Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Frisco, NC
April 24, 2024 12:34 AM EDT (04:34 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:22 AM Sunset 7:48 PM Moonrise 7:42 PM Moonset 5:28 AM |
AMZ154 S Of Cape Hatteras To Ocracoke Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm Including The Monitor National Marine Sanctuary- 738 Pm Edt Tue Apr 23 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through late Wednesday night - .
Tonight - SE winds around 5 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt late this evening, then becoming sw 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds.
Wed - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds.
Wed night - W winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw around 10 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft, subsiding to 3 to 5 ft after midnight. Dominant period 8 seconds. A slight chance of showers.
Thu - N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft in the afternoon. Dominant period 7 seconds.
Thu night - NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Fri - NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt in the morning. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Fri night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Sat - E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming se after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Sun - S winds around 10 kt, becoming sw. Seas around 3 ft.
AMZ100 738 Pm Edt Tue Apr 23 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - High pressure centered to the south will push further offshore tonight with a frontal passage expected on Wednesday. High pressure builds back into the area from the north on Thursday and eventually slides offshore this weekend.
Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
(hide/show) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KMHX 240001 AFDMHX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 801 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure centered to the south will push further offshore tonight with a frontal passage expected on Wednesday. High pressure builds back into the area from the north on Thursday and eventually slides offshore this weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 745 PM Tuesday...
Early this evening, a ~1023mb SFC high was located SE of Charleston, SC, with southerly return flow ongoing across the Carolinas. Off to the NW, a cold front was moving east through southern Indiana. Locally, the seabreeze has penetrated well inland, with a brief period of gusty south winds noted on area obs.
For the evening update, I increased winds along the advancing seabreeze to better reflect what is being seen on obs. Otherwise, the forecast is tracking nicely, and no other significant changes were needed.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...As we get into tonight high pressure will gradually push offshore with a cold front gradually approaching from the north and west. This will keep a slightly pinched gradient across the CWA tonight allowing winds to remain elevated at about 5-10 mph coming from the S-SW. While skies will continue to remain clear tonight, this elevated S'rly wind field will keep temps mild as compared to last night with lows getting down into the low to mid 50s.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY/
As of 330 PM Tue...As we get into Wednesday a cold front will continue to approach ENC from the north and west eventually beginning to track across the area Wed afternoon and evening.
This will do a few things, it will increase cloud cover as mid and upper level moisture begin to stream in from the south and west out ahead of the incoming front, as well as bring a chance for some light shower activity across ENC from about 2PM on into this evening. Latest Hi-Res guidance has come in rather robust with precip chances, and with the HRRR probabilities of seeing at least 0.01 inches of precip around 40-70%, have increased precip chances slightly closer to 20-25% Wed afternoon though given the latest trends PoPs may need to increase further on future updates. Even with this front approaching and beginning to move through the area during peak heating both ensemble and deterministic probs for thunder are less than 10% so have kept thunder out of the forecast on Wed. Finally the only other impact this front will bring Will be to disrupt the wind field around the frontal passage with 10-15 mph SW'rly winds briefly becoming W-NW'rly at 5-10 mph directly behind the front. Temps on Wed get into the low to mid 70s everywhere but the NOBX where mid to upper 60s are currently forecast.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 400 AM Tuesday...Fairly quiet stretch in the long term with high pressure dominating.
Wednesday night...Dry cold front will move through Wednesday night from NW to SE. As the front moves through Wednesday night into Thursday morning, northerly wind gusts will be increasing, but should remain below 30 kts.
Thursday to Monday...With the cold front now offshore, gusty conditions will prevail through the afternoon, particularly for OBX where gusts of 30mph are possible. High pressure lingers to our north Thursday, and will remain near the eastern seaboard through the end of the work week, aided by omega blocking aloft.
Remainder of the long term remains uneventful due to the high. Low moving through the eastern US in the weekend will encounter this stubborn high, and some uncertainty remains on if it will be pushed north around the high, or if the high will give way.
If the low moves north, we will have less chances of precip in the weekend. If the low is able to shift the high offshore, we will see increased chances of precip. No mentionable PoPs with this update for Saturday as high looks to shelter us from any incoming precip. High will shift to our south in the weekend, and easterly flow will gradually veer to become southwesterly at the start of next week. After Wednesday's cold front, high temps gradually increase every day, above 80 inland Sunday onwards.
AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
SHORT TERM /Through 00z Thursday/...
As of 745 PM Tuesday...
KEY MESSAGES
1) VFR conditions expected (>80% chance) through Wednesday
2) Gusty SW winds (20-30kt) develop during the day Wednesday
3) A cold front moves through Wednesday afternoon w/ isolated SHRA
FORECAST DETAILS
High pressure continues to move further away from the Southeast US coast this evening, with a modest S/SW flow ongoing across the Carolinas. Within that flow, the seabreeze is just now reaching ISO/PGV, and will lead to a brief period of 20-25kt gusts (as has been observed to the south). After that, the background SW flow will takeover, and continue into Wednesday.
With daytime heating and mixing, those SW winds will become gusty, peaking in the 20-30kt range. During the afternoon hours, a weak cold front will slide SE through the area with a period of low-mid level CIGs and isolated SHRA. As the front encounters better moisture and instability offshore, the risk of TSRA may increase, but it's expected that this will occur after passing through the TAF sites, so I left out any TS mention for now.
LONG TERM /Wednesday night through Sunday/...
As of 315 AM Monday...Pred VFR conditions expected through Saturday with high pressure dominating the long term. Some isolated showers Wednesday evening will be elevated in nature, with cloud bases around 5kft.
MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Wednesday/...
As of 340 PM Tues...No significant changes to the marine forecast as we are currently in between periods of SCA's with only the central waters currently seeing SCA conditions as waves have remained around 5 to 6 ft across these waters with 3-5 ft seas elsewhere along the coast and light and variable winds across our waters this afternoon. A tightening pressure gradient is forecast to overspread ENC tonight as high pressure ridging pushes offshore and a cold front begins to approach from the north and west allowing winds to become SW'rly and increase to 10-20 kts with gusts up to 25 kts across all waters outside of the inland rivers. Winds slowly begin to decrease from west to east Wed evening with the approach of the front with winds veering to a W'rly direction across our waters. Seas increase across all coastal waters to 4-6 ft to 5-7 ft tonight and remain elevated into Wed evening before lowering.
LONG TERM /Wednesday night through Sunday/...
As of 400 AM Tuesday... As a dry cold front moves southeastward Wednesday night, northerly winds will pick up behind it, gusting near 25 kts for all waters except for the Pamlico and Neuse Rivers. Stronger gusts behind the cold front Wednesday night into Thursday will be a quick hitter, and at this point it is unsure if the gusts will be handled with a SCA or a MWS.
Remainder of the long term looks to be quiet with seas settling to 3-5 feet Thursday-Saturday.
MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ203- 205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM to 2 PM EDT Wednesday for AMZ131-230-231.
Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 7 PM EDT Wednesday for AMZ135.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Wednesday for AMZ150.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Thursday for AMZ152-154.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT Wednesday for AMZ156-158.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 801 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure centered to the south will push further offshore tonight with a frontal passage expected on Wednesday. High pressure builds back into the area from the north on Thursday and eventually slides offshore this weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 745 PM Tuesday...
Early this evening, a ~1023mb SFC high was located SE of Charleston, SC, with southerly return flow ongoing across the Carolinas. Off to the NW, a cold front was moving east through southern Indiana. Locally, the seabreeze has penetrated well inland, with a brief period of gusty south winds noted on area obs.
For the evening update, I increased winds along the advancing seabreeze to better reflect what is being seen on obs. Otherwise, the forecast is tracking nicely, and no other significant changes were needed.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...As we get into tonight high pressure will gradually push offshore with a cold front gradually approaching from the north and west. This will keep a slightly pinched gradient across the CWA tonight allowing winds to remain elevated at about 5-10 mph coming from the S-SW. While skies will continue to remain clear tonight, this elevated S'rly wind field will keep temps mild as compared to last night with lows getting down into the low to mid 50s.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY/
As of 330 PM Tue...As we get into Wednesday a cold front will continue to approach ENC from the north and west eventually beginning to track across the area Wed afternoon and evening.
This will do a few things, it will increase cloud cover as mid and upper level moisture begin to stream in from the south and west out ahead of the incoming front, as well as bring a chance for some light shower activity across ENC from about 2PM on into this evening. Latest Hi-Res guidance has come in rather robust with precip chances, and with the HRRR probabilities of seeing at least 0.01 inches of precip around 40-70%, have increased precip chances slightly closer to 20-25% Wed afternoon though given the latest trends PoPs may need to increase further on future updates. Even with this front approaching and beginning to move through the area during peak heating both ensemble and deterministic probs for thunder are less than 10% so have kept thunder out of the forecast on Wed. Finally the only other impact this front will bring Will be to disrupt the wind field around the frontal passage with 10-15 mph SW'rly winds briefly becoming W-NW'rly at 5-10 mph directly behind the front. Temps on Wed get into the low to mid 70s everywhere but the NOBX where mid to upper 60s are currently forecast.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 400 AM Tuesday...Fairly quiet stretch in the long term with high pressure dominating.
Wednesday night...Dry cold front will move through Wednesday night from NW to SE. As the front moves through Wednesday night into Thursday morning, northerly wind gusts will be increasing, but should remain below 30 kts.
Thursday to Monday...With the cold front now offshore, gusty conditions will prevail through the afternoon, particularly for OBX where gusts of 30mph are possible. High pressure lingers to our north Thursday, and will remain near the eastern seaboard through the end of the work week, aided by omega blocking aloft.
Remainder of the long term remains uneventful due to the high. Low moving through the eastern US in the weekend will encounter this stubborn high, and some uncertainty remains on if it will be pushed north around the high, or if the high will give way.
If the low moves north, we will have less chances of precip in the weekend. If the low is able to shift the high offshore, we will see increased chances of precip. No mentionable PoPs with this update for Saturday as high looks to shelter us from any incoming precip. High will shift to our south in the weekend, and easterly flow will gradually veer to become southwesterly at the start of next week. After Wednesday's cold front, high temps gradually increase every day, above 80 inland Sunday onwards.
AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
SHORT TERM /Through 00z Thursday/...
As of 745 PM Tuesday...
KEY MESSAGES
1) VFR conditions expected (>80% chance) through Wednesday
2) Gusty SW winds (20-30kt) develop during the day Wednesday
3) A cold front moves through Wednesday afternoon w/ isolated SHRA
FORECAST DETAILS
High pressure continues to move further away from the Southeast US coast this evening, with a modest S/SW flow ongoing across the Carolinas. Within that flow, the seabreeze is just now reaching ISO/PGV, and will lead to a brief period of 20-25kt gusts (as has been observed to the south). After that, the background SW flow will takeover, and continue into Wednesday.
With daytime heating and mixing, those SW winds will become gusty, peaking in the 20-30kt range. During the afternoon hours, a weak cold front will slide SE through the area with a period of low-mid level CIGs and isolated SHRA. As the front encounters better moisture and instability offshore, the risk of TSRA may increase, but it's expected that this will occur after passing through the TAF sites, so I left out any TS mention for now.
LONG TERM /Wednesday night through Sunday/...
As of 315 AM Monday...Pred VFR conditions expected through Saturday with high pressure dominating the long term. Some isolated showers Wednesday evening will be elevated in nature, with cloud bases around 5kft.
MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Wednesday/...
As of 340 PM Tues...No significant changes to the marine forecast as we are currently in between periods of SCA's with only the central waters currently seeing SCA conditions as waves have remained around 5 to 6 ft across these waters with 3-5 ft seas elsewhere along the coast and light and variable winds across our waters this afternoon. A tightening pressure gradient is forecast to overspread ENC tonight as high pressure ridging pushes offshore and a cold front begins to approach from the north and west allowing winds to become SW'rly and increase to 10-20 kts with gusts up to 25 kts across all waters outside of the inland rivers. Winds slowly begin to decrease from west to east Wed evening with the approach of the front with winds veering to a W'rly direction across our waters. Seas increase across all coastal waters to 4-6 ft to 5-7 ft tonight and remain elevated into Wed evening before lowering.
LONG TERM /Wednesday night through Sunday/...
As of 400 AM Tuesday... As a dry cold front moves southeastward Wednesday night, northerly winds will pick up behind it, gusting near 25 kts for all waters except for the Pamlico and Neuse Rivers. Stronger gusts behind the cold front Wednesday night into Thursday will be a quick hitter, and at this point it is unsure if the gusts will be handled with a SCA or a MWS.
Remainder of the long term looks to be quiet with seas settling to 3-5 feet Thursday-Saturday.
MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ203- 205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM to 2 PM EDT Wednesday for AMZ131-230-231.
Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 7 PM EDT Wednesday for AMZ135.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Wednesday for AMZ150.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Thursday for AMZ152-154.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT Wednesday for AMZ156-158.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC | 3 mi | 47 min | SW 8G | 59°F | 58°F | 30.13 | ||
| 41025 - Diamond Shoals | 18 mi | 35 min | SSW 3.9G | 56°F | 30.12 | |||
| 41120 | 19 mi | 35 min | 54°F | 6 ft | ||||
| 44095 | 40 mi | 39 min | 55°F | 5 ft | ||||
| ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC | 40 mi | 47 min | SSW 16G | 58°F | 60°F | 30.13 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KHSE BILLY MITCHELL,NC | 1 sm | 43 min | SSW 08 | 10 sm | Clear | 57°F | 46°F | 67% | 30.11 |
Tide / Current for Cape Hatteras (fishing pier), North Carolina
EDIT Weekend mode (on/off) (hide/show) Help
Cape Hatteras (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:55 AM EDT 0.16 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:01 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:19 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:47 AM EDT 2.74 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:41 PM EDT 0.09 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:40 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:42 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 07:51 PM EDT Full Moon
Tue -- 08:07 PM EDT 3.52 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:55 AM EDT 0.16 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:01 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:19 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:47 AM EDT 2.74 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:41 PM EDT 0.09 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:40 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:42 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 07:51 PM EDT Full Moon
Tue -- 08:07 PM EDT 3.52 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Cape Hatteras (fishing pier), North Carolina, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.8 |
| 1 am |
| 0.3 |
| 2 am |
| 0.2 |
| 3 am |
| 0.4 |
| 4 am |
| 0.9 |
| 5 am |
| 1.6 |
| 6 am |
| 2.2 |
| 7 am |
| 2.6 |
| 8 am |
| 2.7 |
| 9 am |
| 2.5 |
| 10 am |
| 2 |
| 11 am |
| 1.3 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 1 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.1 |
Cape Hatteras
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:38 AM EDT 0.25 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:00 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:19 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:46 AM EDT 3.64 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:33 PM EDT 0.34 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:40 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:41 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 07:51 PM EDT Full Moon
Tue -- 08:00 PM EDT 4.22 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:38 AM EDT 0.25 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:00 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:19 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:46 AM EDT 3.64 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:33 PM EDT 0.34 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:40 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:41 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 07:51 PM EDT Full Moon
Tue -- 08:00 PM EDT 4.22 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.9 |
| 1 am |
| 0.4 |
| 2 am |
| 0.3 |
| 3 am |
| 0.6 |
| 4 am |
| 1.4 |
| 5 am |
| 2.2 |
| 6 am |
| 3 |
| 7 am |
| 3.5 |
| 8 am |
| 3.6 |
| 9 am |
| 3.3 |
| 10 am |
| 2.6 |
| 11 am |
| 1.7 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 7 pm |
| 4 |
| 8 pm |
| 4.2 |
| 9 pm |
| 4 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.4 |
Morehead City, NC,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE