Monday, October21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Rocky Mount, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:21AMSunset 6:29PM Monday October 21, 2019 3:46 AM EDT (07:46 UTC) Moonrise 11:48PMMoonset 1:33PM Illumination 48% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rocky Mount, NC
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location: 35.97, -77.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Raleigh, NC
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Fxus62 krah 210642
afdrah
area forecast discussion
national weather service raleigh nc
242 am edt Mon oct 21 2019

Synopsis
Weak high pressure will move over the area tonight and Monday.

A cold front will cross the region Tuesday afternoon, followed by
high pressure building in from the west on Wednesday.

Near term tonight
As of 915 pm Sunday...

the remnants of nestor have moved off the DELMARVA peninsula.

Clearing has made its way a little east of the triad, but has made
very little eastward progress over the last hour or two. Am starting
to think that most places may in fact remain cloudy overnight.

Despite clouds not breaking, still decided to add a patchy dense fog
mention everywhere, and went with areas of dense fog in the triad
where clearing has occurred. Lows will generally be in the mid 40s
to lower 50s.

Short term Monday and Monday night
As of 215 pm Sunday...

Monday will start with lingering stratus and areas of fog. Weak high
pressure will move overhead during the afternoon. The skies will
become partly sunny, but delayed somewhat by the very light wind.

Highs generally in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

We will see increasing high clouds again in the afternoon, ahead of
the next frontal system. This front will be approaching from the tn
valley region by late Monday night. Dew points low level moisture
will increase with the southerly flow. We will increase the chance
of showers late, mainly over the western third of the region
including the piedmont. Lows in the upper 50s NE to mid 60s sw.

Long term Wednesday through Sunday
As of 240 am Monday...

Wednesday and Thursday: the upper level trough will swing through
the area early Wednesday, resulting in southwest flow aloft setting
up through Thursday night. At the surface, cool high pressure will
build eastward into and over the area in the wake of the front.

Generally expect cool, dry weather to persist through Thursday, with
highs in the mid 60s to low 70s Wednesday and Thursday and lows in
the low to mid 40s Wednesday night. Some moderation in lows is
possible for Thursday night ahead of the next frontal system, so for
now expect lows in the upper 40s NW to low 50s SE Thursday night.

Friday through Sunday: still significant forecast uncertainty due to
very different medium range model solutions with the next system.

Generally, some moderation in temperatures and an increase in
precipitation chances are expected. Synoptically, medium-range
models suggest an upper level trough will dig southward through the
plains on Thursday. In the ECMWF solution the low becomes cutoff
over tx ok on Friday, thus slowing the eastward progression of the
front. Conversely, the GFS holds an open trough progressing eastward
through the midwest toward the mid-atlantic Friday and Saturday.

Meanwhile over central nc, as the trough digs over the midwest and
the cold front pushes eastward, a warm front tries to lift northward
into the region as a low develops along the front. While the low
developing along the front should increase rain chances, timing and
location differences between the models make pin-pointing the best
rainfall chances, amounts and timing difficult. Do expect another
round of wet weather between Friday and Sunday, with a good chance
of some significant precipitation for central nc.

Aviation 06z Monday through Thursday
As of 152 am Monday...

back-edge of ifr to MVFR ceilings associated with the remnants of
nestor has cleared all TAF sites but rwi, with the potential for
these sub-vfr ceilings to linger through 12 to 15z this morning.

Elsewhere, given mostly clear skies and light winds areas of fog
seems almost certain. Confidence is highest at gso and int, with the
potential for lifr conditions in dense fog to develop between 08 to
10z. Higher uncertainty exists at krdu and kfay, where there is the
potential for ceilings to MVFR to lifr in fog and stratus, but
perhaps later, towards daybreak. Fog and any low clouds are expected
to scour out at krdu, kfay and krwi through the mid to late morning
hours(~15z). However, it's possible that some MVFR ceilings could
linger at kint and kgso until the afternoon. Light southeasterly
winds will persist through the day, turning to more southerly late
in the day as a strong cold front approaches from the central us.

Looking beyond 00z Tuesday: sub-vfr conditions are expected to
return late Monday night and Tuesday as a cold front and associated
widespread rain showers across the region. VFR is expected to
return Tuesday evening and should remainVFR through Thursday.

Rah watches warnings advisories
None.

Synopsis... Badgett
near term... Green
short term... Badgett
long term... Kc
aviation... Cbl


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 98 mi47 min NNW 8.9 G 16 59°F 68°F1012.8 hPa (+2.3)

Wind History for Money Point, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rocky Mount, Rocky Mount-Wilson Regional Airport, NC8 mi54 minN 810.00 miMostly Cloudy58°F55°F90%1015 hPa
Tarboro-Edgecombe Airport, NC15 mi52 minNNW 510.00 miOvercast59°F55°F90%1014.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRWI

Wind History from RWI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE7N5NE56E8SE6SE6S6
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalm53--5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4CalmNE6NE55
2 days agoW3CalmCalmW4W4NW3NW65--W6NW5NW10NW7N7N4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Suffolk, Nansemond River, Virginia
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Suffolk, Virginia
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Suffolk
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:33 AM EDT     3.71 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:41 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Mon -- 10:27 AM EDT     0.91 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:02 PM EDT     4.53 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:38 PM EDT     0.90 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.92.73.33.73.73.32.721.3111.42.12.93.74.34.54.33.832.11.41

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Raleigh, NC (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Raleigh/Durham, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.