NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

FXUS64 KOUN 041718 AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 1118 AM CST Mon Dec 4 2023

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 353 AM CST Mon Dec 4 2023

The cold front has pushed through the area, and high temperatures today are expected to be just a touch cooler than yesterday, but still above average for this time of year. The main thing is humidity is a lot lower. But with that, minimum RH values this afternoon in far western Oklahoma will fall to near or below 20 percent and the grids calculate out to elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon in the far western tier of counties, although winds are not expected to be too strong today. Otherwise, the surface ridge will move southeast of the area this afternoon with winds becoming southerly again before another front moves into the area after midnight in response to a mid-level trough moving from Upper Midwest into the Great Lakes region.

LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 353 AM CST Mon Dec 4 2023

Despite the next cold front moving through the area tonight and into Tuesday, again no significant cold air is moving into the area and high temperatures tomorrow will be similar to today. The next surface ridge moves to the east Tuesday night and southerly flow redevelops and continues into Thursday allowing warmer temperatures Wednesday and Thursday. Thursday looks to be a windier day as the pressure gradient increases with the approach of the next front. Although this front is expected to move into northwestern Oklahoma Thursday night, there is not a significant push to the front and it will likely hang out in northwestern Oklahoma Thursday night and through most of the day on Friday before it finally pushes through the remainder of the area Friday night as a longwave trough approaches. The approach of this wave will also bring some precipitation chances Friday night and Saturday, although much of the better moisture will have been pushed to the east, so the POPs are still low and confined to the east ahead of the system, and perhaps in the north behind the front with the passage of the mid-level trough itself. It does look to be windy behind the front on Saturday. This front will bring cooler temperatures for the weekend, but only closer to early December normals.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1116 AM CST Mon Dec 4 2023

VFR conditions continue.

Light west to southwest winds across much of the area this afternoon with abundant high clouds. A weak cold front will work south across Oklahoma and north Texas overnight into Tuesday morning. Winds will shift to the north behind the front around 12kts or less.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Oklahoma City OK 36 58 34 61 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 33 62 33 62 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 35 64 35 66 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 30 60 33 67 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 31 55 31 60 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 38 64 35 62 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...None.
TX...None.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Oklahoma City, OK,