Saturday, April4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Manteo, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 7:31PM Saturday April 4, 2020 10:17 AM EDT (14:17 UTC) Moonrise 2:32PMMoonset 3:47AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ150 S Of Currituck Beach Light To Oregon Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm- 919 Am Edt Sat Apr 4 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through Monday evening...
Rest of today..N winds around 20 kt. Seas 8 to 10 ft. Dominant period 13 seconds.
Tonight..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft, except 6 to 8 ft near shore. Dominant period 12 seconds.
Sun..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Dominant period 12 seconds.
Sun night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Dominant period 12 seconds. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Mon night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manteo, NC
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location: 35.91, -75.66     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 041338 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 938 AM EDT Sat Apr 4 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build over the area this weekend, as low pressure moves slowly east over the Atlantic. High pressure slides offshore Monday, while a backdoor cold front pushes into portions of Eastern NC. The front then pushes north of the area Tuesday, and then a stronger cold front will move through the area late this week.

NEAR TERM /TODAY/. As of 940 AM Sat . No significant changes needed to previous forecast for update this morning. The low pres that has been retrograding to the W past cpl days will begin to shift SE today well offshore. Main impact will be some increase in clouds over NE half of region with SW tier remaining mclr. Clouds and N wind will keep highs in the mid/upr 50s NE coast while SW tier approaches 70. The N winds will be a bit breezy central and nrn beaches.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 250 AM Sat . Low pressure will cont to move E away from the region over the Atlantic as high pres builds in from the W. Clouds over mainly NE tier will begin to slide E with most of the region seeing mclr skies. Lows will range from lower 40s inland to 45 to 50 beaches.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As 310 AM Sat . Warm and somewhat unsettled conditions expected early next week. Then, a stronger cold front will cross the area Thursday or Friday, with cooler conditions likely going into next weekend.

Sunday . Northerly flow will slowly subside Sunday as high pressure builds overhead. Still relatively "cool" low level heights will lead to high temps ranging from the low 70s inland, to the low 60s to upper 50s over NE NC and the Outer Banks, where cool ocean flow will keep conditions chilly.

Monday through Wednesday . High pressure will slide offshore Monday, while a backdoor cold front sinks south into portions of the area by the afternoon. With temperatures warming well into the 70s away from the coast, some instability will develop, and scattered thunderstorms could initiate along the sea breeze. Decent wind shear values across the area could yield some stronger storms if cells can mature.

The backdoor front will retreat north Tuesday morning, and southwesterly flow will strengthen, and low level heights will build. Some scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm will be possible Tuesday as the front strengthens to the north with weak cyclogenesis possible. Then, some weak subsidence behind this feature Wednesday should lead to mostly dry conditions. Temperatures both days could reach the low 80s inland, and low to mid 70s along the coast.

Thursday and Friday . Some pretty big changes to the forecast for this period, with most models now flipping to a solution that involves a stronger cold front crossing the area sometime late Thursday or into Friday. ECMWF and CMC show a drier solution, with little to any precip over the area, while the GFS is a bit slower, which allows for better moisture transport over the area . leading to a depiction of more rain. Either way it looks as though Thursday remains mostly dry, and will carry slight chance PoPs Friday for now. Continued warm temps with readings into the 70s and low 80s Thursday, and then 70s on Friday.

AVIATION /13Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 630 AM Sat . VFR conditions will cont to dominate. Mdls show moisture slowly pushing SW over NE half of region today as low pres moves SE offshore. Think most of taf sites will see at worst sct clouds with better moisture and cigs further E, PGV and EWN have best shot of some bkn cigs this aftn. Tonight the clouds are fcst to begin shifting back E with mclr skies over the taf sites. N winds may gust to around 15 kts or so today.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 340 AM Sat . VFR conditions are expected through the Monday afternoon, when some scattered showers or thunderstorms develop. Scattered precip likely again Tuesday, with dry weather returning Wednesday.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 940 AM Sat . The NE swell continues to increase with 8 to 10 foot seas central and N, fcst on track with no changes planned. Latest obs show N/NNE winds 15-25 kt, with seas 8-10 ft north of Ocracoke and 3-5 ft south. As the offshore low tracks SE today most of the mdls show N winds increasing a bit with some gusts 20 to 25 kts expected cstl wtrs. Appears winds over Pamlico Sound will remain below 25 kts today so will drop SCA there. Tonight as the low drifts further offshore and high pres builds in from the W expect N winds to diminish to 10 to 20 kts.

Seas will cont to build to 8 to 11 ft N and 4 to 6 ft S later today. Seas will remain elevated in that range thru most of tonight as well. Given current winds and seas have delayed SCA srn tier til later today.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 340 AM Sat . Strong swell 6-10 ft will linger Sunday and into Monday morning, while winds turn from the N around 10-15 kts Sunday to SW 15-20 kts Monday. SSW flow continues Tuesday and Wednesday at around 10-20 kts, while seas remain 4-6 ft.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 250 AM Sat . Will cont the High Surf and Coastal Flood Advisories for areas from Cape Hat N. Much of this is assuming the NE swell will build to 8 to 10 feet and given current trends do not have strong confidence in this. The high tide later this aftn prob has best potential to produce beach erosion and some ocean overwash. If the swell does build as big as mdls show may need to extend the Coastal Flood Advisory but for now will just cont thru this evening. Given trends in waves have ended the High Surf Mon morning.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . High Surf Advisory until 8 AM EDT Monday for NCZ203-205. Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ203- 205. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Wednesday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Monday for AMZ156. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Monday for AMZ150. Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 8 PM EDT Monday for AMZ158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . RF/CQD SHORT TERM . RF LONG TERM . SGK AVIATION . RF/SGK MARINE . RF/CQD/SGK TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 10 mi54 min N 16 G 20 52°F 54°F1013.4 hPa
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi48 min N 15 G 18 51°F 1013.4 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 20 mi48 min 53°F8 ft
FRFN7 20 mi138 min 7 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 24 mi48 min 50°F9 ft
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 48 mi48 min N 18 G 20 53°F 59°F1013.8 hPa

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC2 mi23 minNNE 14 G 1910.00 miPartly Cloudy54°F43°F68%1014.6 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC7 mi43 minN 8 G 1810.00 miFair52°F43°F73%1013.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMQI

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Jennetts Pier (ocean), North Carolina
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Jennetts Pier (ocean)
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:40 AM EDT     3.64 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:46 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:10 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:31 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:08 PM EDT     3.42 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:26 PM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.71.52.33.13.53.63.32.71.91.10.50.20.30.91.72.53.13.43.32.71.91.10.4-0

Tide / Current Tables for Roanoke Sound Channel, North Carolina
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Roanoke Sound Channel
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:49 AM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:46 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:01 AM EDT     0.52 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:37 PM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:32 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:29 PM EDT     0.49 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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000.10.20.30.40.50.50.50.40.30.20.1000.10.20.30.40.50.50.40.30.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.