Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Dardanelle, AR
April 30, 2025 11:55 AM CDT (16:55 UTC)
Change Location
Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:20 AM Sunset 7:59 PM Moonrise 7:21 AM Moonset 10:58 PM |
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Dardanelle, AR
NEW! Add second zone forecast
FXUS64 KLZK 301057 AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 557 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday Night)
Issued at 238 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025
CURRENTLY:
As of 2:30 AM CDT, a MCS with a pronounced bowing segment via a stout rear-inflow jet is tracking northeastward through northwestern Arkansas into southwestern Arkansas with sporadic wind gusts above severe criteria. Elsewhere; looking southward, the remainder of the non-severe portion of the line is moving from Oklahoma into Arkansas with a few thunderstorms cells ahead of the line beginning to fill in across west-central and southwestern Arkansas as the activity overall is tracking northeastward across the state with this morning's round of rain and storms on track impact parts of western and northern Arkansas.
TODAY INTO TONIGHT (WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT):
This unsettled weather pattern will continue as southwesterly flow at H500 will remain and several impulses will track through the overall flow pattern over the forecast area. A brief quiet period will take place on Wednesday morning before another round of strong to severe activity is expected to begin impacting western Arkansas on Wednesday afternoon and push eastward across the state through Wednesday night as a line of thunderstorms which will include the hazards of damaging wind gusts, large hail, and a tornado or two cannot be ruled out, especially in the strongest portion of the line as it tracks across the state. A myriad of CAMS show this scenario mentioned above taking place providing increased confidence; additionally, the Storm Prediction Center has issued an Enhanced Risk (level 3 out of 5) for severe weather across far southwestern Arkansas and a Slight Risk (level 2 out of 5) across almost the western 2/3rds of the state.
THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT:
The theme of a chance for strong to severe thunderstorms will continue into Thursday as a warm front will continue to lift northward into Missouri in tandem with an approaching cold front from the west which is progged to sweep through the state during the day on Thursday. Rain and thunderstorm chances will begin to cease from northwest to southeast across the state as the FROPA will bring a more stable, cooler, and drier airmass to the state. However, the Storm Prediction Center on Thursday has issued a Slight Risk (level 2 out of 5) for severe weather for the southeastern 2/3rds of the state with the main hazards of damaging wind gusts, large hail, and a possible tornado cannot be ruled out, but the overall tornado threat is very low. Storm timing would initiate is forecast to initiate between western and central Arkansas and push eastward across the state from Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening.
A flash flooding threat will persist as a Flood Watch is in effect through Thursday morning as locations across the western 1/3rd of Arkansas are expected to experience several rounds of heavy rain and thunderstorms which will likely train over the same locations leading to a flash flooding threat. The Flood Watch area may need to be expanded slightly eastward if trends change per the latest forecast package and progged CAMS positioning the highest axis of rainfall totals.
LONG TERM
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 238 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025
All medium range guidance continues to indicate the most active part of the long term period will be at the beginning of it. The period starts off with a progressive and amplified pattern in place across most of the CONUS, characterized by broad troughing over the nations mid section.
On the surface, a boundary will be bisecting the state roughly from the southwest to the northeast. The parent low will be well to the northeast of the CWA and moving away with the boundary moving through during the day Friday. Rain chances will continue during the day but lowering from the northwest to the southeast through Friday night as the aforementioned boundary pulls away.
In the wake of this boundary, the upper flow will turn sharply to the NW as upper ridging builds over the Rockies and surface high pressure builds over the region. This pattern change will lead to several days of dry and pleasant weather that will continue into the new work week. Temperatures over the weekend will top out in the 70s but lower dew point temperatures in the 40s/50s will make it feel that much nicer.
Temperatures will start to climb Monday/Tuesday as the high pressure moves off to the east and southerly flow gets reestablished, Moisture levels do not really increase until late Tuesday but any chances of precipitation remains in question as guidance is showing development of an Omega blocking pattern over the Mississippi Valley.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 557 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025
Expect the northern terminals of KHRO and KBPK to be experiencing vicinity thunderstorms with lowered CIGS and VSBY to as low as MVFR flight category for the first few hours of the forecast period. A second round of thunderstorm activity will march from west to east across the state impacting all terminals. The line of rain and thunderstorms will impact western terminals around late afternoon on Wednesday, central terminals around early evening on Wednesday, and eastern terminals later Wednesday evening. Surface winds will gust in excess of 27 knots beginning late Wednesday morning and ending into the early morning hours of Thursday. Expect as rain and storms impacts your respective terminal, for VSBY to drop to MVFR flight category will possible brief period of IFR flight category in the stronger thunderstorms.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 83 64 81 60 / 30 90 60 10 Camden AR 85 65 83 63 / 30 70 50 20 Harrison AR 77 60 75 56 / 80 90 50 20 Hot Springs AR 84 61 83 61 / 70 80 40 20 Little Rock AR 85 66 83 63 / 30 80 50 20 Monticello AR 87 68 84 65 / 10 50 70 30 Mount Ida AR 83 61 84 60 / 80 90 30 20 Mountain Home AR 79 61 76 57 / 70 90 60 20 Newport AR 84 65 81 61 / 20 80 60 20 Pine Bluff AR 86 66 84 63 / 20 70 60 30 Russellville AR 83 62 81 60 / 70 90 40 10 Searcy AR 84 64 81 61 / 20 80 50 20 Stuttgart AR 85 67 82 64 / 20 70 60 20
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Flood Watch through Thursday morning for ARZ004-042-052>054-103- 112-113-121-122-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221-222-230-237- 238-240-241-313-340-341.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 557 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday Night)
Issued at 238 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025
CURRENTLY:
As of 2:30 AM CDT, a MCS with a pronounced bowing segment via a stout rear-inflow jet is tracking northeastward through northwestern Arkansas into southwestern Arkansas with sporadic wind gusts above severe criteria. Elsewhere; looking southward, the remainder of the non-severe portion of the line is moving from Oklahoma into Arkansas with a few thunderstorms cells ahead of the line beginning to fill in across west-central and southwestern Arkansas as the activity overall is tracking northeastward across the state with this morning's round of rain and storms on track impact parts of western and northern Arkansas.
TODAY INTO TONIGHT (WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT):
This unsettled weather pattern will continue as southwesterly flow at H500 will remain and several impulses will track through the overall flow pattern over the forecast area. A brief quiet period will take place on Wednesday morning before another round of strong to severe activity is expected to begin impacting western Arkansas on Wednesday afternoon and push eastward across the state through Wednesday night as a line of thunderstorms which will include the hazards of damaging wind gusts, large hail, and a tornado or two cannot be ruled out, especially in the strongest portion of the line as it tracks across the state. A myriad of CAMS show this scenario mentioned above taking place providing increased confidence; additionally, the Storm Prediction Center has issued an Enhanced Risk (level 3 out of 5) for severe weather across far southwestern Arkansas and a Slight Risk (level 2 out of 5) across almost the western 2/3rds of the state.
THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT:
The theme of a chance for strong to severe thunderstorms will continue into Thursday as a warm front will continue to lift northward into Missouri in tandem with an approaching cold front from the west which is progged to sweep through the state during the day on Thursday. Rain and thunderstorm chances will begin to cease from northwest to southeast across the state as the FROPA will bring a more stable, cooler, and drier airmass to the state. However, the Storm Prediction Center on Thursday has issued a Slight Risk (level 2 out of 5) for severe weather for the southeastern 2/3rds of the state with the main hazards of damaging wind gusts, large hail, and a possible tornado cannot be ruled out, but the overall tornado threat is very low. Storm timing would initiate is forecast to initiate between western and central Arkansas and push eastward across the state from Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening.
A flash flooding threat will persist as a Flood Watch is in effect through Thursday morning as locations across the western 1/3rd of Arkansas are expected to experience several rounds of heavy rain and thunderstorms which will likely train over the same locations leading to a flash flooding threat. The Flood Watch area may need to be expanded slightly eastward if trends change per the latest forecast package and progged CAMS positioning the highest axis of rainfall totals.
LONG TERM
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 238 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025
All medium range guidance continues to indicate the most active part of the long term period will be at the beginning of it. The period starts off with a progressive and amplified pattern in place across most of the CONUS, characterized by broad troughing over the nations mid section.
On the surface, a boundary will be bisecting the state roughly from the southwest to the northeast. The parent low will be well to the northeast of the CWA and moving away with the boundary moving through during the day Friday. Rain chances will continue during the day but lowering from the northwest to the southeast through Friday night as the aforementioned boundary pulls away.
In the wake of this boundary, the upper flow will turn sharply to the NW as upper ridging builds over the Rockies and surface high pressure builds over the region. This pattern change will lead to several days of dry and pleasant weather that will continue into the new work week. Temperatures over the weekend will top out in the 70s but lower dew point temperatures in the 40s/50s will make it feel that much nicer.
Temperatures will start to climb Monday/Tuesday as the high pressure moves off to the east and southerly flow gets reestablished, Moisture levels do not really increase until late Tuesday but any chances of precipitation remains in question as guidance is showing development of an Omega blocking pattern over the Mississippi Valley.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 557 AM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025
Expect the northern terminals of KHRO and KBPK to be experiencing vicinity thunderstorms with lowered CIGS and VSBY to as low as MVFR flight category for the first few hours of the forecast period. A second round of thunderstorm activity will march from west to east across the state impacting all terminals. The line of rain and thunderstorms will impact western terminals around late afternoon on Wednesday, central terminals around early evening on Wednesday, and eastern terminals later Wednesday evening. Surface winds will gust in excess of 27 knots beginning late Wednesday morning and ending into the early morning hours of Thursday. Expect as rain and storms impacts your respective terminal, for VSBY to drop to MVFR flight category will possible brief period of IFR flight category in the stronger thunderstorms.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 83 64 81 60 / 30 90 60 10 Camden AR 85 65 83 63 / 30 70 50 20 Harrison AR 77 60 75 56 / 80 90 50 20 Hot Springs AR 84 61 83 61 / 70 80 40 20 Little Rock AR 85 66 83 63 / 30 80 50 20 Monticello AR 87 68 84 65 / 10 50 70 30 Mount Ida AR 83 61 84 60 / 80 90 30 20 Mountain Home AR 79 61 76 57 / 70 90 60 20 Newport AR 84 65 81 61 / 20 80 60 20 Pine Bluff AR 86 66 84 63 / 20 70 60 30 Russellville AR 83 62 81 60 / 70 90 40 10 Searcy AR 84 64 81 61 / 20 80 50 20 Stuttgart AR 85 67 82 64 / 20 70 60 20
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Flood Watch through Thursday morning for ARZ004-042-052>054-103- 112-113-121-122-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221-222-230-237- 238-240-241-313-340-341.
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KRUE
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KRUE
Wind History Graph: RUE
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of Midwest
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Little Rock, AR,
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