Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Oak Ridge, TN
October 11, 2024 4:08 AM EDT (08:08 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:39 AM Sunset 7:07 PM Moonrise 2:52 PM Moonset 12:00 AM |
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Area Discussion for Morristown, TN
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FXUS64 KMRX 110706 AFDMRX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Morristown TN 306 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 302 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024
Dry weather continues today as a large high pressure ridge through the mid and upper levels remains to our west, providing a deep northerly flow across the region. Surface high pressure will be nearly stationary over the Appalachians today and tonight. With light winds and little to no change in advection, and with full sun, we should see high tempertures today similar to yesterday - in the lower 70s north, mid 70s central, upper 70s south. Lows tonight will be in the 40s, with some upper 30s in northern valleys.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 302 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024
Key Messages:
1. Mostly dry during the extended forecast. Above average temperatures for the weekend. A weak front will pass through Sunday evening. Only slight chance for showers northeast half of the area Sunday evening.
2. Much colder behind cold front Monday. Frost possible southwest Virginia Tuesday morning. Widespread frost Wednesday and Thursday mornings.
3. Warming trend beginning Thursday.
Discussion:
Saturday, a weak trough will lie over the Eastern U.S. and high pressure will be over the Southeast states. Sunday, the trough deepens with a strong low pressure area over the Great Lakes and Southeast Canada. A significant shortwave moves through the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley Sunday night ahead of a cold front with the bulk of that energy to the north. Just a few showers possible south of the KY and VA state line Sunday night. The trough deepens Monday and Tuesday bringing strong northwesterly flow to the region and a much colder air mass behind Sunday nights front. Highs will only be in the 50s to the lower 60s Tuesday and Wednesday. Lows will be the coldest of the fall season in the 30s Wednesday and Thursday morning with areas of frost. Thursday the upper trough shifts east and ridging builds from west to east aloft. Also the surface high pressure to the west begins to shift east with a warming trend.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 709 PM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024
VFR conditions at all TAF sites throughout the forecast period.
Surface ridging and dry airmass will produce clear conditions with light winds.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Chattanooga Airport, TN 78 49 80 53 / 0 0 0 0 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 75 45 76 51 / 0 0 0 0 Oak Ridge, TN 76 44 76 50 / 0 0 0 0 Tri Cities Airport, TN 73 41 72 45 / 0 0 0 0
MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Morristown TN 306 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 302 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024
Dry weather continues today as a large high pressure ridge through the mid and upper levels remains to our west, providing a deep northerly flow across the region. Surface high pressure will be nearly stationary over the Appalachians today and tonight. With light winds and little to no change in advection, and with full sun, we should see high tempertures today similar to yesterday - in the lower 70s north, mid 70s central, upper 70s south. Lows tonight will be in the 40s, with some upper 30s in northern valleys.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 302 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024
Key Messages:
1. Mostly dry during the extended forecast. Above average temperatures for the weekend. A weak front will pass through Sunday evening. Only slight chance for showers northeast half of the area Sunday evening.
2. Much colder behind cold front Monday. Frost possible southwest Virginia Tuesday morning. Widespread frost Wednesday and Thursday mornings.
3. Warming trend beginning Thursday.
Discussion:
Saturday, a weak trough will lie over the Eastern U.S. and high pressure will be over the Southeast states. Sunday, the trough deepens with a strong low pressure area over the Great Lakes and Southeast Canada. A significant shortwave moves through the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley Sunday night ahead of a cold front with the bulk of that energy to the north. Just a few showers possible south of the KY and VA state line Sunday night. The trough deepens Monday and Tuesday bringing strong northwesterly flow to the region and a much colder air mass behind Sunday nights front. Highs will only be in the 50s to the lower 60s Tuesday and Wednesday. Lows will be the coldest of the fall season in the 30s Wednesday and Thursday morning with areas of frost. Thursday the upper trough shifts east and ridging builds from west to east aloft. Also the surface high pressure to the west begins to shift east with a warming trend.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 709 PM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024
VFR conditions at all TAF sites throughout the forecast period.
Surface ridging and dry airmass will produce clear conditions with light winds.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Chattanooga Airport, TN 78 49 80 53 / 0 0 0 0 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 75 45 76 51 / 0 0 0 0 Oak Ridge, TN 76 44 76 50 / 0 0 0 0 Tri Cities Airport, TN 73 41 72 45 / 0 0 0 0
MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
Airport Reports
Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KTYS MC GHEE TYSON,TN | 20 sm | 15 min | NNE 04 | 10 sm | Clear | 48°F | 43°F | 81% | 30.17 | |
KDKX KNOXVILLE DOWNTOWN ISLAND,TN | 21 sm | 13 min | calm | 3 sm | Clear | Mist | 48°F | 48°F | 100% | 30.19 |
KJAU COLONEL TOMMY C STINER AIRFIELD,TN | 23 sm | 18 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 43°F | 43°F | 100% | 30.24 | |
KRKW ROCKWOOD MUNI,TN | 24 sm | 18 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 48°F | 37°F | 66% | 30.19 |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KOQT
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KOQT
Wind History Graph: OQT
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of Southeast
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Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN,
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