Thursday, April2, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Avon, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 7:29PM Thursday April 2, 2020 6:19 AM EDT (10:19 UTC) Moonrise 12:16PMMoonset 2:11AM Illumination 69% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ152 S Of Oregon Inlet To Cape Hatteras Nc Out 20 Nm- 259 Am Edt Thu Apr 2 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through Monday evening...
Today..NW winds around 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt this morning. Seas 7 to 10 ft, subsiding to 6 to 8 ft this afternoon. Dominant period 10 seconds.
Tonight..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds.
Fri..NW winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds.
Fri night..N winds around 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds. A slight chance of showers.
Sat..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 13 ft. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Sat night..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 9 to 13 ft.
Sun..N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming se 5 to 10 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Avon CDP, NC
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location: 35.39, -75.49     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 020737 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 337 AM EDT Thu Apr 2 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build over the area into the weekend, as low pressure lingers over the Atlantic. High pressure then strengthens offshore early next week, as a weak boundary moves into the region.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. 245 AM Thu . Deep low pres will cont well to the NE with high pres to the W. Some patchy mid clouds over the region will cont to grad diminish and expect mostly sunny skies today. After a chilly start inland temps will rise into the low and mid 60s most spots.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 245 AM Thu . Not much change in pattern with high pres to the W and low pres well to the NE. The low does drift W a bit producing a tighter pres grdnt with gusty NW winds coast, however atms remains dry with mclr skies. Shld have light mixing inland with lows upr 30s to lower 40s . beaches mostly mid/upr 40s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As 300 AM Thurs . Cool, but moderating conditions are expected into the weekend, as a large low pressure system meanders off the Mid-Atlantic coast. High pressure then builds into the area early next week, and then shifts offshore, leading to warmer, but more unsettled conditions through mid week.

Friday and Saturday . Jet stream blocking will lead to the retrograde of an expansive and strong low pressure system from the New England coast, south towards Bermuda. Locally, this will lead to continued northwest/northerly flow with stronger winds through Saturday as the low makes its closest approach to the area. Could see close to Gale Force winds across the Outer Banks again which could lead to some additional minor coastal flooding, see Coastal Flood section below for more details.

Dry conditions are expected though, and temperatures will be slightly below average with highs in the mid to upper 60s for most. Closer to the NE NC coast strong northerly winds off the cool ocean will lead to highs 50s to low 60s.

Sunday through Wednesday . High pressure will build over the area early Sunday morning, and shift offshore late in the day. Expect temps a bit warmer, with readings reaching the low 70s inland, and 60s closer to the coast.

High pressure then strengthens offshore Monday and Tuesday while a weak boundary moves into the region. This along with subtle upper level disturbances moving overhead, will lead to increasingly unsettled weather through midweek. Could also see an isolated thunderstorm with temperatures warming well into the 70s inland.

AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 1225 AM Thu . VFR shld dominate this period. Some patchy mid clouds poss nrn tier next few hours otherwise mainly clr skies thru rest of period. Winds have decoupled inland and temps are near dewpts so cant rule out brief patchy fog espcly at PGV. NW winds will increase with mixing from mid morning thru late aftn with gusts 15 to 20 kts.

Long Term /Friday through Monday/ . As of 320 AM Thurs . VFR conditions are expected through the period. Dry weather expected through Monday, when some isolated showers are possible.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 245 AM Thu . Deep low pres to the NE will drift W to SW a bit this period with high pres to the W. Decent pres grdnt will cont over the region with bouts of gusty winds. Expect a mini surge of NW winds around daybreak with speeds 15 to 25 kts. Winds diminish a bit into the aftn then increase again tonight to 20 to 30 kts as pres grdnt tightens as low retrogrades a bit closer. Will be close to Small Craft Advisory for Pamlico Sound early this morn but will keep just below. Did add the sounds to SCA tonight as winds expected to at least gust aoa 25 kts. Over the coastal wtrs will cont SCA as seas will remain elevated especially central and N. Seas of 6 to 10 ft N will subside a bit today to 5 to 8 ft and cont in that range tonight. Over srn wtrs seas will be mostly 4 to 6 ft with some 7 footers outer wtrs this morn.

Long Term /Friday through Monday/ . As of 330 AM Thurs . Strong NW/N winds will continue Friday and into the weekend, as a large low pressure systems sits off the New England coast, and eventually retrogrades south towards Bermuda. Winds will be NW 15-25 kts Friday with gusts close to Gale Force, turning to the north on Saturday. Winds finally subside Sunday, and then turn to the south late in the day. SW winds then strengthen to 10-20 kts on Monday.

Seas will be elevated and dangerous Friday through the weekend peaking at 8-12 ft east and north of Cape Lookout, while remaining 3-6 ft across the southern waters. Seas will subside through the day Sunday, but remain 5-7 ft on Monday.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 245 AM Thu . Seas will grad subside today with waves in surf zone grad dropping below 8 ft this morn and will allow High Surf Advisory N of Cape Hatteras to expire at 7 AM.

Coastal concerns will continue along the Outer Banks this weekend, as low pressures over the Atlantic strengthens and retrogrades back towards the East Coast. Beaches will begin to see long period swell from the distant low arrive Friday, peaking Saturday and Saturday night. Confidence is increasing that the Outer Banks will see large powerful wave action and prolonged period of wave run up (double digit seas with periods 14-15 seconds), with the threats for very rough surf, coastal flooding, beach erosion and ocean overwash. Moderate to potentially significant impacts will be possible for ocean side locations of the Outer Banks. This could impact portions of Highway 12, especially at times of high tide.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . High Surf Advisory until 7 AM EDT this morning for NCZ203-205. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 PM EDT Saturday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 5 PM EDT Friday for AMZ131- 230-231. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Monday for AMZ150-152-154- 156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . RF SHORT TERM . RF LONG TERM . CQD/SGK AVIATION . RF/SGK MARINE . RF/SGK TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 17 mi49 min WNW 23 G 26 54°F 58°F1011.5 hPa
41025 - Diamond Shoals 26 mi29 min WNW 16 G 21 55°F 66°F8 ft1011 hPa47°F
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 28 mi49 min W 12 G 16 48°F 52°F1011.2 hPa

Wind History for USCG Station Hatteras, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hatteras, Mitchell Field, NC14 mi28 minWNW 11 G 2010.00 miFair53°F41°F64%1011.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHSE

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)
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6554NW7NW8NW8NW8
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2 days agoW7W5W7W7NW8N75CalmS54S4W6W5SW7SW5W4SW6W5SW6W6W8N10
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Tide / Current Tables for Avon, North Carolina
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Avon
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:34 AM EDT     3.00 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:20 AM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:16 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:13 PM EDT     2.05 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:00 PM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.12.6332.72.21.610.50.30.30.611.51.9221.71.20.80.40.30.40.8

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Hatteras, North Carolina
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Cape Hatteras
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:26 AM EDT     3.76 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:55 AM EDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:16 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:00 PM EDT     3.23 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:57 PM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.83.43.73.73.32.721.30.80.70.91.322.63.13.232.51.81.10.60.40.61.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.