LONG TERM
(Tonight through Friday)
Issued at 331 AM CDT Sat Jul 27 2024

As the upper low lifts north and northeast away from the area, a significant warming trend will develop beginning Sunday with increasing south winds. Isolated showers and storms will remain possible Sunday in the far eastern part of the forecast area, but generally dry weather will prevail after that for much of next week. An upper ridge will build into the area from the west resulting in hot and humid conditions through the week, with heat headlines likely needed in the Monday through Friday time frame.

It still appears the upper ridge will retrograde some by the end of next week which may allow a weak frontal boundary to sag south into our area. This may result in slightly less hot temperatures by next Friday or Saturday, but any rain chances remain unclear at this point in time.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 632 AM CDT Sat Jul 27 2024

A period of MVFR conditions across Southeast Oklahoma and far Northwest Arkansas should give way to scattered/broken mid and high clouds late morning through the afternoon hours. Shower/storm potentials remain mainly for Northwest Arkansas and will continue with Prob30 groups for timing of greater potential. Gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall are possible within the convection.
Saturday evening through Saturday night the area of low pressure is progged to lift into Missouri with a trof axis holding over the CWA
Thus
will continue with high clouds and few to scattered mid clouds overnight. There is potential for a period of MVFR near the end of the TAF period in Northwest Arkansas.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 89 73 94 78 / 10 10 0 0 FSM 88 73 92 76 / 40 10 20 0 MLC 87 72 91 76 / 20 10 10 0 BVO 90 69 94 74 / 10 10 0 0 FYV 86 67 89 72 / 40 10 20 0 BYV 85 68 89 72 / 50 20 30 0 MKO 89 71 92 75 / 20 10 10 0 MIO 88 70 92 74 / 30 10 10 10 F10 88 71 94 75 / 10 10 0 0 HHW 86 70 91 74 / 30 10 10 0

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...None.
AR...None.