Salvo, NC Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Salvo, NC

June 23, 2024 9:31 PM EDT (01:31 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:46 AM   Sunset 8:27 PM
Moonrise 9:19 PM   Moonset 5:59 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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AMZ172 Expires:202406070632;;587897 Fzus72 Kmhx 070622 Mwsmhx
marine weather statement national weather service newport/morehead city nc 222 am edt Fri jun 7 2024
amz137-156-172-070632- /o.can.kmhx.ma.w.0111.000000t0000z-240607t0630z/ 222 am edt Fri jun 7 2024

.the special marine warning is cancelled - .
the affected areas were - . NEuse and bay rivers - . S of ocracoke inlet nc to cape lookout nc out to 20 nm - . Waters from oregon inlet to cape hatteras nc from 20 to 40 nm - .
the Thunderstorm has moved out of the warned area and no longer poses a significant threat to boaters.
&&
lat - .lon 3520 7540 3512 7581 3532 7582 3546 7539 3535 7520 time - .mot - .loc 0622z 257deg 33kt 3527 7563

AMZ100 743 Pm Edt Sun Jun 23 2024

Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - High pressure remains offshore tonight. A front will move through late Monday, with another front impacting the region Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Salvo, NC
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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 232357 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 757 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure remains offshore through tonight. A front will move through late Monday, with another front impacting the region Thursday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/
As of 755 PM Sun...All shower activity is now confined offshore, while along the inland thermal trough a few spotty showers and storms persist, primarily west or along the I-95 corridor in Virginia into central NC. The main cold front, the focus of tomorrow's weather, is pushing across the OH River Valley. As the front approaches overnight there will be increasing upper level support for the development of showers and thunderstorms across the coastal waters combined with weak remnant low pressure lifting along the Carolina coast. Most of the precip will likely remain offshore, though precip could skirt the immediate coast (best chances from Cape Lookout to Cape Hatteras). Breezy conditions will continue tonight ahead of an approaching cold front, as warm and muggy conditions persist.
Lows only falling into the upper 70s to around 80 deg.

SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/
As of 255 PM Sun...Early Monday morning, a weak area of low pressure (the remnants of the SW Atlantic tropical wave) may be skirting the Crystal Coast and southern OBX with showers and thunderstorms. After this wave moves away, a potent shortwave crossing the NE US will push a cold front southeast across ENC.
This front will be favorably timed with peak heating and the development of the afternoon seabreeze, setting up a period of moderate low-level forcing. Southerly flow ahead of the front will support dewpoints in the 70s. Heating of the moist boundary layer should support moderate instability (MLCAPE of 1500-2500 j/kg). Shear will be on the marginal side (20-30kt), but still more than sufficient for organized convection. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms expected to develop during the afternoon and evening, posing a risk of damaging winds and large hail.
Clustering of storms plus 2"+ PWATs will also favor a risk of very heavy rain and minor flooding. It's been very dry of late, though, so the flash flood threat appears low. Best chances look to be areas along and east of Hwy 17.

Combination of temps in the 90s inland and dewpoints in the 70s may support a risk for dangerous heat across the area. However, right now it looks marginal and with increasing cloud cover and precip chances will hold off on potential heat advisory at this time and let the later shifts re-evaluate.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 230 AM Sunday...

- Increased heat risk continues, especially mid to late-week

Synoptic Summary: Upper level troughing will dominate the Eastern U.S. through mid to late-week, then upper level ridging begins to expand east across the Southern U.S. by next weekend. At the surface, a couple of cold fronts are forecast to move through the Carolinas, one on Monday evening, and the other on Thursday.

Tuesday-Wednesday: Guidance continue to suggest Monday's front will get enough of a push to get all the way through ENC, setting up a less humid, and more stable, post-frontal airmass on Tuesday. Fronts tend to get hung up this time of year, and the front should quickly return north as a warm front Tuesday night. This will allow humidity to return by Wednesday. Outside of the seabreeze, the convective coverage looks to be low on Wednesday.

Thursday-Sunday: Continued southerly flow should once again support higher dewpoints and humidity overlapped with above normal temperatures and an increased risk of heat impacts. This will especially be the case by the weekend with ridging overhead and a lower risk of thunderstorms/clouds.

On Thursday, another decent cold front is forecast to move through the area, and guidance continue to show a solid signal for another round of scattered to numerous thunderstorms, some possibly on the strong side. Outside of Thursday, it appears the convective coverage will be closer to climo, and mainly seabreeze-driven.

AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
SHORT TERM /through 00z Tue/...
As of 755 PM Sun...VFR conditions remain across all areas this evening. Gusty, pre-frontal southwesterly winds will ease overnight with loss of heating and mixing, but sustained winds of around 10 kt will abate any fog threat despite extremely saturated low levels. However, at least a period of low-level stratus is favored tonight, especially with an influx of moisture associated with a weak surface low expected to pass close to the Crystal Coast tonight. Latest LAMP guidance suggests any MVFR with these cigs would be more temporary in nature, and trended TAFs in this direction with the most pessimistic forecasts for EWN and OAJ. Primary risk window is from 06-13z.

For Monday, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop ahead of an approaching front putting all terminals at risk especially after 18z. A few stronger thunderstorms, capable of small hail, gusts to 40+ kt, and torrential rainfall briefly but severely limiting visibility, are possible.

LONG TERM /Monday night through Friday/...
As of 230 AM Sunday...Predominantly VFR conditions are expected Tuesday and Wednesday, followed by another increased risk of TSRA by Thursday.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Monday/...
As of 255 PM Sun...Latest obs show SW winds 15-25 kt with seas 2-4 ft. Conditions will continue to deteriorate ahead of an approaching cold front tonight. SSW winds will peak at 15-25 kt with gusts 25-30 kt tonight into Monday morning. The presence of a strengthening low level jet overnight may lead to a brief few hours of Gale Force winds/wind gusts, especially in and around any scattered showers. SCAs remain in effect for the coastal waters, sounds and rivers and will continue into Mon morning and evening. Seas will peak at 5-7 ft overnight. SW winds 15-25 kt will continue Mon with 4-6 ft seas. A cold front will move through the waters late Monday and Monday evening and will feature an increased risk of thunderstorms. Some storms may be strong to severe Monday afternoon and evening.

LONG TERM /Monday night through Friday/...
As of 230 AM Sunday...

- Elevated winds and seas return mid-week

A post-frontal regime will briefly setup on Tuesday with easterly winds of 5-15kt and lower seas. Southerly flow then quickly returns by Wednesday and Thursday, with building seas.

FIRE WEATHER
As of 255 PM Sun...

- Elevated fire concerns possible through this evening

Southerly winds will gust 25-30 mph through this evening. With moisture increasing, RH values will remain elevated this afternoon, bottoming out only in the 40 to 50% range. However, given how dry it has been in the last few weeks, the breezy conditions in the presence of drier fine fuels is noteworthy, especially for any fire that manages to develop, or any ongoing fires. Wetting rainfall is still possible on Monday, especially along and east of Hwy 17, and again Thursday.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ029-044>047- 079>081-090>092-094-193-194-198.
Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ195- 196-204-205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Monday for AMZ131-136-137- 230.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Monday for AMZ135.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Monday for AMZ150-231.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Monday for AMZ152-154.
Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT Monday night for AMZ156-158.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
41120 17 mi32 min 80°F5 ft
41083 23 mi152 minSSW 18 84°F 29.88
44095 23 mi36 min 79°F5 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 33 mi44 minSW 25G29 82°F 86°F29.89
41082 34 mi152 minSSW 21 80°F 29.86
41025 - Diamond Shoals 36 mi22 minSSW 21G27 80°F29.88
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 36 mi44 minSSW 14G21 80°F 84°F29.90
44086 41 mi36 min 77°F5 ft


Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KHSE31 sm40 minSSW 14G2810 smClear81°F75°F84%29.88
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Wind History graph: HSE
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Rodanthe, Pamlico Sound, North Carolina
   
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Rodanthe
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Sun -- 12:11 AM EDT     0.73 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:00 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:25 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:39 PM EDT     0.57 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:14 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Rodanthe, Pamlico Sound, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
0.7
1
am
0.7
2
am
0.6
3
am
0.5
4
am
0.3
5
am
0.2
6
am
0.1
7
am
0
8
am
0
9
am
0.1
10
am
0.3
11
am
0.4
12
pm
0.6
1
pm
0.6
2
pm
0.5
3
pm
0.4
4
pm
0.3
5
pm
0.2
6
pm
0.1
7
pm
0
8
pm
0.1
9
pm
0.2
10
pm
0.4
11
pm
0.5


Tide / Current for Avon, North Carolina
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Avon
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Sun -- 03:16 AM EDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:01 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:54 AM EDT     2.07 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:31 PM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:14 PM EDT     3.74 feet High Tide
Sun -- 10:19 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Avon, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
1.6
1
am
0.8
2
am
0.2
3
am
-0.1
4
am
-0
5
am
0.4
6
am
0.9
7
am
1.5
8
am
1.9
9
am
2.1
10
am
1.9
11
am
1.4
12
pm
0.8
1
pm
0.3
2
pm
-0
3
pm
-0.1
4
pm
0.3
5
pm
1
6
pm
1.9
7
pm
2.7
8
pm
3.4
9
pm
3.7
10
pm
3.6
11
pm
3.1


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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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Morehead City, NC,




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