Rutherford College, NC Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Rutherford College, NC

June 18, 2024 6:04 PM EDT (22:04 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:09 AM   Sunset 8:46 PM
Moonrise 4:46 PM   Moonset 2:20 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rutherford College, NC
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Area Discussion for - Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
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FXUS62 KGSP 181829 AFDGSP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 229 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure atop the region will suppress any storms from developing this week until moisture returns on Saturday. A heat wave gets underway on Friday and remains hot through the weekend.
A weak cold front approaches from the north early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 150 pm EDT Tuesday: Upper anticyclone and attendant strong ridge will continue to gradually pivot west-through-north of the forecast area through the period. This will result in establishment of deep easterly flow across the CWA, which will act to support a relatively low theta-E air mass beneath warm mid-level temps.
Diurnal instability will therefore be very limited through the period, with positive sbCAPE generally expected to be limited to locations near the TN border this afternoon...and west of the forecast area on Wednesday. There's currently a respectable amount of enhanced cu-stratocu across western areas, so can't rule out a shower or two developing across the ridgetops...and perhaps even along the eastern Blue Ridge escarpment. However, even that will be difficult to come by on Wed. Drier air will finally allow min temps to settle to near-normal tonight, while maxes Wed should be within a degree or so of climo.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 230 PM EDT Tuesday: The forecast remains on track for the short-term period with very little change to the previous package.
The period begins with the persistence of an impressive 597dm ridge centered over the Mid-Atlantic, placing our region on the southern periphery of the broad, deep-layer anticyclonic flow.
The resultant easterly flow to the south of the attendant subtropical high over the Atlantic will allow Thursday to be the "coolest" day for the foreseeable future, with temperatures maxing out near normal for mid-June. Thursday into Friday, the upper-level anticyclone drifts south and west over the forecast area. As the easterly flow weakens with the ridge axis overhead, broad-scale subsidence will dominate and temperatures will begin to climb.
High temperatures on Friday will peak in the lower 90s east of the mountains or about 2-4 degrees above normal, with highs in the upper 80s to near 90 for the mainstem mountain valleys.
The subsidence will result in a weak inversion and poor lapse rates above the deep mixed layer so it will remain dry.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 230 PM EDT Tuesday: Saturday into Sunday, the center of the upper-level ridge will gradually continue to migrate west towards the Desert Southwest in response to height falls across the Midwest and Ohio Valley. The proximity of shortwave activity and lowering heights aloft should gradually improve forcing and lapse-rates, respectively, especially over the mountains.
Therefore, the forecast maintains a slight chance PoP over the favored ridgetops on Saturday and a more widespread chance PoP over the mountains and foothills for Sunday, as a weak front enters the Ohio Valley. The synoptic-scale guidance begins to diverge on the propagation of shortwaves embedded in the westerly flow to our north, but the general expectation is that by Monday, a weakness in the heights aloft will set up over the Southeast as the weak cold front approaches or enters the forecast area.
The front will result in likely PoPs in the mountains and chance PoPs elsewhere for Monday, but the subtropical ridge axis will effectively shutdown moisture advection from the Gulf of Mexico.
Therefore, we are not expecting appreciable rainfall from this system; most areas will receive less than a tenth of an inch.
On Tuesday, the front is expected to stall near or to the south of the forecast area, so uncertainty regarding PoPs is high.
Nevertheless, at this time we are expecting a more climatological diurnal pattern Tuesday afternoon.

While the synoptic setup may suggest a cooling trend, unfortunately, our low-level flow will veer west-southwesterly as the ridge axis sets up south of the area. Therefore, the airmass will remain hot and if anything, the presence of weak moisture will work to increase dewpoints and uncomfortable humidities into early next week. The best combination of low-level warm-air advection and upper-level subsidence will occur on Sunday, but generally speaking, highs will reach the mid-90s Saturday through Tuesday east of the mountains and the lower 90s in the mainstem mountain valleys.
Lows will be 5-7 degrees above normal or in the lower 70s east of the mountains and in the mid- to upper 60s in the valleys.

While the forecast temperatures may be a broken record, at this point we do not expect any records to be broken through the extended period. The site most likely to tie or slightly break a record will be at Asheville, where record highs are at or near 94.
Records for GSP and Charlotte are closer to 100.

AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
At KCLT and elsewhere: SCT/BKN stratocu in the 035-050 range will continue across the Terminal Forecast Area through the afternoon before thinning out this evening. Otherwise, VFR conditions are forecast through the period, as relatively dry/stable air filtering into the area on easterly low level flow will significantly limit the potential for diurnal convection as well as morning fog/low stratus. Winds will therefore be the primary concern, with directions expected to range between E/NE and E/SE at 5-10 kts at most sites through much of the period (except for light winds tonight).

Outlook: An expansive upper ridge will keep things mostly dry with VFR conditions thru Friday. Mtn valley fog and/or low stratus will be possible most mornings, while diurnal convection could return over the weekend.

GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.




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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KMRN FOOTHILLS REGIONAL,NC 6 sm39 minSE 0310 smPartly Cloudy88°F68°F52%30.23
KHKY HICKORY RGNL,NC 8 sm71 minno data10 smMostly Cloudy84°F64°F52%30.23
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