Friday, February28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Havelock, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:37AMSunset 6:03PM Friday February 28, 2020 5:05 PM EST (22:05 UTC) Moonrise 9:24AMMoonset 10:40PM Illumination 28% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 334 Pm Est Fri Feb 28 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through late Saturday night...
Tonight..W winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt late. Gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft, except 3 to 5 ft near shore. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy late. Isolated showers after midnight.
Sat..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Sat night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. NEar shore, seas 2 to 3 ft in the morning, then 1 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds, increasing to 11 seconds in the afternoon. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to light chop in the afternoon.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, increasing to choppy in the afternoon.
Mon night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, building to 5 to 8 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, increasing to rough. A chance of showers.
Wed..SW winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers very rough. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Havelock, NC
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location: 34.88, -76.92     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 282023 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 323 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2020

SYNOPSIS. Cooler and drier weather will dominate as high pressure builds over the area through the weekend, then a warming trends begins early next week. A strong cold front looks to move through around the middle of next week.

NEAR TERM /Through Tonight/. As of 320 PM Friday .

Clear skies over the forecast area this afternoon will give way to increasing clouds this evening in response to a shortwave trough moving into western NC at this time. As this feature crosses the state, a 500 mb vorticity maximum will develop and push across the northern portions of the forecast area tonight. This will yield a chance of showers from Greenville through the northern Outer Banks and high resolution models indicate the best chances between 3-6z and then quickly moving offshore. Forecast soundings indicate that any precipitation should fall as liquid and surface temperatures are expected to remain well above freezing while precipitation is occuring. Overnight lows will hover near the freezing mark inland with mid-30s at the coast.

SHORT TERM /Saturday through Saturday Night/. As of 320 PM Friday .

On Saturday, the upper trough axis moves offshore as the parent low pressure system moves over the Canadian Maritimes. Behind it, surface high pressure moves over the southeastern US and the Gulf of Mexico. Northwest winds will bring cooler and drier air to the area. Daytime highs will top out in the upper 40s across the north to low 50s in the south. No precipitation is expected.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 330 AM Fri . High pressure will bring cooler and drier air this weekend. A return to warm conditions by early next week with continued dry weather. More unsettled weather arrives by Tuesday or Wednesday ahead of a strong cold front.

Saturday through Sunday . A reinforcing surge of cooler and drier air will move through Sat as broad troughing persists across the ern CONUS. Sat night will be the coolest night of the period, with lows mid/upr 20s interior to the low/mid 30s coast. Sunday will begin a slow moderation in temps, though still slightly below climo. Mo sunny skies will be prevalent as high pres dominates.

Monday and Tuesday . Return to above climo as ridging returns to the Eastern CONUS. Attm it appears dry weather will persist at least through Mon as large sfc high pres will be set up along the east coast into the wrn Atlantic basin. One last cool morning for Mon with lows in the mid 30s interior to 40s beaches, then a large diurnal swing with highs Mon reaching well into the 60s to near 70 interior. Tue highs will reach into the 70s interior to 60s beaches. Will introduce rain shower chances as early as Mon night and into Tue, esp for the OBX zones, as moisture convergence increases here under broad swrly flow. Only slght chc rain for the mainland zones.

Wednesday through Thursday . Full latitude trough will sweep across the mid CONUS by mid week, pushing a strong cold front towards E NC, when we will finally see the next chc of showers. Have limited pops to the chc range, as large model discrepancies on depth of the trough, and thus timing of the system and associated cold front. Strong swrly flow develops, with gusty winds expected ahead of the front Wed. It will continue very warm, with highs well into the 70s on Wed and lows in the 55-60 degree range, some 10-20 degrees above climo.

AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 2 PM Friday . VFR conditions are expected for the vast majority of the TAF period. One exception could be at KPGV as a shortwave moves through the northern portion of the forecast area. Brief periods of rain and borderline MVFR ceilings are possible as this moves through between 3-6z Saturday morning. Otherwise gusts picking up this afternoon out of the southwest at 15-20 mph which should relax after sunset tonight. Fog or low stratus is otherwise not expected.

Long Term /Sat through Tue/ . As of 330 AM Fri . Dry weather and mainly SKC to prevail into Mon as sprawling high pres will dominate the region. Return to clouds and possible sub VFR as early as Mon night as moisture and isolated showers return to E NC.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 330 PM Fri . The latest buoy observations are showing W winds 10-15 gusting to 20 knots and seas 2-3 ft. Occasional Gale-force winds over the central waters after midnight. Seas will build to 3-4 ft into the afternoon, then peaking to 4-6 ft late tonight.

Long Term /Sat through Tue/ . As of 330 AM Fri . High pressure will be centered west and south of the waters through Sat, keeping mainly west to northwest flow in place as several reinforcing shots of CAA bring marginal periods of SCA conditions through Saturday. The high will be nearby on Sunday with lighter winds and seas. Swrly flow will increase by late Monday through Tue, bringing 15-25 kt winds and seas above 6 ft. Looking ahead, gales are possible by Wed as gradient increases even further.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EST Sunday for AMZ152-154-156- 158. Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 3 AM EST Sunday for AMZ135.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . RTE SHORT TERM . RTE LONG TERM . TL AVIATION . RTE/BM MARINE . RTE/TL/BM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 17 mi48 min SW 8 G 12 51°F 53°F1015.7 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 27 mi66 min SW 11 G 15 49°F 1015.9 hPa (-2.2)33°F
41159 46 mi36 min 61°F2 ft
41064 47 mi58 min WSW 18 G 25 53°F 63°F1015.4 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure

Link to 5 minute data for KNKT

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW12W6W5W7W6S4S3SW5NW9NW5N6N6N5N4CalmNW3NW6CalmW7W10
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1 day ago--S10S9S11S12SW13SW17
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2 days agoS4SW6S4S4SW4SW3CalmCalmS6Calm--CalmCalmE4CalmS3NW3Calm3SW6S10SW9S6S6

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:54 AM EST     0.17 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:37 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:22 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:37 AM EST     1.87 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:01 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:01 PM EST     0.13 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:38 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.91.71.30.90.50.30.20.30.71.11.61.81.91.71.30.90.50.20.10.20.61.11.51.9

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:16 AM EST     1.22 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:38 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:52 AM EST     0.10 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 09:23 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 12:31 PM EST     1.15 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:01 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:59 PM EST     0.08 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:39 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.210.80.50.30.10.10.20.40.711.11.110.80.60.30.10.10.20.40.71

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.