Saturday, September21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Havelock, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 7:07PM Saturday September 21, 2019 11:48 AM EDT (15:48 UTC) Moonrise 10:57PMMoonset 12:43PM Illumination 50% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 955 Am Edt Sat Sep 21 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 6 pm edt this evening...
Rest of today..N winds around 5 kt, becoming se this afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except around 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 14 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 13 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Sun..S winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 12 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 14 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Mon night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Tue..W winds around 10 kt, becoming e. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Wed..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming s. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Havelock, NC
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location: 34.88, -76.92     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 211354
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
954 am edt Sat sep 21 2019

Synopsis
High pressure centered over the region this weekend, will drift
offshore while continuing to influence the weather early next
week. A dry cold front will cross the area Tuesday with high
pressure building back in through the rest of the work week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 1000 am Saturday... High pressure at the surface and aloft
will continue to produce quiet, dry weather across eastern nc
through tonight. Expect mostly sunny skies and light winds
today, with highs reaching the low 80s inland and upper 70s
along the coast.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Sunday
As of 315 am Saturday... With persistent high pressure in
control, expect a continuation of clear skies and light winds.

This could result in a few shallow fog patches inland after
midnight. Lows inland will be in the mid to upper 50s and low to
mid 60s coast.

Long term Sunday through Friday
As of 315 am Saturday... Upper ridging continues over the area
Sunday with surface high pressure centered offshore continuing
to ridge into the southeast through Monday. Dry weather
continues with SW flow bringing temps a few degrees above
normal.

A robust shortwave approaches the area Monday and crosses the
area Monday night into Tuesday with an attendant cold front
moving across the area late Tuesday. Moisture still looks
limited with best dynamics staying north of the area and
guidance is showing little to no precip at this time and will
keep minimal pops in the forecast.

Dry and warm conditions continue through the rest of the week
as high pressure builds back into the area Tuesday night and
Wednesday then slides offshore Wednesday night. Temps are
expected to be near to a few degrees above normal Tuesday and
Wednesday. SW flow will bring additional warming Thursday and
possibly into Friday. A cold front approaches the area late in
the week but guidance not in best agreement as to when it will
push through the area with ec on the faster side pushing the
front through Friday and GFS cmc later in the weekend.

Aviation 14z Saturday through Wednesday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 610 am Saturday... Mainly clear skies will prevail through
the period as high pressure surface and aloft produces deep
layer subsidence across the area. Strong radiational cooling
early this morning and again late tonight could result in some
shallow fog, mainly inland. Any fog erodes shortly after
sunrise, withVFR conditions during the day today.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday ...

as of 330 am Saturday... PredVFR conditions expected through
the long term with high pressure dominating much of the period.

Could see patchy shallow ground fog during the early morning
hours as good radiational cooling conditions will be present. A
cold front is progged to push across rtes Tuesday but moisture
will be limited and precip chances remain low.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 610 am Saturday... High pressure will remain over the
waters through tonight. Thus, light winds are expected across
the waters through tonight with speeds 10 kt or less forecast
south of oregon inlet. A period of SW 10-15 kt winds are
possible north of oregon inlet late today and this evening. The
main concern is the continuing elevated and hazardous long
period swell of 5-8 ft, highest north of ocracoke inlet. This
swell will be slow to subside so will continue the current sca's
through this evening. Overnight seas will subside to 3-5 ft all
waters.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday ...

as of 345 am Saturday... High pressure will be centered offshore
Sunday and Monday with S to SW around 5-15 kt. A cold front is
progged to push across the water Tuesday with winds becoming n
to NE around 10 kt. High pressure migrates across the area
Tuesday night and Wednesday with wind around 10 kt gradually
veering to E to SE by late in the day.

Seas will be around 2-4 ft Sunday into Monday, then build to
3-5 ft late Monday through Wednesday as swell from TC jerry move
into the waters.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 610 am Saturday..Long period swells will cont through the
weekend, producing an enhanced rip current threat along all
beaches, with the highest risk north of CAPE lookout today.

Although the swell will be slowly diminishing today, have
decided to continue the high surf advisory into the afternoon
for the next high tide cycle due to very long periods, >12
seconds, of the aforementioned swell. Significant wave runup
from this swell could result in beach erosion along vulnerable
stretches of the outer banks around the time of the high tide.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz196-
203>205.

High surf advisory until 3 pm edt this afternoon for ncz203-
205.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 11 pm edt this evening for amz152-
154.

Small craft advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for amz150-
156-158.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Jme sgk
short term... Jme
long term... Sk ms
aviation... Jme sk
marine... Jme sk
tides coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 17 mi54 min W 1.9 G 4.1 77°F 75°F1027.3 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 27 mi48 min WNW 5.1 G 6 76°F 1026.4 hPa (+0.0)59°F
41159 46 mi48 min 79°F5 ft
41064 47 mi40 min E 1.9 G 5.8 77°F 79°F1026.8 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC3 mi54 minVar 310.00 miFair78°F55°F47%1026.5 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC15 mi1.9 hrsNW 410.00 mi77°F55°F48%1027.5 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC16 mi54 minWSW 510.00 miFair76°F61°F60%1026.9 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC17 mi1.8 hrsNNW 310.00 miFair77°F57°F52%1026.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNKT

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr5N55N3CalmS8SE7SE4S6SE4CalmCalmSE3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3
1 day agoNE15--NE12
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NE14NE11NE10NE12NE11NE10NE11NE13NE11NE9NE9N7N8NE8N6N9N7N7NE8NE9NE7
2 days agoN17
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NE16NE16NE15N13NE12NE10N10N9N9N11N10N10NE12NE9N10NE10
G19
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:52 AM EDT     2.04 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:08 AM EDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:42 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 02:21 PM EDT     2.45 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:18 PM EDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:43 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sat -- 11:56 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.7221.91.71.30.90.70.50.60.91.41.92.22.42.42.21.91.51.10.80.70.70.9

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:46 AM EDT     1.25 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:06 AM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:42 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:15 PM EDT     1.51 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:16 PM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:43 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sat -- 11:57 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.811.21.31.210.80.60.40.30.40.60.91.21.41.51.51.31.10.90.70.50.40.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.