 700-800 mb layer. That should still provide a sufficient cap for most thunderstorms, although the entire forecast area still remains under a slight chance for a thunderstorm. That layer will cool on Sunday, providing less of a cap for thunderstorms and allowing for additional scattered coverage of thunderstorms.

24 hours ago, the forecast showed a weak surface low moving up the Southeast coast. The newest 12Z models still show a surface low moving to the northeast, but the models now develop this low a bit farther inland and slightly later before bringing it northeast. This shouldn't have too much influence on sensible weather for central North Carolina - with a diurnal trend of showers and thunderstorms continuing and higher pops closer to the coastline.

Although previously Saturday appeared as it is was going to be the warmest day of the holiday weekend, it now appears that Friday might actually be a degree or two warmer. Have still kept highs in the mid 90s for most locations on Saturday, with highs dropping closer to the 90 degree mark. Lows will be in the lower 70s. Heat indices shouldn't quite reach the 100 degree mark, but the heat and humidity remain in the HWO as this will be the first true heat wave of the season.

AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 220 PM Thursday .

Showers and storms through this evening will continue to focus on a surface trough/weak front extending across SC, with more-isolated and weaker cells possible along a remnant outflow boundary arcing from near KFLO to KRCZ to KMWK. Otherwise, VFR, generally scattered diurnal cumulus clouds will dissipate with loss of heating after sunset, then redevelop with heating by late morning Fri. Surface winds will remain light and generally less than 10 kts each afternoon, nly-nely today and nly-nwly Fri, with intervening calm tonight.

Outlook: A weak backdoor cold front will settle south across VA and into at least the nern half of NC Sat night-Sun morning. Nely flow behind that front will favor fog and stratus development around RWI and particularly points newd at that time. Otherwise, after a relative lull in precipitation through Fri night, a climatological chance of showers and storms will return this weekend through early- mid next week.

RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

SYNOPSIS . Hartfield NEAR TERM . MWS SHORT TERM . MWS LONG TERM . Green AVIATION . MWS/CC


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC 83 mi51 min 80°F
WATS1 - Lake Wateree, SC 86 mi69 min N 2.9 G 7 93°F

Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Laurinburg Maxton Airport, NC9 mi47 minE 610.00 miA Few Clouds90°F70°F52%1011.2 hPa
Fayetteville, Fayetteville Regional Airport, NC21 mi46 minNE 610.00 miA Few Clouds89°F68°F50%1010.8 hPa
Mackall U. S. Army Airfield, NC21 mi43 minENE 1110.00 miFair89°F65°F45%1012.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMEB

Wind History from MEB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW3SW11SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3S3CalmCalmCalmNE9NE7NE8NE8NE8NE10E10E9E6
1 day agoSE10SW5CalmNW4N3CalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmSW3SW3SW3CalmSW4
2 days agoN3CalmCalmNW3NE3N3SW3NE4W5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN5NW4NW5NW4N6SW6SE10

Tide / Current Tables for Conway, RR. bridge, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Conway
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:17 AM EDT     1.57 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:42 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:27 PM EDT     1.26 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:14 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:47 PM EDT     -0.32 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.61.51.310.70.40.10.10.30.50.81.11.21.210.70.40-0.2-0.3-0.10.20.7

Tide / Current Tables for Grahamville, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Grahamville
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:15 AM EDT     1.25 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:46 AM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:25 PM EDT     1.01 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:13 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:51 PM EDT     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.91.11.21.21.10.80.60.30.10.10.20.40.70.9110.80.60.30-0.2-0.2-0.10.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Raleigh, NC (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Raleigh/Durham, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.