Friday, July10, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Nags Head, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:54AMSunset 8:26PM Friday July 10, 2020 8:36 PM EDT (00:36 UTC) Moonrise 11:06PMMoonset 10:06AM Illumination 70% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ150 S Of Currituck Beach Light To Oregon Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm- 756 Pm Edt Fri Jul 10 2020
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 4 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds.
Sat..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the evening.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 8 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Sun night..S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening, then showers and tstms likely after midnight.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Nags Head, NC
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As of July 8 NOAA did a network migration which caused this Forecast section to break. They are aware of the problem and working on it with high priority.
location: 35.91, -75.59     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 102043 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 443 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak front trailing Tropical Storm Fay will approach the region before dissipating this weekend. Bermuda high pressure will then build into the area early next week, with an inland lee trough over the piedmont.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/. As of 300 PM Fri . Broad upper troughing will continue over the area this afternoon and tonight, with winds continuing out of the SW. Sea breeze is advancing slowly inland, and still think there could be a few showers/thunderstorms that develop along it over the next couple hours. Thereafter, the rest of the evening will be dry, however convection moving across the central part of the state this afternoon could persist into the coastal plain tonight before dissipating. As a weakening front pushes closer to the airer early tomorrow morning some additional scattered showers activity is possible. Lows tonight will be warm and muggy thanks to an unrelenting southerly breeze, with temps only reaching the mid to upper 70s inland, and around 80 along the coast.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/. As of 315 PM Fri . A weak front will enter the area tomorrow before stalling out/dissipating over the region, as a large but broad upper level trough moves over the Eastern US. After a warm start temps will quickly jump into the upper 80s by mid morning, leading to instability developing, and allowing for scattered showers to initiate along the sea breeze early. By late morning/early afternoon convection will strengthen along the sea breeze, aided by subtle shortwave energy passing overhead, and coverage should become fairly widespread through at least mid afternoon, before precip spreads further inland and begins to dissipate. With high CAPE values around 2500-3000 J/kg, some strong updrafts are possible, however limited wind shear <15 kts will keep storms mostly tame. With the warm start and slightly higher low level heights, afternoon high temps could reach the low to mid 90s inland and the upper 80s to around 90 along the coast.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 3 AM Fri . Saturday Night and Sunday . A broad upper trough will remain over the area this period, and convergence along the coast will lead to some scattered showers or thunderstorms persisting through Saturday night into Sunday morning along the coast. Then during the day Sunday, substantial convective activity well offshore will extend to the coast, with showers/thunderstorms possible, but further inland only widely scattered convection is expected. Hot temps likely with readings reaching the mid 90s inland and upper 80s to low 90s along the coast.

Monday and Tuesday . We remain under the influence of a broad trof, with a deep southwest flow keeping our area hot or seasonable for mid July. While the models don't show discrete features yet, the daily instability and trof in the east is enough to continue a 30-40% chance of storms each day. While not a washout, highest chances likely will coincide will peak heating during the afternoon.

Wednesday/Thursday . A sprawling 594 Em upper level high will spread over the Carolinas, with 850 Mb temps remaining around 20/21C supporting highs well into the 90s inland. A typical summertime pattern with daily chances of thunderstorms, most likely driven by the daily sea breeze.

AVIATION /21Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Short Term /through 18Z Saturday/ . As of 130 PM Sat . VFR conditions will prevail for the rest of today. Cumulus field covering the area providing SCT030 coverage at regional terminals. There are very brief periods where the cloud base is in MVFR cat, but the conditions do not last long enough to include MVFR in TAF. Overnight, cu field will scatter out while winds back to S around 5kts. OAJ shows chance of brief period of light fog. Tomorrow VFR conditions with winds out of the SW 8kts or less and sct low level clouds around sunrise. EWN and OAJ are likely to experience afternoon showers at the end of the period.

Long Term /Saturday Night through Wednesday/ . As of 130 PM Fri . Mainly VFR through the period. Potential for brief MVFR restrictions especially during the afternoon in periods of showers or thunderstorms. Early morning fog also possible in the footprint of afternoon/evening rainfall.

MARINE. Short Term /Through Tomorrow/ . As of 340 PM Fri . Light winds and moderate swells continue over the coastal waters this afternoon with winds out of the S at 10 kts or so, and seas 3-5 ft. Expect light winds to continue for the tonight except for a period around midnight when winds increase to 10-15 kts. Then tomorrow winds will be SSW 5-10 kts in the morning, and then increase to 10-20 kts in the afternoon and evening. Seas are expected to remain mostly 2-4 ft, and increase to 3-5 ft late tomorrow.

Long Term /Saturday Night through Wednesday/ . As of 345 PM Fri . Winds and seas close to Small Craft thresholds are possible Saturday night, but latest trends indicate sustained winds remaining below 20 kts, and seas should stay 4-5 ft.

Large swell will be the main boating concern during the rest of long term period, especially Sunday through Tuesday. Southwest winds increase to 15 to 20 kts Sunday and Monday, with stronger winds expected well offshore. In response to the long fetch of S/SW winds, swell will build to 6-8 ft as early as Sunday evening, persisting into Tuesday. As winds diminish a bit late Tuesday to 10 to 20 kts, seas subside to 3 to 5 feet.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ095- 203>205 MARINE. None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . SGK SHORT TERM . SGK LONG TERM . EH/SGK AVIATION . EH/Deb MARINE . EH/SGK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 8 mi48 min S 13 G 15
44086 11 mi23 min 79°F4 ft
44095 18 mi40 min 79°F4 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 21 mi40 min 80°F4 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 21 mi48 min SSE 14 G 15 83°F 1009.3 hPa
FRFN7 21 mi156 min 3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 24 mi40 min 80°F4 ft
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 49 mi48 min S 5.1 G 11 83°F 85°F1011.1 hPa

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC6 mi41 minSSW 147.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F74°F76%1010.5 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC9 mi41 minS 310.00 miMostly Cloudy83°F72°F72%1009.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMQI

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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1 day agoE7E5E5E8SE6SE8SE8SE4SE7E8E6E9SE9E6E8E9E14
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2 days agoSE4SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4SE4SE5SE5S5SE8SE7S5SE10SE10
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Tide / Current Tables for Jennetts Pier (ocean), North Carolina
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Jennetts Pier (ocean)
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:53 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 11:58 AM EDT     3.15 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:11 PM EDT     0.53 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.32.92.31.60.90.40.30.51.11.82.533.132.51.91.30.80.50.61.11.72.42.9

Tide / Current Tables for Oregon Inlet Marina, Pamlico Sound, North Carolina
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.