Monday, June1, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Moncure, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:00AMSunset 8:28PM Monday June 1, 2020 10:44 PM EDT (02:44 UTC) Moonrise 2:53PMMoonset 2:22AM Illumination 84% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Moncure, NC
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location: 35.63, -79.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Raleigh, NC
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FXUS62 KRAH 020233 AFDRAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Raleigh NC 1030 PM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020

SYNOPSIS. Surface high pressure over the region will push off the coast tonight. In the wake of this high pressure, a southwest flow will bring hotter and more humid weather through the rest of the work week, with increasing shower and storm chances arriving late in the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 1030 PM Monday .

The 00z GSO sounding shows dry air at the low levels as a result of high pressure builds into the area. As the high moves offshore overnight, winds will slightly increase and shift into a more warm and moist southerly flow. It will remain mostly clear overnight but after sunrise cloudiness will expand into NC as a weak shortwave trough makes its way south from the Ohio Valley. Due to the calm winds, mostly clear skies, and dew points remaining in the 50s, radiational fog could be possible over lakes and rivers in the morning. Temperatures overnight will be in the mid to upper 50s and rise quickly into the 70s by mid morning (14z).

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT/. As of 330 PM Monday .

The upper-level trough across the N. Atlantic coast will continue east on Tuesday, with the ridge over the central US slightly weakening and building east. This will translate to more zonal flow aloft, with slightly higher heights on Tuesday. The main change in the weather Tuesday will be a warm front moving across the region from the southwest, which will switch winds back to the southwest and advect warmer and more humid air into central NC. Highs Tuesday will increase 5-10 degrees compared to Monday, which is near seasonal normals for early June. Dewpoint temperatures will increase into the low 60s by the afternoon, making it feel more humid than Monday. Skies in the afternoon will become cloudy, then mostly clear by the evening. Dry weather is expected across central NC, however a shower or two may develop near the VA border in the afternoon. Confidence is moderate to high that our area will remain dry. The warmer and more humid airmass will keep lows in the low to mid 60s Tuesday night.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 400 PM Monday .

As the surface high moves offshore on Tuesday with warm southwest flow across the area, a rapid warmup to summerlike conditions will commence, which will continue through the end of the week. Widespread temperatures in the low-90s (possibly even mid-90s in a few of the normally hotter spots) are expected on Wednesday and Thursday. Raleigh and Greensboro may very well see their first 90 degree day of the year on Wednesday. Humidity will also be on the increase, with dew points in the upper-60s to low-70s from Wednesday through the end of the week.

Wednesday should remain dry as an upper ridge remains over the region. From Thursday through Saturday, an upper trough will sit over the Eastern US, with disturbances moving around the base of the trough and moisture streaming up the SE US coast along the eastern side of the trough. This will result in a more unsettled pattern with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening each day. The GFS actually shows much of central NC in a dry slot on Thursday and Friday between the disturbances aloft and orographically-enhanced precipitation to the NW and the moisture to the SE, while the ECMWF is wetter. For now have slightly higher POPs in NW and SE zones during this time. A cold front looks to move through the area Saturday evening and Saturday night, which will bring another chance of showers and storms. Behind the front, drier and slightly cooler conditions will prevail on Sunday and Monday with highs mostly low-to-mid 80s.

While the remnants of Pacific Tropical Storm Amanda are likely to strengthen as they move into the Bay of Campeche and possibly the northern Gulf of Mexico by early next week, no impacts to central NC are expected from this system through the end of the period.

AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 730 PM Monday .

Confidence is high that VFR conditions will persist across central NC for the next 24 hours. Surface high pressure sitting over NC early this evening with light/variable winds will slide ESE and offshore late tonight, bringing surface winds from the SW on Tue, with 15-25 kt gusts in the afternoon. Only high thin clouds are expected through tonight, with mainly scattered VFR clouds based at 4-6 kft Tue.

Looking beyond 00z Wed, VFR conditions will dominate through Sat, although we'll see a good chance of sub-VFR fog/stratus early Fri morning and perhaps again Sat morning, with a good chance for showers/storms each afternoon through evening Fri/Sat as a cold front approaches from the NW. -GIH

RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

SYNOPSIS . Hartfield NEAR TERM . Cockrell SHORT TERM . JJT LONG TERM . Danco AVIATION . Hartfield


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sanford, Sanford-Lee County Regional Airport, NC3 mi50 minN 010.00 miFair58°F58°F99%1023.4 hPa
Raleigh / Durham, Raleigh-Durham International Airport, NC24 mi54 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy63°F51°F65%1023.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTTA

Wind History from TTA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE7NE8NE10NE8N10NE6N4E6N3E3CalmCalmNW3CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--------------------------CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmS3CalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3W3SW3NW5CalmCalmCalmSW4SW6SW3W5CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Raleigh, NC (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Raleigh/Durham, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.