Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Mountain Home, AR
February 18, 2025 7:06 PM CST (01:06 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:55 AM Sunset 5:57 PM Moonrise 11:58 PM Moonset 9:37 AM |
NEW! Add second zone forecast
FXUS64 KLZK 182317 AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 517 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 213 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025
Winter storm is beginning to unfold across the region this afternoon with temperatures ranging from the lower 20s F across the northwest to the lower 40s F across the southeast. A corridor of rain, freezing, rain, sleet and snow persists from west-central Arkansas into central parts of the state. Temperatures across these areas have hovered in the 29-33 F range through the day.
North of this corridor snow has been a more dominant precipitation type and will remain so through the event. The highest snowfall totals are likely to be seen across northern portions of the state with amounts decreasing southward into central Arkansas. Near the Missouri border, amounts could approach a foot or locally higher.
Sfc winds will be elevated through Wednesday morning, with sustained N-NE winds of 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph possible.
Through this evening colder air will continue to expand southward and temperatures will fall. Precip types will become primarily snow, transitioning from N-S through the late evening hours.
Biggest area of questionable precip types extends from portions of central to southwest portions of the state. There could be some light sleet, freezing rain and snowfall accumulations in these areas. Travel will become more hazardous through the overnight and snowfall totals will continue to pile up. Precip is expected to shift east of the area by daybreak Wednesday.
While precip will have come to an end, bitterly cold temperatures will remain in place in the coming days as an arctic airmass continues to settle south into the state. Highs on Wednesday will largely be in the 20s/30s F across the state before near record- breaking low temperatures are possible Thursday morning. Readings Thu AM are likely to dip below zero across northern AR with single digits to teens farther south. With some influence from light nrly winds, wind chills could be colder than 10 below zero. This will be dangerously cold.
LONG TERM
(Thursday Night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 213 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025
Arctic high pressure will be on the doorstep to the north to begin the period. The high will slide toward the southeast United States Friday and Saturday, and will continue to bring well below average temperatures to Arkansas.
Late in the weekend and early next week, the high will finally exit, and the flow aloft will become more zonal. This will result in more mild Pacific air and a quick warmup locally. High temperatures on Sunday will largely be in the 50s, with 60s expected Monday and Tuesday. There may even be a few readings in the lower 70s across southern Arkansas on Tuesday.
No precipitation will be noted in the long term. It appears there will be a storm system well to the south Saturday afternoon/night that could spread rain/some freezing rain into areas along the Gulf Coast. Otherwise, no other systems are expected.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 516 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025
Wintry precipitation will continue to degrade flight category across the state of Arkansas in both terms of CIGS and VSBY. Across the northern terminals of KHRO and KBPK, LIFR flight category is to be expected from lowered VSBY and CIGS through early Wednesday morning with snow and freezing fog present. Flight category will begin to improve around sunrise on Wednesday morning with improving CIGS to MVFR. Across the central terminals of KHOT, KADF, KLIT, and KPBF expect flight category to drop to as low as IFR with lowered CIGS and VSBY due to periods of sleet, freezing rain, and snow at these terminals through early Wednesday morning. Flight category will begin to improve as wintry activity moves out of central Arkansas around sunrise Wednesday morning. At the far southeast terminal of KLLQ, expect initially rain that will changeover to a brief wintry mix of freezing rain, sleet, and light snow between Tuesday evening and early Wednesday morning as flight category will drop to IFR for lowered CIGS. At KLLQ, CIGS will lift MVFR around sunrise Wednesday morning. Surface winds at all terminals will gust in excess of 25 knots for the duration of the forecast period.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 12 23 2 22 / 100 0 0 0 Camden AR 20 32 14 33 / 90 0 0 0 Harrison AR 6 15 -4 18 / 100 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 17 30 10 29 / 100 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 16 27 8 26 / 100 0 0 0 Monticello AR 21 30 14 29 / 90 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 16 30 7 30 / 90 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 7 19 -3 20 / 100 0 0 0 Newport AR 14 23 5 22 / 100 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 18 27 11 26 / 100 0 0 0 Russellville AR 15 28 4 28 / 100 0 0 0 Searcy AR 13 27 3 25 / 100 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 18 26 11 25 / 100 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Winter Storm Warning until 6 AM CST Wednesday for ARZ004>008- 014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-103-112-113-121>123-203-212- 213-221>223-313.
Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to noon CST Thursday for ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057- 062>069-103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213- 221>223-230-237-238-240-241-313-340-341.
Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM CST Wednesday for ARZ052>057- 062>069-130-137-138-140-141-230-237-238-240-241-340-341.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 517 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 213 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025
Winter storm is beginning to unfold across the region this afternoon with temperatures ranging from the lower 20s F across the northwest to the lower 40s F across the southeast. A corridor of rain, freezing, rain, sleet and snow persists from west-central Arkansas into central parts of the state. Temperatures across these areas have hovered in the 29-33 F range through the day.
North of this corridor snow has been a more dominant precipitation type and will remain so through the event. The highest snowfall totals are likely to be seen across northern portions of the state with amounts decreasing southward into central Arkansas. Near the Missouri border, amounts could approach a foot or locally higher.
Sfc winds will be elevated through Wednesday morning, with sustained N-NE winds of 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph possible.
Through this evening colder air will continue to expand southward and temperatures will fall. Precip types will become primarily snow, transitioning from N-S through the late evening hours.
Biggest area of questionable precip types extends from portions of central to southwest portions of the state. There could be some light sleet, freezing rain and snowfall accumulations in these areas. Travel will become more hazardous through the overnight and snowfall totals will continue to pile up. Precip is expected to shift east of the area by daybreak Wednesday.
While precip will have come to an end, bitterly cold temperatures will remain in place in the coming days as an arctic airmass continues to settle south into the state. Highs on Wednesday will largely be in the 20s/30s F across the state before near record- breaking low temperatures are possible Thursday morning. Readings Thu AM are likely to dip below zero across northern AR with single digits to teens farther south. With some influence from light nrly winds, wind chills could be colder than 10 below zero. This will be dangerously cold.
LONG TERM
(Thursday Night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 213 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025
Arctic high pressure will be on the doorstep to the north to begin the period. The high will slide toward the southeast United States Friday and Saturday, and will continue to bring well below average temperatures to Arkansas.
Late in the weekend and early next week, the high will finally exit, and the flow aloft will become more zonal. This will result in more mild Pacific air and a quick warmup locally. High temperatures on Sunday will largely be in the 50s, with 60s expected Monday and Tuesday. There may even be a few readings in the lower 70s across southern Arkansas on Tuesday.
No precipitation will be noted in the long term. It appears there will be a storm system well to the south Saturday afternoon/night that could spread rain/some freezing rain into areas along the Gulf Coast. Otherwise, no other systems are expected.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 516 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025
Wintry precipitation will continue to degrade flight category across the state of Arkansas in both terms of CIGS and VSBY. Across the northern terminals of KHRO and KBPK, LIFR flight category is to be expected from lowered VSBY and CIGS through early Wednesday morning with snow and freezing fog present. Flight category will begin to improve around sunrise on Wednesday morning with improving CIGS to MVFR. Across the central terminals of KHOT, KADF, KLIT, and KPBF expect flight category to drop to as low as IFR with lowered CIGS and VSBY due to periods of sleet, freezing rain, and snow at these terminals through early Wednesday morning. Flight category will begin to improve as wintry activity moves out of central Arkansas around sunrise Wednesday morning. At the far southeast terminal of KLLQ, expect initially rain that will changeover to a brief wintry mix of freezing rain, sleet, and light snow between Tuesday evening and early Wednesday morning as flight category will drop to IFR for lowered CIGS. At KLLQ, CIGS will lift MVFR around sunrise Wednesday morning. Surface winds at all terminals will gust in excess of 25 knots for the duration of the forecast period.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 12 23 2 22 / 100 0 0 0 Camden AR 20 32 14 33 / 90 0 0 0 Harrison AR 6 15 -4 18 / 100 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 17 30 10 29 / 100 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 16 27 8 26 / 100 0 0 0 Monticello AR 21 30 14 29 / 90 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 16 30 7 30 / 90 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 7 19 -3 20 / 100 0 0 0 Newport AR 14 23 5 22 / 100 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 18 27 11 26 / 100 0 0 0 Russellville AR 15 28 4 28 / 100 0 0 0 Searcy AR 13 27 3 25 / 100 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 18 26 11 25 / 100 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Winter Storm Warning until 6 AM CST Wednesday for ARZ004>008- 014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-103-112-113-121>123-203-212- 213-221>223-313.
Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to noon CST Thursday for ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057- 062>069-103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213- 221>223-230-237-238-240-241-313-340-341.
Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM CST Wednesday for ARZ052>057- 062>069-130-137-138-140-141-230-237-238-240-241-340-341.
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KBPK
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KBPK
Wind History Graph: BPK
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of Midwest
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