Friday, July3, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Southern Shores, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:50AMSunset 8:27PM Friday July 3, 2020 10:57 PM EDT (02:57 UTC) Moonrise 6:13PMMoonset 3:15AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ150 S Of Currituck Beach Light To Oregon Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm- 1001 Pm Edt Fri Jul 3 2020
Overnight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds.
Sat..NW winds around 10 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds.
Sat night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds.
Sun night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Southern Shores, NC
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location: 36.1, -75.71     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 040151 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 951 PM EDT Fri Jul 3 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure continues to build into the region from the northwest. A weak back door cold front will cross the area on Saturday before dissipating south of the area late in the weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/. As of 950 PM EDT Friday .

Mostly clear skies expected to continue overnight although few to scattered clouds will build in the piedmont overnight before clearing around sunrise. A backdoor cold front will approach the region from the N/NE tonight as high pressure over the Midwest noses in behind a weak shortwave aloft. Will maintain very slight chance PoPs for an isolated shower for the lower MD eastern shore. This region could see some clouds linger near the coast overnight before increasing in coverage by the morning. Calm winds and mostly clear skies will allow low temps tonight to fall into the upper 60s to low 70s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. As of 350 PM EDT Friday .

Aforementioned front is forecast to drop S and SW Saturday morning with winds becoming northerly behind the boundary. Hi-res guidance continues to show the potential for showers and a few storms Saturday afternoon near the I-95 corridor through peak heating in the afternoon. Weak lapse rates aloft and 25 knots or less of shear should keep any storms that form from becoming too strong, however, briefly heavy rain, frequent lightning, and gusty winds are possible in the stronger cores that manage to form. PoPs generally in the 30-40% range Saturday afternoon. High temps low to mid 90s inland with mid to upper 80s for the eastern shore and immediate coast. PoPs decrease quickly after sunset with only a slight chance for lingering showers over the south and southwest, ending before midnight. Otherwise, dry with lows in the upper 60s and low 70s.

Heights increase aloft on Sunday as expansive ridging over the central CONUS moves eastward. Low pressure begins to develop over the north central Gulf Coast on Sunday. Perhaps a few degrees cooler locally on Sunday with highs upper 80s and low 90s. Relative greatest chance for any showers/storms will exist over the southwestern half of the area Sunday afternoon. Lows Sunday night in the mid to upper 60s and low 70s. More of the same is in store for Monday with a chance for scattered showers and storms inland and lesser chances near the coast as low pressure over the Gulf states begins to move toward the region. Warm again Monday with highs in the low 90s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 350 PM EDT Friday .

The period begins Monday night into Tuesday with an upper ridge slowly sliding offshore as an upper low traverses across the Deep South. This upper low gradually pushes ewd Wednesday into Thursday, with the global models either having this feature moving across GA/SC Wednesday then off the Carolina Coast Thursday (03/12z ECMWF/CMC), or moving from the Tennessee Valley Wednesday to the central Appalachians Thursday (03/12z GFS). Global ensemble guidance generally shows near average 500mb heights (with a positive anomaly from the Great Lakes to ern Canada), and a slightly negative MSLP anomaly in vicinity of the Southeast coast. Global deterministic models and ensemble guidance trends toward a trough in vicinity of the East Coast by the end of the week, but individual details are quite different amongst individual guidance. Forecast PoPs are generally less than 15% NE to 30-40% SE Tuesday, ~20% NE to 40-50% SW Wednesday, 20-30% NE to ~40% SW Thursday, and ~20% NE to 30-40% SW Friday. Temperatures Tuesday through Friday are forecast to be near seasonal averages, with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s (mid 80s at the immediate coast) and lows in the upper 60s to low 70s.

AVIATION /02Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 815 PM EDT Friday .

VFR conditions expected through the 00z taf period. FEW to SCT cloud cover could develop for RIC after midnight but should diminish before sunrise. For SBY, a complex of storms to the north is expected to move SE/SSE tonight and diminish in intensity. There is a slight chance of light showers making it to SBY between 03-09z but confidence is too low to reflect in the taf at this time. Cloud cover will increase for SBY with cloud bases 5-10 thousand ft and will continue to increase through the afternoon, possibly becoming BKN. There is a slight chance cloud bases drop to MVFR (2500-3000 ft) between 14-20z at SBY. Otherwise, expect isolated to scattered thunderstorms to begin to develop tomorrow afternoon region- wide with cloud cover increasing. A brief drop to MVFR ceilings and/or visibility will be possible with any storm. Winds are generally light and variable or W/NW and will become N by morning, NE by afternoon, ENE by late afternoon at around 5-10 kt.

Outlook: Mainly VFR conditions will prevail Sun, but isolated to sctd showers/storms will be possible in the aftn into early evening that may result in brief flight restrictions.

MARINE. As of 350 PM EDT Friday .

Winds are light and variable this afternoon across area coastal waters. A backdoor will move down the coast tomorrow. Winds will turn NE 10-15 kt for much of the day on Saturday. High pressure will move over the region Sunday and winds will return to light and variable (less than 10 kt). The high pressure center will slide off the coast early next week and winds will become southern around 10 kt.

Waves in the Chesapeake Bay will be 1-2 ft, and seas across the Atlantic coastal waters will be 2-3 ft until early next week.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . RHR NEAR TERM . RMM SHORT TERM . RHR LONG TERM . AJZ AVIATION . RMM MARINE . CP


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 6 mi64 min SSE 1.9 G 1.9 82°F 1011.1 hPa
FRFN7 6 mi178 min 2 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 7 mi62 min 80°F2 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 13 mi62 min 81°F2 ft
44086 17 mi45 min 82°F2 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 23 mi64 min S 1.9 G 1.9 82°F 85°F1011.6 hPa
44095 31 mi62 min 81°F2 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC6 mi63 minN 010.00 miFair78°F66°F68%1011.2 hPa
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC12 mi63 minN 010.00 miFair79°F70°F75%1011.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFFA

Wind History from FFA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3W5W5W3W5W6W7W6W5NW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoSE6S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW4CalmCalmNW4N4N7N6N4NE7NE3CalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW5SE3CalmS5CalmSE3S3CalmSE4SE6NW10
G20
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Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:40 AM EDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:32 AM EDT     3.10 feet High Tide
Fri -- 12:30 PM EDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:59 PM EDT     4.08 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.1-0.20.20.91.82.6332.61.910.3-0.2-0.20.31.22.23.23.84.13.83.22.21.2

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:47 AM EDT     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:33 AM EDT     3.02 feet High Tide
Fri -- 12:30 PM EDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:04 PM EDT     4.38 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:13 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0-0.10.20.91.82.5332.621.10.3-0.2-0.20.31.12.23.34.14.44.23.52.51.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.