Monday, January27, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Red Springs, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:18AMSunset 5:42PM Monday January 27, 2020 8:29 PM EST (01:29 UTC) Moonrise 9:12AMMoonset 8:21PM Illumination 9% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ254 Coastal Waters From Little River Inlet To Murrells Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 729 Pm Est Mon Jan 27 2020
Overnight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of showers this evening.
Tue..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue night..N winds 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
Wed..NE winds 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
Wed night..NE winds 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 1 foot, then 2 ft after midnight. A chance of showers.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft, building to 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat..N winds 10 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers through the day.
AMZ200 729 Pm Est Mon Jan 27 2020
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. A cold front moves offshore by tonight. High pressure will build in behind the front through Wednesday. Low pressure will move off the ga coast Wednesday night and bring unsettled weather into Thursday. A ridge of high pressure will extend across the carolinas from the northeast on Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Red Springs, NC
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location: 34.83, -79.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Raleigh, NC
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FXUS62 KRAH 272347 AFDRAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Raleigh NC 650 PM EST Mon Jan 27 2020

SYNOPSIS. An upper level disturbance and weak cold front will push east of the region by midnight. High pressure will build in from the northwest and north tonight through Thursday, although another upper level disturbance will cross the Southeast states late Wednesday and Wednesday night.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 650 PM Monday .

The area of rain showers associated with the upper level disturbance will be pushing east of I-95 by mid-evening. Skies were already clearing in the NW Piedmont, behind the upper level feature. The associated cold front will push through overnight; however, the surface winds will remain light even through they will become northerly. As skies clear, lows will dip into the lower 30s north and west, ranging into the upper 30s SE.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. As of 205 PM Monday .

Quiet and seasonable. Surface high pressure centered well to our NW will build weakly into central NC, and the mid level NVA and incoming shortwave ridging behind the departing wave should yield fair skies and dry weather. Thicknesses are expected to dip a bit below normal but should be balanced by abundant sunshine, favoring highs near or just a bit below normal, 50-55. Expect mostly clear skies through the evening, but the approach of the amplifying trough now moving out of the Rockies into the Front Range should bring increasing high and perhaps mid clouds overnight, mainly impacting W sections. Lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s. -GIH

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 225 PM Monday .

In progressive mid-upper level flow, a phased trough extending from srn BC swwd across the Baja, one which includes a couple of pronounced shortwave troughs over the Four Corners and nrn Rockies this afternoon, will migrate ewd into the MS Valley by the start of the period/12Z Wed. These features are forecast to become increasingly-sheared offshore the Southeast and srn middle Atlantic coast, as they encounter confluent flow across the nrn middle Atlantic and Northeast, through Thu. While the nrn stream-dominated trough over the nrn Rockies is forecast to slightly lag the srn stream-dominated one over the Four Corners, there are important model differences regarding their future orientation/tilt and degree to which they may remain phased --and consequently how strong and focused the associated forcing for ascent may be-- as they cross the Carolinas centered around Wed night. Shortwave ridging will follow through Thu night or Fri. Deep swly flow aloft will then develop from the ern Pac and n-cntl Mexico to the Carolinas, downstream of a another trough that will approach from the cntl US and cross NC (probably) Fri-Sat. Nwly flow and height rises aloft will ensue through the start of next week.

At the surface, low pressure, and a primary precipitation shield related to the srn stream-dominated trough noted above, will track across the Gulf coast, FL peninsula, and out to sea Wed-Wed night. This system will have little potential to gain latitude/move up the East Coast owing to the aforementioned confluent flow anchored across the nrn middle Atlantic and Northeast. Another area of low pressure is forecast to accompany the late week-weekend trough aloft and develop across the Gulf of Mexico newd along and offshore the Southeast and srn middle Atlantic coast, while high pressure otherwise extends from the middle Atlantic swwd into the Carolinas through Sat. A dry cold front will cross the region late Sat-Sat night, followed by weak high pressure over the Southeast and Appalachian-lee troughing through Mon.

Weather Highlights/Hazards: Considerable mid-high clouds Wed will thicken and lower Wed night-early Thu, with the approach of the nrn stream shortwave trough now over the nrn Rockies. Virga will also become widespread over cntl NC through the same time; and some of that precipitation will likely overcome an otherwise dry sub-cloud layer and reach the ground over mainly srn NC by Thu morning. Thermal profiles and partial thickness values support primarily (light) rain, particularly where precipitation is most likely to reach the ground across srn NC. However, freezing levels across the remainder of the Piedmont are forecast to be around 1000 ft AGL, so it would be possible for a few flurries to mix with the light rain or sprinkles should they fall with enough intensity and reach ground and consequently, diabatically cool the shallow above freezing layer above the surface there. This would be a no accumulation/impact non- event should that even occur.

The weekend trough aloft and Southeast coastal low will provide another chance of rain late Fri-Sat. It will otherwise be dry, and generally around average with respect to both high and low temperatures, with no extremes expected through the forecast period.

AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 645 AM Tuesday .

Brief MVFR conditions with light showers will exit the KRDU/KFAY/KRWI TAF sites by around 03z to 04z/tonight. Skies will clear as the cold front and upper level disturbance moves through. Expect a return to VFR conditions by 06z/tonight. VFR conditions are then expected on Tuesday.

Looking beyond 00z/Tue, VFR conditions should hold through much of Wed, although mid and high clouds will start to spread in from the W Tue night as the next upper level wave approaches. A few sprinkles or light showers are expected with passage of this system late Wed afternoon through Wed night, mostly across southern NC terminals, and there is a small chance of MVFR cigs with this, but generally any cigs will stay just into VFR territory. High pressure will build back in for Thu into Fri, bringing a return to VFR conditions, but the approach of another storm system from the SW Fri may bring sub- VFR conditions with rain chances for Fri evening through Sat. -GIH

RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

SYNOPSIS . Badgett/Hartfield NEAR TERM . Badgett SHORT TERM . Hartfield LONG TERM . MWS AVIATION . Badgett/Hartfield


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC 83 mi59 min 53°F
WATS1 - Lake Wateree, SC 86 mi59 min SSW 2.9 G 2.9 48°F

Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Laurinburg Maxton Airport, NC9 mi37 minNW 310.00 miOvercast49°F46°F90%1011.2 hPa
Fayetteville, Fayetteville Regional Airport, NC21 mi36 minWNW 310.00 miOvercast48°F44°F86%1010.2 hPa
Mackall U. S. Army Airfield, NC21 mi33 minWNW 410.00 miOvercast45°F44°F98%1010.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMEB

Wind History from MEB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW3SW5W3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmS3SW4SW4SW6SW4W6W9W11W10W5W4SW7SW5NW5N4NW3
1 day agoW3W4W5N4W5W4NW3CalmCalmNW4NW3CalmNW3N5N9NW8W10
G15
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2 days agoS13
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CalmSW4NW8W5W4W6W6W8W5NW9W8
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W8W12W10W11W12NW9W8W3W4SW4

Tide / Current Tables for Conway, RR. bridge, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Conway
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:30 AM EST     1.18 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:16 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:09 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:41 AM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:00 PM EST     1.35 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:41 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:22 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 11:15 PM EST     0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.50.811.21.210.80.40.1-0.1-0.10.10.40.81.11.31.31.31.10.80.40.20

Tide / Current Tables for Grahamville, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Grahamville
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:28 AM EST     0.94 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:09 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:45 AM EST     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:41 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 05:58 PM EST     1.08 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:22 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-00.10.40.60.80.90.90.80.60.40.1-0-0.10.10.30.60.811.110.80.60.40.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Raleigh, NC (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Raleigh/Durham, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.