Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Keeler, CA

SHORT TERM
Through Thursday.

A shortwave will roll through northern Nevada tonight into Wednesday, followed by a trough approaching the Pacific Coast on Thursday and Thursday Night. Temperatures should decrease a few degrees between today and Thursday as heights aloft decrease.
Despite the cooling, highs will still remain near to above normal for this time of year. Cloud cover will increase as the disturbances move through the area. Overall atmospheric moisture is low and no precipitation is expected through Thursday. Gusty southerly to southwesterly winds will pick up each day, the strongest of which will be in western San Bernardino County. While widespread advisory level winds are unlikely, a few gusts to 40 mph are possible along high terrain.

LONG TERM
Friday through next Tuesday.

Heading into the weekend, we continue to watch the evolution of a weather system as it pushes into the northwestern United States.
Guidance is coming together somewhat regarding the broad characteristics of the low, but there remains quite a spread regarding details of the low such as its strength, moisture content, trajectory, and timing. Solutions are starting to favor a closed low upon moving inland, with the ECMWF means indicating a negatively- tilted trough will extend southward through our forecast area as this occurs. Moisture increases to 120-150 percent of normal (normal being around 0.30" for this time of year).

As the trough axis pushes through the forecast area, expect gusty southwest winds to pick up on Saturday, followed by gusty northwest winds on Sunday. Will continue to consider the need for wind headlines as we get closer. In addition to gusty winds, temperatures will drop back below-normal, with high temperatures in the 70s for Las Vegas heading into the next work week. Mentionable PoPs continue to remain confined to the southern Great Basin, with 10-20% PoPs reaching as far south as northern Inyo, northern Esmeralda, northern Nye, and northern Lincoln counties Saturday and Sunday.

AVIATION
For Harry Reid...For the 00Z Forecast Package...Occasional east to southeast gusts have developed at times this afternoon, however they have been intermittent. This general trend of east to southeast winds occasionally gusting to around 15 KT will continue until around 00Z when breezy south to southwest winds develop. WIth the south-southwest winds, there is at least a 50% chance for wind speeds over 10KT and a 20% chance for gusts over 20KT. Winds will diminish after sunset with south winds at 8KT or less expected overnight through Wednesday morning.
Southwest winds will increase again Wednesday late morning with slightly stronger winds expected Wednesday afternoon with a 60% chance for gusts over 20KT. Expect 20-25KT gusts through Wednesday afternoon at all valley TAF sites. CIGs will remain at 15kft or above, with increasing clouds expected tonight into Wednesday morning.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast California
For the 00Z Forecast Package
Breezy south to southwest winds have developed across the region this afternoon, with widespread 15-25KT gusts expected. KBIH may still see another west push this afternoon around 00Z with winds over 10KT and gusts over 20KT possible in this occurs. If this doesn't occur, continued breezy southeast winds are expected at KBIH before light northwest develop by 05Z. A push of west winds will push through KDAG with gust up to 25KT for a few hours around 00Z before gusts even but continued west winds at 10-15KT are expected through the night.
Winds will diminish after sunset and should follow general wind patterns through the night. Southwest to west winds will increase again late Wednesday morning with slightly stronger gusts to 20-30KT possible Wednesday afternoon across the region. No operationally significant clouds or weather expected as CIGs remain at 15kft or higher.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotters are encouraged to report any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating procedures.