Friday, April3, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Manns Harbor, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 7:30PM Friday April 3, 2020 12:01 PM EDT (16:01 UTC) Moonrise 1:23PMMoonset 3:04AM Illumination 80% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manns Harbor, NC
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location: 35.98, -75.98     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 031054 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 654 AM EDT Fri Apr 3 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build over the area into the weekend, as low pressure lingers over the Atlantic. High pressure then strengthens offshore early next week, as a weak front moves into the region, and eventually pushes through the area by mid week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 645 AM Fri . Fcst on track with no changes planned.

Prev disc . Not much change in pattern with low pres well to the NE and high pres to the W. Atms will remain dry with cont mainly clr skies. Decent pres grdnt and mixing will lead to NW winds gusting 20 to 30 mph from mid to late morn thru the aftn. Highs will range from lower 60s NE coast to lower 70s SW.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY/. As of 255 AM Fri . The retrograding Atlantic low will lead to some clouds spreading onshore over the NE tier with cont mclr skies SW. Winds will diminish inland quickly this evening with lows in the low to mid 40s. Winds will remain breezy coast thru the night with lows mid 40s to around 50.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As 330 AM Fri . Moderating conditions are expected into the weekend, as large low pressure system meanders off the Mid- Atlantic coast. High pressure then builds over the area Sunday, before moving offshore early next week. A weak boundary then moves into the area, leading to unsettled conditions through mid week.

Saturday and Sunday . Expansive, retrograding low pressure system will push south down the Mid-Atlantic coast Saturday, as high pressure attempts to build in from the NW. Strong northerly flow will continue, especially across the Outer Banks, where some coastal flooding is possible (see section below). As the low moves further offshore Sunday, winds will eventually subside, though remain out of the north as high pressure moves closer. Expect a significant temperature gradient across the area both days, as ocean influence keeps temperatures in the 50s to low 60s across the Outer Banks and Pamlico-Albemarle peninsula, while temperatures climb into the upper 60s to low 70s to the south and west.

Monday through Thursday . High pressure will strengthen off the NC coast Monday, and then a weak boundary will move into Virginia pushing high pressure further offshore Tuesday. After some scattered sea breeze showers on Monday, more unsettled weather (a possibly a few thunderstorms) looks likely Tuesday through Thursday as this boundary remains to the north of the area, and then pushes south through Eastern NC as a cold front sometime mid week. Low level heights will increase substantially during this period, which will lead to warmer temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s.

AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 645 AM Fri . High confidence in VFR conditions through this TAF cycle. Skies are clr over the region and shld cont that way much of the day. Late today some Cu may begin to shift onshore NE tier but looks to remain well E of taf sites. The Cu will slowly spread SW tonight but again looks like these clouds will remain mainly E of taf sites. NW winds will gust 20 to 25 kt from mid morn thru late aftn then diminish quickly this evening.

Long Term /Saturday through Tuesday/ . As of 340 AM Fri . VFR conditions are expected through the period. Some scattered showers possible after Monday morning, and again Tuesday.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 645 AM Fri . No changes to headlines . SCA very marginal nrn sounds and srn waters but seeing some gusts around 25 kts so will cont.

Prev disc . Little change in pattern with low pres to the NE and high pres to the W. This will keep winds gusty at times with dir NW today becoming more N tonight. Speeds will be mainly 15 to 25 kts with mdls showing peak in winds this morning and again later tonight. Based on current obs and fcst winds will drop Alligator River from SCA, otherwise cont SCA coastal waters and Sounds. Leaned a bit more toward NBM/Wavewatch for seas which initialized better. Seas of 4 to 7 ft central and N this morn will build to 6 to 9 ft tonight as NE swell increases. Over srn wtrs seas will be mainly 3 to 5 ft with some 6 footers developing toward Sat morning outer wtrs.

Long Term /Saturday through Tuesday/ . As of 340 AM Fri . Strong N winds will continue this weekend, as a large low pressure system retrogrades south off the Mid- Atlantic coast. Winds will be N 15-25 kts Saturday into Sunday morning with gusts close to Gale Force. Then, winds subside through the day Sunday, becoming SW on Monday and strengthening to 10-20 kts. Winds then become W 15-25 kts Monday night into Tuesday.

Seas will be elevated and dangerous this weekend peaking at 8-12 ft east and north of Cape Lookout, while remaining 3-6 ft across the southern waters. Seas begin to subside Sunday night, but will remain 5-7 ft through Tuesday.

FIRE WEATHER. As of 255 AM Fri . Combo of gusty NW winds and humidities 20 to 30 percent will lead to an increased fire danger threat today for most of the region. The greatest threat will be from late this morn thru the aftn.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 255 AM Fri . Coastal concerns will continue along the Outer Banks this weekend, as low pressure over the Atlantic retrogrades back towards the East Coast. Beaches will begin to see long period swell from the distant low arrive tonight, peaking Saturday and Saturday night. Confidence is increasing that the Outer Banks will see large powerful wave action resulting in a prolonged period of wave run up (double digit seas with periods 14-15 seconds), with the threats for very rough surf, coastal flooding, beach erosion and ocean overwash. Moderate to potentially significant impacts will be possible for ocean side locations of the Outer Banks. This could impact portions of Highway 12, especially at times of high tide.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT Saturday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for AMZ230- 231. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Tuesday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Monday for AMZ150-156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . RF SHORT TERM . RF LONG TERM . SGK AVIATION . RF/SGK MARINE . RF/SGK FIRE WEATHER . MHX TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi62 min NW 23 G 26 56°F 1008.5 hPa (-0.8)
FRFN7 19 mi122 min 3 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 21 mi62 min 52°F4 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 26 mi62 min WNW 17 G 24 56°F 54°F1009.4 hPa (-0.4)
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 28 mi62 min 50°F5 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC15 mi67 minNW 14 G 2410.00 miFair57°F27°F32%1009.8 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC17 mi67 minWNW 12 G 1910.00 miFair56°F26°F31%1009.1 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC22 mi68 minNW 17 G 2710.00 miFair62°F26°F25%1009.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMQI

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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--NW7----NW3W4W4NW7NW9
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N7N6CalmNW4NW7--W5W5NW5W5N9
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Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:39 AM EDT     3.45 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:14 AM EDT     0.44 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:10 PM EDT     3.09 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:22 PM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.62.333.43.43.22.61.91.20.70.40.511.62.32.83.132.51.91.10.50.20.3

Tide / Current Tables for FRF Pier, Duck, North Carolina
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.