Friday, January17, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Creswell, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 5:16PM Friday January 17, 2020 8:15 AM EST (13:15 UTC) Moonrise 12:03AMMoonset 11:55AM Illumination 52% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Creswell, NC
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location: 35.8, -76.42     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 171144 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 644 AM EST Fri Jan 17 2020

SYNOPSIS. Strong high pressure will build over the region today before another strong front impacts the area Saturday into early Sunday. Cold high pressure then dominates the region for early next week.

NEAR TERM /TODAY/. As of 640 AM Friday . No appreciable changes to the forecast. Mountain cirrus continues to stream across mainly northern zones but this will dissipate later this morning.

Prev disc . Amplified pattern continues to develop over the CONUS this morning with synoptic ridging building over the central U.S. and an upper trough digging into the Great Basin. This ridge will gradually shift east and be placed over the Carolinas by tonight with broad subsidence aloft. At the surface, strong polar high pressure was analyzed over the Great Lakes and will remain in place over the eastern CONUS for the period.

Temperatures early this morning have not dropped as fast as forecast, likely due to a combination of slowly dissipating mountain cirrus and weaker than anticipated low-level CAA. Adjusted up near term temperatures several degrees but still expect all locales except portions of OBX to reach the 30s before sunrise.

CAA will continue today before subsiding tonight as upper ridge shifts overhead. With plenty of subsidence aloft expect skies to be mostly clear apart from cirrus beginning to filter in late with the next round of low pressure developing over the central CONUS, as well as typical CAA-regime stratocumulus along the Outer Banks. 1000-850mb thicknesses of around 1290 m favor highs only in the low to possibly mid 40s, and with gusty winds it will feel even colder. Strong winds over OBX will continue today and wind chills there may not crack 30.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 320 AM Friday . Winds subside tonight as upper ridge and surface high pressure shift over the Carolinas. With clear skies excellent radiational cooling conditions will initially be present and expect temperatures to rapidly fall in the early evening. Main sticking point will be the aforementioned increasing cirrus associated with central U.S. cyclogenesis which could slow or stall falling temperatures overnight. Favored coolest guidance minus a degree or so and expect most inland area lows to reach the upper 20s, low to mid 30s OBX.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 230 AM Fri . Another cold front with limited moisture will cross Sat night and early Sunday with cold high pres following most of the upcoming week.

Saturday through Sunday . High pressure will slide off the coast Saturday morning with winds veering to southerly ahead of the next front during the afternoon. The SSW winds will become quite gusty late Saturday thru Sat night . espcly coast. Clouds will increase and decks will lower through the day with a chance for some prefrontal showers in the afternoon. The best coverage for showers will occur overnight Saturday . moisture is limited and expect light QPF amounts but will cont with low likely pops Sat night. Any lingering shra coast early Sunday will push offshore by midday. Ahead of the front Sat expect highs mainly 55 to 60. The best cold air advection holds off til late Sunday and expect temps again to be in the 50s with some lower 60s south.

Monday through Thu . Arctic high pressure will establish itself over the area during the first part of next week and hold temperatures well below average. A robust shortwave will dip south Monday night into Tuesday that will need to be watched. 00Z models cont to differ with GFS/Canadian progressive with little or no chc of precip. The ECMWF conts to have a much more amplified pattern aloft resulting on some precip near imd cst Tue into early Wed. Given uncertainty will cont with just slight chc pops imd cst. Airmass is cold but appears lower lvls remain above freezing across OBX so just have rain as ptype. By Thu hgts build aloft in wake of short wave but sfc high pres cont to the W with cool NNE winds cont.

Highs Mon and Tue wl be mainly in the 40 to 45 dgr range . warming slowly to lower 50s by Thu. Lows will be in the 20s inland to 30s beaches.

AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Short Term /through 18z Friday/ . As of 645 AM Friday . High cirrus continues just north of all terminals this morning but gradually dissipate in the next few hours. Main concern for the period are gusty N winds with some gusts to 20 kt likely. Mid-level clouds and cirrus coverage increase overnight as next system takes shape to the west. VFR conditions prevail through the period.

Long Term /Saturday through Tuesday/ . As of 230 AM Fri . VFR conditions are expected Saturday as clouds grad lower with some sct shra late ahead of approaching cold front. A few pds of sub VFR poss Sat night as cold front approaches with sct to numerous shra. VFR returns Sun as drier air grad spreads in behind front. VFR will cont Mon and Tue with cold high pres building in from the W.

MARINE. Short Term /Today and Tonight/ . As of 330 AM Friday . Gale conditions now overspreading northern and central coastal waters with 35+ kt gusts being observed as far south as Diamond Shoals. Seas have built rapidly in the past several hours with 11-12 foot seas reported in the same stretch of waters, and 6 foot seas for srn waters. Local wave guidance poorly captured this and had to manually adjust wave heights up a few feet in the forecast. Gale conditions will come to an end by this afternoon as high pressure gradually shifts over the waters but seas will likely remain above 6 feet by the end of the period for all but srn waters. SCA conditions over rivers and sounds end by evening with NE winds quickly weakening to 5-10 kt.

Long Term /Saturday through Tuesday/ . As of 230 AM Fri . Winds become srly Sat as high pres slides offshore with speeds ramping up to 15 to 25 kt late. SSW winds peak 25 to 35 kts ahead of front Sat night with some Gale conditions likely. As front crosses later Sun winds become NW mainly 15 to 20 kts. N winds 15 to 20 kts Mon increase to 20 to 25 kt Tue as pres drops a bit offshore with approaching short wave. Seas of 3 to 6 ft early Sat drop below 6 ft all waters briefly mid day them ramp up to 5 to 8 ft by evening. Seas peak 8 to 12 ft outer wtrs Sat night then slowly drop to 5 to 8 ft Sun. Seas of 4 to 6 ft early Mon drop to 3 to 5 ft late. As N winds increase Tue seas build to 5 to 7 ft.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ136- 137. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EST this evening for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for AMZ131- 230-231. Gale Warning until 4 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ154. Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Saturday for AMZ156-158. Gale Warning until 1 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ150-152.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . MS SHORT TERM . MS LONG TERM . RF AVIATION . RF/MS MARINE . RF/MS


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 44 mi45 min NNW 25 G 29 39°F 1033.9 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 46 mi45 min 52°F8 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 46 mi45 min NNW 18 G 32 39°F 52°F1033.9 hPa

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Edenton, Northeastern Regional Airport, NC18 mi20 minN 12 G 1710.00 miFair37°F20°F52%1037.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEDE

Wind History from EDE (wind in knots)
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1 day agoE5SE7E5SE4E5E7E6E6E7E5E4CalmCalmSE4CalmS3S6S6SW3S4SW5SW6SW5W6
2 days agoS5SW6SW6SW5SW5CalmSW5SW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmNW4N4N4CalmE5NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:00 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 12:23 AM EST     3.20 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:43 AM EST     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:12 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:00 AM EST     Last Quarter
Fri -- 11:51 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 12:42 PM EST     2.89 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:13 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:00 PM EST     -0.43 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.23.12.721.10.4-0.1-0.20.20.81.62.32.82.92.61.91.10.4-0.2-0.4-0.20.41.22.1

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:00 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 12:25 AM EST     3.46 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:46 AM EST     0.10 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:12 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:00 AM EST     Last Quarter
Fri -- 11:51 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 12:37 PM EST     3.10 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:13 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:06 PM EST     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.43.432.41.60.80.20.10.411.82.533.12.82.21.50.70-0.2-0.10.41.32.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.