Tuesday, July14, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Avon, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:57AMSunset 8:24PM Tuesday July 14, 2020 3:30 AM EDT (07:30 UTC) Moonrise 12:25AMMoonset 1:49PM Illumination 36% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ152 S Of Oregon Inlet To Cape Hatteras Nc Out 20 Nm- 927 Pm Edt Mon Jul 13 2020
Overnight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms late this evening.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..E winds around 5 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Wed..E winds around 5 kt, increasing to around 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..SE winds around 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Avon CDP, NC
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location: 35.39, -75.49     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 140545 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 145 AM EDT Tue Jul 14 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak front will cross the area this evening and move offshore tonight. The front will linger to our south through late week as Bermuda high pressure builds in from the east for the next several days.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. As of 930 PM Monday . Most of the showers and thunderstorms have dissipated for the evening with the loss of daytime heating. Lowered POPs for the late evening to just a schc, but should stay mostly dry overnight. With clear skies expected and wet surface, some patchy fog may develop early Tuesday AM and burn off promptly at sunrise. Lows will be in the low to mid 70s by morning.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/. As of 940 PM Monday . Weak ridging builds from the SW across the region tomorrow, setting up a standard summer day in Eastern NC. Uniform temperatures expected for Tuesday with highs 90-92 in most areas, except mid/upper 80s Outer Banks. Isolated showers and thunderstorms may develop along the sea breeze in the afternoon, thus kept a schc POP for the area.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 330 PM Mon . Upper level ridging continues over the Carolinas through midweek, again leaving the primary focus for afternoon convection on the sea breeze. Highs in the upper 80s to low 80s each day. Lows in the mid to upper 70s.

Late week, a surface low develops over the Ohio Valley and pushes northeastward through New England, eventually dragging a front into North Carolina for the weekend. Models generally agree on timing but that is about where the comparison ends as the GFS spins up the system quickly and is more robust throughout the rest of the run. In its wake, a relative surface high develops over the Ohio valley and helps push convection with the front into North Carolina. By contrast, the ECMWF solution is not as strong and doesn't develop this feature. Therefore it is weaker and slower with the surface low, and the associated front has a hard time making it into eastern NC. Will handle for now with chance PoPs until more details evolve. Regardless, it will continue to be warm with highs around 90 and lows in the mid 70s.

AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Short Term /through tonight/ . As of 130 AM Tuesday . Patchy fog has formed early this morning mainly south of US Hwy 70, where the highest ground moisture and clear skies/calm winds are prevailing. Expect patchy fog to occur across the inner coastal plain through dawn. Although the fog could be dense at times, light fog is generally expected to prevail. Have opted to prevail MVFR visibilities at ISO, OAJ, and PGV, with a tempo for IFR at OAJ and ISO around dawn.

After sunrise, light winds and VFR conditions prevail as clear skies through the late morning give way to a scattered cumulus deck by the afternoon. Though a few showers or thunderstorms are possible across the region this afternoon, chances are too low to justify a mention in the TAFs at this point.

Long Term /Wednesday through Saturday/ . As of 4 PM Monday . VFR expected through much of the long term aside from sea breeze convection during the afternoons and an associated chance of fog during the early morning hours where rain occurs. By the end of the week attention will turn to an approaching front that may bring an increased chance of showers and storms to the area. With this will come a better chance for adverse aviation conditions.

MARINE. Short Term /Tonight and Tuesday/ . As of 340 PM Monday . Winds at late afternoon are SW 10-15 knots with a few higher gusts with seas 2-4 feet north and 3-5 feet central and southern waters. Based on trends, have cancelled all SCA's for area waters. Winds should generally be SW/W overnight and Tuesday with seas dropping back to 2-4 feet for most areas Tuesday as weak ridging builds over area waters.

Long Term /Tuesday Night through Saturday/ . As of 400 PM Mon . A period of variable wind directions is expected Tuesday night and Wednesday, then southerly winds should prevail through much of the rest of the forecast period with seas around 2 feet.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Beach Hazards Statement from 6 AM EDT this morning through this evening for NCZ195-196-199-204-205. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . ML SHORT TERM . ML LONG TERM . RTE AVIATION . RTE/CB MARINE . RTE/CTC


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 17 mi42 min 82°F1013.1 hPa
41025 - Diamond Shoals 26 mi20 min S 14 G 18 82°F 83°F74°F
44095 26 mi34 min 77°F3 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 28 mi48 min 83°F1012.7 hPa
44086 42 mi17 min 78°F3 ft

Wind History for USCG Station Hatteras, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hatteras, Mitchell Field, NC14 mi39 minS 510.00 miFair82°F73°F77%1012.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHSE

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW7SW7SW5W3W65W54S6S4SW7SW8SW6SW9SW12SW9NE5SE3SE9S5S7S5S5S5
1 day agoW4W5W3Calm3S5S6S6S10S11S12
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Tide / Current Tables for Avon, North Carolina
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Avon
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:35 AM EDT     2.26 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:56 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:49 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:36 PM EDT     2.63 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:51 PM EDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.622.22.221.61.10.60.30.20.30.71.21.82.32.62.62.421.510.70.70.8

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Hatteras, North Carolina
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Cape Hatteras
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:36 AM EDT     3.07 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:32 AM EDT     0.65 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:48 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:13 PM EDT     3.66 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:35 PM EDT     0.85 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.22.7332.82.21.610.70.711.62.32.93.43.73.63.22.51.91.30.90.91.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.