Wednesday, December11, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ocracoke, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:03AMSunset 4:58PM Wednesday December 11, 2019 12:06 AM EST (05:06 UTC) Moonrise 4:41PMMoonset 6:16AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 926 Pm Est Tue Dec 10 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday afternoon...
Overnight..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt, then becoming N 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt late. Waves 1 ft, then 2 to 3 ft. A chance of rain late this evening and early morning, then rain likely late.
Wed..N winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Rain likely, mainly in the morning.
Wed night..N winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves around 3 ft.
Thu night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..E winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming s. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely, then showers.
Sat..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ocracoke, NC
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location: 35.12, -75.99     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 110221 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 921 PM EST Tue Dec 10 2019

SYNOPSIS. A strong cold front will move through tonight and early Wednesday. High pressure will build south from the Great Lakes Thursday. Another cold front will cross the area Friday and move offshore early Saturday. High pressure will then build over the region Sunday into Monday of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/. As of 920 PM Tuesday . ***New Bern just missed tying their high temperature record by 1 degree and Cape Hatteras tied their daily record high today.*** The cold front was moving rapidly through eastern NC and was located roughly along Highway 17 this evening. The front is forecast to be completely offshore by 1 or 2 AM. The trend in the 18Z models and current radar imagery is for a drier precipitation event that starts later than earlier forecast behind the front. Have trimmed back PoPs from categorical to low end likely and delayed onset of more widespread precipitation until after midnight. Would expect the bulk of the light rain to arrive after about 06z and continue through the early morning hours. This will be a high PoP but low QPF event with rain totals in most areas likely to only be around 0.10 inch or so, with perhaps a few spots receiving up to a 0.25 inch. Once the front passes, winds will become quite gusty from the north with plummeting temperatures. Lows by morning will be in the low/middle 40s inland and mid to upper 40s coast.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/. As of 650 PM Tuesday . Strong cold air advection will limit much rise in temperature for Wednesday with highs only in the mid to upper 40s inland to the lower 50s along the coast. Per most of the high-resolution guidance, most of the light rainfall should end by late morning as dewpoints quickly drop into the 30s by midday. This will also lead to some slow clearing of skies by late morning with some sunshine likely by later in the afternoon. Gusty N/NE winds should subside some by later in the day Wednesday.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 330 PM Tue . Periods of unsettled weather expected through much of the long term period, with roller coaster temps as a progressive/amplified active weather pattern is expected.

Wednesday night through Thursday . Strong high pressure will build in from the north with much cooler and drier air mass. Lows will be near or below freezing for all but the coastal areas, where brisk NNE winds will keep temps in the 30s and low 40s. Despite the widespread sunshine, highs Thu only in the 40s area wide.

Friday through Saturday . Rain chances inc Fri as deep srly flow increases with digging long wave trough across the lower MS River Valley, which will spur low pressure development over the deep south. This low will ride up the coast rapidly, with rain becoming likely through the day Fri, peaking Fri evening when best UVV/Fgen/PWATS will converge. Bumped pops up to categorical this period, as good model to model consistency as well as spaghetti ensembles converging on this solution. Widespread moderate to heavy rain will be possible. Depending on exact track of the low, there could be potential for strong to even severe storms if storm track is further inland. Latest 10/00Z ECM indicates aoa 500 J/KG of sfc based capes advecting into the area with plentiful shear.

Sunday through Monday . Drier conditions with near to above normal temps expected late weekend to early next week as quasi zonal flow develops. Another system may quickly be moving in, but this feature difficult to pinpoint this far out in time, so will leave Monday dry attm.

AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Short Term /through Wednesday/ . As of 650 PM Tuesday . Still expecting a prolonged period of sub VFR conditions developing from 1-3Z this evening and ending 18-20Z Wed. A rapidly moving cold front will be east of the TAF sites by 3Z with winds shifting to N and gusting to around 20 kt. Ceilings will drop to MVFR levels with periods of light rain through early morning. Although the signal is not strong, have included a period of IFR ceilings 9-15Z based on climatology with moist northerly post frontal regimes. Ceilings rise to MVFR by late morning as the rain dissipates, then ceilings become VFR by late afternoon as drier air finally filters into the area. The gusty winds are also expected to diminish late in the afternoon as high pressure builds over the area.

Long Term /Wed Night through Sunday/ . As of 330 PM Tue . Dry weather returns by Weds evening as high pressure builds in. Another system moves in by Friday with the development of rain with more sub VFR conditions expected through Friday night to perhaps early Saturday.

MARINE. Short Term /Tonight and Wednesday/ . As of 920 PM Tuesday . Cold front currently crossing eastern NC early this evening, and should be moving off of the coast shortly after midnight. Winds will veer from SW/W to N/NNE and abruptly increase behind the front with a good surge of 20-25 knot winds with gusts to 30 knots. SCA will continue on the coastal waters for several days as gusty winds and periods of rough seas continue.

Long Term /Wed Night through Sunday/ . As of 340 PM Tue . No changes to previous thinking with an active weather pattern expected through the end of the week and into the weekend which will result in hazardous boating conditions with strong winds and elevated seas AOA 6 ft through the period. Winds will continue N 15-25 kt behind cold front Wed Night into Thur with large dangerous seas continuing above 6 ft through at least Sat as yet another storm system moves through the waters Fri night and Sat.

CLIMATE. Record High temps for 12/10 Tuesday

LOCATION TEMP/YEAR New Bern 79/2007 (KEWN ASOS) Cape Hatteras 73/1986 (KHSE ASOS) Greenville 79/2007 (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS) Morehead City 73/2007 (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS) Kinston 78/2007 (COOP - Not KISO AWOS) Jacksonville 79/2007 (KNCA ASOS)

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Wednesday for AMZ131-135- 230-231. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Sunday for AMZ150-152-154- 156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . JME/CTC SHORT TERM . MS LONG TERM . TL AVIATION . JME/TL MARINE . JME/CTC/TL/BM CLIMATE . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 16 mi54 min SW 8 G 12 67°F 62°F1017.1 hPa
41025 - Diamond Shoals 34 mi36 min SSW 19 G 25 74°F 73°F1017 hPa67°F
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 45 mi66 min SSW 12 G 17 67°F 1017.8 hPa (-0.4)
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 46 mi54 min SSW 8 G 9.9 65°F 58°F1017.6 hPa

Wind History for USCG Station Hatteras, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hatteras, Mitchell Field, NC21 mi75 minSW 86.00 miFog/Mist69°F66°F90%1017 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHSE

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Ocracoke, Ocracoke Island, North Carolina
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Ocracoke
Click for Map
Wed -- 06:16 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 06:33 AM EST     1.19 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:01 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 01:34 PM EST     0.11 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:40 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:52 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:46 PM EST     0.84 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.10.20.40.711.21.21.10.80.60.30.20.10.10.20.40.60.80.80.80.60.40.2

Tide / Current Tables for Hatteras Inlet, North Carolina
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Hatteras Inlet
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:12 AM EST     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:15 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 06:38 AM EST     2.12 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 01:03 PM EST     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:39 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:50 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:58 PM EST     1.61 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.3-0.20.10.71.21.82.12.11.91.40.80.3-0.1-0.3-0.20.20.71.11.51.61.51.10.60.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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