Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for McMinnville, TN

UPDATE
Issued at 718 PM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

After a record-breaking afternoon, some light showers have moved into the area and will continue this evening. More activity will move in ahead of the cold front that is currently along the Ohio River Valley through southeast Missouri. The cold front will almost be clear of the area by 12z with a few lingering showers through 14z in the south. We should see plenty of sunshine in the afternoon with highs about 20 degrees cooler than today.

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1100 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

Some higher clouds out there right now on satellite, with temperatures warming nicely. Currently, most sites across Middle Tennessee are in the 60s, with highs expected to be in the 70s.
Above normal temperatures will quite abruptly change to near normal as a cold front passes through Middle Tennessee tonight into tomorrow. Light rain is also expected with this FROPA, with locations around Middle Tennessee expected to pick up a quarter of an inch to half an inch of precipitation by Wednesday afternoon.
Behind the front, drier and cooler air will settle into the area for the remainder of the week.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday Night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1100 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

The forecast remains active into the weekend, with a weak shortwave possibly giving us some more precipitation into Friday morning.
Current guidance has pushed the light rain west of the Tennessee river, so it appears as though if anyone in Middle Tennessee sees rain overnight Thursday into Friday, it would be the row of counties from Stewart down to Wayne. Any accumulations would be light with this system.

The bigger impact comes early Saturday morning, as a deepening low pressure system pushes east from the Great Plains. This system look to dump a decent amount of rainfall on Middle Tennessee, with some scattered thunderstorms as well. Overall QPF is currently around 2 inches, but anytime there's thunderstorms, we could see locally higher amounts in these affected areas. Model guidance ranges from half an inch of accumulation to 2.5" in totals, so still seeing a lot of disagreement to have any certainty in our QPF amounts at this range. The good news is: Severe weather looks unlikely with this system. In addition, some hydrological issues appear possible.
Nothing major, more like minor rises on creeks and some road ponding.

Temperatures will remain in the 50s and 60s for daytime highs, with overnight lows in the 30s and 40s.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 521 PM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

A cold front will move through Middle TN over the next 6 to 12 hours that will bring rain, lower cigs, and a wind shift to all terminals. MVFR cigs and vis are possible as the front moves through with pockets of light to moderate rain. A tight surface pressure gradient is causing SSW winds to be gusty, up to 25 kts at times. Gusts will relax as the low pressure center moves away from the area overnight. Winds will shift north behind the front with a return to VFR early Wednesday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Nashville 42 54 31 53 / 90 10 0 0 Clarksville 38 50 29 51 / 90 0 0 0 Crossville 42 52 26 49 / 100 30 0 0 Columbia 44 55 30 54 / 100 30 0 0 Cookeville 40 50 28 49 / 100 20 0 0 Jamestown 37 48 25 47 / 100 10 0 0 Lawrenceburg 44 55 30 54 / 100 40 0 0 Murfreesboro 43 54 29 53 / 100 20 0 0 Waverly 39 53 30 52 / 90 0 0 0

OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.