Thursday, July9, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ocracoke, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:00AMSunset 8:25PM Thursday July 9, 2020 3:28 AM EDT (07:28 UTC) Moonrise 10:39PMMoonset 9:11AM Illumination 85% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 317 Am Edt Thu Jul 9 2020
Today..E winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt this afternoon. Waves 2 feet, subsiding to 1 ft. A slight chance of tstms. Showers until late afternoon, then showers likely late.
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of tstms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat night..SW winds around 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..SW winds around 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ocracoke, NC
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location: 35.12, -75.99     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 090716 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 316 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

SYNOPSIS. An area of low pressure along the southeast North Carolina coast will continue to slowly lift northeast along the coast today and move north of the area tonight. The low will then gradually lift north along the Mid Atlantic coast through late week. A weak front trailing the low will linger near the region into early next week.

NEAR TERM /TODAY/. As of 3 AM Thu . Low pres just S of Cape Lookout will slowly move NNE along the coast today. Best cvrg of rain wil be along the coast along and N of low track. Expect shra to increase inland with heating but cvrg shld remain more sct. With high precip wtr values will cont to see locally heavy downpours, espcly near cst. Some wind gust to 25 mph or so will be poss with showers. Highs low/mid 80s cst with mid to a few upr 80s inland.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 3 AM Thu . The low will cont to lift NNE and move N of region gradually. Decent cvrg of shra early NE tier will grad sct out with inland ares seeing precip tapering off or ending. Lows will cont in the 70s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 3 AM Thu .

Friday/Friday night . The area of low pressure currently off our coast now will be moving north and out of the area by Friday morning. Some wrap around showers are possible across the far northeast in the morning. Then toward afternoon, diurnal instability combined with a 500 mb trof over eastern North Carolina will be enough for a new round of showers and thunderstorms. Despite the area of low pressure moving north of our area, PWATS remain near or above 2", so locally heavy rain is still possible.

Saturday . While showers and storms can't be ruled out the entire long term period, Saturday at this vantage point looks to be the highest chance of the period. A cold front will move over our area while washing out. Meanwhile upstairs we will have a 500 mb short wave moving in late in the day. This shortwave will enhance precipitation changes mainly along and west of highway 17, and we will increased pops here to likely. Our atmosphere still will be soupy, with PWATS above 2" so again, locally heavy downpours will be possible. We remain hot, with highs well into the 90s inland.

Sunday through Tuesday . Not a lot of a pattern change Sunday and Monday. With a upper level high over the desert southwest, and another out in the Atlantic, the east coast will be under the influence of a broad trof. The deep southwest flow will keep our area hot or normal for this time of the year, with highs into the 90s away from the beaches. While the models don't show discrete features yet, the daily instability and trof in the east is enough to continue a 30-40% chance of storms each day. While not a washout, highest chances likely will coincide will peak heating during the afternoon. By Tuesday a more summerlike pattern shapes up, with a bermuda high building westward and our heights will begin to rise, diminishing our rain chances but keeping us hot.

AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 1245 AM Thu . Satl and observations show IFR stratus has developed SW tier and bulk of guidance shows this expanding N and E across rest of taf sites next few hrs. The low cigs will grad lift to MVFR mid morn Thu and appears for taf sites will cont to lift to VFR this aftn. Sct to poss numerous shra expected from mid morn on with brief lowering of vsbys poss. Looks like pred VFR tonight as better rain chcs shift to the NE with most guidance cont VFR cigs. There is some potential for some patchy fog late but confidence too low to add yet.

Long Term /Fri through Monday/ . As of 3 AM Thu . Mainly VFR through the period. Potential for brief MVFR restrictions especially during the afternoon in periods of showers or thunderstorms. Early morning fog also possible where we see rainfall the following morning.

MARINE. Short Term /Today and tonight/ . as of 3 AM Thu . Low pres near Cape Lookout will slowly lift NE along coast thru evening and move N of region tonight. The low may strengthen slowly and NHC conts to monitor for poss trop development. Appears best winds will stay E and poss N of wtrs with speeds aob 15 kts srn tier and E to SE 15 to 20 kts central and N today. As the low lifts N tonight winds become W to SW at 10 to 15 kts. The onshore fetch N of the low combined with locally higher gusts assoc with shra could produce some 6 foot seas outer wtrs and have a SCA starting N of Ocracoke around daybreak thru late this aftn. Seas tonight will cont 2 to 4 ft S and 3 to 5 ft central and N.

Long Term /Fri through Monday/ . As of 3 AM Thu . Very similar wind speed and directions on the waters through the entire period, but our wave heights will vary quiet a bit. Small craft conditions due to increasing seas possible Sunday and Monday.

Southwest winds will prevail through the period at generally 10 to 20 kts. With a departing area of low pressure Friday seas will remain a bit elevated or 3 to 5 feet, decreasing a bit Saturday, 2 to 4. Swell will increase again Sunday and Monday with a prolonged steady southwest wind. Seas look to build to 4 to 6 feet all coastal waters, which may produce marginal small craft conditions due to wave heights.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Beach Hazards Statement from 8 AM EDT this morning through this evening for NCZ196-203>205. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM this morning to 5 PM EDT this afternoon for AMZ150-152-154.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . RF SHORT TERM . RF LONG TERM . EH AVIATION . EH/RF MARINE . EH/RF


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 16 mi59 min ESE 13 G 18 79°F 82°F1010.5 hPa
41025 - Diamond Shoals 34 mi169 min SE 19 G 23 80°F 82°F1010.5 hPa76°F
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 45 mi89 min ENE 17 G 19 78°F 1009.4 hPa (-0.9)
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 46 mi59 min ENE 5.1 G 8 77°F 84°F1009.4 hPa

Wind History for USCG Station Hatteras, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hatteras, Mitchell Field, NC21 mi38 minESE 17 G 253.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist79°F75°F88%1010.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHSE

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE5S8SE7SE11SE10SE12S10S10SE10SE9SE5SE12SW7S9
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmE3E5E6SE6SE8SE8SE9SE9S9SW7SW4SW5S6S5S5S4SE5SE6SE6SW5S4
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2 days agoS3CalmW3CalmCalm3CalmW3S5S6S6S6S6S7S8SW6S5S5S9S5SW5SW6SW3W3

Tide / Current Tables for Ocracoke, Ocracoke Island, North Carolina
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Ocracoke
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:20 AM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:30 AM EDT     0.84 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:49 PM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:49 PM EDT     1.03 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.10.90.70.50.30.20.10.10.30.50.70.80.80.70.60.40.20.20.20.20.30.60.81

Tide / Current Tables for Hatteras Inlet, North Carolina
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Hatteras Inlet
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:31 AM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:40 AM EDT     1.94 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:40 PM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:51 PM EDT     2.07 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.11.81.30.80.40.10.10.30.71.21.61.91.91.71.410.60.30.30.50.81.31.72

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.