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FXUS64 KLZK 100856 AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 256 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM

SHORT TERM
(Today through Monday Night)
Issued at 255 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023

Dry, settled, and seasonable wx condns wl headline the short term PD to start the new week. Aloft, robust H500 troughing is set to quickly pivot towards a more neutral to slightly negative tilt, and lift N/Ewrd thru Sun and Mon. At the sfc, strong high pressure wl be settling in over the Srn Cntrl US, w/ a continental dry airmass overspreading the FA alongside breezy N/Wrly winds. As mentioned, expect seasonable temps the next few days, w/ high temps in the 50s, and lows in the 20s/30s

LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 255 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023

Zonal flow aloft will be over the eastern two thirds of the country to begin the long term period with an upper level trough extending from Canada into the Great Lakes. This trough moves to the east coast Wednesday as an upper low develops in the desert southwest.
This upper low then moves through Texas Friday and along the Gulf Coast Saturday.

Surface high pressure will be over Arkansas Tuesday. The next cold front will move through the state Wednesday. This front will be weak and no precipitation is expected. A large area of high pressure sets up over the region Thursday. Another system associated with the upper low will bring an increase in moisture over Arkansas. Slight rain chances are expected Friday and will continue into Saturday.
Warmer temperatures are expected for the upcoming week. Temperatures will generally be above normal through the week.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1155 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023

VFR conds cont to prevail at all sites with the passage of a cold front. Wind shear has also diminished, thus VFR conds and no significant weather hazards are expected across area terminals. NW winds will continue in the wake of the front, persisting into Sun. Passing high clouds may be noted from time to time tonight then clearing on Sun.

/72/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 49 30 54 32 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 52 28 57 30 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 46 29 54 32 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 51 29 55 31 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 52 32 57 34 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 52 32 57 34 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 51 27 56 30 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 47 28 54 31 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 49 30 51 31 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 51 30 57 32 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 52 28 57 31 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 50 28 55 30 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 49 31 54 33 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.

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