Saturday, August24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Vandemere, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:33AMSunset 7:47PM Saturday August 24, 2019 7:10 AM EDT (11:10 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 1:52PM Illumination 36% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 640 Am Edt Sat Aug 24 2019
Today..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt, becoming ne. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A slight chance of tstms. A chance of showers this morning, then showers likely this afternoon.
Tonight..NE winds around 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A slight chance of tstms. Showers likely.
Sun..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of tstms in the morning. Showers likely.
Sun night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon night..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming s. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Vandemere, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 35.17, -76.65     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmhx 240750
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
350 am edt Sat aug 24 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will push south through the area today. The front
will stall well offshore Sunday with low pressure moving along
it Monday. Another cold front will approach the area mid to late
week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 230 am sat... Latest sfc analysis shows cold front
extending from the northern coastal plain, through the albemarle
sound and northern outer banks early this morning. The front
will continue to push south towards the southern coast this
morning, and should be offshore by early afternoon. Behind the
front, high pressure to the north will shift east and set up a
weak wedge to our west, ushering in a cooler and more stable
airmass. Latest radar imagery shows isolated to widely scattered
showers this morning, best coverage offshore. Will continue
chance pops this morning increasing to high chance likely this
afternoon and early evening. Most cams show best chances along
the southern coast this afternoon, closer to the front near area
of better convergence and instability. A thin axis of
instability is possible along the coast as shown by hi-res
guidance, but given the expected considerable cloud cover and ne
winds, TSTM chances look more isolated. Pwats will remain
2-2.25 inches today, so the main concern still looks like a
localized flood threat, especially considering the recent
substantial rainfall many areas have received. With the wedge,
mostly cloudy skies and NE flow, expect to see temps
considerably cooler with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Sunday
As of 230 am sat... The front will remain offshore tonight, as
high pressure builds in from the north and moist low level ne
flow continues across enc. Scattered to numerous showers will
continue through the evening, as decent overrunning regime sets
up with h85 mb flow still srly. Pw values are above 2" and deep
warm cloud layer with the best convergence near the low mid
level frontal across SRN and eastern half of the forecast area.

Lows will drop into the upper 60s inland to low 70s along the
coast.

Long term Sunday through Friday
As of 345 am sat... Unsettled weather continues and a possible
tropical system moves well offshore away from nc coast early
next week. A cold front will approach the area from the west by
midweek and push through towards the end of the workweek.

Sunday through Tuesday... The mid to upper level trough over the
ne CONUS will start to slide farther east... Allowing for weak
disturbance to move across the carolinas, while quasi-
stationary frontal boundary remain along the enc
coast... Allowing for additional unsettled weather for Sunday.

Overall, the latest models have most of the coverage over the
southern half of the forecast area, while the intensity doesn't
appear to be too impressive; so rain amounts do not look too
high, even along coastal areas. Have trended the pops slightly
lower, but will continue to mention of likely pops over the
coastal zone with chance of pops inland.

The 00z model suite is starting to have an agree with the
development of possible tropical system. The 00z ecwmf continues
to be the most aggressive with the development of the tropical
system, but now the ecwmf has support from the cmc UKMET with
the development. These models show the system would be farther
east from the nc coast by Monday and Tuesday... Indicating most
of the impacts would be related to the water in the form of
rough surf, strong rip currents, and possible heavy rainfall.

While the GFS continues to be the outlier as the system is
weaker and closer to the nc coast. With the expected east track
(away from nc coast)... Expect gusty winds along the coast as
the high pressure ridges into the carolinas (inland) and
possible tropical system to the southeast. Will continue to
mention chance pops during this period.

Wednesday through Friday... High pressure should build back in
late Tue as the low departs ne. Models are showing a shortwave
approaching carolinas followed by a cold front push through
Thursday which will trigger additional showers both days. High
pressure will rebuild again Friday with drier conditions.

Expect highs to climb back towards climo, in the mid upr 80s.

Lows continue in the 60s interior to low 70s coast.

Aviation 08z Saturday through Wednesday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 230 am sat... Challenging forecast through the period, with
widespread sub-vfr conditions expected. A cold front will sink
south through the terminals this morning, and most guidance
shows ifr ceilings developing behind it in the N NE flow. Pgv
already down to ifr. Think ceilings will lift to MVFR late this
morning and early afternoon, but confidence remains low as ifr
could persist through the day in the moist NE flow. Scattered to
numerous shra and a few storms expected today, with best
chances this afternoon and evening. Widespread low clouds likely
to continue overnight into early Sunday.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday ...

as of 345 am sat... A quasi-stationary boundary will remain
close to the nc coast Sunday... Leading to unsettled weather and
occasional sub-vfr conditions. Flying conditions are expected to
improve as some drier conditions filters in.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 230 am sat... Latest obs show westerly winds 10-15 kt with
gust to 20 kt across the outer central and southern waters,
with seas 2-4 ft. A cold front currently moving through the
northern waters and albemarle sound will continue to sink
southward today, and push through the southern waters by early
afternoon. Winds gradually shift to the N and then NE 10-15 kt
behind the front. A surge of N nne winds expected mainly for the
northern waters and sounds at around 15 knots this afternoon
and evening, though a brief stronger surge 15-20 kt will be
possible. Seas mainly 2-4 ft today. Gradient tightens overnight
and early Sunday morning, with NE winds increasing to 10-20 kt,
maybe as strong as 15-25 kt north of oregon inlet. Will likely
need to go with a SCA beginning early Sun morning, at least for
the northern waters with increasing winds and building seas.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday ...

as of 345 am sat... Wind gradient will tighten Sunday as a low
pressure system organizes to the south, and high pressure wedges
in to our west. NE winds 15-25 knots with higher gusts. Gusty ne
winds continues Monday as potential tropical system moves ne
well off of the nc coast. Seas and swell will build to greater
than 6 ft by Sunday and remain that way through Monday as the
system tracks ne. As the system moves ne, winds will gradually
diminish on Tuesday to AOA 15 knots and by Wednesday N NE 5-10
knots. Seas will slowly subside below 6ft Wednesday.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 5 am Sunday to 8 pm edt Tuesday for
amz150.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Cqd
short term... Cqd
long term... Tl bm
aviation... Cqd bm
marine... Cqd bm


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 31 mi52 min N 8 G 11 75°F 85°F1017.2 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 38 mi70 min N 8 G 8.9 76°F 1016.2 hPa (+0.0)72°F
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 50 mi58 min N 13 G 15 77°F 82°F1016.3 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
Last
24hr
SW5
G8
SW5
G12
W6
G10
W6
G12
SW6
G13
SW9
G12
SW8
G13
S15
SW13
G18
S16
S15
G19
S14
G18
SW13
G22
SW9
G15
SW7
G12
SW5
G9
W4
G8
NW3
G7
N7
G10
NW4
G7
NW6
G9
NW5
G11
N8
N8
G11
1 day
ago
SW6
G10
SW4
G12
SW9
G17
SW6
G12
SW6
G13
SW7
G14
SW9
G14
SW11
G16
S15
G19
S16
G20
S14
G20
S15
G19
SW12
G16
SW10
G15
SW7
G12
SW6
G11
SW9
G14
SW9
G14
SW10
G16
SW7
G13
SW6
G10
SW7
G13
SW7
SW5
G10
2 days
ago
SW7
G10
SW8
SW8
G12
SW8
G13
SW7
G11
SW9
G13
SW14
G17
SW11
G17
SW16
SW15
G21
SW15
G22
SW12
G19
SW11
G17
SW13
G18
SW10
G17
SW12
G17
SW8
G16
SW7
G15
SW10
G15
SW7
G10
SW6
G10
SW5
G9
SW4
G9
SW4
G11

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC14 mi14 minN 610.00 miMostly Cloudy77°F73°F88%1017.1 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC22 mi16 minNE 1110.00 miOvercast73°F72°F96%1017.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWN

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
Last 24hrSW5W11W9SW9SW9
G16
SW10W7SW9S10
G18
S9S11
G19
S11SW10W3SW4S3NW5CalmW3NW3CalmN6N6NE11
1 day agoSW10SW7SW8W7W7SW9
G15
W6SW6S8W5S6SW4W8SW5CalmCalmCalmSW4SW4SW6SW5SW7SW4SW4
2 days agoS5SW11
G15
W10SW11SW7SW4W7SW10SW8SW7S6S9S8S8SW8SW8SW7
G15
SW7SW5SW5SW5SW7SW6SW7

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:30 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:19 AM EDT     1.92 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:37 AM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:51 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:54 PM EDT     2.36 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:51 PM EDT     0.58 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
1.11.41.71.91.91.71.410.70.50.50.71.11.522.32.42.221.61.20.90.60.6

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
North River Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:30 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:17 AM EDT     1.64 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:59 AM EDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:50 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:53 PM EDT     2.02 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:43 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.60.81.21.51.61.61.51.20.90.60.50.40.50.81.21.61.921.91.71.41.10.80.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (7,2,3,4)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.