Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Dardanelle, AR
April 19, 2025 3:46 AM CDT (08:46 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:33 AM Sunset 7:50 PM Moonrise 12:30 AM Moonset 9:53 AM |
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Dardanelle, AR
NEW! Add second zone forecast
FXUS64 KLZK 190726 AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 226 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(Today through Sunday Night)
Issued at 225 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Most of the CWA remains quiet early this Sat morning...with some increased clouds and SRLY SFC winds. Regional radar imagery shows strong to SVR convection across far NWRN AR...along/ahead of the SFC cold front that has become nearly stationary across NERN OK into far SWRN MO. Latest near-term high-res guidance shows the majority of this convection remaining just NW of the CWA into the morning hrs...though some TSRA may push just far enough east to enter the far NWRN sections of the CWA early this morning. Then by around or just after sunrise...convection may push a bit further east from OK into west central to NRN AR. The convection this morning will have the ability to become strong/SVR given the small window of limited CIN with maximized instability/SHR
Damaging winds
large hail...and even a brief tornado threat will exist as a result.
By late this morning into the early afternoon hrs...chances for intense convection will decrease as the front or convection induced cold pool drop south...and upper forcing shifts back to the NW. Some scattered SHRA/isolated TSRA will still be possible...but best chances shift back to the NW by the afternoon hrs.
However...developing SFC low to the west will cause a warm front to lift back north this evening and overnight...with more scattered and organized convection developing across WRN/NWRN sections. Limited CIN/increased instability/SHR overlap will be seen in this region...with some strong to SVR TSRA possible. Damaging winds and large hail will be primary threats...but a tornado or two will still be possible overnight across WRN/NWRN AR.
By Sun...an upper level shortwave and SFC low to the west will lift NE into MO...with a trailing cold front moving ENE into AR by Sun afternoon
A line of convection will develop over ERN OK
lifting EWD into AR. All modes of SVR wx will be possible with this activity Sun afternoon/evening given ample instability
SHR
and limited CAP. Given the most upper level support will be passing just north of AR...best potential for SVR convection will be across the NRN half of the state Sun afternoon/evening. This activity will push ENE Sun night...with more stable/cooler air arriving by the end of the short term period.
Beyond the SVR potential...there remains an increased threat for heavy rainfall and resulting flash/river flooding. The threat for heaviest rainfall has continued to push to the NW...and areas across the far NWRN counties could still see rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches...with much less to the SE
However
any slight adjustment in the location of the stalled SFC front...or if convection ends up focusing further SE along residual outflow boundaries...this could shift the heavy rain axis back east
As a result
will likely keep the Flood Watch in place for current spatial extent. This heavy rain threat will end sometime Sun evening/night as the activity moves east of the area.
LONG TERM
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 225 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
A cold front should be in the process of sweeping across the state on Monday. Precipitation should be wrapping up over Cntrl and SE sections of AR during the morning hours. Surface high pressure will then quickly build into the state on Monday afternoon bringing drier weather conditions to the region through Tuesday.
Heading into mid/late week, a series of upper level disturbances is expected to traverse SWrly background flow triggering a couple to a few rounds of showers and thunderstorms from Wednesday through Friday across nearly all of AR. While QPF amounts have a fair amount of uncertainty this far out, guidance is trending towards widespread 1-3" of rainfall over a 3 day period. At this time, the daily threats for severe weather remains uncertain but should be monitored over the coming days.
Regarding temperatures, lows should start out with the coolest readings felt during the long term; lows in the 50s, thereafter increasing a couple degrees each successive morning through Friday.
High temperatures during the period should be in the mid 70s to mid 80s.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 80 65 80 56 / 40 60 50 90 Camden AR 85 66 82 58 / 10 10 70 90 Harrison AR 70 60 73 50 / 90 90 90 60 Hot Springs AR 82 65 80 54 / 20 40 80 80 Little Rock AR 83 67 82 58 / 10 30 60 90 Monticello AR 85 68 84 64 / 0 10 40 80 Mount Ida AR 81 65 79 53 / 30 60 90 70 Mountain Home AR 72 61 76 51 / 90 90 80 70 Newport AR 82 67 82 59 / 30 40 30 90 Pine Bluff AR 84 67 83 61 / 0 10 50 90 Russellville AR 79 64 80 53 / 50 70 80 70 Searcy AR 82 65 82 57 / 20 30 50 90 Stuttgart AR 83 68 83 61 / 0 10 30 90
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Flood Watch through Sunday evening for ARZ004>006-014-015-103- 112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237- 238-240-241-313-340-341.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 226 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(Today through Sunday Night)
Issued at 225 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Most of the CWA remains quiet early this Sat morning...with some increased clouds and SRLY SFC winds. Regional radar imagery shows strong to SVR convection across far NWRN AR...along/ahead of the SFC cold front that has become nearly stationary across NERN OK into far SWRN MO. Latest near-term high-res guidance shows the majority of this convection remaining just NW of the CWA into the morning hrs...though some TSRA may push just far enough east to enter the far NWRN sections of the CWA early this morning. Then by around or just after sunrise...convection may push a bit further east from OK into west central to NRN AR. The convection this morning will have the ability to become strong/SVR given the small window of limited CIN with maximized instability/SHR
Damaging winds
large hail...and even a brief tornado threat will exist as a result.
By late this morning into the early afternoon hrs...chances for intense convection will decrease as the front or convection induced cold pool drop south...and upper forcing shifts back to the NW. Some scattered SHRA/isolated TSRA will still be possible...but best chances shift back to the NW by the afternoon hrs.
However...developing SFC low to the west will cause a warm front to lift back north this evening and overnight...with more scattered and organized convection developing across WRN/NWRN sections. Limited CIN/increased instability/SHR overlap will be seen in this region...with some strong to SVR TSRA possible. Damaging winds and large hail will be primary threats...but a tornado or two will still be possible overnight across WRN/NWRN AR.
By Sun...an upper level shortwave and SFC low to the west will lift NE into MO...with a trailing cold front moving ENE into AR by Sun afternoon
A line of convection will develop over ERN OK
lifting EWD into AR. All modes of SVR wx will be possible with this activity Sun afternoon/evening given ample instability
SHR
and limited CAP. Given the most upper level support will be passing just north of AR...best potential for SVR convection will be across the NRN half of the state Sun afternoon/evening. This activity will push ENE Sun night...with more stable/cooler air arriving by the end of the short term period.
Beyond the SVR potential...there remains an increased threat for heavy rainfall and resulting flash/river flooding. The threat for heaviest rainfall has continued to push to the NW...and areas across the far NWRN counties could still see rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches...with much less to the SE
However
any slight adjustment in the location of the stalled SFC front...or if convection ends up focusing further SE along residual outflow boundaries...this could shift the heavy rain axis back east
As a result
will likely keep the Flood Watch in place for current spatial extent. This heavy rain threat will end sometime Sun evening/night as the activity moves east of the area.
LONG TERM
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 225 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
A cold front should be in the process of sweeping across the state on Monday. Precipitation should be wrapping up over Cntrl and SE sections of AR during the morning hours. Surface high pressure will then quickly build into the state on Monday afternoon bringing drier weather conditions to the region through Tuesday.
Heading into mid/late week, a series of upper level disturbances is expected to traverse SWrly background flow triggering a couple to a few rounds of showers and thunderstorms from Wednesday through Friday across nearly all of AR. While QPF amounts have a fair amount of uncertainty this far out, guidance is trending towards widespread 1-3" of rainfall over a 3 day period. At this time, the daily threats for severe weather remains uncertain but should be monitored over the coming days.
Regarding temperatures, lows should start out with the coolest readings felt during the long term; lows in the 50s, thereafter increasing a couple degrees each successive morning through Friday.
High temperatures during the period should be in the mid 70s to mid 80s.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 80 65 80 56 / 40 60 50 90 Camden AR 85 66 82 58 / 10 10 70 90 Harrison AR 70 60 73 50 / 90 90 90 60 Hot Springs AR 82 65 80 54 / 20 40 80 80 Little Rock AR 83 67 82 58 / 10 30 60 90 Monticello AR 85 68 84 64 / 0 10 40 80 Mount Ida AR 81 65 79 53 / 30 60 90 70 Mountain Home AR 72 61 76 51 / 90 90 80 70 Newport AR 82 67 82 59 / 30 40 30 90 Pine Bluff AR 84 67 83 61 / 0 10 50 90 Russellville AR 79 64 80 53 / 50 70 80 70 Searcy AR 82 65 82 57 / 20 30 50 90 Stuttgart AR 83 68 83 61 / 0 10 30 90
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Flood Watch through Sunday evening for ARZ004>006-014-015-103- 112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237- 238-240-241-313-340-341.
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KRUE
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KRUE
Wind History Graph: RUE
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of Southern Mississippi Valley
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Little Rock, AR,
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