Saturday, January18, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Salvo, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 5:17PM Saturday January 18, 2020 12:56 AM EST (05:56 UTC) Moonrise 1:04AMMoonset 12:24PM Illumination 45% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ152 S Of Oregon Inlet To Cape Hatteras Nc Out 20 Nm- 1000 Pm Est Fri Jan 17 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday evening...
.gale watch in effect from Saturday evening through Sunday morning...
Overnight..N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds.
Sat..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sat night..SW winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Showers likely.
Sun..W winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 9 ft, subsiding to 5 to 7 ft in the afternoon. Dominant period 8 seconds. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Sun night..NW winds around 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Mon..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Mon night..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Tue..N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
Wed..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Salvo, NC
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location: 35.46, -75.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 180538 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1238 AM EST Sat Jan 18 2020

SYNOPSIS. Strong high pressure over the region will shift off the coast Saturday as another strong front impacts the area Saturday night into early Sunday. Cold high pressure then dominates the region for most of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNRISE/. As of 10 PM Fri . Advancing and thickening cirrus shield may bring a halt to the downward trend in temps overnight, and lows likely met before midnight, before leveling off or slowly rising towards dawn. Adjusted hourly T's accordingly. No other changes.

Prev discussion . As of 7 PM Fri . No big changes with early eve update.

Prev discussion . As of 230 PM Friday . Latest sfc analysis shows strong 1045mb high pressure centered over Southern Ontario and the Great Lakes region, extending into the SE US. Quiet and cold night expected across ENC. Gusty north winds will subside this evening as upper ridge and surface high pressure shift over the Carolinas. With clear skies early excellent radiational cooling conditions will initially be present and expect temperatures to drop quickly after sunset. Again leaned toward the colder guidance with lows dropping into the mid to upper 20s inland and low 30s along the beaches, but will see increasing mid and high clouds late tonight and Sat morning which could limit cooling.

SHORT TERM /7 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/. As of 230 PM Friday . High pressure will slide off the coast Saturday, as strengthening surface low pushes into the Great Lakes region and attendant cold front approaches from the west. Partly cloudy skies early with increasing clouds during the afternoon. Expect most of the day to remain dry, with isolated showers during the afternoon and evening, best chances along the coast. Southerly winds develop Sat afternoon allowing temps to climb into the low to mid 50s inland and mid 50s to low 60s along the coast.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 245 PM Fri . Another cold front will approach the area from the west with limited amount of moisture and push through Sunday morning with cold high pressure to dominate for the most of the upcoming week.

Saturday night and Sunday . The next cold front will approach the area from the west with light showers ahead and along the cold front. Models continue to show the best coverage to be Saturday night as omega and low-level convergence is at the highest, therefore continued the mention of chance to likely PoPs Saturday night into Sunday. Showers will linger through mid-morning on Sunday with showers pushing offshore and skies start to clear from NW to SE Sunday afternoon as colder/drier airmass starts to filter into the area. Expect highs in the mid 50s to low 60s as the best cold air advection comes in Sunday night.

Monday through Friday . Arctic high pressure will establish itself over the region through most of next week, but a robust shortwave will dig down into the Deep South, something to watch. The models continue to show a low pressure system developing well offshore as a result from this shortwave. The latest Canadian/Euro model continue to show light showers on the back-side of the low pressure system and reaching the Outer Banks Tuesday and Wednesday, while GFS have little to no rain. Given uncertainty will continue with just slight chance PoPs along the Outer Banks. Airmass is cold, but appears lower levels will remain above freezing across OBX so just have rain as ptype. By Thursday, the ridge builds back with high pressure to continue to dominate the area through Friday. Clouds may start to increase ahead of the next upcoming storm, but remain dry on Friday. with cool NE winds.

Expect cold temperatures on Mon and Tue with highs in the in the 40 to 45 dgr range, then a slowly warming through the rest of the week, as high ranging 45 to 50 degrees Wed and Thurs, then upper 50s to around 60 degree Friday. Overnight lows, in the 20s inland to 30s beaches.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Short Term /through Saturday Night/ . As of 7 PM Friday . VFR conditions through Saturday as high pressure ridges into the area. Mid clouds early this morning will linger through much of the day, with low level flow becoming increasingly southerly this afternoon, prompting the development of some lower clouds around 5kft or high. This evening, a strong 50+kt S to SWrly LLJ moves over eastern NC, bringing gusty winds, low level wind shear, and rapidly increasing low level moisture content. The chance for MVFR ceilings will begin to increase toward the end of the TAF period.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 230 AM Fri . VFR returns Sun as drier air grad spreads in behind front. VFR will cont Mon and Tue with cold high pres building in from the W.

MARINE. Short Term /through Saturday/ . As of 230 PM Friday . Latest obs show N/NNE winds 15-25 kt with gusts 25-30 kt and seas 7-10 ft north of Ocracoke and 5-8 ft south. Dropped Gales this afternoon and replaced with SCAs. Winds and seas will be gradually diminishing this evening and overnight as high pressure builds in over the waters. Winds diminish to 10-20 kt late tonight with seas subsiding to 3-7 ft. High pressure will shift off the coast Saturday ahead of approaching cold front. NE winds 5-15 kt Sat morning becoming S 15-25 kt late Sat afternoon and evening. Expect conditions to deteriorate quickly after 4-5 pm Sat. Seas 3-6 ft Sat (highest across the outer central waters).

Long Term /Saturday night through Wednesday/ . As of 245 PM Fri . A cold front will approach the area with SSW winds increasing 25 to 35 kts Sat night with some Gale conditions likely and therefore went with a Gale Watch from Oregon Inlet to Cape Lookout. When the front pushes through Sunday morning, winds become NW 15 to 20 kts, becoming N Monday. Then winds will increase 15 to 25 kt on Tuesday as a low pressure system develops well offshore. Seas peak 8 to 12 ft outer wtrs Sat night then slowly drop to 5 to 8 ft Sunday. Seas of 4 to 6 ft early Mon drop to 3 to 5 ft late. As N winds increase Tue seas build to 5 to 7 ft and continue through Wednesday.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Gale Watch from this evening through Sunday morning for AMZ152- 154-156-158. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for AMZ152- 154. Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST early this morning for AMZ156-158. Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CQD/TL SHORT TERM . CQD LONG TERM . RF/BM AVIATION . TL/BM/CB MARINE . CQD/BM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44095 23 mi41 min 52°F7 ft
41025 - Diamond Shoals 33 mi37 min N 18 G 23 46°F 72°F1035.7 hPa40°F
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 33 mi63 min 38°F 47°F1037.7 hPa
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 36 mi63 min 40°F 50°F1037.1 hPa
44086 41 mi32 min 52°F6 ft

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hatteras, Mitchell Field, NC32 mi66 minNNE 710.00 miFair40°F28°F63%1037.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHSE

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)
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1 day agoW3SW7SW6SW8SW11
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2 days ago5W5W6NW6NE8NE7N7
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NE6NE6NE6N534N74N54N4N3NE3N4NW3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Rodanthe, Pamlico Sound, North Carolina
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Rodanthe
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:05 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:01 AM EST     0.59 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:05 PM EST     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:25 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:14 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:20 PM EST     0.49 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.3-0.10.10.30.50.60.60.50.30.20.1-0-0.1-00.10.30.40.50.50.40.20.1-0.1-0.2

Tide / Current Tables for Avon, North Carolina
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Avon
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:05 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 01:29 AM EST     3.02 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:43 AM EST     0.27 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:25 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 01:36 PM EST     2.58 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:15 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:54 PM EST     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.6332.621.30.70.40.30.511.62.22.52.62.31.710.4-0.1-0.2-00.51.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.