Saturday, January25, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Manns Harbor, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 5:24PM Saturday January 25, 2020 2:25 PM EST (19:25 UTC) Moonrise 7:51AMMoonset 6:11PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manns Harbor, NC
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location: 35.98, -75.98     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 251716 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1216 PM EST Sat Jan 25 2020

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure and its associated cold front will move offshore today. High pressure then builds in behind the front tonight and Sunday. Fast moving low pressure may bring rain for Monday before high pressure builds back in through mid to late week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 1215 PM Saturday . Precip has moved offshore with skies clearing cst . no signif changes rest of the day with msunny skies and highs mostly low/mid 60s with breezy WSW winds.

Prev disc . Line of showers continues to move across the Sound Counties and toward the Outer Banks at daybreak. Convection has largely failed to materialize and the threat of any severe weather now seems pretty remote. Have already lowered PoPs west of Highway 17. Based on current movement and high- resolution guidance, most all of the precipitation should be offshore by 15z or so. Rapid clearing and drying this afternoon as sunshine will allow temperatures to still reach the mid 60s this afternoon, even behind the front with gusty W winds producing downsloping flow, counteracting the CAA.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SUNDAY/. As of 345 AM Saturday . Skies will be clear and winds should gradually diminish overnight as high pressure slides east from the western Gulf Region. Lows temperatures will drop into the mid to upper 30s for most areas, except mid 40s Outer Banks.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 3 AM Sat . A return to seasonably cool weather Sunday through the late week period. Fast moving low pressure may bring some light spotty rain to the area on Monday and again late Wednesday, though for the most part the long term period will be dry.

Sunday . Broad ridge building in from the southwest, with quasi- zonal flow aloft. Near normal temps expected with highs in the 50s, lows in the 30s inland to low 40s coast.

Monday . Guidance continues to indicate a fast moving low pressure area embedded in a progressive shortwave trough that will bring some spotty light rain to the region Monday. Precipitation amounts will remain low, only a few hundredths of an inch or so, and therefore will retain low chc pops in fcst. Clouds and precip will inhibit strong insolation, holding temps in the low 50s area- wide.

Tuesday through Friday . A tricky forecast this period as flow will continue to be progressive with quasi-zonal flow in place. There will be some lift with weak impulses embedded in the flow, though moisture will be lacking as deep layer flow will be wrly, and pops will be held at only 20%. Temps continue near climo, generally 50-55 for highs, and lows in the 30s interior to 40s immediate coast.

AVIATION /17Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Short Term /through Sunday/ . As of 1215 PM Saturday . VFR conditions expected thru period as high pres builds in from the SW. Few/sct CU this aftn will dissipate this evening with just patchy high clouds overnight into Sunday. WSW winds will be a bit gusty thru mid to late aftn then winds diminish this evening.

Long Term /Sun night through Wed/ . As of 3 AM Sat . VFR conditions expected through the period. A brief period of MVFR ceilings will be possible Monday as a weak area of low pressure crosses through the area. A return to VFR expected Tuesday and Wednesday with high pressure in control.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 915 AM Saturday . Stronger winds beginning to push off the coast and will drop the SCA for the Pamlico Sound. Rough seas will cont over the coastal waters.

Prev disc . S/SW winds continue rather gusty on the coastal waters and Pamlico Sound at daybreak, with gusts approaching 30 knots. Seas are up to 8-9 feet and should peak later today. S winds 15-25 knots will gust to 30-35 knots at times this morning gradually becoming SW/W by midday or early afternoon. Seas build to as high as 9-10 feet this morning and afternoon. Winds subside fairly quickly tonight, but seas will remain elevated. No changes needed to current advisories.

Long Term /Sun through Wed/ . As of 3 AM Sat . Winds veer wrly through Mon and will generally be 10-15 kt. Seas subside to 3-5 ft by Sunday afternoon. No change to ongoing SCA headlines at this time. A weak area of low pressure will move through the waters Monday with high pressure building in from the southwest on Tuesday, helping to shift winds more NNW at 10-20 kt. Seas may briefly reach 6 ft for the outer waters, before winds and seas diminish by midweek.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EST Sunday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EST Sunday for AMZ150-156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . RF/CTC SHORT TERM . CTC LONG TERM . TL AVIATION . RF/TL MARINE . RF/CTC/TL


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi56 min SW 6 G 11 57°F 1009.6 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 21 mi56 min 49°F6 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 26 mi62 min WSW 2.9 G 6 59°F 50°F1010.5 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 28 mi56 min 49°F7 ft
44086 30 mi31 min 49°F9 ft
44095 38 mi40 min 49°F9 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC15 mi31 minW 10 G 1510.00 miFair62°F47°F60%1010.2 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC17 mi31 minWSW 510.00 miFair62°F53°F74%1009.5 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC22 mi32 minSW 9 G 1810.00 miPartly Cloudy66°F50°F56%1009.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMQI

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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S13SW4NW9CalmNW7CalmW5W13
1 day agoN11N12N11N9NE10N10NE8N7N6N8NE4NE7NE6NE3NE4E9E7E7E3E6SE7
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2 days agoNE17
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NE11NE13NE12NE10N10

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:16 AM EST     -0.43 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:41 AM EST     3.44 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:49 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:05 PM EST     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:21 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:10 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 07:57 PM EST     2.79 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.1-0.4-0.30.21.122.83.33.43.12.41.50.6-0-0.3-0.10.51.322.62.82.621.2

Tide / Current Tables for FRF Pier, Duck, North Carolina
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.