Tuesday, June15, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Red Springs, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:02AMSunset 8:34PM Tuesday June 15, 2021 12:33 AM EDT (04:33 UTC) Moonrise 9:37AMMoonset 11:43PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ254 Coastal Waters From Little River Inlet To Murrells Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 910 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021
Overnight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then a chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the evening.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed night..SW winds 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Thu night..S winds 5 kt, becoming E after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Fri..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 910 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Tropical depression two will accelerate northeastward tonight, further away from the area waters. A cold front will move through the carolinas on Tuesday, pushing across the waters and offshore Tuesday night. High pressure will follow for later this week with threat for showers returning during the upcoming weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Red Springs, NC
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location: 34.83, -79.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Raleigh, NC
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FXUS62 KRAH 150035 AFDRAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Raleigh NC 830 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

SYNOPSIS. A pre-frontal trough will be located over central NC tonight. A cold front will push southeastward through the area late tonight through Tuesday morning, as an upper level trough shifts over the Mid Atlantic coast. This front will slow down before stalling over coastal North Carolina through mid week, as high pressure otherwise builds in from the northwest.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 830 PM Monday .

Isolated to scattered pre-frontal convection is still favored across the Southern Piedmont, Sandhills, and SE Coastal Plain through late evening. There continued to be enough instability and moisture convergence to generate isolated convection, but the lack of mid level moisture has been a negative. Downdraft CAPE continues 1300+ around Fayetteville, thus any of these showers/iso thunderstorms will likely produce gusty winds to 40 mph or so.

Regarding the severe threat, SPC had much of central NC in a marginal risk for severe storms. It appears the lack of any organization of the storms has led to sub-severe over our region. Expect the threat to continue to diminish with increasing CINH.

Otherwise, skies should become mostly clear with lows in the 65-70 range.

Previous valid discussion issued at 300 PM Monday .

As far as the tropics are concerned, satellite and radar has shown the low pressure system off the NC coast has become organized enough to become a tropical depression as of 11 AM. It is expected to become a tropical storm tonight, but it is quickly moving northeastward and this will continue as it gets pushed out to sea by a large upper trough that will be digging over the Eastern US. Thus no impacts are expected from this system for central NC.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT/. As of 400 PM Monday .

The cold front will remain near the NC coast tomorrow, with the aforementioned mid-level shortwave trough moving across central NC. Resulting deep-layer shear will be impressive, with 500 mb winds of 35-45 kts, but moisture and instability will be marginal at best. Thus only have slight to low chance POPs in the far SE (essentially Cumberland, Sampson, and Wayne counties) in the afternoon and evening. Highs will range from the lower-80s in the far north to near 90 in the far south. The biggest change behind the front will be the much drier dew points, generally in the 50s, thanks to NW downslope flow. Mostly clear skies and diminishing winds will help bring temperatures down into the upper-50s to mid-60s on Tuesday night with good radiational cooling.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 300 PM Monday .

A high amplitude long wave trough over the Eastern US, featuring negative H5 anomalies on the order of 2 S.D. below normal, will drift slowly east, off the Eastern Seaboard late Thursday/Thursday night. At the sfc, a wavy, stationary frontal zone will remain draped across across the SE US as weak high pressure holds over NC.

While shortwave energy diving SE through the base of the upper trough will likely result in a period of scattered to broken mid- level cloudiness across central NC Wednesday and Wednesday night, it's look increasingly drier across the area, with any convective re- develop mostly likely remaining along the immediate coast. Instead, under the influence of deep NWLY flow aloft, the airmass in place across central will become increasingly drier, with PWATS decreasing to 0.5-0.75" by Thursday. Furthermore, this downslope component, aided by deep daytime mixing(8-10kft) will allow BL dewpoints to mix out into the 40s and 50s Wednesday and again Thursday afternoon, resulting in comfortable humidity levels as Highs top out in the lower to mid 80s. Lows in the upper 50s and 60s.

Increasing heights/warming aloft in the wake of the exiting Eastern US trough combined with the onset of southerly return flow will mark a return to more summer-like heat and humidity starting on Friday, with temperatures likely topping out into the lower to mid 90s over the weekend. The cold front that models once suggested would move into the area over the weekend now appears that it will remain north of the area, keeping central NC in the warm sector. Keeping this cold front north of the area would limit rain chances. However, rain chances by late weekend and into early next weekend could be more closely tied to the possible tropical remnants of the broad low pressure area, currently over the Bay of Campeche and it's tropical moisture feed into the SE US. Will continue to monitor, but for now will advertise low chance PoPs.

AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 730 PM Monday .

24-hour TAF period: Mainly VFR conditions are expected across central NC through the next 24 hours. The only exception continues to be the isolated thunderstorms this evening, mainly from near Charlotte to Fayetteville. Gusty winds over 40 mph and brief sub-VFR conditions are possible with any storm, and continue to highlight the possibility with vicinity thunder at KFAY through mid-evening. Any convection will diminish by around midnight. Winds will be light from the SW today, shifting to the NNW late tonight and early Tuesday morning as a cold front moves through. NNW winds may gust as high as 15-20 kts behind the front Tuesday morning.

Looking beyond 00z Wed: The cold front will bring dry weather to the region on Tuesday, except in the far SE including FAY where an isolated shower or storm (and associated brief sub-VFR conditions) can't be ruled out. Dry weather and VFR conditions are expected everywhere from Wednesday through Friday. There is a slight chance of showers and storms on Saturday as the next cold front approaches from the NW.

RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

SYNOPSIS . PWB/Hartfield NEAR TERM . PWB/Danco SHORT TERM . Danco LONG TERM . CBL AVIATION . Badgett/Danco


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC 83 mi45 min 77°F
WATS1 - Lake Wateree, SC 86 mi63 min Calm G 1.9 76°F 1011.2 hPa

Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Laurinburg Maxton Airport, NC9 mi41 minSSW 910.00 miPartly Cloudy80°F71°F74%1010.7 hPa
Fayetteville, Fayetteville Regional Airport, NC21 mi40 minESE 810.00 miThunderstorm in Vicinity74°F69°F85%1010.6 hPa
Mackall U. S. Army Airfield, NC21 mi37 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy76°F76°F99%1012 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMEB

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Last 24hrW3CalmS4N3NE3NE3SE3S3SW3CalmNW6NW8SW7SW7SW9CalmS4SW8SW7S6S4SW8SW9SW9
1 day agoNE8E8NE6NE8NE7NE6NE7NE9NE8NE9N10NE10NE9N94NE46E6E6E5CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoSW4W4SE3SW4SW3W5W3NW5NW7N8NE4N8NW7N8NE9NE7NE10NE11NE12
G17
CalmNE5NE5NE8NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Conway, RR. bridge, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Conway
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Tue -- 12:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 12:52 AM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:56 AM EDT     1.41 feet High Tide
Tue -- 10:37 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:38 PM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:24 PM EDT     1.12 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.30.40.70.91.21.41.41.41.210.70.50.40.40.50.70.911.11.110.90.7

Tide / Current Tables for Grahamville, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Grahamville
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Tue -- 12:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:56 AM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:54 AM EDT     1.13 feet High Tide
Tue -- 10:37 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:42 PM EDT     0.31 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:22 PM EDT     0.90 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.30.30.30.50.811.11.11.110.80.60.40.30.30.40.60.70.80.90.90.80.7

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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