Friday, August23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
River Road, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:33AMSunset 7:50PM Friday August 23, 2019 2:42 AM EDT (06:42 UTC) Moonrise 11:30PMMoonset 12:52PM Illumination 48% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 1231 Am Edt Fri Aug 23 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 2 am edt early this morning...
Rest of tonight..SW winds 15 to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Fri night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft in the evening, then 1 ft. Showers and tstms likely, mainly in the evening. Patchy fog.
Sat..NW winds around 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. Patchy fog in the morning. Showers likely. A slight chance of tstms in the morning, then a chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft. Showers likely with a slight chance of tstms.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Rain likely.
Sun night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt in the evening. Waves around 3 ft. Rain likely.
Mon..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of rain.
Tue..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming s. Waves 1 ft. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near River Road, NC
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location: 35.49, -77     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 230450
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1250 am edt Fri aug 23 2019

Synopsis
High pressure offshore will extend west into eastern north
carolina through Friday as a trough lingers well inland. A
cold front will approach the area Friday night and slowly
crosses the region Saturday. An area of low pressure will move
along the coast late weekend into early next week.

Near term through tonight
As of 1245 am Friday... Precipitation has ended across our cwa
and based on latest high-resolution guidance, have removed pops
from the forecast for the remainder of the night. Widespread
debris cloudiness from the earlier convection should limit fog
formation overnight. With some rain-cooled air inland, lower
overnight minimum temperatures to the low mid 70s with upper 70s
outer banks crystal coast.

Short term Saturday through 6 am Saturday
As of 220 pm Thursday... A cold front will slowly approach enc
from the north with scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms developing late Friday afternoon, mainly over the
northern half of the forecast area. Temperatures will rise into
the upper 80s to lower 90s producing good instab with sfc based
capes reaching 3500 to 4000. Once again a cpl strong to severe
thunderstorms will be poss with the main threat damaging winds.

Far SRN tier... Espcly the coast... Will see little to no precip
fri.

Long term Saturday through Friday
As of 345 pm thu... A slow moving cold front will approach enc
Friday night, and cross through the forecast area over the
weekend, leading to another period of unsettled weather which
may continue into early next week.

Friday night... Thunderstorms will move into the NRN tier by fri
evening, and have inc pops to categorical here, as good
agreement amongst near term cam's. Pw's pool to AOA 2.5", above
climo MAX for this time of year. Therefore, have added heavy
rain wording to the northern zones where training of
thunderstorms may yield a flood concern. There will be a sharp
gradient in precip, where SRN zones may remain rain-free for
most of the night, as upr flow will be nearly parallel with the
front. Several inches of rain are certainly possible with the
heavier training cells in a short period of time.

Saturday... The front will make a slow southward progression
through enc on sat, and generally expecting fairly widespread
precip as pw's will remain above 2". Thunder will be embedded,
but instability should not be as high given the widespread
clouds and showers, though some embedded heavier convective
cells would produce a flood threat during especially the
afternoon hours, especially considering the copious amounts of
rain we have seen this past week.

Sunday through Monday... Some disagreement amongst 22 12z model
suite comes into play late weekend to early next week. The ecmwf
is advertising a possible tropical system riding nne but staying
off the nc coast Sunday night into Monday, and would act to
bring some coastal impacts, mainly in the form of heavy rain and
some gusty winds. There is some concern of a pre developing by
Sunday, as stalled front just to the south interacts with
overrunning mid level (h85-70 mb) tropical flow out of the
south, and may bring periods of rain, heavy at times, into the
area. The low would pass NE of the nc coast on Monday, keeping
rain and breezy conditions in the fcst for coastal locales.

Gfs cmc are less developed with the low pressure area, though
still have a weak low riding NE over or near the coast. Either
way, the fcst looks quite unsettled with periods of rain with
some flood threat through Monday. Temps will be held down this
period due to the clouds and rain, with highs generally around
80, and lows mid 60s to near 70.

Tuesday through Wednesday... High pres should be building in by
tue with drying conditions, as well as temps climbing back
towards climo, in the mid upr 80s. Lows continue in the 60s
interior to low 70s coast. Another frontal system will approach
by midweek with thunderstorm chances coming back into the fcst.

Aviation 06z Friday through Tuesday
Short term through 06z Saturday ...

as of 1245 am Friday... Widespread mid high level debris
cloudiness from earlier convection should linger across the area
for most of the night, precluding any fog formation. As a
result, will have another night ofVFR conditions. An
approaching east-west oriented cold front will lead to an
increase in convection after 00z and will forecast vicinity
thunder for kpgv from 00z-04z and for the other TAF sites from
about 02z-06z.

Long term Friday night through Monday ...

as of 345 pm thurs... Scattered to widespread showers and
thunderstorms expected Fri night as a slow moving cold front
moves into the area. The front will slowly push south through
the area on sat, leading to periods of MVFR to ifr conditions.

Unsettled weather should continue on Sunday and possibly into
Monday as low pressure brings rain and low clouds.

Marine
Short term tonight and Fri ...

as of 1250 am Thursday... Winds a few gusts approaching 25 knots,
will keep the SCA going for the pamlico sound through 2 am.

Otherwise, winds will diminish a bit overnight and into Friday
morning, but will be fairly gusty ahead of the cold front,
especially south of oregon inlet. Seas will range from 2 to 4
ft N to 3 to 5 ft central and s.

Long term Friday night through Monday ...

as of 345 pm thurs... A slow moving cold front will approach the
marine zones Friday evening. Winds and seas will weaken
slightly as a slow moving cold front enters the region. Winds
will turn to the W at 10-15 kts early Saturday, and then as the
front slowly sinks south winds will turn to the N NE behind it
through the day. Gradient increases again by later Sunday as low
pressure organizes to the south, and high pres is locked in to
the west. NE winds should increase to 15-20 kt with higher
gusts 25-30 kt at times, and seas building to around 6 ft Sunday
into Monday.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 2 am edt early this morning for
amz135.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Ctc
short term... Rf
long term... Tl
aviation... Ctc tl sgk
marine... Ctc tl


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 56 mi55 min SSW 8 G 14 83°F 85°F1017.9 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 65 mi43 min SW 12 G 14 83°F 1017.1 hPa (-0.3)77°F
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 71 mi61 min SW 7 G 11 81°F 83°F1017 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC6 mi1.8 hrsN 010.00 miFair74°F70°F89%1016.9 hPa
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC23 mi4.5 hrsN 010.00 miLight Rain73°F71°F94%1017.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOCW

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW4S3S3----SW6SW6SW6SW7SW5S7SW9SW4
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1 day agoSW4--SW5S3S4--SW8SW9
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2 days agoCalmCalm--CalmCalmSW3--SW4SW3SW5W4SW8SW8SW7--SW6SW5--------------

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:21 AM EDT     1.96 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:41 AM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:58 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 01:49 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:54 PM EDT     2.31 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:46 PM EDT     0.63 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.81.91.91.71.410.70.50.50.711.51.92.22.32.21.91.61.20.90.70.60.8

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:20 AM EDT     1.68 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:03 AM EDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:58 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 01:49 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:53 PM EDT     1.98 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:08 PM EDT     0.51 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.81.21.51.71.61.51.20.90.70.50.40.50.81.21.61.921.91.71.41.10.80.60.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.