Friday, December13, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Manteo, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:06AMSunset 4:52PM Friday December 13, 2019 3:37 PM EST (20:37 UTC) Moonrise 6:20PMMoonset 8:20AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ150 S Of Currituck Beach Light To Oregon Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm- 316 Pm Est Fri Dec 13 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday morning...
Tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 10 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Showers with a slight chance of tstms. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..S winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming sw 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning. Showers with a slight chance of tstms in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Sat night..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft, except 4 to 6 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds.
Sun..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft, subsiding to 4 to 5 ft in the afternoon. NEar shore, seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds.
Sun night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft, subsiding to 2 to 3 ft after midnight.
Mon..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Tue..SW winds around 20 kt, becoming nw. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Showers likely, then a chance of showers.
Wed..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manteo, NC
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location: 35.91, -75.66     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 131929 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 229 PM EST Fri Dec 13 2019

SYNOPSIS. An area of low pressure to the south will lift north just inland from the coast tonight. The low will continue to lift north of the region Saturday pushing a cold front through eastern North Carolina. High pressure will build in briefly Sunday and Monday, followed by another cold front on Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 230 PM Fri . Latest sfc analysis shows warm front lingering along the coast, with weak low beginning to develop to the south along the front. Quite the temp gradient across the area this afternoon, with inland sites still in the mid 40s and Hatteras in the upper 60s. Showers will continue to increase in coverage and intensity later this afternoon and evening as better forcing begins to reach area with surge in moisture as warm front moves onshore. Upr trf will take on slight neg tilt as it continues to approach ENC tonight. Sfc low will lift north along coastal/warm front and expect numerous shra through the night with bouts of moderate to ocnly heavy rain. PWAT values climbing to around 1.6 inches along the coast overnight. Could see pops taper off after 06z for a few hours, then ramping up again early Saturday morning. Increasing SSE flow east of sfc low will likely result in some weak sfc based instab spreading onshore. MU CAPE values increasing to 400-700 J/kg east of Hwy 17. Given good shear over the region will have to watch for some potential rotating cells, but confidence in this is low given limited instab so will cont with just sc tsra mention. Could be some thunder further inland overnight as well with weak elevated instability. Temps will not drop much with lows mainly lower 50s well inland to around 60 most beaches. Patchy fog likely overnight and could see some patchy dense fog develop.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY/. As of 230 PM Fri . Sfc low will continue to lift north of the area early Sat with front pushing through in the afternoon. Active weather will continue for the first part of Sat, with widespread rain and isolated storms (along the coast). Some convective banding is possible, however most of the instability should remain just offshore limiting the severe potential, but still couldn't rule out some strong wind gusts or isolated rotating cells. Precip chances will be quickly decreasing late morning and early afternoon as westerly flow develops and drier air moves in behind the front. As the upper level trough moves across the area in the afternoon, some isolated showers are possible across the coastal plain and a bit further east, though coverage looks minimal at this time. Mild temps with highs in the lower 60s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 240 AM Fri . Dry and mild conditions are expected Sunday and Monday. Another cold front will cross the area Tuesday, bringing additional chances for rain, as well as cooler temperatures for Wednesday and Thursday.

Sunday and Monday . Upper level trough will move out of the region Sunday morning, with heights quickly rebounding. High pressure will move in from the west, and settle in offshore late Sunday through Monday. Expect high temps on Sunday to reach the upper 50s to low 60s across the area, and be even milder on Monday, reaching the mid to upper 60s.

Tuesday . A stronger cold front will move through the region on Tuesday afternoon ahead of a potent upper level trough. Dry conditions are expected through early morning when showers move into the area from the west. Widespread rain is expected from mid morning through at least late evening, with perhaps a few rumbles of thunder as well. Temperatures will remain mild ahead of the front, reaching the mid to upper 60s for high temps. Then behind the front, temps will quickly drop into the 50s and eventually all the way into the upper 30s to low 40s by Wednesday morning.

Wednesday and Thursday . An expansive longwave trough will remain over the region for this period, leading to below average temperatures. Strong CAA will persist through at least Thursday morning, leading to high temps only reaching the mid to upper 40s Wednesday and then maybe a couple of degrees warmer Thursday.

AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Short Term /through Saturday/ . As of 230 PM Fri . High confidence in widespread IFR and LIFR conditions through at least 12z Saturday morning. Widespread showers and isolated storms expected through the first part of Saturday. Could see areas of fog (locally dense possible) overnight into Saturday morning. Conditions will be improving late Saturday morning and afternoon, and should return to VFR by late Saturday afternoon. Westerly wind gusts increase to 15-20 kt behind the front Sat afternoon.

Long Term /Saturday night through Wednesday/ . As of 315 AM Fri . VFR conditions through Tuesday morning when another cold front moves into the area and may bring another period of MVFR/IFR conditions through late Tuesday.

MARINE. Short Term /through Saturday/ . As of 230 PM Fri . Latest obs show NE to SE winds 10-20 kt with seas 5-9 ft. Coastal/warm front along the coast will continue to move west with winds becoming SE. As low pressure develops and lifts north along the front inland tonight SSE winds will increase over the coastal waters reaching 15 to 25 kts with outer central wtrs likely 25 to 35 kt. As winds increase tonight seas will build to 6 to 11 feet . highest outer central wtrs. Could see areas of fog develop across the coastal waters overnight into Saturday morning, becoming locally dense at times. Could see some gale force gusts develop across the waters south of Oregon Inlet Saturday morning and early afternoon. Front will move through the waters by Saturday afternoon with winds becoming westerly 20-25 kt gusting to 30 kt. Seas will remain 6-11 ft. Added Albemarle, Croatan/Roanoke Sounds, and Alligator Rvr to SCA beginning early Sat evening with increasing westerly winds.

Long Term /Saturday night Through Wednesday/ . As of 315 AM Fri . Then winds subside briefly Sunday through Monday morning, before increasing out of the S at 15-25 kts early Monday night. Winds 20-25 kts continue Tuesday as another cold front moves through the coastal waters.

Seas subsiding to 5-8 ft on Sunday. Seas then briefly become 3-5 ft Sunday night and Monday, before increasing to 6-9 ft Monday night through Tuesday.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM Saturday to 7 AM EST Sunday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM Saturday to 5 AM EST Sunday for AMZ131-230-231. Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EST Sunday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until noon EST Sunday for AMZ150-156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CQD SHORT TERM . CQD LONG TERM . SGK AVIATION . CQD/SGK MARINE . CQD/SGK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 10 mi56 min ESE 4.1 G 6 61°F 51°F1015.1 hPa
44086 14 mi43 min 54°F9 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi50 min N 6 G 7 55°F 1015.4 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 20 mi38 min 51°F7 ft
FRFN7 20 mi158 min 5 ft
44095 21 mi52 min 56°F9 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 24 mi38 min 54°F7 ft
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 48 mi62 min ESE 8.9 G 12 65°F 58°F1014.8 hPa

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC2 mi43 minN 37.00 miOvercast57°F56°F99%1015.6 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC7 mi43 minno data2.50 miFog/Mist57°F56°F100%1015.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMQI

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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E11E11NE9NE8E5NE9NE10NE10E5N4Calm
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2 days agoSW14S12SW13SW14SW12SW4W5N6NE9
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Tide / Current Tables for Jennetts Pier (ocean), North Carolina
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Jennetts Pier (ocean)
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:21 AM EST     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:41 AM EST     4.00 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:20 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 02:18 PM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:49 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:20 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:05 PM EST     3.11 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.2-0.2-0.10.51.42.43.33.943.62.91.910.3-0.1-00.51.32.22.83.12.92.41.5

Tide / Current Tables for Roanoke Sound Channel, North Carolina
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Roanoke Sound Channel
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:48 AM EST     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:19 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 10:02 AM EST     0.58 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:45 PM EST     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:49 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:20 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 10:26 PM EST     0.45 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.20.1-0-000.10.30.40.50.60.50.50.30.20.10-000.10.30.40.40.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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