Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Dardanelle, AR
May 18, 2024 9:09 AM CDT (14:09 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:04 AM Sunset 8:13 PM Moonrise 2:49 PM Moonset 2:30 AM |
Area Discussion for - Little Rock, AR
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FXUS64 KLZK 181031 AAA AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 531 AM CDT Sat May 18 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Sunday Night)
Issued at 312 AM CDT Sat May 18 2024
Scattered SHRA/TSRA continue off an on early this Sat morning across central to NERN sections of the CWA under the upper shortwave axis moving slowly east over AR. Some isolated convection was also noted further SW...also under this axis. Expect this activity to continue into the morning hrs...gradually shifting east by after sunrise.
While the threat for SVR Wx remains low...an isolated strong...briefly SVR storm could be seen. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible.
After the morning convection and patchy fog...expect conditions to become dry for most areas by late this morning as the upper shortwave axis moves east
Expect a mostly clear sky
and warm conditions to develop. Highs over the weekend will warm into the upper 70s to mid 80s today...and a few deg warmer for Sun in the 80s to around 90. Lows tonight will be in the upper 50s to mid 60s...and a few deg warmer for Sun night in the 60s to around 70.
Expect the dry forecast to continue into the early part of the long term period.
LONG TERM
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 312 AM CDT Sat May 18 2024
An unsettled upper flow pattern wl be in place acrs the CONUS. H500 troughing wl be digging Swrd into the Pac-N/W. Mon into Tues, N/Wrn US troughing wl bcm confluent w/ a detached Pacific upper low/subtropical jet, resulting in broad troughing flow over the Wrn half of the CONUS, and a pronounced region of mean S/Wrly and diffluent flow over the Cntrl Plains.
Seasonably warm temperatures are expected thru the first half of the new work week, as strong Srly sfc flow wl be in place, w/ daily hi temps in the low 90s expected at most locations. Chances for rain and storms are set to return to the region on Tues, but more lkly towards later Tues night, as deepening sfc cyclonic flow over the Cntrl Plains maneuvers N/Ewrd, and an asctd trailing cdfrnt sweeps S/Ewrd towards the FA. Covg of precip should incrs fm N/Wrn AR towards Cntrl and Srn AR late Tues night and into Wed. Severe potential remains conditional, w/ greater vertical shear displaced to the north, and current timing of greater convective covg trending towards the overnight PD of Tues/Wed. Some intermittent strong to briefly severe storms cannot be ruled out attm, but greater covg and intensity remains in question.
Wed and thru the remainder of the PD, unsettled weather looks to persist, as the aforementioned cdfrnt is currently progged to stall out over the Cntrl third to Srn portion of the state, and serve as the focal point for daily covg of showers/storms. Slightly cooler daily high temps should resume under greater covg of rain/clouds thru the latter half of next week.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 530 AM CDT Sat May 18 2024
Some patchy fog will be possible early in the period...but expect dominant VFR conditions through this Sat evening. Light and variable winds will be seen at less than 10 kts. These light winds may result in more patchy fog again tonight.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 83 64 87 67 / 20 0 0 0 Camden AR 86 65 90 67 / 10 0 0 0 Harrison AR 81 61 86 66 / 10 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 86 64 89 67 / 10 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 86 67 89 69 / 20 0 0 0 Monticello AR 85 67 89 69 / 30 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 86 63 89 67 / 10 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 83 61 87 66 / 10 0 0 0 Newport AR 83 66 87 69 / 30 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 85 66 89 69 / 30 0 0 0 Russellville AR 85 64 89 68 / 10 0 0 0 Searcy AR 83 64 87 66 / 30 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 83 67 87 69 / 30 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 531 AM CDT Sat May 18 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Sunday Night)
Issued at 312 AM CDT Sat May 18 2024
Scattered SHRA/TSRA continue off an on early this Sat morning across central to NERN sections of the CWA under the upper shortwave axis moving slowly east over AR. Some isolated convection was also noted further SW...also under this axis. Expect this activity to continue into the morning hrs...gradually shifting east by after sunrise.
While the threat for SVR Wx remains low...an isolated strong...briefly SVR storm could be seen. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible.
After the morning convection and patchy fog...expect conditions to become dry for most areas by late this morning as the upper shortwave axis moves east
Expect a mostly clear sky
and warm conditions to develop. Highs over the weekend will warm into the upper 70s to mid 80s today...and a few deg warmer for Sun in the 80s to around 90. Lows tonight will be in the upper 50s to mid 60s...and a few deg warmer for Sun night in the 60s to around 70.
Expect the dry forecast to continue into the early part of the long term period.
LONG TERM
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 312 AM CDT Sat May 18 2024
An unsettled upper flow pattern wl be in place acrs the CONUS. H500 troughing wl be digging Swrd into the Pac-N/W. Mon into Tues, N/Wrn US troughing wl bcm confluent w/ a detached Pacific upper low/subtropical jet, resulting in broad troughing flow over the Wrn half of the CONUS, and a pronounced region of mean S/Wrly and diffluent flow over the Cntrl Plains.
Seasonably warm temperatures are expected thru the first half of the new work week, as strong Srly sfc flow wl be in place, w/ daily hi temps in the low 90s expected at most locations. Chances for rain and storms are set to return to the region on Tues, but more lkly towards later Tues night, as deepening sfc cyclonic flow over the Cntrl Plains maneuvers N/Ewrd, and an asctd trailing cdfrnt sweeps S/Ewrd towards the FA. Covg of precip should incrs fm N/Wrn AR towards Cntrl and Srn AR late Tues night and into Wed. Severe potential remains conditional, w/ greater vertical shear displaced to the north, and current timing of greater convective covg trending towards the overnight PD of Tues/Wed. Some intermittent strong to briefly severe storms cannot be ruled out attm, but greater covg and intensity remains in question.
Wed and thru the remainder of the PD, unsettled weather looks to persist, as the aforementioned cdfrnt is currently progged to stall out over the Cntrl third to Srn portion of the state, and serve as the focal point for daily covg of showers/storms. Slightly cooler daily high temps should resume under greater covg of rain/clouds thru the latter half of next week.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 530 AM CDT Sat May 18 2024
Some patchy fog will be possible early in the period...but expect dominant VFR conditions through this Sat evening. Light and variable winds will be seen at less than 10 kts. These light winds may result in more patchy fog again tonight.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 83 64 87 67 / 20 0 0 0 Camden AR 86 65 90 67 / 10 0 0 0 Harrison AR 81 61 86 66 / 10 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 86 64 89 67 / 10 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 86 67 89 69 / 20 0 0 0 Monticello AR 85 67 89 69 / 30 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 86 63 89 67 / 10 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 83 61 87 66 / 10 0 0 0 Newport AR 83 66 87 69 / 30 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 85 66 89 69 / 30 0 0 0 Russellville AR 85 64 89 68 / 10 0 0 0 Searcy AR 83 64 87 66 / 30 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 83 67 87 69 / 30 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KRUE RUSSELLVILLE RGNL,AR | 7 sm | 16 min | calm | 7 sm | Overcast | 66°F | 63°F | 88% | 29.88 |
Little Rock, AR,
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