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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Neuse Forest, NC

June 25, 2024 1:29 PM EDT (17:29 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:54 AM   Sunset 8:26 PM
Moonrise 10:41 PM   Moonset 8:31 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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AMZ137 NEuse And Bay Rivers- 1030 Am Edt Tue Jun 25 2024

Rest of today - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.

Tonight - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.

Wed - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.

Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms after midnight.

Thu - SW winds around 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the morning, then showers and tstms likely in the afternoon.

Thu night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves light chop. Showers and tstms likely.

Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.

Fri night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.

Sat - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.

Sat night - S winds around 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

AMZ100 1030 Am Edt Tue Jun 25 2024

Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - Drier high pressure will briefly build into eastern nc today. High pressure then restrengthens offshore Wednesday, with another cold front crossing into the region Thursday. High pressure then builds in behind this feature from the north late week and into the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Neuse Forest, NC
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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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667 FXUS62 KMHX 251430 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1030 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

SYNOPSIS
Drier high pressure will briefly build into eastern NC today. High pressure then restrengthens offshore Wednesday, with another weak cold front crossing into the region Thursday. High pressure then builds in behind this feature from the north late week and into the weekend, with another frontal system moving into the region late Sunday.

NEAR TERM /Through Today/
As of 1030 AM Tue...No big changes with AM update.

Prev disc
As of 605 AM Tue
Key message for todays forecast:

Dry and a little less humid but continued very warm.

High pressure will build into eastern NC from the west today.
The main effect will be to lower dewpoints to be mostly in the 60s which will make it feel a little less humid than yesterday.
It will continue very warm with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s inland and mid 80s beaches. Conditions will be much more hostile for precipitation development today due to subsidence with the building high. There will be a sea breeze later today and we could see some buildups in vicinity of it (especially over the southeast coast/southern coastal plain) but the subsidence/depth of the mid level dry air should preclude development into showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog and areas of low stratus clouds early this morning will rapidly dissipate after 12Z as mixing commences.

SHORT TERM /Tonight/
As of 300 AM Tue...High pressure will extend into the region from offshore keeping eastern NC dry. We could see some patchy fog and areas of low stratus clouds develop again late as weak return flow helps to moisten the low levels overnight. Lows will be typical for summer in the upper 60s to lower 70s inland and low to mid 70s beaches.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 330 AM Tue...Heat and humidity continue this week with high pressure ridging into the area. Heat related impacts will be a threat most afternoons through this weekend, with the most oppressive heat potential Saturday and Sunday. Mostly dry conditions likely Wednesday, with precip likely Thursday and Thursday night as a cold front moves through the area. Then more scattered diurnal activity is expected Friday through Sunday, with better chances arriving late Sunday and into Monday as another front moves in.

Wednesday through Friday...The western Atlantic ridge returns in full force Wednesday as warm moist southerly flow develops across the Carolinas. Thicknesses build rather quickly, which will allow for temperatures to soar into the upper 90s to near 100 inland, and low 90s along the coast. Though it will be humid, some mixing of drier air above the surface during the afternoon will keep heat indices from becoming extreme, but still expect values to range from 102 to 107 degrees.

Another cold front will move into the region on Thursday, and with good model consensus, confidence is increasing that we will see good coverage of rain and thunderstorms (60-70% chance)
throughout the day. Precip chances will continue Thursday night as the front crosses the area and moves offshore Friday morning.
Behind this front a marginally cooler airmass very briefly builds in but it looks like heat and humidity will win out.
Scattered shower and thunderstorm chances return Friday afternoon with the highest chances over the coastal plain.

It will be hot again and more humid Thursday ahead of the front, and if sufficient sunshine is seen before convection develops, highs will reach the low to mid 90s with heat indices climbing to 105 to 110 briefly. Slightly cooler temperatures expected Friday behind the front, but we hold on to the humidity and heat indices will again top 100 degrees and could be as high as 105 degrees.

Saturday through Monday...Heat and humidity will build again this weekend with offshore ridging restrengthening. With high humidity in place already there will be the potential for excessive heat as high temps soar into the mid to upper 90s, which will lead to heat indices reaching 105 to 110 degrees both Saturday and Sunday.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue Saturday and Sunday, with increasing rain chances coming late Sunday and into Monday as another cold front moves through the region. Behind this front early next week the heat and humidity looks to break finally with near normal conditions expected.

AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Tonight/...
As of 605 AM Tue...With high pressure in control, we are looking at mainly a VFR TAF with light winds with 2 exceptions, early this morning and late tonight. In both cases moist low levels/wet soils, and radiational cooling will lead to patchy fog and areas of low stratus clouds which will result in IFR conditions in the 8-12Z time frames. The fog and/or stratus will rapidly dissipate after 12Z due to convective mixing.

LONG TERM /Wednesday through Saturday/...
As of 330 AM Tue...Mostly VFR conditions are expected this week with high pressure ridging in over the area. However, a cold front will bring scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms to the airspace Thursday and Thursday night, which could lead to some periods of sub-VFR conditions.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Tonight/...
As of 605 AM Tue...No changes to previous thinking. Improving conditions expected for mariners through tonight with subsiding seas and sustained winds 15 kt or less as high pressure builds over the waters. Today winds will veer from NE early to SE late.
Tonight winds will continue to veer from SE to S late. Seas will be a choppy 3-5 ft this morning subsiding to 2-4 ft by this afternoon and 2-3 ft tonight.

LONG TERM /Wednesday through Saturday/...
As of 330 AM Tue...Decent boating conditions expected this week with high pressure over the area aside from Thursday when a cold front moves through.

Winds will strengthen to SSW 10-20 kts Wednesday through Wednesday night ahead of a cold front. The front will cross the waters during the day Thursday from north to south with winds becoming NE at 5-15 kts behind it and remaining SW 5-15 kts to its south. Veering NE to E flow is then expected Friday at 5-15 kts, with winds becoming SE at 10-15 kts Saturday. Seas will be mostly 2-4 ft this week.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ195- 196-199.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi60 minE 11G16 82°F 82°F29.98
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 32 mi90 minE 15G17 80°F 30.00


Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KNKT
   
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Wind History graph: NKT
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Tide / Current for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
   
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Core Creek Bridge
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Tue -- 05:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:26 AM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:30 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 12:11 PM EDT     2.08 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:29 PM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:39 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
2.5
1
am
2.2
2
am
1.8
3
am
1.2
4
am
0.7
5
am
0.2
6
am
-0
7
am
0
8
am
0.3
9
am
0.8
10
am
1.4
11
am
1.9
12
pm
2.1
1
pm
2
2
pm
1.7
3
pm
1.2
4
pm
0.7
5
pm
0.3
6
pm
0.1
7
pm
0.1
8
pm
0.4
9
pm
0.9
10
pm
1.5
11
pm
2


Tide / Current for Newport River, North Carolina
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Newport River
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Tue -- 05:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:08 AM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:55 AM EDT     3.11 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:12 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:39 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Newport River, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
3.6
1
am
3.2
2
am
2.5
3
am
1.6
4
am
0.8
5
am
0.2
6
am
-0.1
7
am
0.1
8
am
0.7
9
am
1.5
10
am
2.3
11
am
2.9
12
pm
3.1
1
pm
2.9
2
pm
2.4
3
pm
1.6
4
pm
0.9
5
pm
0.3
6
pm
0.1
7
pm
0.2
8
pm
0.8
9
pm
1.6
10
pm
2.5
11
pm
3.2


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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Morehead City, NC,




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