Thursday, July29, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
River Road, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:14AMSunset 8:17PM Thursday July 29, 2021 8:53 PM EDT (00:53 UTC) Moonrise 10:48PMMoonset 10:48AM Illumination 69% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 720 Pm Edt Thu Jul 29 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday afternoon...
Tonight..SW winds 15 to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Fri..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Fri night..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Sat night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. A chance of showers in the morning, then tstms likely with a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sun night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Showers likely. Tstms likely, mainly in the evening.
Mon..N winds around 10 kt, becoming s. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft. A chance of tstms. Showers likely.
Tue..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of tstms. Showers likely. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near River Road, NC
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location: 35.49, -77     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 292334 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 734 PM EDT Thu Jul 29 2021

SYNOPSIS. Offshore high pressure will continue through tonight. A weak cold front will approach Friday, lingering over the area through the weekend. A much more active period emerges early to mid next week as several waves of low pressure traverse the area.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/. As of 725 PM Thursday . Generally clear skies across the region at early evening. Some blowoff cloudiness from convection well to our north and northwest may increase cloud cover a bit later tonight and early in the morning. Latest surface observations showing S/SSW winds at 5-15 mph with dewpoints in the mid 70s, which will lead to another muggy night with lows in the mid 70s inland and upper 70s to around 80 coast.

SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/. As of 340 PM Thurs . Ahead of a slow moving cold front tomorrow, low level heights will peak, and we will likely see our hottest day of the year so far. Heating will get a head start thanks to very warm lows tomorrow morning, which should allow for temps to heat into the upper 80s by late morning. The temp forecast thereafter remains tricky with a likely area of convective initiation across the coastal plain and eastward towards the Albemarle Sound, while a strong sea breeze will be mostly pinned along the coast, but will make some inland advancement through the afternoon. In between these features temps will warm into the mid to upper 90s, with dewpoints remaining in the low to possibly mid 70s. This will lead to a period of heat indices 105-110 for the coastal plain south of US 70, and for portions of the Inner Banks over to the Northern Outer Banks. A Heat Advisory has been issued for these counties. Farther north along the coastal plain thunderstorm development should limit high temps from climbing past the mid 90s, and limit the duration of heat indices over 105. Along and behind the sea breeze temps will remain cooler, however dewpoints approaching 80 will result in heat indices right around105.

The area is also under a risk for isolated severe thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon, and SPC has highlighted a marginal risk over ENC. As moisture advection increases tomorrow, and temps climb into the 90s, moderate to strong instability will develop in the afternoon as wind shear increases to 30-40 kts. This will lead to the potential for damaging wind gusts, and some large hail. Some isolated areas of flooding are also possible if the coverage of storms is sufficient, as PWATs remain above 1.75".

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 340 PM Thu . Hot weather and the potential for severe thunderstorms highlight Friday, with a very active pattern emerging over the weekend and continuing at least into the middle of next week.

Friday Night through Sunday . Convective activity will push off the south coast Friday night as the surface front is now expected to push across most or all of the area by sunrise Saturday. However, heights aloft will begin to fall as troughing digs across the Ohio Valley toward the southern Appalachians, and the first in what will be several waves of low pressure will develop over the Southeast along the stalled boundary. This wave will bring the next round of storms Sunday as the boundary slides back over the area, where it will remain for the better part of next week. Developing deep layer moisture transport on the east side of the unseasonably high- amplitude trough will bring the potential for heavy rainfall, with the severe threat dependent on the timing and strength of the wave as it crosses the area Sunday.

Monday through mid-week . Unsettled weather continues early to middle of next week as the surface boundary remains stalled over/near the area with a relatively high amplitude upper trough over the southern Appalachians. The second significant wave traversing the boundary looks to impact the area late Monday into Tuesday, but timing is uncertain at this point. Overall, expect a wet period with persistent deep moisture advection brining flooding rainfall concerns, and periods of severe weather concerns possible as well. Temps will be near to below normal owing to cloud cover and periods of rainfall.

AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. SHORT TERM /Through 00Z Saturday/ . As of 725 PM Thursday . VFR conditions to prevail through this TAF cycle. Some higher clouds may drift over the area later tonight from convective debris well to our north and northwest. VFR conditions prevail into tomorrow afternoon, but some scattered showers and tstms may develop late in the day given strong heating and moisture ahead of a weak front. At this point, will not include VCTS in the forecast as still questionable about the amount of coverage of thunderstorms.

LONG TERM /Friday through Tuesday/ . As of 4 AM Thu . VFR prevails through midday Friday, with increasing convective activity later in the day bringing the potential for at least temporary flight restrictions. A much more active period will emerge later Saturday through the middle of next week, with periods of heavy rainfall and erratic winds in and around thunderstorms being the primary concerns.

MARINE. SHORT TERM /Tonight and Tomorrow/ . As of 730 PM Thursday . S/SSW winds are running from 10-20 knots with a few gusts into the lower 20s at early evening with choppy 2-3 foot seas. Winds will continue to increase ahead of a cold front currently in the Ohio Valley. Small Craft Advisories are in effect tonight for all the coastal waters and Pamlico, Roanoke, and Croatan Sounds. Winds are expected to continue to strengthen tonight becoming 15-25 kts overnight and continuing through most of the day tomorrow. A cold front will push southward through the afternoon, leading to improving conditions from north to south late in the day. Seas are expected to be 4-6 ft tomorrow as well.

LONG TERM /Friday Night through Tuesday/ . As of 350 PM Thu . Strong storms are possible over the waters later Friday, with frequent lightning and strong/erratic winds the primary concerns. Light to moderate NE flow prevails behind the front Sat, with seas around 3 ft bringing seasonable marine conditions. However, the front will move back over the waters later Saturday, with several waves of low pressure moving along the front for the second half of the weekend through early next week. Generally moderate NE winds N of the front, with moderate SE to SW winds S of the front, with periods of breezy conditions when the low pressure waves are over/near the area Sunday and again Monday night. Unsettled conditions early next week, with periods of increased storm activity with high lightning activity and erratic/gusty winds possible.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Heat Advisory from noon to 7 PM EDT Friday for NCZ044-047- 079>081-090>092-094-193>196-198-199. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT Friday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EDT Friday for AMZ231. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for AMZ152-154-156. Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EDT Friday for AMZ150. Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM to 8 PM EDT Friday for AMZ158.



SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CTC SHORT TERM . SGK LONG TERM . CB AVIATION . CTC/SGK/CB MARINE . CTC/SGK/CB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 56 mi60 min SSW 12 G 17 82°F 86°F1015.2 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 65 mi54 min SSW 12 G 15 82°F 1014.6 hPa (-0.4)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 71 mi60 min SSW 12 G 17 82°F 83°F1014.4 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC6 mi79 minS 510.00 miFair86°F74°F68%1013.2 hPa
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC23 mi59 minSW 510.00 miFair86°F73°F66%1013.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOCW

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW3W3CalmNE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3SW4SW3W3SW7SW5SW6SW9S5S4S4
1 day agoCalmS3S4S3SW4CalmCalmSW3CalmCalmSW5W3CalmW3SE3CalmCalmSE6SE6NE13
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2 days agoNE8NE12S6NE3SE3SW6S6CalmSW4SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmN3E3CalmS4S5SE5SE3

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
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Thu -- 01:13 AM EDT     2.10 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:42 AM EDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:46 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 01:44 PM EDT     2.17 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:16 PM EDT     0.31 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:47 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.92.121.81.30.90.50.20.10.40.81.31.82.12.221.71.20.80.50.30.40.71.1

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:12 AM EDT     1.80 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:04 AM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:46 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:43 PM EDT     1.86 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:38 PM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:46 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.61.81.71.51.20.80.50.20.10.20.611.51.81.81.71.51.10.80.50.30.30.5

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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