Sunday, February23, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Creswell, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:42AMSunset 5:54PM Sunday February 23, 2020 8:58 AM EST (13:58 UTC) Moonrise 7:03AMMoonset 6:01PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Creswell, NC
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location: 35.8, -76.42     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 231129 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 629 AM EST Sun Feb 23 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will continue over the region through today. Another area of low pressure will impact the area Monday through midweek. High pressure will again build over the area for the end of next week into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 630 AM Sun . A 1028 mb high is in full control of our weather this morning, providing excellent conditions for a chilly start to the day. Although not as cold as 24 hours ago, temps are running in the middle 20s to near 30 as of 630 AM. High pressure slides off the coast late today with some increasing high clouds this afternoon. After a chilly start, despite only mixing to around 925 mb, ample sun will boost highs into the lower 60s inland.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM MONDAY/. As of 3 AM Sunday . It won't be nearly as chilly tonight with increasing clouds ahead of our next system, capping overnight lows well above freezing or generally in the upper 30s. Moisture sharply increases after 06Z, mainly above 10KFT, so our forecast will remain dry through the overnight period.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 3 AM Sun . Unsettled weather arrives later Monday and continues through mid week as a large complex storm system slowly moves across the Eastern US. Much colder, and drier weather is expected by late week into next weekend.

Monday through Wednesday night . High pressure parks offshore as weak troughing develops along the coast and light southerly flow prevails. Gradually increasing deep layer WAA will bring increasing cloud cover, and temps Monday will be near to only a few degrees above normal despite increasing low level thicknesses. Showers will approach late in the day Monday as an elevated warm front moves towards the area. The warm front will move over the area Monday night as its parent low moves into the Ohio Valley and occludes. Thereafter the area will remain in a region of deep, moist southerly flow Tuesday and Wednesday with unsettled weather expected. Then later Wednesday, an area of low pressure will develop along the slow moving cold front to the west and help push the front through the area overnight into Thursday morning. It will be quite unsettled during this period, with rounds of rainfall expected. The wettest periods appear to be late Monday night through Tuesday morning, and Wednesday. Otherwise it will be very warm, with temperatures expected to reach the mid 60s to low 70s Tuesday and Wednesday, with mild overnight lows.

Thursday through Saturday . A deep upper level trough will be positioned to the west Thursday morning as the front crosses the region and winds shift to the west (with conditions quickly drying). Temperatures Thursday will likely drop through the day as CAA strengthens behind the cold front and the upper level trough swings across the area. Friday will be similar with, dry, with below normal temps 45-50 degrees. Low temps will be cold as well, with lows likely in the upper 20s to low 30s across the area. Saturday brings about weakening mid to upper level subsidence as a shortwave approaches the area, maybe pushing a dry reinforcing cold front through. Overall still expect dry conditions with continued below normal temps.

AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 630 AM Sunday . VFR expected through the end of the TAF period. Calm conditions this morning will give way to southwest winds at less than 5 kts by late morning, before becoming light/variable again tonight. Some increase in high clouds are expected by late tonight with CIGS lowering to around 10KFT by 12Z Monday.

Long Term /Monday through Thursday/ . As of 3 AM Sun . VFR conditions expected to prevail through Monday afternoon. Then an extended period of unsettled weather will bring periods of sub-VFR conditions through mid-week.

MARINE. Short Term /through Sunday/ . As of 630 AM Sun . Northwest winds around 10 kts now will diminish this afternoon and veer into the southwest around 5 kts as an area of high pressure moves over the waters. In response seas that are running 3 to 5 feet now, will subside to 2 to 4 feet late today and tonight. Winds increase slightly overnight ahead of our next system, 10 to 15 kts out of the southwest.

Long Term /Monday through Thursday/ . As of 3 AM Sun . High pressure will remain offshore as a cold front approaches from the west through Wed. Light winds expected Monday, with increasing SW flow Tue, peaking Wednesday night into Thursday morning. SCA conditions could begin as early as Tuesday morning for the waters south of Oregon Inlet with seas building to 6 ft, continuing through Thu. The front is progged to push through the waters late Wed night and Thursday morning, with winds becoming westerly 20-25 kt Thu as strong CAA develops behind the front. Seas 2-4 ft Monday gradually building through mid week, peaking Wed night into early Thur at 4-8 ft ahead of the front.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . EH SHORT TERM . EH LONG TERM . CQD/CB AVIATION . EH/CQD MARINE . EH/CQD


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 44 mi58 min SW 7 G 11 43°F 1026.5 hPa (+0.8)
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 46 mi58 min 46°F3 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 46 mi64 min SSW 6 G 6 44°F 42°F1027.2 hPa

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Edenton, Northeastern Regional Airport, NC18 mi63 minSSW 310.00 miFair37°F34°F89%1027.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEDE

Wind History from EDE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW3NW4CalmW3S4NW3W4W4S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmSW4
1 day ago--N12
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NE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3
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Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:59 AM EST     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:41 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:59 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:19 AM EST     3.40 feet High Tide
Sun -- 10:33 AM EST     New Moon
Sun -- 01:36 PM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:51 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:57 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:33 PM EST     3.04 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0-0.2-00.61.52.333.43.32.82.11.20.4-0-0.10.311.82.6332.61.91.1

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:07 AM EST     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:41 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:00 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:24 AM EST     3.58 feet High Tide
Sun -- 10:33 AM EST     New Moon
Sun -- 01:42 PM EST     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:51 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:57 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:41 PM EST     3.09 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.2-0.10.10.61.52.43.23.53.53.12.31.30.50-0.10.20.91.82.633.12.82.21.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.