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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ashley Heights, NC

June 25, 2024 1:06 AM EDT (05:06 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:01 AM   Sunset 8:35 PM
Moonrise 10:51 PM   Moonset 8:41 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ashley Heights, NC
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Area Discussion for - Raleigh, NC
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402 FXUS62 KRAH 250158 AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 958 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

SYNOPSIS
Weak high pressure will pass over the area late tonight through early Tuesday, then push quickly offshore late Tuesday, allowing hot and humid conditions to return for Wednesday. Another front will approach from the northwest early Thursday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 955 PM Monday...

The 00Z upper air analyses show the H25 trough over the Northeast and mid-Atlantic, while the H5 trough was slightly east, mainly along the East Coast. There is still plenty of moisture evident at H7 and H85, although some drier air was creeping into the northern Piedmont. At the surface, the front has progressed through most of central NC, however there are still some mid 70s dewpoints over the Coastal Plain as of 01Z. Dewpoints elsewhere generally range from mid 60s to mid 60s. The surface high, over OH/PA as of 01Z, should settle ssewd to over WV/VA tonight. The question is if the surface boundary will remain stalled over the Coastal Plain tonight or whether/how far the high will help push it sewd. Where the higher dewpoint air remains, some fog/low stratus will be possible.
Otherwise, expect lows mainly in the mid 60s to around 70 degrees, although a few isolated spots could stay a bit above 70.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT/
As of 400 PM Monday...

Tuesday will be largely precipitation free across central NC as the trough exits into the Atlantic and is replaced by weak ridging over the Southeast US. Our region will also be under a much drier more stable airmass behind the cold front. Surface high pressure over the Appalachians in the morning will move east into the Atlantic during the day, shifting the low-level flow to a more southerly direction.
Thus there will be very little to no change in temperatures from today despite today`s cold frontal passage, with highs again in the lower-to-mid-90s. Where there will be a noticeable difference is the humidity, as dew points will mix out into the upper-50s to lower-60s in the afternoon. So heat indices will be very similar to the air temperatures. The one possible area of precipitation is from Fayetteville south and east, where some CAMS (mainly the HRRR and RAP), show enough instability for a few showers and storms to develop along the sea breeze. But the other CAMS are much less impressed. Given this and the unfavorable upper pattern, only carry slight chance POPs there at this time. Lows Tuesday night will be in the upper-60s to lower-70s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
As of 205 PM Monday...

Hot Temperatures Will Continue through Next Weekend

Seasonable/Climo Rain Chances Return

Heat and humidity increases Wednesday ahead of another approaching weak cold front that will cross the area Wednesday night/early Thursday. Wednesday looks to be the hottest day of the week, with afternoon temps expected to top out between 95-100, and heat indices in the upper 90s NW to 100-105 over central and eastern NC. While some isolated pre-frontal convection is possible Wednesday afternoon/evening, the bulk of central NC will most likely see it`s rainfall from an ana-frontal rain band that will cross the area late Wednesday night and Thursday. There`s a very plausible chance that the front could stall out or quickly lift back north as a warm front on Friday, resulting in additional rain chances. Right now, precipitation amounts looks to be light, with average rainfall amounts expected to be between 0.10-0.25", with some localized heavier amounts.

The heat should briefly moderate on Thursday with troughing moving through. However, the subtropical ridge initially centered over the southern Plains will expand eastward into the Southeast Friday and over next weekend, bringing a renewed threat for hazardous heat with heat indices again in the upper 90s NW to 100 to 105 across central and eastern NC.

Another cold front, potentially the strongest of the week, is slated to cross the area late Sunday into the day on Monday, and will bring additional rain chances in showers and storms, and another brief stint of cooler, less humid conditions early next week.

AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 650 PM Monday...

There will generally be VFR conditions through the 24-hour TAF period. The only threat of some sub-VFR conditions would be at FAY and RWI. The cold front has pushed through, although some of the recent CAMs indicate there could be an isolated shower at FAY or RWI between 00-03z. Confidence on this occurring is too low to mention in the TAF. Moisture will be slow to erode at FAY/RWI overnight tonight and because of that, some low stratus or fog could form at these terminals into early Tue. Confidence is overall low but was high enough to mention in a TEMPO group with low 70s dewpoints over the Coastal Plain. VFR should prevail at all sites Tue morning and afternoon, though a low-end chance of a shower or storm could form at FAY in the aftn/eve with the sea-breeze.

Looking beyond 00z Wed: Some early morning stratus or fog could form Wed morning. Isolated late day storms are possible late Wed, followed by a better chance of afternoon/evening showers and storms Thu, along with possible sub-VFR ceilings Thu morning. Otherwise, outside of any storms, the risk of widespread sub-VFR conditions is low through Sat.

CLIMATE

Record High Temperatures:

June 24: KRDU: 99/2010 KFAY: 102/1914

June 25: KRDU: 100/1952 KFAY: 102/1914

June 26: KRDU: 102/1952 KFAY: 101/1951

June 27: KFAY: 102/1998

Record High Minimum Temperatures:

June 24: KGSO: 76/2015 KRDU: 76/1888 KFAY: 79/2010

June 25: KFAY: 75/1952

June 26: KGSO: 74/2010 KRDU: 76/1902 KFAY: 76/1997

June 27: KGSO: 76/1969 KRDU: 76/1952 KFAY: 77/1998

June 28: KGSO: 76/1969 KRDU: 76/1952 KFAY: 78/1914

RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.




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Tide / Current for Conway, RR. bridge, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
   
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Conway
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Mon -- 05:31 AM EDT     1.56 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:06 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 12:04 PM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:45 PM EDT     1.20 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:58 PM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Conway, RR. bridge, Waccamaw River, South Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
-0
1
am
0.3
2
am
0.7
3
am
1.1
4
am
1.4
5
am
1.5
6
am
1.5
7
am
1.4
8
am
1.1
9
am
0.7
10
am
0.4
11
am
0.1
12
pm
0
1
pm
0.1
2
pm
0.4
3
pm
0.7
4
pm
1
5
pm
1.2
6
pm
1.2
7
pm
1.1
8
pm
0.9
9
pm
0.6
10
pm
0.3
11
pm
0


Tide / Current for Grahamville, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Grahamville
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Mon -- 12:14 AM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:06 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:29 AM EDT     1.25 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:08 PM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:43 PM EDT     0.96 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Grahamville, Waccamaw River, South Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
-0.1
1
am
-0
2
am
0.2
3
am
0.5
4
am
0.9
5
am
1.1
6
am
1.2
7
am
1.2
8
am
1.1
9
am
0.9
10
am
0.6
11
am
0.3
12
pm
0.1
1
pm
0
2
pm
0.1
3
pm
0.3
4
pm
0.6
5
pm
0.8
6
pm
0.9
7
pm
1
8
pm
0.9
9
pm
0.7
10
pm
0.4
11
pm
0.2


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Raleigh/Durham, NC,




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