Wanchese, NC Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Wanchese, NC

April 14, 2024 4:35 AM EDT (08:35 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:30 AM   Sunset 7:39 PM
Moonrise 9:51 AM   Moonset 12:31 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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AMZ231 Croatan And Roanoke Sounds- 323 Am Edt Sun Apr 14 2024

Today - W winds around 5 kt, becoming S late this morning and early afternoon, then increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves flat, increasing to light chop late this morning and early afternoon, then increasing to a moderate chop late.

Tonight - SW winds around 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.

Mon - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.

Mon night - S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.

Tue - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.

Tue night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves light chop.

Wed - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.

Thu - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N in the evening, then increasing to around 15 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop in the evening, then increasing to a moderate chop after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

AMZ200 239 Am Edt Sun Apr 14 2024

Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles - High pressure builds south and east of the area over the next several days bringing a long period of generally southwesterly wind.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wanchese, NC
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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 140735 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 335 AM EDT Sun Apr 14 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will shift off the SE coast today. Tomorrow, a cold front will move into the region from the north late in the day and stall, eventually lifting back north as a warm front on Tuesday. High pressure ridging briefly builds back into the Southeast around midweek before the next cold front impacts the area late next week.

NEAR TERM /TODAY/
As of 3 AM Sun...Tranquil conditions present early this morning with high pressure ridging in from the SW and providing clear skies and light winds. In places that have decoupled, temps have dropped into the mid to upper 40s, while other areas remain in the 50s. Expect more areas to decouple through sunrise as the high continues to build overhead, and most inland spots should reach the mid 40s for lows. Along the coast a light breeze will continue and keep temps mostly in the 50s.

High pressure shifts off the SE coast today with warm and sunny conditions expected across Eastern NC. Light winds are expected through the morning hours, but eventually SW flow will develop this afternoon with winds gusting 20-25 mph. Increasing low level thicknesses will help boost temps into the upper 70s to low 80s inland this afternoon, with low to mid 70s expected along the coast (where highs will be reached early in the afternoon before a strong sea breeze develops).

With a dry airmass still in place, and little to no low level moisture advection occuring until late in the day, there is potential for dewpoints to mix out into the 30s again, creating critical RH conditions with values as low as 20%. This will bring the potential for elevated fire danger conditions to develop this afternoon with winds the only limiting factor (mostly remaining under 25 mph).

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/
As of 3 AM Sun...Quiet but breezy conditions will persist tonight with high pressure firmly established offshore. It will remain mild despite mostly clear skies due to a stiff breeze, and low temps will remain mostly in the upper 50s to low 60s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 3 AM Sun...Had to make some tweaks to the forecast with the biggest change occuring on Monday as trends have indicated an increasing thunder threat with the potential for a few storms to be strong to severe in nature.

Mon...Upper level pattern is denoted by NW flow aloft with both northern and southern stream jets encroaching on the Carolinas Mon evening. Weak mid level shortwave will be making its way southeastwards reaching the area by Mon night while at the surface a weakening cold front will dive S'wards and reach the VA/NC border by Mon evening and eventually stall along the NC/SC border late Mon night. This will promote shower and thunderstorm development in VA with this activity then tracking SE'wards into NC Mon evening.

Out ahead of this front, moisture will pool with PWATs increasing closer to 1-1.25 inches across portions of southern VA and northern NC. In addition to this, strong daytime heating will result in ML CAPE's around 500-1000 J/kg, with both NBM probs and GEFS probs noting a greater than 50% chance for CAPES higher than 500 J/kg especially across counties north of Hwy 264. Mid level lapse rates will also be relatively high for this time of year getting to about 7-8 C/km by Mon afternoon. With showers and thunderstorms entering into this environment there is the potential for some of these storms to become strong to severe in nature with storm mode likely being a mix of individual cells and small linear clusters. Strong winds (40-60 mph) and small hail will be the primary hazards within the strongest storms.

The one limiting factor to all of this will be the weaker wind shear over the region as 0-6 km shear will remain closer to 20- 30 kts. As a result this forecast is low probability but higher impact at the moment with locations north of Hwy 264 recently added to a marginal risk for severe weather by SPC (level 1 out of 5). Otherwise high temps get into the mid to upper 80s inland and into the 70s along the OBX, while lows dip down into the 60s.

Tue and Wed... By Tues upper level ridging builds over the Eastern Seaboard while upper level troughing enters the Central CONUS. At the surface stalled frontal boundary lifts N'wards as a warm front Tuesday bringing a threat for some shower and thunderstorm activity as lift and moisture begin to gradually increase across ENC with the area likely remaining mo dry on Wed as high pressure ridging briefly makes a reappearance across the area. Temps generally remain above avg through midweek with the warmest temps at occuring on Tue for everywhere but the NOBX where NE flow may keep things much cooler here.

Thurs into next weekend...Evolution of the late week forecast becomes a bit murkier with respect to exact details, but the overall evolution hasn't changed much. Expect an upper level trough with associated shortwave to approach the Eastern Seaboard on Thursday and move through the region by Fri. At the surface this will bring a weakening cold front across the area Thurs with a stronger one moving across ENC on Fri. Not expecting much in the way of precip with the first front outside of some additional cloud cover, with a better chance of seeing some precip on Fri with the second front. Given the large spread in guidance have capped PoP's at slight chances for now. Once better agreement amongst the models begins will likely begin increase PoP chances across the area. There is some potential for a third frontal boundary to impact the area next weekend, however confidence is too low to mention any details outside of the threat for more unsettled weather. Temps continue to remain well above avg through Fri before cooling off behind the front.

AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Early Monday Morning/...
As of 3 AM Sun...VFR conditions are present and are expected to continue through tomorrow as high pressure continues to build into the area and keeps skies clear. Winds will again increase this afternoon to SW 15-25 mph, and remain breezy overnight.

LONG TERM /Monday through Thursday/...
As of 315 AM Sun...Primarily VFR conditions are forecast through the TAF period with the only chances for sub VFR conditions being within any shower or thunderstorm that makes its way into ENC Mon evening.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Tonight/...
As of 3 AM Sun...Good boating conditions will continue today, but conditions will deteriorate late this afternoon and tonight as winds increase to just under Small Craft criteria.

Winds this morning will be light and variable, but eventually come around to the S/SSW around noon at 5-10 kts. Winds will increase late this afternoon to SW 10-20 kts, and then continue at this strength tonight with some occasional 25 kt gusts possible. Seas will be mostly 2-3 ft through this evening, and then will increase to 3-5 ft by early tomorrow morning.

LONG TERM /Monday through Thursday/...
As of 330 AM Sun... High pressure ridging to the SE will keep SW'rly winds at 10-20 kts across our waters on Mon before a cold front tracks S'wards Mon night shifting the winds behind the front to a N'rly direction at 5-10 kts. This frontal passage also has a chance to bring some shower and thunderstorm activity with it as it makes its way across our waters. Front eventually stalls around Raleigh Bay and then lifts N'wards as a warm front on Tue allowing winds to become S-SW'rly across all waters at 10-20 kts by Wed with these winds persisting into the end of the period. Seas will generally remain around 3-5 ft across our coastal waters on Mon, lowering down to 2-4 ft on Tue and remaining around 2-4 ft into the end of the period.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 3 mi48 min W 8G12 59°F 64°F30.08
44095 12 mi40 min 54°F2 ft
44086 19 mi40 min 52°F2 ft
41082 26 mi156 min WSW 9.7 55°F 52°F30.03
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 32 mi40 min 51°F1 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 32 mi48 min NW 8.9G11 60°F 30.04
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 35 mi36 min 53°F 53°F2 ft
41083 37 mi156 min 56°F 52°F30.03
41120 37 mi36 min 58°F3 ft
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 38 mi48 min W 8.9G11 62°F 63°F30.08
44079 48 mi156 min 55°F 50°F30.02


Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KMQI DARE COUNTY RGNL,NC 14 sm15 minW 0410 smClear55°F45°F67%30.07
KFFA FIRST FLIGHT,NC 20 sm15 minW 0310 smClear57°F50°F77%30.05
Link to 5 minute data for KMQI


Wind History from MQI
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Davis Slough, North Carolina
   
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Davis Slough
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Sun -- 01:09 AM EDT     0.93 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:03 AM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:50 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:35 PM EDT     0.75 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 07:57 PM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Davis Slough, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
0.9
1
am
0.9
2
am
0.9
3
am
0.8
4
am
0.6
5
am
0.4
6
am
0.3
7
am
0.2
8
am
0.1
9
am
0.2
10
am
0.3
11
am
0.5
12
pm
0.6
1
pm
0.7
2
pm
0.7
3
pm
0.7
4
pm
0.5
5
pm
0.4
6
pm
0.2
7
pm
0.1
8
pm
0.1
9
pm
0.2
10
pm
0.3
11
pm
0.5



Tide / Current for Jennetts Pier (ocean), North Carolina
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Jennetts Pier (ocean)
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Sun -- 12:16 AM EDT     3.52 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:54 AM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:50 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:42 PM EDT     2.83 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:48 PM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Jennetts Pier (ocean), North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
3.5
1
am
3.4
2
am
3
3
am
2.4
4
am
1.7
5
am
1
6
am
0.6
7
am
0.4
8
am
0.6
9
am
1.1
10
am
1.8
11
am
2.4
12
pm
2.7
1
pm
2.8
2
pm
2.6
3
pm
2.1
4
pm
1.5
5
pm
0.9
6
pm
0.5
7
pm
0.4
8
pm
0.6
9
pm
1.2
10
pm
1.8
11
pm
2.5




Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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Morehead City, NC,



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