Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Mountain Home, AR
December 7, 2024 11:54 AM CST (17:54 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 7:11 AM Sunset 4:57 PM Moonrise 12:08 PM Moonset 11:26 PM |
NEW! Add second zone forecast
FXUS64 KLZK 071744 AAA AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1144 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Sunday Night)
Issued at 159 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
Cool temperatures are in place across much of the state this morning as sfc ridging remains over the area. Have seen an increase in cloud cover from SW to NE across the state with temperatures holding steady or warming across the S/W where moisture continues to increase.
No rain is expected today but clouds and moisture will continue increase from the S/SW as the SW H500 cyclone finally lifts northeast toward the area. Rain chances will enter the forecast across western/southern Arkansas tonight with continued progression through Sunday.
The compact H500 cyclone/wave will move from the OK/TX panhandles region Sunday morning into the Ohio Valley by Monday morning.
This will provide a relatively quick timeframe for rain and a few embedded thunderstorms to move across the state before precip wanes. Some locally heavy rain is possible, but given the expected speed of the mid-level system and deeper moisture remaining south of the state, rainfall amounts appear lower than what was expected previously.
With sfc ridging well to the SE and the cold front lingering to the west of the state, temperatures will continue to increase through Monday. Highs on Monday could approach 70 F across southeast Arkansas.
LONG TERM
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 159 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
MONDAY/TUESDAY:
On Monday, a sfc low pressure center will be located near the Red River in close proximity to the Oklahoma/Texas border and attendant eastward extending warm front will be positioned along the Arkansas/Louisiana border and slowly progress into central Arkansas during the day on Monday. A cold front will be quickly approaching Arkansas from the northwest Monday Night into early Tuesday that will quickly sweep the through the state on Tuesday.
Expect on Monday into early Tuesday, rain and an isolated thunderstorm or two across that will be possible. However, given the lack of overall instability, widespread severe weather is not anticipated. Temperatures on Monday in respect to both low and high temperatures will be around 10 degrees above average as the warm front lifting into the state will advect warmer air along and south of the boundary than what is typical for this time of the year. Into Tuesday, the airmass behind the cold front will begin to filter into the state and bring low and high temperatures back near average values for this time of the year.
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY/FRIDAY:
A sfc high pressure center will meander behind the cold front and usher in a colder and drier airmass into Arkansas and the CWA that will stick around over the three-day period.
Expect clearing skies, fair, and dry weather over the three-day period. Temperatures with respect to morning lows and afternoon highs will be near average to a few degrees below average over the three-day period for temperatures normal for mid-December.
Looking ahead into the next weekend, long-term guidance shows considerable changes next weekend of increased POP chances and temperatures that will be above normal.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1133 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
VFR condns were noted acrs the FA, and are expected to persist thru at least 08/00Z Sat night before incrsg cloud covg wl begin to stream in fm the south. Thru the PD, expect Srly winds, w/ a wrmfrnt beginning to advance Nwrd after 08/00Z. Condns wl begin to deteriorate, over Srn terminals initially, and impacting Cntrl to Nrn terminals by 08/12Z, w/ primarily MVFR CIGs expected thru the TAF PD...IFR CIGs may become more prevalent after 08/18Z. Some scattered light precip wl accompany the leading edge of the frnt thru the early mrng hrs Sun, impacting mainly Srn terminals, w/ another rd of scattered precip possible beyond 08/18Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 57 41 55 46 / 0 10 90 80 Camden AR 58 41 59 49 / 10 50 100 80 Harrison AR 59 42 57 44 / 0 10 60 40 Hot Springs AR 58 41 55 47 / 0 50 100 70 Little Rock AR 57 42 54 49 / 0 40 100 80 Monticello AR 57 43 60 54 / 0 50 100 90 Mount Ida AR 59 40 56 46 / 10 40 100 60 Mountain Home AR 60 40 57 45 / 0 10 70 50 Newport AR 55 40 54 47 / 0 10 90 80 Pine Bluff AR 57 41 59 50 / 0 40 100 90 Russellville AR 59 41 54 46 / 0 20 90 50 Searcy AR 57 40 53 47 / 0 20 90 80 Stuttgart AR 56 42 57 51 / 0 30 100 90
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1144 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Sunday Night)
Issued at 159 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
Cool temperatures are in place across much of the state this morning as sfc ridging remains over the area. Have seen an increase in cloud cover from SW to NE across the state with temperatures holding steady or warming across the S/W where moisture continues to increase.
No rain is expected today but clouds and moisture will continue increase from the S/SW as the SW H500 cyclone finally lifts northeast toward the area. Rain chances will enter the forecast across western/southern Arkansas tonight with continued progression through Sunday.
The compact H500 cyclone/wave will move from the OK/TX panhandles region Sunday morning into the Ohio Valley by Monday morning.
This will provide a relatively quick timeframe for rain and a few embedded thunderstorms to move across the state before precip wanes. Some locally heavy rain is possible, but given the expected speed of the mid-level system and deeper moisture remaining south of the state, rainfall amounts appear lower than what was expected previously.
With sfc ridging well to the SE and the cold front lingering to the west of the state, temperatures will continue to increase through Monday. Highs on Monday could approach 70 F across southeast Arkansas.
LONG TERM
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 159 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
MONDAY/TUESDAY:
On Monday, a sfc low pressure center will be located near the Red River in close proximity to the Oklahoma/Texas border and attendant eastward extending warm front will be positioned along the Arkansas/Louisiana border and slowly progress into central Arkansas during the day on Monday. A cold front will be quickly approaching Arkansas from the northwest Monday Night into early Tuesday that will quickly sweep the through the state on Tuesday.
Expect on Monday into early Tuesday, rain and an isolated thunderstorm or two across that will be possible. However, given the lack of overall instability, widespread severe weather is not anticipated. Temperatures on Monday in respect to both low and high temperatures will be around 10 degrees above average as the warm front lifting into the state will advect warmer air along and south of the boundary than what is typical for this time of the year. Into Tuesday, the airmass behind the cold front will begin to filter into the state and bring low and high temperatures back near average values for this time of the year.
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY/FRIDAY:
A sfc high pressure center will meander behind the cold front and usher in a colder and drier airmass into Arkansas and the CWA that will stick around over the three-day period.
Expect clearing skies, fair, and dry weather over the three-day period. Temperatures with respect to morning lows and afternoon highs will be near average to a few degrees below average over the three-day period for temperatures normal for mid-December.
Looking ahead into the next weekend, long-term guidance shows considerable changes next weekend of increased POP chances and temperatures that will be above normal.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1133 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
VFR condns were noted acrs the FA, and are expected to persist thru at least 08/00Z Sat night before incrsg cloud covg wl begin to stream in fm the south. Thru the PD, expect Srly winds, w/ a wrmfrnt beginning to advance Nwrd after 08/00Z. Condns wl begin to deteriorate, over Srn terminals initially, and impacting Cntrl to Nrn terminals by 08/12Z, w/ primarily MVFR CIGs expected thru the TAF PD...IFR CIGs may become more prevalent after 08/18Z. Some scattered light precip wl accompany the leading edge of the frnt thru the early mrng hrs Sun, impacting mainly Srn terminals, w/ another rd of scattered precip possible beyond 08/18Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 57 41 55 46 / 0 10 90 80 Camden AR 58 41 59 49 / 10 50 100 80 Harrison AR 59 42 57 44 / 0 10 60 40 Hot Springs AR 58 41 55 47 / 0 50 100 70 Little Rock AR 57 42 54 49 / 0 40 100 80 Monticello AR 57 43 60 54 / 0 50 100 90 Mount Ida AR 59 40 56 46 / 10 40 100 60 Mountain Home AR 60 40 57 45 / 0 10 70 50 Newport AR 55 40 54 47 / 0 10 90 80 Pine Bluff AR 57 41 59 50 / 0 40 100 90 Russellville AR 59 41 54 46 / 0 20 90 50 Searcy AR 57 40 53 47 / 0 20 90 80 Stuttgart AR 56 42 57 51 / 0 30 100 90
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KBPK
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KBPK
Wind History Graph: BPK
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of Southern Mississippi Valley
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