Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hiawassee, GA
May 9, 2024 7:01 AM EDT (11:01 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:35 AM Sunset 8:27 PM Moonrise 6:25 AM Moonset 9:42 PM |
Area Discussion for - Peachtree City, GA
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FXUS62 KFFC 090743 AFDFFC
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 343 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
Morning Area Forecast Discussion
SHORT TERM
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 335 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
Active weather anticipated again today as a second MCS moves through the CWA
Early morning convection (MCS #1) is moving off to the east.
MCS #2 is currently winding up across western TN. This system will advance eastward through the overnight hours and move through the CWA today. Models have been fairly consistent on the timing of this system over the last couple of days. The MCS should approach the far NW corner of the CWA around 10-12Z and then continue southward. The far northern portion of the outlook area should be well worked over as the MCS approaches, but a few strong storms with isolated severe storms will continue to be possible.
As the MCS moves south of the north GA mtns, the potential for severe weather will increase fairly rapidly as this area is not worked over and there will be plenty of moisture and instability to work with. In addition, plenty of deep layer shear will be present and lapse rates remain impressively steep. Damaging wind gusts, large hail and a few tornadoes will all be possible. The MCS should travel southward across the entire CWA through the early afternoon hours.
The models are progging a late period MCS (MCS #3) approaching from the west late tonight/every early Friday. The HRRR seems to be the most reasonable hi-res model regarding this convective complex.
There will likely be some timing changes and some slight track adjustments, but do think the bulk of strong/severe storms with this system could remain south of the CWA The entire CWA should be well worked over from the MCS (#2) from earlier in the day. Not sure if the atmos across the southern quarter of the CWA will have enough time to recover for strong/severe thunderstorms. However, due to the uncertainty regarding these types of systems, will leave in some higher pops in that area. Can't rule out the potential for strong and/or isolated storms in that area, but the potential should be low during the early morning hours.
The early morning MCS (#1) has produced some locally heavy rainfall across northern portions of the CWA Radar estimates/observations show some 3"-4" amounts across far NW GA...with a axis of 1"-2" extending further eastward. The second MCS is expected to be a fast mover, but will be capable of producing additional locally heavy rainfall. Will hold off issuing a FFA at this time, but do expect locally higher amounts of rainfall.
NListemaa
LONG TERM
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 335 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
Previous Discussion Below
A brief period of dry and slightly cooler weather is expected this weekend as we return to northwest flow aloft. Rain chances look to return to the region next week as another low pressure system developing in the Southern Plains moves eastward.
07
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 116 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
Thunderstorms currently to the north will continue to sag southward tonight. Progress has slowed a little, so have adjusted the timing back one hour for the tempo group. Line that moves through close to 11-12Z will have the potential for severe storms. Upped the gusts to 45kt. A brief period of shra possible on the back side of the line, but quick clearing of precip thereafter. SCT cu for the remainder of the afternoon. Winds will remain on the west side.
//ATL Confidence
06Z Update
Med-high confidence all elements.
NListemaa
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Athens 80 65 82 52 / 80 20 20 0 Atlanta 81 66 80 54 / 80 20 20 0 Blairsville 76 58 72 45 / 70 10 10 0 Cartersville 83 62 79 49 / 70 10 10 0 Columbus 84 69 84 57 / 80 60 50 0 Gainesville 80 64 79 53 / 80 10 10 0 Macon 81 69 84 56 / 80 30 30 0 Rome 84 63 79 51 / 70 10 10 0 Peachtree City 82 65 83 52 / 80 20 20 0 Vidalia 86 71 82 60 / 80 30 60 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 343 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
Morning Area Forecast Discussion
SHORT TERM
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 335 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
Active weather anticipated again today as a second MCS moves through the CWA
Early morning convection (MCS #1) is moving off to the east.
MCS #2 is currently winding up across western TN. This system will advance eastward through the overnight hours and move through the CWA today. Models have been fairly consistent on the timing of this system over the last couple of days. The MCS should approach the far NW corner of the CWA around 10-12Z and then continue southward. The far northern portion of the outlook area should be well worked over as the MCS approaches, but a few strong storms with isolated severe storms will continue to be possible.
As the MCS moves south of the north GA mtns, the potential for severe weather will increase fairly rapidly as this area is not worked over and there will be plenty of moisture and instability to work with. In addition, plenty of deep layer shear will be present and lapse rates remain impressively steep. Damaging wind gusts, large hail and a few tornadoes will all be possible. The MCS should travel southward across the entire CWA through the early afternoon hours.
The models are progging a late period MCS (MCS #3) approaching from the west late tonight/every early Friday. The HRRR seems to be the most reasonable hi-res model regarding this convective complex.
There will likely be some timing changes and some slight track adjustments, but do think the bulk of strong/severe storms with this system could remain south of the CWA The entire CWA should be well worked over from the MCS (#2) from earlier in the day. Not sure if the atmos across the southern quarter of the CWA will have enough time to recover for strong/severe thunderstorms. However, due to the uncertainty regarding these types of systems, will leave in some higher pops in that area. Can't rule out the potential for strong and/or isolated storms in that area, but the potential should be low during the early morning hours.
The early morning MCS (#1) has produced some locally heavy rainfall across northern portions of the CWA Radar estimates/observations show some 3"-4" amounts across far NW GA...with a axis of 1"-2" extending further eastward. The second MCS is expected to be a fast mover, but will be capable of producing additional locally heavy rainfall. Will hold off issuing a FFA at this time, but do expect locally higher amounts of rainfall.
NListemaa
LONG TERM
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 335 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
Previous Discussion Below
A brief period of dry and slightly cooler weather is expected this weekend as we return to northwest flow aloft. Rain chances look to return to the region next week as another low pressure system developing in the Southern Plains moves eastward.
07
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 116 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
Thunderstorms currently to the north will continue to sag southward tonight. Progress has slowed a little, so have adjusted the timing back one hour for the tempo group. Line that moves through close to 11-12Z will have the potential for severe storms. Upped the gusts to 45kt. A brief period of shra possible on the back side of the line, but quick clearing of precip thereafter. SCT cu for the remainder of the afternoon. Winds will remain on the west side.
//ATL Confidence
06Z Update
Med-high confidence all elements.
NListemaa
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Athens 80 65 82 52 / 80 20 20 0 Atlanta 81 66 80 54 / 80 20 20 0 Blairsville 76 58 72 45 / 70 10 10 0 Cartersville 83 62 79 49 / 70 10 10 0 Columbus 84 69 84 57 / 80 60 50 0 Gainesville 80 64 79 53 / 80 10 10 0 Macon 81 69 84 56 / 80 30 30 0 Rome 84 63 79 51 / 70 10 10 0 Peachtree City 82 65 83 52 / 80 20 20 0 Vidalia 86 71 82 60 / 80 30 60 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KDZJ BLAIRSVILLE,GA | 16 sm | 26 min | SSW 06 | 7 sm | Overcast | Thunderstorm Hvy Rain Mist | 63°F | 63°F | 100% | 29.84 |
Greer, SC,
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