Ebony, VA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ebony, VA

June 14, 2024 11:11 AM EDT (15:11 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:50 AM   Sunset 8:31 PM
Moonrise 12:36 PM   Moonset 12:31 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ637 James River From Jamestown To The James River Bridge- 1004 Am Edt Fri Jun 14 2024

Rest of today - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.

Tonight - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight, then becoming nw late. Waves around 1 foot, diminishing to 1 foot or less and light chop after midnight, then increasing to around 1 foot late. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.

Sat - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Sat night - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.

Sun - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves around 1 foot.

Sun night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.

Mon - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.

Mon night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.

Tue - S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves around 1 foot.

Tue night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

ANZ600 1004 Am Edt Fri Jun 14 2024

Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
a cold front approaches from the north today. This cold front will cross the waters early Saturday morning, with high pressure building toward the area during the remainder of the weekend. This high will shift offshore early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ebony, VA
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Area Discussion for - Raleigh, NC
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FXUS62 KRAH 141334 AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 930 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

SYNOPSIS
A developing area of low pressure will move northeast just off the Carolina coast today and tonight. A cold front will move southeast across NC tonight and into SC and GA on Saturday where it will stall and linger through the weekend. The front will lift north through the area as a warm front on Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 930 AM Friday...

With the morning update, added some sky cover this morning across northern counties as the forecast called for clear skies and some mid level clouds have developed. As for rain chances later in the day, the HRRR remains consistent in not showing much coverage, although the RAP shows a bit more coverage moving into the Triad around sunset. For now, only made some minor tweaks along the border with the Blacksburg office from Winston-Salem to Roxboro in having a little more coherent area of slight chance pops right around sunset, but otherwise will wait until additional 12Z model guidance comes in before making any other changes to the pops. Otherwise the going forecast appears to be in good shape. Previous discussion follows.

As of 315 AM Friday...

The latest surface analysis shows an elongated low pressure system organizing off the GA coast early this morning in the vicinity of a lingering frontal zone. A small and narrow area of high pressure extends from southeastern VA southwest into southern NC. In addition, a cold front extends from Lake Ontario southwest to near KORD and KSTL. The air mass across central NC has moistened up over the past 24 hours with PW values of around 1.0 to 1.3 inches, close to normal.

A rather vigorous shortwave trough will move from the Great Lakes this morning to New England late tonight with central NC well removed from the forcing for ascent with this feature. The associated cold front will drop southeast across the central Appalachians late this afternoon and into northern NC this evening before moving south into southern NC by around daybreak Saturday.
With the absence of deep moisture and forcing for ascent, NWP guidance only generates a few showers and possibly a storm across southern VA this afternoon with the convection fading as it moves into north-central NC. Instability is lacking with the atmosphere becoming only weakly unstable in central NC this afternoon with forecast soundings highlighting a narrow CAPE distribution. It's worth noting that the greatest instability although limited is across the Foothills and western Piedmont where the mid levels are slightly cooler with very little instability to the east near the coast. In addition, the latest CAM runs show less convective coverage than the runs 12 hours ago. With this pattern, have opted to include a slight chance of about 15% of a shower or a storm across the northern Piedmont this evening.

The latest NWP guidance is rather consistent in forecasting low level thickness values of 1400 to 1405m this morning, which is about 5 to 12m warmer than on Thursday which results in highs about 2 to 4 degrees warmer than Thursday afternoon. This should translate to highs of 91 at KGSO, 93 at KRDU, and 94 at KFAY which is about 3 to 7 degrees above average. Dew points this afternoon should range in the lower 60s which should keep heat index values close to the high temperatures. Lows tonight will be a little warmer than previous nights and range in the upper 60s to lower 70s. -Blaes

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
As of 340 AM Friday...

A northwest flow aloft is expected on Saturday and Saturday night as the trough moves off the Northeast coast and a mid level ridge develops across the Southeast centered near northern GA/AL. At the surface, a cold front will be moving south across southern NC during the morning and then into northern SC and GA. While drier air will move into northern parts of NC on Saturday, the air mass across southern NC will remain warm with low level thickness values actually warmer than today across the south with thickness values of around 1415m near the SC border and around 1395-1400m near the VA border. This will translate into highs of 92 to 95 across southern NC with cooler highs of 86 to 89 near the VA border. With cooler temperatures aloft and a warmer boundary layer, the atmosphere becomes moderately unstable across southern areas on Saturday afternoon. This may support an isolated thunderstorm across southern and southeast areas in proximity to the front and the inland advancing sea breeze although NWP guidance generally lacks much of precipitation. Lows on Saturday night will be a little cooler than the previous night and range near average with lows near 60 near the VA border to the mid 60s across the south. -Blaes

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 345 AM Friday...

The extended period will be largely warm and dry with no significant frontal passages, as central NC is under the influence of an anomalous mid/upper anticyclone that will continue to strengthen, from 593 dam at 500 mb to as much as 600 dam by midweek. The anticyclone will initially be centered to our west over the southern Appalachians on Sunday/Monday before drifting to the northern Mid- Atlantic and New England from Tuesday through Thursday. At the surface, high pressure will move off the New England coast on Sunday and linger in the western Atlantic into midweek, extending SW into central NC. This will shift the low-level flow over central NC to a moist SE direction. However, PW values will still only be near to below normal, and warm mid-level temperatures and subsidence from the anticyclone should really suppress any convective development. So the main effect in our region should just be some clouds, including possibly some low stratus each morning. Upslope showers and storms may develop each afternoon over the Appalachians, but latest ensemble guidance really pins the convection near the mountains.
Can't totally rule out a stray shower or storm drifting into our far west each day, particularly on Sunday before the flow aloft turns more easterly, but at this time have a dry forecast through Wednesday. By Thursday, the anticyclone may be far enough north and east for some troughing to get back into the area, so carry slight to low chance POPs in the south and east.

As for temperatures, highs will increase from upper-80s to lower-90s on Sunday to lower-to-mid-90s on Monday and Tuesday as the ridge strengthens. The good news is models seem in pretty good agreement there will be enough mixing to keep dew points from getting too oppressive, generally lower-to-mid-60s. Temperatures may decrease a bit by Wednesday and Thursday as the anticyclone moves farther away, but no significant cooldown is expected. Lows will mainly be in the mid-to-upper-60s through the period.

AVIATION /11Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 635 AM Friday...

24 hour TAF period: VFR conditions are generally expected across central NC through the 24 hour TAF period with a couple of exceptions. Some very patchy, mainly MVFR fog has developed across central NC early this morning, primarily in the Coastal Plain and eastern Piedmont. The fog should dissipate within an hour or so of sunrise. There is also a very limited threat of a shower or storm late this afternoon and this evening, primarily across the northwest and northern areas, as a cold front approaches the area. Confidence and coverage are limited so will omit this from the TAFs. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected with a mix of some cirrus clouds and SCT late morning through evening cumulus clouds. Light winds are expected today with winds from the north and northeast across eastern locations at KFAY and KRWI while light mainly southwest winds are expected to the west at KINT/KGSO/KRDU. Winds will veer around to southwesterly across the area late this afternoon with winds shifting to north late tonight across the north as the cold front moves through the area.

Outlook: A cold front will shift south of central NC on Saturday morning with winds shifting to northerly and then easterly on Sunday. Generally fair weather is expected into early next week although some late night and early morning stratus and fog is possible, mainly across the western and southern Piedmont areas around daybreak on Sunday through Tuesday. -Blaes


RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Dominion Terminal Associates, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KAVC MECKLENBURGBRUNSWICK RGNL,VA 9 sm16 minSSW 0510 smMostly Cloudy82°F68°F62%30.02
KLVL BRUNSWICK MUNI,VA 18 sm16 minSSE 0410 smMostly Cloudy81°F68°F66%29.97
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Wind History graph: AVC
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Tide / Current for Petersburg, Appomattox River, James River, Virginia
   
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Petersburg
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Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 01:29 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:35 AM EDT     0.75 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:55 AM EDT     2.89 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:45 PM EDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:30 PM EDT     3.11 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Petersburg, Appomattox River, James River, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
2.8
1
am
2.3
2
am
1.8
3
am
1.3
4
am
1
5
am
0.8
6
am
0.8
7
am
1.1
8
am
1.8
9
am
2.4
10
am
2.8
11
am
2.9
12
pm
2.7
1
pm
2.3
2
pm
1.8
3
pm
1.2
4
pm
0.8
5
pm
0.6
6
pm
0.6
7
pm
0.8
8
pm
1.5
9
pm
2.3
10
pm
2.8
11
pm
3.1


Tide / Current for City Point (Hopewell), James River, Virginia
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City Point (Hopewell)
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Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 01:28 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:23 AM EDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:25 AM EDT     2.61 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:32 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:33 PM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:00 PM EDT     2.82 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

City Point (Hopewell), James River, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
2.3
1
am
1.7
2
am
1.2
3
am
0.9
4
am
0.7
5
am
0.7
6
am
1
7
am
1.6
8
am
2.1
9
am
2.4
10
am
2.6
11
am
2.6
12
pm
2.2
1
pm
1.7
2
pm
1.2
3
pm
0.7
4
pm
0.5
5
pm
0.5
6
pm
0.8
7
pm
1.3
8
pm
1.9
9
pm
2.4
10
pm
2.7
11
pm
2.8


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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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Wakefield, VA,




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