Saturday, April4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
River Road, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:49AMSunset 7:35PM Saturday April 4, 2020 8:03 PM EDT (00:03 UTC) Moonrise 2:39PMMoonset 3:52AM Illumination 90% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 640 Pm Edt Sat Apr 4 2020
Tonight..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft.
Sun night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft, then around 2 ft after midnight. A chance of showers.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft, then 1 ft.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft, then around 2 ft. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near River Road, NC
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location: 35.49, -77     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 042317 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 717 PM EDT Sat Apr 4 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will continue to build over the area through Sunday, as low pressure moves slowly east over the Atlantic. High pressure slides offshore Monday, while a backdoor cold front pushes into portions of Eastern NC. The front then pushes north of the area Tuesday, and then a stronger cold front will move through the area late this week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 645 PM Sat . No changes to the previous disc.

Previous disc . Latest sfc analysis shows strong expansive low well offshore with high pressure in control of the Eastern US. Low pressure will cont to move further east away from the region tonight as high pres builds in from the west. Latest satellite imagery shows scu continuing to stream in across the eastern forecast area around the distant low. Clouds should begin to push east overnight with most of the region seeing mclr skies. Lows will range from lower 40s inland to 45 to 50 along the beaches.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/. As of 245 PM Sat . High pressure will crest over the area Sunday, as surface low over the Atlantic slowly moves eastward. The high will gradually slide off the coast Sunday night. Should be another quiet and pleasant day with low level NE/E flow and temps near climo. Low level thickness values support highs in the upper 50s to low 60s along the Outer Banks, and mid 60s to low 70s inland.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. As 310 AM Sat . Warm and somewhat unsettled conditions expected early next week. Then, a stronger cold front will cross the area Thursday or Friday, with cooler conditions likely going into next weekend.

Monday through Wednesday . High pressure will slide offshore Monday, while a backdoor cold front sinks south into portions of the area by the afternoon. With temperatures warming well into the 70s away from the coast, some instability will develop, and scattered thunderstorms could initiate along the sea breeze. Decent wind shear values across the area could yield some stronger storms if cells can mature.

The backdoor front will retreat north Tuesday morning, and southwesterly flow will strengthen, and low level heights will build. Some scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm will be possible Tuesday as the front strengthens to the north with weak cyclogenesis possible. Then, some weak subsidence behind this feature Wednesday should lead to mostly dry conditions. Temperatures both days could reach the low 80s inland, and low to mid 70s along the coast.

Thursday and Friday . Some pretty big changes to the forecast for this period, with most models now flipping to a solution that involves a stronger cold front crossing the area sometime late Thursday or into Friday. ECMWF and CMC show a drier solution, with little to any precip over the area, while the GFS is a bit slower, which allows for better moisture transport over the area . leading to a depiction of more rain. Either way it looks as though Thursday remains mostly dry, and will carry slight chance PoPs Friday for now. Continued warm temps with readings into the 70s and low 80s Thursday, and then 70s on Friday.

AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Short Term /through Sunday/ . As of 715 PM Sat . Pred VFR conditions through the period. Lingering sct clouds are moving Ewrd with skies over TAF sites clearing on satellite. Expecting mclr skies and calm winds overnight and into Sunday. Patchy fog is not expected tonight, but cannot be ruled our for PGV.

Long Term /Sunday night through Thursday/ . As of 340 AM Sat . VFR conditions are expected through the Monday afternoon, when some scattered showers or thunderstorms develop. Scattered precip likely again Tuesday, with dry weather returning Wednesday.

MARINE. Short Term /through Sunday/ . As of 715 PM Sat . Forecast remains on track from the prev disc.

Prev disc . Latest obs show N winds 15-20 kt, with seas 7-10 ft north of Ocracoke and 3-5 ft south. Long period NE swell continues to build across the waters, with periods 12-13 sec. As the low drifts further offshore tonight and high pres builds in from the west expect N winds to diminish to 10 to 20 kts. NNE winds 10-20 kt will continue Sunday morning becoming more E 5-15 kt during the afternoon. Seas will remain to 8 to 11 ft N and 4 to 6 ft S tonight. Seas across the southern waters still slow to respond, holding steady 4-5 ft, but all wave guidance shows seas building to 6+ ft early this evening, so will continue SCA. Seas may subside slightly Sunday as low drifts eastward, but large NE swell will continue to keep seas elevated, highest north of Ocracoke.

Long Term /Sunday night through Thursday/ . As of 340 AM Sat . Strong swell 6-10 ft will linger into Monday morning, with SW winds increasing to 10-20 kts Monday. SSW flow continues Tuesday and Wednesday at around 10-20 kts, while seas remain 4-6 ft.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 715 PM Sat . Forecast remains on track from prev disc. Overwash was reported by DOT on Hwy 12 btwn Basnight Bridge and Rodanthe around 6pm tonight.

Prev disc . Will cont the High Surf and Coastal Flood Advisories for areas from Cape Hat N. Swell has been building across the waters today, with waves 7-10 ft/12-13 sec period. The high tide later this aftn prob has best potential to produce beach erosion and some ocean overwash. Will continue CF Advisory through late evening, but may need to be extended into Sunday morning. Given trends in waves have ended the High Surf Mon morning.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . High Surf Advisory until 8 AM EDT Monday for NCZ203-205. Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for NCZ203- 205. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Wednesday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Monday for AMZ150-156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . ML SHORT TERM . CQD/ML LONG TERM . SGK AVIATION . CQD/SGK MARINE . CQD/SGK TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 56 mi63 min NNE 11 G 17 57°F 61°F1015.3 hPa (+1.3)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 65 mi63 min NNE 25 G 28 56°F 1015.2 hPa (+1.1)53°F
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 71 mi63 min NNE 17 G 20 51°F 60°F1016.1 hPa (+1.6)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC6 mi68 minNE 810.00 miFair58°F44°F62%1015.9 hPa
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC23 mi68 minENE 910.00 miFair63°F42°F49%1015.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOCW

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmN9CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4CalmN5N6N7N9N9N9
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1 day ago--CalmCalmW4W3W3NW3W3W4CalmW4W4W7NW8
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2 days agoNW3W3CalmCalmCalmCalmW3SW5CalmW3W3W4NW6NW13NW10
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----NW4

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:06 AM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:13 AM EDT     2.29 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:54 PM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:41 PM EDT     2.15 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.20.61.11.72.12.32.21.91.510.50.20.10.30.71.21.72.12.11.91.510.5

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:28 AM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:12 AM EDT     1.96 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:16 PM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:40 PM EDT     1.84 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.10.10.40.91.41.81.91.91.71.30.90.50.20.10.20.511.51.81.81.71.41

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.