Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Mountain Home, AR
July 26, 2024 7:19 PM CDT (00:19 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:12 AM Sunset 8:26 PM Moonrise 10:41 PM Moonset 11:06 AM |
Area Discussion for - Little Rock, AR
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FXUS64 KLZK 262349 AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 649 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024
New LONG TERM, AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 135 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024
H500 low will continue to slowly rotate its way toward the N/NE through the short term between ridges of high pressure to the west and southeast of the region. This will provide continued chances for showers and thunderstorms along with below normal temperatures.
While readings may be below normal, it still feels quite uncomfortable outside as Td values are largely in the 70s F. No major severe/hazardous weather concerns other than the possibility of localized heavy rainfall. Observed and forecast PW values of 1.50"-2.00" will remain over the area through Saturday with relatively slow storm motion. While confidence isn't overly high in a specific corridor of heavy rainfall, daytime CAM runs have been hinting at an area from west central to central parts of the state where a few inches of rain could fall.
LONG TERM
(Sunday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 135 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024
To begin the period, an upper level trough will be over the Central Plains, pushing into the Great Lakes region. At the same time, H500 high pressure looks to be over the Southwest U.S. into the Gulf of Mexico. This high pressure system will gradually slide over the state as we move through the long term period. With that said, moisture associated with the trough will hang around through Tuesday brining additional chances for pop-up showers and thunderstorms, especially across northern and eastern locations.
As the pattern changes going into the middle of next week, hot and dry conditions are expected to move in as high pressure begins to take control of the weather pattern. Above average temperatures will be expected as hot and humid conditions returning to the Natural State.
As mentioned above, hot and humid conditions will be returning to the Natural State by the middle of next week. Heat advisories and excessive heat warnings will likely be needed. Forecast high temperatures are expected to get into the upper 80s to near 100 degrees with heat index values between 100 to 115 in places.
Overnight low temperatures are expected to drop into the 70s.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 645 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024
Overall convective coverage is much less early this evening compared to the past few days. Mainly VFR/some MVFR ceilings will persist thru the evening hrs. Another round of showers/few storms wl affect much of the FA starting later tngt acrs southeast, then over central and northern AR heading into Sat. PROB30 and TEMPO groups are included based on expected timing, with MVFR/IFR conds prevailing. Some improvement wl occur Sat aftn as areal coverage starts to dcrs from the south.
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 649 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024
New LONG TERM, AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 135 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024
H500 low will continue to slowly rotate its way toward the N/NE through the short term between ridges of high pressure to the west and southeast of the region. This will provide continued chances for showers and thunderstorms along with below normal temperatures.
While readings may be below normal, it still feels quite uncomfortable outside as Td values are largely in the 70s F. No major severe/hazardous weather concerns other than the possibility of localized heavy rainfall. Observed and forecast PW values of 1.50"-2.00" will remain over the area through Saturday with relatively slow storm motion. While confidence isn't overly high in a specific corridor of heavy rainfall, daytime CAM runs have been hinting at an area from west central to central parts of the state where a few inches of rain could fall.
LONG TERM
(Sunday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 135 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024
To begin the period, an upper level trough will be over the Central Plains, pushing into the Great Lakes region. At the same time, H500 high pressure looks to be over the Southwest U.S. into the Gulf of Mexico. This high pressure system will gradually slide over the state as we move through the long term period. With that said, moisture associated with the trough will hang around through Tuesday brining additional chances for pop-up showers and thunderstorms, especially across northern and eastern locations.
As the pattern changes going into the middle of next week, hot and dry conditions are expected to move in as high pressure begins to take control of the weather pattern. Above average temperatures will be expected as hot and humid conditions returning to the Natural State.
As mentioned above, hot and humid conditions will be returning to the Natural State by the middle of next week. Heat advisories and excessive heat warnings will likely be needed. Forecast high temperatures are expected to get into the upper 80s to near 100 degrees with heat index values between 100 to 115 in places.
Overnight low temperatures are expected to drop into the 70s.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 645 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024
Overall convective coverage is much less early this evening compared to the past few days. Mainly VFR/some MVFR ceilings will persist thru the evening hrs. Another round of showers/few storms wl affect much of the FA starting later tngt acrs southeast, then over central and northern AR heading into Sat. PROB30 and TEMPO groups are included based on expected timing, with MVFR/IFR conds prevailing. Some improvement wl occur Sat aftn as areal coverage starts to dcrs from the south.
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KBPK
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KBPK
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KBPK
Wind History graph: BPK
(wind in knots)
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