Monday, August10, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Kill Devil Hills, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:18AMSunset 8:02PM Monday August 10, 2020 8:37 PM EDT (00:37 UTC) Moonrise 10:54PMMoonset 11:40AM Illumination 55% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ150 S Of Currituck Beach Light To Oregon Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm- 700 Pm Edt Mon Aug 10 2020
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Isolated showers and tstms after midnight.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Isolated showers and tstms.
Tue night..S winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Thu..S winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Fri..S winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kill Devil Hills town, NC
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location: 36.02, -75.71     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 102318 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 718 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build in from the Atlantic through the rest of the week. Broad and weak low pressure will develop over the Southeast mid to late week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/. As of 715 PM Mon . The latest radar is showing most of the showers and thunderstorms over the coastal plains this evening, but there are diminishing due to the lack of daytime heating. Most of the night is expected to be quite, but some of the models are indicating a possible isolated shower to move through the area after midnight. Otherwise, not major changes to the current forecast.

Pre Dis . Pulse-type convection will be ongoing through the late afternoon into the early evening, and then like the last several nights, will wane with loss of daytime heating. A few of the storms could merge into heavy rain clusters producing a flood threat before they diminish this evening. Otherwise, quite conditions overnight, with perhaps some light fog developing once again, esp for areas that pick up rain. Lows continued warm and muggy in the low/mid 70s interior to near 80 beaches.

SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/. As of 330 PM Mon . Similar pattern on tap, with a few coastal showers transitioning to sct thunderstorms for interior zones by afternoon. More of a southerly component to the winds should keep coastal counties dry for the most part. Highs typical for the first half of Aug, around 90 again for most locales.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 415 AM Monday . Seasonable weather on tap through the long term period, with only minor day to day variability owing to subtle changes in the upper level pattern and strength of low level WAA.

A weakness in the upper ridging across across the Southeast develops mid to late week with more pronounced shortwave energy pushing across the Ohio River Valley and mid-Atlantic states this weekend. In the lower levels, continued SW flow on the periphery of the Bermuda high will keep ample low level moisture in place through the period, with storm trends following mainly diurnal patterns, with the greatest threat for thunderstorms coming each afternoon along and ahead of the sea breeze. Weak surface troughing gradually strengthens inland through the week allow for greater storm coverage each day, and would be expected to initiate convection earlier in the day with less capping in place. While ample moisture and instability will be present, shear will be meager with 0-6 km bulk shear generally around 10 kt or less limiting the severe threat. Still, cannot rule out stronger storms producing isolated wind damage and heavy rainfall producing localized flooding. Temps will generally continue to be near normal, with convection being the primary culprit for deviations from normal.

AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Short Term /through 18Z Tue/ . As of 715 PM Mon . High confidence in VFR conditions for the next 6 hours, then MVFR to IFR conditions are possible, especially in across the inland TAF sites (KPGV & KISO). Lingering low level moisture with light to calm winds will lead to patchy fog and low stratus after midnight. Expect MVFR patchy fog with possible IFR ceiling heights.

Long Term /Tuesday through Friday/ . As of 4 AM Monday . Typical summertime pattern through the period with light winds and diurnally enhanced convection each day. Pred VFR conditions expected outside of showers and thunderstorms and patchy early morning fog and/or stratus.

MARINE. Short Term /Through Tue/ . As of 715 PM Mon . Very similar to the past several days with favorable boating conditions on tap. Light SW winds no higher than 10-15 kt through the night tonight and into Tue. Seas persist near 2 ft over the outer waters with 1 foot nearshore and only only minor incoming medium period swell.

With similar environmental conditions as yesterday, isolated showers/storms along the coast could produce waterspouts through Tue morning.

Long Term /Tuesday night through Saturday/ . As of 430 AM Monday . Good boating conditions continue through much of the long term. Expect S to SW winds around 10 kt into mid week, with gusts to around 15 kt each afternoon as the sea breeze develops and differential heating tightens the gradient a bit locally. The Bermuda high begins to strengthen offshore mid to late week with southerly winds increasing to 10-15 kt with occasional gusts up to 20 kt late Wednesday through the end of the week. Seas persist around 2 ft through Tuesday, then build to 2-3 ft mid to late week.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . TL/BM SHORT TERM . TL LONG TERM . SK AVIATION . SK/BM MARINE . SK/TL/BM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 11 mi49 min SSW 8 G 11 84°F
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 12 mi41 min 80°F1 ft
44086 15 mi24 min 77°F1 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 18 mi41 min 80°F1 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 18 mi49 min SSW 11 G 12
44095 27 mi41 min 82°F1 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC2 mi42 minN 010.00 miFair82°F74°F78%1015.9 hPa
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC7 mi42 minSSW 910.00 miFair83°F74°F76%1016.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFFA

Wind History from FFA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3E6E6S4SE3S3S4CalmCalm
1 day agoE4CalmSE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW7CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE4NE5NE3CalmE4E4CalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmSW4SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:13 AM EDT     3.07 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:23 AM EDT     0.65 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:40 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 12:44 PM EDT     3.39 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:12 PM EDT     0.96 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.132.62.11.510.70.71.11.72.32.93.33.43.22.72.11.61.2111.41.92.4

Tide / Current Tables for Jennetts Pier (ocean), North Carolina
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Jennetts Pier (ocean)
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:09 AM EDT     3.10 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:22 AM EDT     0.65 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:39 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 12:40 PM EDT     3.41 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:11 PM EDT     0.96 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.132.621.40.90.70.71.11.72.433.33.43.22.72.11.61.211.11.41.92.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.