Sunrise 5:59 AM   Sunset 8:12 PM Moonrise 3:39 PM   Moonset 2:46 AM

  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall  New

AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 144 Am Edt Sun May 19 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through Monday afternoon - .
Rest of tonight - NE winds around 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt late. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely, then a chance of rain late. Sun - NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of rain in the morning, then a slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Sun night - NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening. Mon - NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Mon night - NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft. Tue - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft. Tue night - E winds 5 to 10 kt, diminishing to around 5 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Wed - NE winds around 5 kt, becoming E around 5 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less. Wed night - S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Thu - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.Thu night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft.

AMZ100 144 Am Edt Sun May 19 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - Low pressure system and its associated fronts pushing offshore by Sunday morning, unsettled weather pushing offshore with it. High pressure ridging then builds in from the north keeping much of the area dry through mid week before the next potential frontal system late week.

FXUS62 KMHX 190608 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 208 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024

SYNOPSIS
Low pressure system and its associated fronts impact ENC this evening before pushing offshore by Sunday morning bringing unsettled weather to the area. High pressure ridging then builds in from the north keeping much of the area dry through mid week before the next potential frontal system late week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
As of 200 AM Sunday...No major changes to the forecast.
Lingering light showers are mainly east of hwy 17, moving out through the rest of tonight. NE flow will keep lows near 60 inland and for NOBX, increasing to the mid 60s at the Crystal Coast.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TODAY/
As of 200 AM Sunday...No major changes with this update.
Continued trending down with PoPs for Sunday, with Schc for light showers south of hwy 264 where the moisture profile is a bit more impressive, and no mentionable PoPs to the north.
Instability remains non- existent with NE flow, and no forcing is anticipated through Sunday. For this reason, the forecast will likely to continue trending drier with subsequent updates.

As of 330 PM Saturday... Upper level trough will be centered over the Mid-Atlantic to start our day out with this trough pushing offshore by SUn evening. Mid level shortwave will also push offshore by SUn evening as well. AT the surface low pressure off the coast will continue to push further out to seas as high pressure wedges itself across the Carolinas from the north bringing dry air to the region. Latest trends have come in drier for SUnday as it looks like the low will be farther away from the coast than previously thought which limits moisture availability across the area. As a result have lowered PoP's to SChc across just about all of the area with further reductions possible in coming updates. Otherwise steady NE'rly flow will keep temps on the cooler side with highs only getting into the 60s to near 70.

LONG TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 330 PM Sat...High pressure builds in from the north for the first half of the workweek. A cold front will approach from the west toward the latter half of the week.

Sunday night...Drier conditions ensue Sun night with lows in the 50s.

Monday through Thursday...High pressure builds across the Mid- Atlantic. Expect dry conditions through Thursday, along with steadily warming conditions. Temps will start out in the 70s, then by Tue and esp Wed into Thu, rise through the 80s and back above climo. Lows will be in the 50s to start the pd, then rise into the 60s by mid week.

Friday...Next potential weather maker in the form of a shortwave trough and approaching cold front may arrive by week's end, bringing threat for thundershowers to the region with a warm/humid airmass in place by then. Lots of disagreement this far out, so pops only in the 30's% at best.

AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Sunday morning/...
As of 2 AM Sunday...Ceilings have lowered to IFR/LIFR behind the showers moving south and east with the warm front. Ceilings will recover slowly tomorrow, transitioning to MVFR in the afternoon, and VFR late evening into Sunday night. Closer to OBX, low ceilings will persist through Sunday due to NE flow from the low offshore. A second wave of low cloud cover will be moving in from the north later Sunday night, but coverage is expected to remain SCT at this point. NE winds increase to around 10-15 kt across the coastal plain and 15-20 kt across the OBX. Slight chance of light rain and showers developing for southern terminals (OAJ, ISO, EWN) in the afternoon Sunday, but a lack of instability will prevent convection from becoming deep enough for significant impacts.

LONG TERM /Sun afternoon through Thursday/...
As of 4 AM Sat...A low pressure system will impact the area through the weekend bringing periods of sub-VFR conditions. Pred VFR conditions are expected early through mid week.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Sunday/...
As of 330 PM Saturday... Quasi stationary warm front stretches from NW to SE across the Pamlico SOund and adjacent coastal waters this afternoon and shouldn't move much until a developing low pressure system to the west quickly tracks E'wards tonight and brings this front south as a cold front tonight. To the south of the front, 5-10 kt SW'rly winds with 1-3 ft seas are noted while to the north of the front 5-10 kt NE'rly winds and 2-4 ft seas are noted this afternoon. Widespread shower and thunderstorm activity is forecast to develop along this boundary this evening, the strongest of which could produce gusty winds of 34kt+ and small hail. As the low pushes offshore and the front moves S'wards precip chances will lower after 06Z and winds across all waters will shift from north to south to a NE'rly direction and increase with widespread 15-25 kt NE'rly winds with gusts up to 25- 20 kts expected across just about all of our waters except the Pamlico/Pungo River. As a result, have small crafts just about everywhere to account for this N'rly surge. Elevated N'rly winds continue into Sun evening.

Seas will begin to build to 3-6 ft Saturday night into Sunday morning within the strengthening northeasterly surge of wind behind the departing low and remain around 3-6 ft with some 7 ft seas possibly noted along the outer coastal waters Sun afternoon and evening.

LONG TERM /Sunday night through Thursday/...
As of 4 AM Sat...A complex low pressure system will shift off of the NC coast during the day Sun, with gusty nerly winds in it's wake. Solid SCA cond expected across all waters and sounds, including Alligator River, through Sunday as winds inc to 20-30 kt. SCA cond linger into Monday evening for Pamlico Sound and the coastal waters as moderately gusty ne winds keep seas elevated and wind gusts aoa 25 kt. Seas expected to drop below 6 ft Mon night all waters as high pres begins to build in.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Beach Hazards Statement from 8 AM EDT this morning through this evening for NCZ203-205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for AMZ131- 230-231.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT Monday for AMZ135-150.
Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to midnight EDT tonight for AMZ137.
Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT Monday night for AMZ152.
Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM this morning to midnight EDT Monday night for AMZ154-156.
Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM this morning to midnight EDT Monday night for AMZ158.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:06 AM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:22 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:52 AM EDT     1.81 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:14 PM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:40 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:19 PM EDT     2.08 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina, Tide feet

North River Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:28 AM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:22 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:51 AM EDT     1.55 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:36 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:39 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:18 PM EDT     1.78 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

North River Bridge, North Carolina, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Morehead City, NC,