Friday, December13, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Rocky Mount, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:11AMSunset 4:59PM Friday December 13, 2019 7:26 PM EST (00:26 UTC) Moonrise 6:29PMMoonset 8:30AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rocky Mount, NC
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location: 35.97, -77.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Raleigh, NC
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FXUS62 KRAH 131926 AFDRAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Raleigh NC 226 PM EST Fri Dec 13 2019

SYNOPSIS. Weak low pressure will move through the Southeast today. High pressure will build in Sunday through Monday. Another frontal system will approach the area Tuesday, moving through central NC mid-week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 225 PM Friday .

A developing off the GA coast this aft/eve will slide northeast along the Southeast and mid-Atlantic coastline through tonight. Even as the low approaches the Carolinas, the wedge may linger over portions of the Triad and NW Piedmont of NC this evening, eroding as this first low exits to the northeast. Meanwhile, the initial Gulf low will follow the same track as the initial low, along the Carolina coast. There may also be a brief lull in the precipitation around midnight or so between the two lows. However, another round of rain is expected overnight before the Gulf low finally lifts through and out of the area Saturday. When all is said and done, 1- 2.5 inches of rain is expected to have fallen since early this morning. Areas of fog are likely to develop overnight, becoming dense at times. Any fog that develops will lift and scour out on Saturday. Lows tonight will be very similar to highs, mid 30s NW to around 50 degrees SE. Highs on Saturday expected to be in the 50s as long as the wedge completely erodes tonight.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 205 PM Friday .

The mid level shortwave trough will pivot ENE away from NC Sat night, leaving 100-150 m height rises and clearing/drying conditions as the steering flow flattens briefly to a fast nearly zonal flow. We are likely to see mid-high clouds streaming across the area overnight as a 140+ kt upper jet noses into the region, but overall skies should be fair with nearly normal lows in the 30s.

Sun into Mon should be dry and warm, as mild surface high pressure builds from the Gulf over FL/GA early Sun, then shifts E off the Southeast coast late Sun into Mon, in response to a large mid level trough digging over the western and central CONUS and accompanied by an approaching surface cold front. The approach of this trough will result in growing ridging aloft over the Southeast. The cold front looks likely to move into the Mid South region by late Mon; recent GFS runs have sped up slightly, but all models are in fairly good agreement on this timing. Models generally agree that appreciable precip will hold well to our W and NW through 00z Tue. But the low levels will be moistening as the prefrontal warm/moist conveyor belt pumps Gulf moisture into the region, so we can't rule out a few sprinkles or drizzle late Sun night into Mon. Expect partly cloudy skies Sun trending to cloudy Sun night/Mon with areas of fog and low clouds especially Sun night/Mon morning. Expect temps to be steady or rising Sun night then peaking well above normal Mon, although warming may be delayed a bit in the NW as the cooler/stable air retreats. -GIH

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 220 PM Friday .

Rain chances will increase Mon evening and peak late Mon night and Tue along and just behind the cold front passage, as the upper trough slowly pushes eastward with a positive tilt. The GFS has sped up in recent runs, while the ECMWF has trended slower, attributable in part to their differences in northern stream low/trough progression over/N of the Great Lakes, so there is still a lot of uncertainty about timing. But it looks likely that everywhere will see some measurable rain during this window, and will retain high pops. The front should be pushing offshore late Tue or Tue evening, with improving but cooling weather late Tue night/early Wed as an expansive, chilly high starts to build in from the W. Thicknesses drop to 25-30 m below normal, so Wed temps should be cool, although the true Arctic air will hold to our N. Dry weather and fair skies should hold through Fri, with moderating temps, as the departing trough leads to rising heights with the surface ridge holding over the Eastern Seaboard. A mid level shortwave trough may approach from the W late Fri, however with timing differences and the lack of available moisture, impacts should be minimal. -GIH

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 1225 PM Friday .

24 hour TAF period: Primarily LIFR/VLIFR conditions expected through tonight as the rain continues over central NC and areas of fog develop overnight. Brief improvements to IFR (primarily visbys) are possible, but not likely. Some improvement is expected after daybreak Saturday as visbys improve to MVFR/VFR and cigs begin to lift. Rain will gradually move out of the area during the aft/eve, but cigs could remain MVFR or lower through the remainder of the TAF period.

Looking ahead: Expect periods of MVFR cigs on Saturday eve/night as a trailing shortwave moves through the area. Some patchy fog will be possible in the pre-dawn hours Sunday morning, but otherwise VFR conditions should prevail Sunday and Monday. Another frontal system will approach from the west mid-week, resulting in a return to sub- VFR aviation conditions and rain.

RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

SYNOPSIS . KC NEAR TERM . KC SHORT TERM . Hartfield LONG TERM . Hartfield AVIATION . KC


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 98 mi57 min N 2.9 G 4.1

Wind History for Money Point, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rocky Mount, Rocky Mount-Wilson Regional Airport, NC8 mi34 minNNE 64.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist48°F48°F100%1013.6 hPa
Tarboro-Edgecombe Airport, NC15 mi32 minWNW 43.50 miOvercast47°F46°F97%1013.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRWI

Wind History from RWI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5NE8NE7NE9N5N7N7N6N6NE5N7N8N7N7N8N7N8N4NE6N5N7N9NE7N6
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3N3N7NE9NE8NE7NE8NE8NE7NE9NE10NE96NE9NE7NE4NE4NE6
2 days agoN10NW11NW13NW12NW11NW8NW13
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Tide / Current Tables for Suffolk, Nansemond River, Virginia
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Suffolk, Virginia
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Suffolk
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:41 AM EST     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:26 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 11:12 AM EST     4.67 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:50 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 05:38 PM EST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:22 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:36 PM EST     3.63 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.32.51.50.5-0.1-0.20.21.12.33.44.34.74.53.82.81.60.6-0-0.10.31.22.133.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Raleigh, NC (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Raleigh/Durham, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.