Monday, April6, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Red Springs, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 7:44PM Monday April 6, 2020 1:36 AM EDT (05:36 UTC) Moonrise 5:13PMMoonset 5:19AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ254 Coastal Waters From Little River Inlet To Murrells Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 1219 Am Edt Mon Apr 6 2020
Rest of tonight..S winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of showers with isolated tstms.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers with isolated tstms.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers with isolated tstms in the evening.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming w. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 1219 Am Edt Mon Apr 6 2020
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. High pressure will drop off the southeast coast, bringing sw winds to the local waters. Low pressure passing north of the area will bring moderate west winds Wednesday and Thursday. A cold front will cross the waters late Thursday, bringing nw winds into Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Red Springs, NC
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location: 34.83, -79.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Raleigh, NC
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FXUS62 KRAH 060024 AFDRAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Raleigh NC 830 PM EDT Sun Apr 05 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak surface trough will remain over central NC through Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 830 PM Sunday .

Isolated light showers over Stokes and Surry Counties of the Foothills have tried to make it into the Winston-Salem area as of 830 PM. Only sprinkles have been observed over northern Forsyth County. Elsewhere, it was clear to mostly clear. Temperatures were in the upper 60s to mid 70s, with dew points in the upper 40s to lower 50s.

Expect the Foothill and Mountain showers to continue to dissipate as they move into the NW Piedmont through late evening.

Otherwise, it will be milder than previous nights, with light SW winds at 5-10 mph. Lows in the lower to mid 50s in general.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT/. As of 415 PM Sunday .

Wnwly, low amplitude anticyclonic flow aloft, with generally neutral height tendency aloft, will persist over cntl NC this period.

At the surface, high pressure offshore the Southeast coast will extend wwd across the sern US and Gulf coast, while a cold front initially over cntl and swrn VA will settle swwd, in backdoor- fashion, across nern NC Mon afternoon; and that will include through the nrn Coastal Plain and far ne Piedmont. The front will then likely stall, probably modulated by convective outflow, from the srn NC Outer Banks nwwd across the NC Piedmont or nrn Coastal Plain through Tue morning.

To the south of the front, temperatures are forecast to warm into the 70s to lwr 80s through early-mid afternoon Mon, after which time scattered (or widely so) showers and storms are forecast to develop both in the higher terrain and within the trough/frontal segment over swrn VA/nwrn NC. That convection will subsequently move sewd across cntl NC Mon afternoon and early evening. A relatively deep, 5- 7 thousand ft boundary layer, with associated steep./dry adiabatic low level lapse rates will favor the occurrence of strong wind gusts up to 35-40 kts, particularly within any loosely-organized multicell clusters that may organize and orient downshear of ~30 kts of wnwly, mean mid level flow. The presence of the surface front and enhanced low/mid-level environmental shear over nern NC may also favor a transient supercell - supported by a signal in convection allowing guidance updraft helicity (UH) tracks for the past couple of days.

Late afternoon cooling will occur both behind the backdoor front and multi-cell outflow, with just a lingering chance of a shower or storm from the srn Coastal Plain to the srn Piedmont through the evening hours, aided there by a secondary maximum in instability after peak diurnal heating, owing to nocturnal surface dewpoint recovery into the upr 50s F. Convection and clouds will otherwise generally clear from wnw to ese overnight, with patchy fog development and low temperatures in the 50s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 248 PM Sunday .

The long term period will start off with a broad anticyclonic flow over much of the US, with central NC on the east side. Embedded short wave disturbances moving over the top of and down the east side of the ridge will cross our area Tuesday and Wednesday, each bringing a slight chance for rain, but overall PoPs and QPF have been trending down from previous model runs, so we may end up dry during much of Tuesday and Wednesday.

Meanwhile, a more potent and deeper short wave trough moving SE across the Northern Plains on Wednesday will shift east across the Great Lakes region and New England and Mid-Atlantic regions on Thursday. So while we may see a brief break in rain chances late Wednesday in the wake of one short wave, slight chance PoPs may be needed again for Thursday with the passage of the deeper short wave. Recent runs of the GFS have trended slower and less amplified with the eastward movement of a closed low out of the Four Corners region late in the week (solution trending toward the ECWMF), but then solutions diverge again with what eventually happens with the aforementioned closed low. The GFS is weaker and more progressive (thus results in dry weather for us next weekend) . while the ECMWF now keeps the closed low fairly deep as it approaches the Southeast, thus results in increasing rain chances for the latter half of the weekend. As such, will now keep Friday and most of Saturday dry, with lower confidence for the Saturday night and Sunday time period.

Above normal temps expected during the middle part of the week, but then a cooling trend will commence Thursday night in the wake of the short wave trough and sfc cold front.

AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 745 PM Sunday .

Primarily VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.

Patches of MVFR fog will will be possible over SE NC, including at KFAY, between 09-12Z Mon.

Outlook: A few showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop and move SE across central NC NC between 18Z Mon-23Z Mon. Brief sub-VFR conditions and strong wind gusts up to 35-40 kts may result. There will be a chance of stratus and fog Mon night-early Tue, particularly where rain occurs beforehand, and also on the immediate cool side of a surface front that will have settled into and stalled over e-cntl NC, including at RWI. The pattern for the remainder of the week will feature primarily VFR and dry conditions, owing to generally wly (downslope) flow that will tend to dissipate upstream convection as it crosses the Appalachians.

RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

SYNOPSIS . MWS NEAR TERM . Badgett/MWS SHORT TERM . MWS LONG TERM . np AVIATION . Badgett/MWS


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC 83 mi49 min 63°F
WATS1 - Lake Wateree, SC 86 mi67 min Calm G 1.9 58°F

Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Laurinburg Maxton Airport, NC9 mi45 minSW 610.00 miFair58°F45°F62%1019 hPa
Fayetteville, Fayetteville Regional Airport, NC21 mi44 minS 510.00 miFair57°F48°F72%1018.1 hPa
Mackall U. S. Army Airfield, NC21 mi41 minSSW 610.00 miFair58°F49°F73%1020 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMEB

Wind History from MEB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE5E3E5E6E5E6SE4E5E6E5NE3E4--CalmW7W6W9SW5S4CalmS8S7SW7SW6
1 day agoN3N44NW3E4CalmCalmCalmNE7CalmNE64E655NE9NE7E6E3SE5S4CalmSE4SE4
2 days agoNW5NW4N4NW5W4NW4W6NW5N9N14
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Tide / Current Tables for Conway, RR. bridge, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Conway
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:13 AM EDT     1.45 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:16 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:35 AM EDT     -0.40 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:35 PM EDT     1.53 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:41 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:01 PM EDT     -0.42 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.31.41.41.10.70.3-0.1-0.4-0.4-0.10.40.81.21.51.51.310.50.1-0.3-0.4-0.30.1

Tide / Current Tables for Grahamville, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Grahamville
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:11 AM EDT     1.16 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:16 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:39 AM EDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:33 PM EDT     1.22 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:05 PM EDT     -0.33 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.811.21.10.90.60.3-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.10.30.711.21.21.10.80.40.1-0.2-0.3-0.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Raleigh, NC (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Raleigh/Durham, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.