Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Dardanelle, AR
July 27, 2024 6:49 AM CDT (11:49 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:16 AM Sunset 8:21 PM Moonrise 11:16 PM Moonset 12:18 PM |
Area Discussion for - Little Rock, AR
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FXUS64 KLZK 271135 AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 635 AM CDT Sat Jul 27 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Sunday Night)
Issued at 353 AM CDT Sat Jul 27 2024
The morning weather map featured a nearly stationary boundary draped across far NE AR with a remnant MCV paralleling just S of this front (drifting towards the NW). Aloft, weak counterclockwise steering flow was in place regionally around an area of upper low pressure situated over Ern OK and NErn TX. This upper low will provide lingering PoP chances through Sunday afternoon before this feature lifts to the NE and drier weather returns with the approach of upper level ridging.
Forecasted PWATs this morning into the afternoon are expected to range from 1.75-2.25 inches across the SE two thirds of AR which puts PWATs in the top 75th-90th percentile for this time of year; meaning an environment favorable of high precipitation rates and storms producing efficient rainfall. Morning WSR-88D radars depicts an area of showers ongoing over S and SE AR, drifting slowly Nwrd, and a second area of showers/storms ongoing in proximity of the MCV. Pre-dawn temperatures were mainly in the low to mid 70s.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected again today, with better statewide coverage compared to the previous couple of days. For locations of N-Cntrl into NE AR, rainfall amounts of more than 2 inches are possible along and near the track of the MCV. Therefore these are the locations that will be monitored closely for flash flooding concerns. Elsewhere, beneficial rain should be welcomed. Temperatures today will be pleasant, with highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Temperatures will begin to moderate as soon as Sunday as more sunshine returns.
LONG TERM
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 353 AM CDT Sat Jul 27 2024
Ridge of high pressure will begin building over Arkansas from the Plains Monday, and will stick around for a few days. Seasonal temperatures will be in place to start the period, along with lingering chances of showers/thunderstorms in eastern Arkansas.
However, the heat will crank up in the days to follow, and any precipitation will be isolated.
Starting Tuesday/Wednesday, warmer than average temperatures are in the forecast, with afternoon readings well into the 90s. Heat index values will be in the triple digits, and could top 105 degrees in much of Arkansas except the Ozark/Ouachita Mountains. Heat headlines will likely be required.
As the period comes to an end, it appears the ridge will retrograde toward the Rockies. That will allow a cold front to head this way from the north. The front will arrive late Friday or just beyond the period, and will bring at least small chances of rain and conditions that are a little less oppressive.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 631 AM CDT Sat Jul 27 2024
Mix of MVFR/IFR conds were ongoing this morning due to low stratus, CIGs should gradually improve through the day today.
Scattered SHRA/TSRA are expected with activity winding down somewhat after sunset. Winds will be out of the S/SE at 10 kts or less. Low stratus is expected to return once again Sat night.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 81 71 86 73 / 70 40 60 10 Camden AR 82 70 89 72 / 60 30 50 10 Harrison AR 82 67 87 71 / 70 20 40 0 Hot Springs AR 82 71 90 73 / 60 20 40 0 Little Rock AR 82 73 88 76 / 70 30 50 10 Monticello AR 82 73 88 74 / 70 30 60 10 Mount Ida AR 82 69 88 72 / 70 10 40 0 Mountain Home AR 80 68 86 71 / 80 30 50 0 Newport AR 82 72 86 72 / 70 50 60 10 Pine Bluff AR 82 72 88 73 / 60 30 50 10 Russellville AR 82 71 89 74 / 70 20 30 0 Searcy AR 82 71 87 72 / 80 40 60 10 Stuttgart AR 82 73 88 74 / 70 40 50 10
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 635 AM CDT Sat Jul 27 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Sunday Night)
Issued at 353 AM CDT Sat Jul 27 2024
The morning weather map featured a nearly stationary boundary draped across far NE AR with a remnant MCV paralleling just S of this front (drifting towards the NW). Aloft, weak counterclockwise steering flow was in place regionally around an area of upper low pressure situated over Ern OK and NErn TX. This upper low will provide lingering PoP chances through Sunday afternoon before this feature lifts to the NE and drier weather returns with the approach of upper level ridging.
Forecasted PWATs this morning into the afternoon are expected to range from 1.75-2.25 inches across the SE two thirds of AR which puts PWATs in the top 75th-90th percentile for this time of year; meaning an environment favorable of high precipitation rates and storms producing efficient rainfall. Morning WSR-88D radars depicts an area of showers ongoing over S and SE AR, drifting slowly Nwrd, and a second area of showers/storms ongoing in proximity of the MCV. Pre-dawn temperatures were mainly in the low to mid 70s.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected again today, with better statewide coverage compared to the previous couple of days. For locations of N-Cntrl into NE AR, rainfall amounts of more than 2 inches are possible along and near the track of the MCV. Therefore these are the locations that will be monitored closely for flash flooding concerns. Elsewhere, beneficial rain should be welcomed. Temperatures today will be pleasant, with highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Temperatures will begin to moderate as soon as Sunday as more sunshine returns.
LONG TERM
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 353 AM CDT Sat Jul 27 2024
Ridge of high pressure will begin building over Arkansas from the Plains Monday, and will stick around for a few days. Seasonal temperatures will be in place to start the period, along with lingering chances of showers/thunderstorms in eastern Arkansas.
However, the heat will crank up in the days to follow, and any precipitation will be isolated.
Starting Tuesday/Wednesday, warmer than average temperatures are in the forecast, with afternoon readings well into the 90s. Heat index values will be in the triple digits, and could top 105 degrees in much of Arkansas except the Ozark/Ouachita Mountains. Heat headlines will likely be required.
As the period comes to an end, it appears the ridge will retrograde toward the Rockies. That will allow a cold front to head this way from the north. The front will arrive late Friday or just beyond the period, and will bring at least small chances of rain and conditions that are a little less oppressive.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 631 AM CDT Sat Jul 27 2024
Mix of MVFR/IFR conds were ongoing this morning due to low stratus, CIGs should gradually improve through the day today.
Scattered SHRA/TSRA are expected with activity winding down somewhat after sunset. Winds will be out of the S/SE at 10 kts or less. Low stratus is expected to return once again Sat night.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 81 71 86 73 / 70 40 60 10 Camden AR 82 70 89 72 / 60 30 50 10 Harrison AR 82 67 87 71 / 70 20 40 0 Hot Springs AR 82 71 90 73 / 60 20 40 0 Little Rock AR 82 73 88 76 / 70 30 50 10 Monticello AR 82 73 88 74 / 70 30 60 10 Mount Ida AR 82 69 88 72 / 70 10 40 0 Mountain Home AR 80 68 86 71 / 80 30 50 0 Newport AR 82 72 86 72 / 70 50 60 10 Pine Bluff AR 82 72 88 73 / 60 30 50 10 Russellville AR 82 71 89 74 / 70 20 30 0 Searcy AR 82 71 87 72 / 80 40 60 10 Stuttgart AR 82 73 88 74 / 70 40 50 10
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KRUE
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KRUE
toggle option: (graph/table)
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KRUE
Wind History graph: RUE
(wind in knots)
Little Rock, AR,
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