Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Nags Head, NC

KEY MESSAGES
1) Return to more seasonable September temps for the beginning of the week with a warming trend developing late week ahead of the next front.

2) The next front will impact the area late week and this weekend, with a return to unsettled weather.

DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...High pressure centered over the Great Lakes will continue to build southeastward today, becoming centered over the Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas Tuesday, before sliding offshore Wed. This will keep a cooler/drier NE-E flow over the area, with seasonable temps for early September and feeling much more comfortable, with highs in the 80s and dewpoints in the 60s/low 70s. Temps will begin to warm mid to late week as southerly flow re-develops ahead of the next front. Isolated coastal showers will be possible today, with bulk of activity remaining offshore. Mostly dry weather will then prevail through mid week with drier air in place.

KEY MESSAGE 2...The next front will approach the area late week, possibly stalling over the area into the weekend. This will lead to increasing precip chances Fri and Sat.

AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Pred VFR conditions expected through the period. NE-ENE wind gusts 15-20 kt this afternoon.

NOTE: AMD NOT SKED has been appended to the EWN TAFs as the site is not transmitting through normal channels. The site is still reporting via telephone so it will be monitored, but not as frequently as when it is completely operational. The next closest ASOS is at Cherry Point (KNKT).

Outlook (Tue through Fri): High pressure will build in from the north through mid week, with pred VFR conditions expected.

MARINE
Latest obs show NE-ENE winds 10-20 kt with seas 3-5 ft. High pressure building in from the north will keep moderate to breezy NE-ENE winds 15-25 kt across the area tonight, slowly easing through the day Tue. SCAs continue for the coastal waters and Pamlico Sound into tonight and Tue. Seas will build to to 4-8 ft today, highest across the outer waters, subsiding to 4-7 ft Tue morning.

Outlook (Tue through Fri): Winds and seas will begin to ease Tuesday and Wed as high pressure builds in. SW winds 5-15 kt return Wed night and Thu with seas 2-3 ft.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Beach Hazards Statement from 8 AM EDT this morning through this evening for NCZ196-203>205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this evening for AMZ135.
Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for AMZ150.
Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT Tuesday for AMZ152-154.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Tuesday for AMZ156-158.