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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.

AMZ100 1005 Pm Est Fri Dec 1 2023
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters.. A warm front will lift through the area tonight with southerly winds quickly increasing overnight, but conditions improving on Saturday. Unsettled pattern then continues through much of the weekend and into early next week as a series of low pressure systems impact the area. High pressure will build in mid to late next week.

FXUS62 KRAH 020546 AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 1245 AM EST Sat Dec 02 2023

SYNOPSIS
A front will remain quasi-stationary over the Piedmont of the Carolinas through tonight, then get swept eastward and offshore by a passing cold front Sunday and Sunday night.

NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/
As of 940 PM Friday...

Beneath strengthening and low amplitude swly flow aloft from the srn Plains to the middle Atlantic, a quasi-stationary (wedge) front analyzed at 02Z from near AKQ swwd to SCR and EQY in NC, to FDW in SC, will remain so over the Piedmont of the Carolinas tonight. That front will continue to separate markedly different airmasses characterized by cold air damming and 40s F surface temperatures/ dewpoints to its west from increasingly humid, and mild 60s F to its east. Moisture advection into the frontal zone will contribute to moistening/saturating low-levels, such that widespread low overcast and areas of fog, some dense, will develop in cntl NC overnight- Saturday morning. The front will also focus periods of light rain, and drizzle as the aforementioned low-levels further saturate, overnight.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 324 PM Friday...

The upper level jet between a digging mid/upper low into the central CONUS and building subtropical ridge over the eastern GOM and Carribean will strengthen to 150-180kts Sat into Sun. The associated upper divergence and decaying convection over the Lower TN Valley early Sat morning will spread NE into central NC late Sat morning before lifting off to the N and NE during the afternoon/evening hours. Anomalously high deep layer moisture (PWAT > 99th percentile)
in combination with strengthening isentropic ascent over a maritime warm front to the south will support another round of rain with embedded showers Sat evening into the overnight hours, maximized over the SC/NC border before shifting offshore. Mid-level drying builds in behind the departing precipitation axis, but lingering low level moisture ahead of a cold fropa may lead to some light/shallow precipitation however, measurable precipitation will be difficult to produce as CAA and drying of the thermo-profile continues overnight Sun into early Mon.

A CAD wedge boundary will be firmly in place over central NC leading to a strong temperature gradient over the area Sat with nearly a 15 degree difference from the Triad to the southern Coastal Plain.
Expansive cloud cover Sat night into Sun will keep lows in the mid 40s (NW) to low 60s (SE), which is 15-25 degrees above normal for early December. Sun should be warmer with less widespread rain and further inland retreat of the CAD boundary with low-level mixing resulting in highs in the mid/upper 60s (NW) to mid 70s (S). Lows Sun night will be entirely driven by how much CAA can spill into the area overnight with current forecast showing mid 40s (NW) to low 50s (SE).

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 324 PM Friday...

By Monday, the cold front will have moved offshore, although cloud cover will linger through the morning into the afternoon. While the 12Z GFS/GEFS show another impulse moving over the mountains and approaching the Piedmont with some light showers Monday afternoon, this is not supported by other model guidance, and have continued with a dry forecast. A dry cold front will move through the region on Tuesday, with high pressure filling in behind the front. Monday will be the warmest day of the extended forecast, with temperatures in the upper 50s and lower 60s a couple degrees above normal.
Temperatures will tumble through the next few days, with highs dropping about 5 degrees Tuesday and Wednesday before rising back towards 60 degrees on Friday. Temperatures should be slightly above freezing each night except for Wednesday night, when lows will dip into the 20s in many locations.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 1245 AM SATURDAY...

IFR-MVFR conditions are likely to lower into LIFR-IFR range as the further moistening occurs in the cold air damming air mass over the KINT/KGSO areas. Meanwhile, moisture transport along and to the southeast of the front will promote the development of VLIFR-LIFR conditions, including dense fog, across the remainder of cntl NC overnight. Low level wind shear will also be possible tonight, as a 35-40 kt low level jet overspreads a stable and only weakly stirred surface layer tonight. Very low overcast and areas of dense fog will be slow to lift and disperse through the day Saturday, to VFR by early afternoon at RWI and FAY and probably only to IFR at INT/GSO.

Outlook: Periods of sub-VFR conditions and a chance of rain will persist this weekend, lowest with LIFR-IFR fog and very low overcast likely to result again with nocturnal cooling Saturday night, at which time another round of LLWS will again be possible. A separate front will cross the Carolinas and scour the preceding low-level moisture on Sunday, with an associated return to VFR conditions that will be accompanied by a strong and gusty swly surface wind Sunday afternoon.

CLIMATE

Record High Minimum Temperatures:

December 2: KFAY: 64/1991

December 3: KRDU: 58/1982

RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.

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Suffolk, Nansemond River, Virginia, Tide feet

Suffolk
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Fri -- 12:55 AM EST     3.34 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:43 AM EST     0.22 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:00 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 01:18 PM EST     4.15 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:50 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:44 PM EST     0.39 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:41 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Suffolk, Virginia, Tide feet

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