Saturday, December7, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
River Road, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 4:57PM Saturday December 7, 2019 3:54 AM EST (08:54 UTC) Moonrise 2:26PMMoonset 2:24AM Illumination 79% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 300 Am Est Sat Dec 7 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from 6 am est this morning through late tonight...
Today..N winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tonight..NE winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming E around 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft in the morning, then 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Mon..S winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely.
Mon night..SW winds around 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..SW winds 20 to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft. Showers likely.
Wed..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near River Road, NC
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location: 35.49, -77     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 070800 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 300 AM EST Sat Dec 7 2019

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build in over the weekend. A stronger cold front will move through Tuesday night and early Wednesday. High pressure will build north of the area through late next week, with another system likely impacting the area next weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. As of 3 AM Sat . High pressure builds in from the north today with N to NE winds bringing cooler temps. There may be some lingering clouds through the morning but expect mainly sunny skies by the afternoon. Temps expted to dip a bit below climo with highs ranging in the low 50s N to mid/upr 50s SW.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 3 AM Sat . Continuing CAA tonight will set the stage for chilly overnight lows. Clear skies will continue, with breezes along the coast keeping temps from reaching freezing, with readings generally in the mid 30s to around 40. Interior zones winds should become calm to light, allowing for lows to drop below freezing.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 240 AM Sat . Unsettled weather is likely for Sunday night through Wednesday morning as deep moisture returns ahead of a strong cold front. High pressure will build north of the area mid to late next week, with another system likely impacting ENC next weekend.

Sunday through Wednesday . High pressure will move east of the area Sunday, as weak coastal trough tries to develop along the SE coast. Winds will veer to E/ESE with temperatures moderating to the upper 50s to lower 60s. Could see light showers move onshore during the late afternoon.

The combination of a deepening mid-level trough, mid-level shortwave energy and precipitable water values that will increase to 1.25 inches or better will lead to a more unsettled weather pattern with better chances of showers Sunday night into Mon morning and then off and on through midday Wednesday ahead of a strong cold front. Per trends in guidance, still looks like the best chances for widespread showers will be Sunday night into Monday then Tuesday night into early Wed. With increasing southerly flow, high temperatures will be above normal Monday and Tuesday. Highs Monday will be well into the 60s with lower to middle 70s possible Tuesday. The strong cold front will push through the area late Tue night into early Wednesday. Some guidance shows areas along Hwy 17 climbing into the low 80s Tue afternoon.

Wednesday night through Friday . Strong high pressure will build in north of the area. Much cooler and drier air behind this front. Thursday looks like the dry, cool day with highs in the 40s. Widespread lows near or below freezing both Thursday and Friday mornings. Models continue to show a stronger frontal system impacting the area next weekend. Still a week out with quite a bit uncertainty but the GFS and ECMWF are in pretty good agreement showing a warm front pushing through ENC Friday night, with sfc low lifting through the Carolinas Friday night and Saturday. Widespread moderate to heavy showers will be possible. Depending on how this evolves there will also be the potential for strong to severe storms.

AVIATION /07Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Short Term /through tonight/ . As of 2 AM Sat . SCT/BKN mid level clouds starting to thin, and a period of IFR/MVFR vsbys expected before cold front moves through this morning and winds pick up, ending FG threat by sunrise. Some gusts around 15 kt or so expected today, before winds become light late afternoon through evening.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 240 AM Sat . VFR conditions are expected to prevail into Sunday as strong high pressure moves north of the region. Unsettled weather is expected Sunday through Wednesday morning with scattered showers and periods of sub-VFR conditions likely.

MARINE. Short Term /Through tonight/ . As of 3 AM Sat . Strong CAA ramps up around daybreak behind frontal passage. Winds will increase to around 15-25 kt with higher gusts today, and linger through tonight for ctrl/srn waters and Pamlico Sound. Seas will build to 5-7 ft this afternoon through tonight.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 240 AM Sat . An active weather pattern through the middle of next week will result in hazardous boating conditions with strong winds at times and a prolonged period of elevated seas AOA 6 ft. Gusty NE winds continue early Sunday morning diminishing to 10-20 kt in the afternoon, with seas briefly subsiding below 6 ft late Sunday morning and early afternoon. Sunday night SE winds increase to 20-25 kt and continue into Monday while becoming S. S/SW winds 20-25 kt will continue Mon night and Tue ahead of a cold front. The front will cross the waters late Tue night and Wed morning with the flow shifting to NW 15-25 kt. Based on the current wave model forecasts the only period with seas below 6 ft will be late Sunday morning into early Sunday evening, otherwise elevated seas will prevail with seas peaking at 6-11 ft Mon into Tue evening.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM this morning to 4 AM EST Sunday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM this morning to 1 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ131-230-231. Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM this morning to 7 AM EST Sunday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM this morning to 10 AM EST Sunday for AMZ156-158. Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . TL SHORT TERM . TL LONG TERM . JME/CQD AVIATION . TL/CQD MARINE . TL/CQD


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 56 mi55 min N 1.9 G 1.9 50°F 54°F1021.9 hPa (-0.0)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 65 mi55 min N 5.1 G 5.1 55°F 1022 hPa (-0.0)51°F
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 71 mi55 min NW 2.9 G 2.9 52°F 53°F1021.3 hPa (-0.6)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC6 mi60 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy45°F42°F92%1022.3 hPa
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC23 mi60 minN 010.00 miFair41°F41°F100%1022.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOCW

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW5SW4S4CalmSW4W4SW5SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:22 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 04:57 AM EST     1.99 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:30 AM EST     0.38 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:25 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:55 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:07 PM EST     1.82 feet High Tide
Sat -- 11:33 PM EST     0.18 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.71.21.61.921.91.61.30.90.60.40.40.611.41.71.81.81.51.20.80.40.2

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:11 AM EST     0.20 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:22 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:56 AM EST     1.70 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:52 PM EST     0.30 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:24 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:55 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:06 PM EST     1.56 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.30.50.91.31.61.71.61.41.10.80.50.40.30.40.81.11.41.61.51.310.70.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.