Tuesday, May11, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Russellville, AR

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:09AMSunset 8:08PM Tuesday May 11, 2021 5:58 AM CDT (10:58 UTC) Moonrise 5:14AMMoonset 7:13PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Russellville, AR
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location: 35.3, -93.15     debug


Area Discussion for - Little Rock, AR
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FXUS64 KLZK 110917 AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 417 AM CDT Tue May 11 2021

SHORT TERM. Today Through Wednesday Night

The most persistent convective activity this morning has been confined to far southern AR and adjacent areas in LA/TX/OK/MS, coincident with a pool of enhanced low-level moisture and warm air advection. Mosaic radar does show additional isolated showers over much of the rest of AR, generally along and south of a 850 mb front analyzed from near FSM eastward to near MEM. Will see this trend continue through the morning with the highest coverage of rain initially over the south/west and more isolated activity elsewhere.

As a large-scale mid/upper trough moves into the Plains today and another low-amplitude wave moves across TX, broad forcing for ascent will increase and the low-level mass field response will advect rich moisture over the area. Rain and thunder coverage will increase as a result with most of the area seeing rain today. Modest instability (MLCAPE on the order of 1000-2000 J/kg) will be most favored across southern AR and perhaps into central sections, so kept highest thunder probabilities over those locations. We still have moderately steep lapse rates in place aloft, so wouldn't be surprised to see hail again in storms today, although the overall severe threat is low.

Temperature-wise . abundant cloud cover and rainfall will limit high temperatures today and did undercut initialized guidance, especially over western AR. Readings will range from the mid/upper 50s over the western half of the state with low 60s elsewhere. Lows tonight will fall into the 40s and 50s again (no complaints . we will be hurting for this once summer really kicks in . ).

The heaviest rain and overall highest QPF is anticipated along and south of the aforementioned 850 mb front, which is progged to wobble over northern/central AR through the period. While we are not anticipating the magnitude of rain that folks south of us will see over the next few days, central AR could pick up on the order of 0.5 to 1 inch, give or take, with 1 to 2 inches or more over southern AR. Isolated higher totals are be possible with these more driven by heavy convective rain in an environment characterized by PWAT values of 1.5+ inches. Isolated flash flooding will be possible with the highest relative threat over southern sections.

Tonight through Wednesday night, the Plains trough will continue pushing east with deep tropospheric moisture gradually waning. Increasing static stability and subtle subsidence in the wake of a passing mid- level wave tonight should knock back precipitation coverage with rain and thunder lingering over southern AR. By Wednesday and Wednesday night, rain should be south of the state. While temperatures will moderate some by Wednesday afternoon, values will remain below average.

LONG TERM. Thursday Through Monday Night

A large area of high pressure will build over the region from the north Thursday and Friday. Under the high, it will be dry with below average temperatures.

By the weekend, the high will slide to the east, and return flow will bring progressively warmer temperatures and increasing moisture. As this happens, a storm system over the Rockies will slowly head toward the Plains, with an even larger system to follow from the Pacific Northwest. Ahead of the systems, strong riding will occur from the Great Lakes to Florida. This will slow the systems down.

As the systems slowly approach, have isolated scattered showers and a few thunderstorms in the forecast Saturday and Sunday. Precipitation will be mostly confined to northern/western sections of the state. Chances of rain will go up in much of the state on Monday.

Given the pattern, this looks like mainly a heavy rain event without much in the way of severe weather. Much of the event will unfold after the end of the period, and will know more what will happen as additional data is received.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Batesville AR 63 49 62 46 / 50 50 20 10 Camden AR 63 54 64 50 / 90 80 30 10 Harrison AR 58 45 61 42 / 60 50 20 10 Hot Springs AR 61 51 64 48 / 70 60 30 10 Little Rock AR 62 52 63 48 / 70 60 30 10 Monticello AR 64 55 63 51 / 90 80 40 10 Mount Ida AR 59 50 62 45 / 70 60 30 10 Mountain Home AR 62 47 63 43 / 50 50 20 10 Newport AR 63 50 62 48 / 40 50 20 10 Pine Bluff AR 63 53 63 50 / 80 70 30 10 Russellville AR 61 51 64 46 / 70 50 20 10 Searcy AR 64 51 63 46 / 60 60 20 10 Stuttgart AR 63 52 63 51 / 70 70 30 10

LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories. NONE.

Short Term . DTC / Long Term . 46


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Russelville Municipal Airport, AR4 mi65 minE 510.00 miOvercast55°F47°F74%1019.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRUE

Wind History from RUE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE7E5E7E7NE7NE7E5Calm544433CalmCalmCalmE5Calm4E5E6E5E5
1 day agoS4SW3S4S7SW8SW11
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2 days agoCalmCalm4E6E7E7E65S10
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SW7S6Calm

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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