Tuesday, May26, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Kill Devil Hills, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:49AMSunset 8:14PM Tuesday May 26, 2020 4:01 PM EDT (20:01 UTC) Moonrise 8:00AMMoonset 10:58PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ150 S Of Currituck Beach Light To Oregon Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm- 349 Pm Edt Tue May 26 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from Wednesday afternoon through Friday morning...
This afternoon..NE winds around 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds.
Tonight..E winds around 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. A slight chance of showers.
Wed..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft in the afternoon. Dominant period 7 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Wed night..SE winds around 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Thu..SE winds around 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu night..S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Fri..S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers and tstms, then showers likely.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Showers and tstms likely. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kill Devil Hills town, NC
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location: 36.02, -75.71     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 261840 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 240 PM EDT Tue May 26 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will continue to build in from the north while sliding offshore today. A trough of low pressure will move inland from the coast mid to late week and bring unsettled conditions to Eastern North Carolina. A cold front will cross this weekend followed by high pressure early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 1230 PM Tuesday . Pesky low cloud cover continues to hang over most of the CWA at early afternoon and have lowered max temperatures a degree or two in many spots for the afternoon. Still looks like the best chance for sunshine will occur in the far northeastern counties where drier air above 700 mb may mix down and dissipate the lower cloud deck, and this appears to be beginning on visible satellite at early afternoon. High-resolution guidance continues to indicate minimal precipitation chances except for perhaps a few stray showers along the south coast as weak surface trough moves toward the coast later today. Highs temperatures should mainly be in the mid to upper 70s, except cooler 68-72 degrees along the central and northern Outer Banks.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY/. As of 605 AM Monday . The coastal trough of low pressure is forecast to move north to be located along the immediate coast south of Cape Hatteras by 12Z Wed as the associated surface low moves into South Carolina. The best chance of rain with this system will occur south of Highway 70 late tonight. Otherwise it will be mostly cloudy and mild with lows in the mid to upper 60s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 315 AM Tuesday . A deep SW flow bringing abundance amount of moisture will leading to a wet pattern through the end of the week. Then a cold front will approach the area and push through late Saturday night into Sunday morning with high pressure building in and providing drier and cooler weather for early next weather.

Wednesday through Thursday . The mid to upper level ridge will continue to dominate across the Eastern CONUS as a broad trough settles over the Southern Plains with a mid to upper low cutoff from the flow and gradually wobbling eastward. This will lead to a deep SW flow bringing an abundance amount of moisture into the Carolinas. Meanwhile, at the sfc, a coastal trough becomes more define along the Southeast coast with a weak low developing around GA/SC and moving northward along the sfc trough axis. The synoptic setup will lead to widespread rain with heavy downpours at times as ENC will be in the region with good upper-level divergence, 850 mb moisture transport, and PWAT values above 2.00". Models are suggesting some instability to current, so we cannot rule out embedded thunderstorms. By Thursday, the sfc low will becoming an open wave, but the moisture fetch continues, but an increase of instability occurs . leading to more thunderstorms in the Thursday afternoon. WPC has the most of the area in a marginal risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook (ERO) with a slight risk across our southern zone. In general, if rainfall amounts increases, there can be a concern for flooding across our southern zones where soils are saturated.

Friday through Saturday . While the highest PWAT values lifts northward, PWATs will still remain btw 1.75 and 2.00". The deep SW flow will continue on Friday, though it starts to break down due to a northern stream shortwave diving down into the Northeast states, while a cold front is approaching the region from the NW. Scattered to widespread showers and afternoon thunderstorm will be possible as instability will be the greatest on both day, while on Saturday, shear increases in to around 30 kt.

Sunday through Tuesday . The cold front is forecasted to be offshore by Sunday morning, leading to high pressure building in and clouds clearing out late in the day. The high pressure will bring cooler and drier weather for the beginning of next week.

AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Short Term /through Wednesday morning/ . As of 2PM Tuesday . MVFR ceilings will hold on for another few hours, with some moments of VFR possible. Pred VFR still expected later this afternoon through early this evening. Then after midnight, guidance has ceilings dropping to MVFR then IFR, similarly to the previous night. A few aggressive models suggest the chance for LIFR, but have precluded that from the TAFs for now until a stronger signal appears. Ceilings will remain IFR through mid-morning as showers begin creep into the region. Ceilings should lift to MVFR towards the end of the TAF period, but visibility will begin to become an issue. Guidance suggests vis will drop to at least MVFR by Wed morning with pockets of IFR vis possible in heavier showers.

Long Term /Wednesday through Saturday/ . As of 315 AM Tuesday . A wet-pattern starts Wednesday leading to mostly MVFR conditions through the period. Scattered to widespread rain will occur Wednesday and Thursday as tropical moistures lifts into the area which will lead to MVFR conditions with brief IFR. Additional scattered showers with embedded thunderstorms continues Friday and Saturday.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 1230 PM Tuesday . No changes to marine forecast on this update as early afternoon winds continue NNE/NE at 15 knots or less with seas 3-4 feet. A trough of low pressure offshore will link up with low pressure developing along or just east of the Florida coast. The trough will then move north toward the coast late tonight. Current NE winds will veer to E this afternoon then SE 10-15 kt late tonight. Seas will be 3-4 ft all waters through the period.

Long Term /Wednesday through Saturday/ . As of 315 AM Tuesday . SE winds 10-20 kt Wednesday, then veering to the south on Thursday and finally becoming SW Friday night ahead of the approaching cold front. Seas will build quickly to 4-6 ft Wednesday and peak to 5-7 ft south of Oregon Inlet Wednesday night into Thursday. Seas will slowly subside Friday, but the central water is expected to remain at 6 ft through Saturday. Small Craft Advisory will be in effect starting Wednesday afternoon--south of Oregon Inlet.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from noon Wednesday to 2 AM EDT Saturday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM Wednesday to 8 AM EDT Friday for AMZ156-158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CTC SHORT TERM . JME LONG TERM . BM AVIATION . BM/ML MARINE . JME/CTC/BM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 11 mi43 min N 8.9 G 12 59°F 1021 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 12 mi31 min 64°F3 ft
FRFN7 12 mi121 min 3 ft
44086 15 mi15 min 60°F3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 18 mi31 min 59°F3 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 18 mi49 min N 8.9 G 12 62°F 66°F1020.9 hPa

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC2 mi66 minN 55.00 miFog/Mist63°F60°F92%1021 hPa
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC7 mi66 minENE 810.00 miOvercast66°F61°F84%1021.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFFA

Wind History from FFA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN9N6N6CalmCalmCalmN5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmN5N6N6N4N6NE5NE3N4
1 day agoN7N3N7N5N4N4N5N5N5N4N3N5N5N3N4NE7N4N7N6N7N6N10
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2 days agoE6E6E6E5E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE5NE4NE4NE5NE6N4N7N6N6NE7

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:47 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:59 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:41 AM EDT     3.06 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:38 PM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:56 PM EDT     3.71 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:58 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.12.41.60.90.40.30.61.11.92.5332.72.21.50.80.40.40.71.42.233.53.7

Tide / Current Tables for Jennetts Pier (ocean), North Carolina
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Jennetts Pier (ocean)
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:46 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:59 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:37 AM EDT     3.08 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:37 PM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:52 PM EDT     3.74 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:57 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.12.41.60.80.40.30.61.21.92.633.12.72.21.50.80.40.40.71.42.333.63.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.