Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Florence, AL
December 7, 2024 11:54 PM CST (05:54 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:43 AM Sunset 4:40 PM Moonrise 12:47 PM Moonset 12:00 AM |
NEW! Add second zone forecast
FXUS64 KHUN 080239 AFDHUN
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Huntsville AL 839 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
New NEAR TERM
NEAR TERM
(Tonight)
Issued at 830 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
Temperatures around 8 PM CST range from the lower 30s in the DeKalb Valley to the mid 40s at various locations, including portions of the Huntsville/Decatur metro area. High, thin cirrus clouds can be observed in satellite imagery streaming into the region from the SW, in advance of an upr trough moving eastward from the Southern Plains towards the southern/central Miss Valley.
Any significant moisture advection and lift in advance of the upr trough will be confined largely to layers at or above 500mb overnight. Backing up the meager dynamic forcing, the latest model guidance suite indicates generally less than 5-10% chances for any precipitation in SW areas tonight before daybreak.
Temperatures may fall several more degrees this evening before the advancing cloud cover tends to limit further radiational cooling.
Additionally, light winds stirring (especially in northern areas)
will also tend to limit significant cooling overnight. Low temperatures are currently forecast to be in the 30s, but will probably remaining above freezing in most areas. The main exception will be in the often cooler DeKalb Valley (under similar conditions), where the latest temperature was at 31 degrees. The latest information and guidance suggests rain will begin to push eastward into the area mainly Sunday afternoon.
SHORT TERM
(Sunday through Tuesday)
Issued at 208 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
A cut off low and associated cold front will move through the TN Valley during the short term forecast amounting to several gloomy and rainy days. Sunday, SW flow ahead of the low will contribute to advecting warm, moist air into the area. Despite the overcast conditions, this will allow temps to rise into the mid 50s with dew points making an impressive recovery to the low 50s by the end of the day. Rain chances will increase from west to east Sunday afternoon with near 100% chance for rain present area wide by Sunday evening. Rain chances will decrease briefly on Monday with high rain chances returning by Tuesday morning and persisting through the day. A low chance for thunder will be possible from Sunday through Tuesday however storm development will be incredibly limited by the overall lack of instability. QPF amounts have trended down again with about and inch to an inch an a half forecast area wide.
Temps will continue to gradually warm through Tuesday aided by continual SW flow. Highs will be in the low to mid 60s each day with lows in the 40s and 50s.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday night through Friday)
Issued at 249 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
Shower activity should wind down from NW-SE during the course of Tuesday evening as the front moves east of the region. Another deep low forming over Ontario will return a high altitude northwesterly flow across the eastern Lower-48. This cold air advection pattern will definitely be felt, as lows by daybreak Wednesday chilling to and below freezing, with NW wind of 5-15 mph. Winter returns for the midweek with highs Wednesday only in the lower 40s with a steady NW flow. Under clear skies, lows Wed night should tumble into the low/mid 20s. This cold snap at the moment appears will begin relinquishing it effects as we close out the work week. Lows Wed night should range in the low/mid 20s, and highs on Thursday should warm into the mid 40s. Lows Thu night should cool into the mid/upper 20s, and highs into the low/mid 50s on Friday.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 540 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
VFR conditions likely at KHSV and KMSL TAF sites through ~18Z and then conditions are expected to gradually deteriorate as a low pressure system approaches the region from the west. Ceilings are likely to lower into MVFR range by 22-23Z, as -RA spreads eastward across the area. After the TAF end time at 09/0000Z, further reductions in ceilings and visibility into IFR range (or lower) appears possible, if not likely.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
TN...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Huntsville AL 839 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
New NEAR TERM
NEAR TERM
(Tonight)
Issued at 830 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
Temperatures around 8 PM CST range from the lower 30s in the DeKalb Valley to the mid 40s at various locations, including portions of the Huntsville/Decatur metro area. High, thin cirrus clouds can be observed in satellite imagery streaming into the region from the SW, in advance of an upr trough moving eastward from the Southern Plains towards the southern/central Miss Valley.
Any significant moisture advection and lift in advance of the upr trough will be confined largely to layers at or above 500mb overnight. Backing up the meager dynamic forcing, the latest model guidance suite indicates generally less than 5-10% chances for any precipitation in SW areas tonight before daybreak.
Temperatures may fall several more degrees this evening before the advancing cloud cover tends to limit further radiational cooling.
Additionally, light winds stirring (especially in northern areas)
will also tend to limit significant cooling overnight. Low temperatures are currently forecast to be in the 30s, but will probably remaining above freezing in most areas. The main exception will be in the often cooler DeKalb Valley (under similar conditions), where the latest temperature was at 31 degrees. The latest information and guidance suggests rain will begin to push eastward into the area mainly Sunday afternoon.
SHORT TERM
(Sunday through Tuesday)
Issued at 208 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
A cut off low and associated cold front will move through the TN Valley during the short term forecast amounting to several gloomy and rainy days. Sunday, SW flow ahead of the low will contribute to advecting warm, moist air into the area. Despite the overcast conditions, this will allow temps to rise into the mid 50s with dew points making an impressive recovery to the low 50s by the end of the day. Rain chances will increase from west to east Sunday afternoon with near 100% chance for rain present area wide by Sunday evening. Rain chances will decrease briefly on Monday with high rain chances returning by Tuesday morning and persisting through the day. A low chance for thunder will be possible from Sunday through Tuesday however storm development will be incredibly limited by the overall lack of instability. QPF amounts have trended down again with about and inch to an inch an a half forecast area wide.
Temps will continue to gradually warm through Tuesday aided by continual SW flow. Highs will be in the low to mid 60s each day with lows in the 40s and 50s.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday night through Friday)
Issued at 249 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
Shower activity should wind down from NW-SE during the course of Tuesday evening as the front moves east of the region. Another deep low forming over Ontario will return a high altitude northwesterly flow across the eastern Lower-48. This cold air advection pattern will definitely be felt, as lows by daybreak Wednesday chilling to and below freezing, with NW wind of 5-15 mph. Winter returns for the midweek with highs Wednesday only in the lower 40s with a steady NW flow. Under clear skies, lows Wed night should tumble into the low/mid 20s. This cold snap at the moment appears will begin relinquishing it effects as we close out the work week. Lows Wed night should range in the low/mid 20s, and highs on Thursday should warm into the mid 40s. Lows Thu night should cool into the mid/upper 20s, and highs into the low/mid 50s on Friday.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 540 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
VFR conditions likely at KHSV and KMSL TAF sites through ~18Z and then conditions are expected to gradually deteriorate as a low pressure system approaches the region from the west. Ceilings are likely to lower into MVFR range by 22-23Z, as -RA spreads eastward across the area. After the TAF end time at 09/0000Z, further reductions in ceilings and visibility into IFR range (or lower) appears possible, if not likely.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
TN...None.
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KMSL
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KMSL
Wind History Graph: MSL
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of Southern Mississippi Valley
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