Wednesday, August21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Wanchese, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:26AMSunset 7:49PM Wednesday August 21, 2019 8:17 AM EDT (12:17 UTC) Moonrise 10:13PMMoonset 10:48AM Illumination 67% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ150 S Of Currituck Beach Light To Oregon Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm- 806 Am Edt Wed Aug 21 2019
Today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms this morning, then a chance of showers and tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Thu..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds, increasing to 10 seconds in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Thu night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Showers and tstms likely.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wanchese, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 35.75, -75.55     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmhx 211122
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
722 am edt Wed aug 21 2019

Synopsis
High pressure offshore will extend west into eastern north
carolina through mid week as a trough lingers well inland. A
cold front will slowly approach the area late this week and move
through the region this weekend.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 720 am Wednesday... No major changes to the current
forecast as mid and high level clouds continue over the region.

Some sprinkles earlier along the crystal coast have dissipated.

Moist southwest flow coupled with some weak shortwave energy in
the mid-levels today will lead to a decent coverage of showers
and thunderstorms, especially during the later afternoon and
evening hours. Using a consensus of some of the high-resolution
models, would expect the best chance for convective initiation
to again be the northern and western tier, mainly west of
highway 17 and north of highway 264. Will have 40-50 percent
pops in these areas, tapering to just a slight chance along the
southern coast and southern outer banks. High temperatures today
will be mostly within a degree or two of 90 degrees, except mid
80s outer banks.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Thursday
As of 340 am Wednesday... Coverage of showers and storms should
diminish by late evening inland, but given the very moist
airmass, will keep low rain chances near the immediate coast
through the overnight hours. Very warm and humid once again
tonight with lows in the mid to upper 70s.

Long term Thursday through Tuesday
As of 300 am wed... High pressure will extend over the area
Thursday with only scattered thunderstorms expected. A cold
front will approach the area Friday, and then slowly cross
through the forecast area over the weekend, leading to another
period of unsettled weather which may continue into next week.

Thursday and Friday... Lee trough over central nc will help kick
off some showers and thunderstorms Thursday afternoon over the
coastal plain, with the sea breeze possibly sparking some
additional activity closer to the coast. Will keep chance pops
through the evening inland, and then shift pops over the coast
Thursday night as some offshore convection is expected to
develop and may move over coastal areas overnight. A cold front
will slowly move into the area Friday, and will act to trigger
scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorm especially
over the northern sections of the area. Have chance to likely
pops for this region, with some heavy rain and training cells
possible.

High temps both days will reach the low 90s inland, and the mid
to upper 80s along the coast. Low temps remain warm and muggy.

Saturday and Sunday... Better agreement between model guidance
has finally been reached, and it looks like the cold front will
slowly drop through nc on Saturday, passing south of the region
and off the southern nc coast by Saturday night. Have increased
pops to likely at times over the weekend where the best
coverage of precip is anticipated as the front moves south.

Heavy rain and training of cells is possible and flooding may be
an issue, especially considering the copious amounts of rain we
have seen this past week.

On the bright side, cooler temps are expected, with temps
ranging from the low to upper 80s on Saturday... Highest along
the southern coast, where it will stay dry the longest. Then on
Sunday, low 80s expected everywhere as cooler air moves in up in
northern nc, and cloudy conditions limit highs over the southern
tier. Low temps more seasonable, reaching the upper 60s to
low mid 70s.

Monday and Tuesday... Model differences exist for the start of
next week, with the GFS stalling the front and immediately
bringing it back north on Monday leading to more rain chances,
while the ECMWF keeps the front stalled and more less over the
gulf stream, with high pressure building in from the north,
keeping the area mostly dry. Will hedge towards a middle ground
for now, and keep chance pops both Monday and Tuesday. Cooler
temperatures will likely continue with highs only in the low to
mid 80s, and low temps into the 60s and low 70s.

Aviation 11z Wednesday through Sunday
Short term through 12z Thursday ...

as of 720 am Wednesday... Despite a very moist airmass, mid and
high level clouds have help prevent much in the way of fog early
this morning. Expect a similar setup tonight with sufficient
debris cloudiness from daytime convection to preclude much of
the morning fog. Afternoon diurnally-driven showers and
thunderstorms will again be possible this afternoon.

Long term Thursday through Sunday ...

as of 315 am wed... MostlyVFR conditions expected through
Friday morning, when scattered to more widespread convection
develops as a cold front moves into the area. The front will
slowly move south through the airspace this weekend, leading to
some periods of extended low visibilities and ceilings with
continued high chances for rain and thunderstorms.

Marine
Short term today and tonight ...

as of 720 am Wednesday... Breezy SW winds of 15-20 knots being
observed at daybreak over the pamlico sound and the northern
waters, with 10-15 knot winds elsewhere. Seas are 2-3 feet with
10-11 second swell periods. With an approaching surface trough
to the west and bermuda high pressure lingering offshore, the
gradient will tighten later today and into tonight. Current
indication are for SW winds of 15-20 knots, with a few gusts to
25 knots. Latest nwps swan model indicates only a small and
brief area of 6-foot seas, so will hold off on any SCA for now
and let the dayshift re-evaluate based on later guidance.

Long term Thursday through Sunday ...

as of 320 am wed... Near small craft conditions will be possible
from Thursday morning through early Saturday morning, with winds
sw 15-20 and occasional wind gusts to 25 kts. Seas will be
mostly 4-5 ft, but some periods of 6 ft seas are possible over
the outer portions of the coastal waters. Will hold off on
an advisory for now.

Winds and seas then weaken slightly as a slow moving cold front
enters the region. Winds will turn to the W at 10-15 kts
Saturday morning, and then as the front slowly sinks south
Saturday, winds will turn to the N NE behind it, but turn to the
s south of the front around 10 kts. Winds will then turn to the
ne on Sunday for all waters and range from 10-15 kts over the
northern waters to 5-10 kts over the southern waters. 3-5 ft
seas will continue through Saturday morning, and then seas
become 2-4 ft through Sunday.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Ctc
short term... Ctc
long term... Sgk
aviation... Ctc sgk
marine... Ctc sgk


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 3 mi54 min SW 9.9 G 13 80°F 84°F1018.8 hPa
44095 12 mi32 min 78°F3 ft
44086 19 mi23 min 79°F2 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 32 mi48 min 75°F1 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 32 mi48 min SW 12 G 16 80°F 65°F1018.1 hPa
FRFN7 32 mi138 min 1 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 35 mi48 min 82°F2 ft
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 38 mi54 min SW 8 G 11 81°F 84°F1019.1 hPa

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
Last
24hr
SW6
SW7
SW7
SW8
S8
S10
S10
S10
G13
S16
S17
SW14
G17
SW14
SW10
SW12
G15
SW9
SW9
SW18
SW16
G20
SW15
SW14
SW11
SW13
G16
SW12
G15
SW9
1 day
ago
SW8
SW7
SW7
S5
S8
S8
S10
S11
S11
G14
S12
G16
S15
S14
G18
S18
SW16
G20
SW14
SW14
SW12
SW12
SW10
W6
W7
G11
SW9
W7
G11
SW7
G10
2 days
ago
SE1
S6
G9
SE6
SE7
G10
N2
NW1
NW4
N5
N6
G10
N4
SE1
SE4
S7
S12
SW12
G15
SW12
G15
SW12
SW11
G15
SW11
SW12
W10
G13
W6
SW8
SW7

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC14 mi63 minWSW 710.00 miFair78°F75°F93%1019 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC20 mi98 minWSW 510.00 miPartly Cloudy78°F75°F90%1018.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMQI

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
Last 24hrW4SW3SW3SW4SW4S6S9S9SW21
G28
SW9W4SW7SW7CalmW6SW9SW10W7W5W8W6W7W7SW7
1 day agoW4W5W3NW3W3E3SW9S9S8SW11SW10SW13SW13SW9SW9SW8SW7SW5W3W6W6W6W7W7
2 days agoSW6CalmCalmCalmSE6CalmNW4N7NE5W4CalmE3CalmSW9SW9SW8W7SW7W6SW8W5NW3CalmW4

Tide / Current Tables for Davis Slough, North Carolina
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Davis Slough
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:09 AM EDT     0.89 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:39 AM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 12:36 PM EDT     0.96 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:20 PM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.90.90.80.60.40.30.20.20.30.40.60.80.910.90.70.60.40.30.20.30.40.50.7

Tide / Current Tables for Rodanthe, Pamlico Sound, North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Rodanthe
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:55 AM EDT     0.61 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:44 AM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:22 PM EDT     0.66 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:25 PM EDT     0.70 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.50.50.50.50.50.50.60.60.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (8,2,3,4)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.